(Part 5 of 5) My investing Muse (15Dec25) - Layoffs, closure, AI bubble?
My Investing Muse (15Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news New Fortress Energy, a company that builds liquified natural gas terminals, is reportedly in big financial trouble. Bloomberg reports the company has missed interest payments on its loans and says it can’t repay large chunks of debt due soon. To avoid immediate collapse, lenders have agreed to temporarily hold off demanding their money until January 9, 2026. Ford LAYOFFS: 1,600 people at a factory that barely opened. Why? Because EVs didn’t make money... and apparently AI data centers do. They spent $5.8B building the Kentucky EV battery plant. So now, 1,600 workers laid off, EV production cancelled, Plant converted to serve AI data centers & utilities, $19.5B EV profit hit - X user Amanda Goodall Howard’s Appliances, a
News and my thoughts (22Dec25) - real estate, electricity & shadow banking
News and my thoughts from the past week (22Dec25) More than $61 billion has flowed into the data center market so far this year. Hyperscalers are increasingly turning to outside capital in the form of debt to fund the energy-intensive infrastructure. S&P Global expects demand to continue to grow next year, despite high valuations and funding concerns leaving investor worried about a bubble. - CNBC JAPAN TO SELL $530 BILLION OF U.S. STOCKS TO STABILIZE THE ECONOMY. JGB 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 2%, HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE THE DOT-COM BUBBLE IN 1999. BEARISH NEWS FOR GLOBAL MARKETS. - X user OxNobler Morgan Stanley declares the end of the US recession and eyes early-cycle gains in 2026 - The Edge Singapore China now has a record 3.75 terawatts of power generation capacity. That capacity has dou
Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is now signalling a downtrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have recently converged and are showing a bullish outlook. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. C
How to qualify a business for portfolio - using financials? (22Dec25)
Earnings Calendar (22Dec25) With Christmas approaching, there will be fewer earnings in the coming week. Without any personal earnings at stake, I will share how I quantify business. How to conduct fundamental analysis To qualify an investment business, I utilise a fundamental analysis approach that focuses on long-term performance and financial health. I typically review 10 years of data to evaluate how a company builds resilience and recovers during economic downturns. Here is the framework I use to group and analyse key metrics: 1. Income Statement & Growth I look for consistent upward trends in the following areas: Revenue & Net Profit: Steady growth in both. For startups, I look for a clear trend of reducing losses. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Evidence of gro
(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar - PCE, CB, GDP (22Dec25)
Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 22Dec25) In the coming week, several countries will be observing Christmas. In the United States, there will be an early market closure beginning on 24 December to mark the occasion. Christmas Day, 25 December, will be celebrated in America, Singapore, and Hong Kong, with all three regions observing the holiday. Additionally, Hong Kong will remain closed for an extra day on 26 December in recognition of the extended holiday period. On the other hand, China will not have any public holidays during this week and normal operations are expected to continue there. Federal Reserve’s Preferred Inflation Measure: PCE The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, is scheduled for release
(Full Article) - Preview of the week (22Dec25) - Blessed Christmas next to AI bubble
Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 22Dec25) In the coming week, several countries will be observing Christmas. In the United States, there will be an early market closure beginning on 24 December to mark the occasion. Christmas Day, 25 December, will be celebrated in America, Singapore, and Hong Kong, with all three regions observing the holiday. Additionally, Hong Kong will remain closed for an extra day on 26 December in recognition of the extended holiday period. On the other hand, China will not have any public holidays during this week and normal operations are expected to continue there. Federal Reserve’s Preferred Inflation Measure: PCE The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, is scheduled for release
BOJ is expected to announce interest rate hike - more uncertainty?
We may be seeing market volatility. Nikkei Asia is expecting a 75bps interest rate hike from Bank of Japan that is expected to rattle the market. From X user Wimar.X: BITCOIN DUMPS 20%+ EVERY TIME JAPAN HIKES RATES Image THIS FRIDAY, BOJ WILL HIKE RATES TO 75 BPS. FIRST TIME IN 17 YEARS. BUT HOW DOES IT WORK? JAPAN IS THE CHEAP MONEY HUB. INSTITUTIONS BORROW JPY AND PUMP IT IN RISK ASSETS LIKE $BTC. → RATE HIKES → YEN UP → CARRY TRADES UNWIND → LIQUIDITY DRAINS → BTC GETS SOLD $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$$Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$@TigerStars
the greater concerns from a falling inflation (CPI)
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - NOVEMBER 2025 The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis over the 2 months from September 2025 to November 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment. BLS did not collect survey data for October 2025 due to a lapse in appropriations. - BLS From BLS - CPI (official) CPI is based on a basket of goods. With most items missing from this data, 2.7% should be worrying as the other items are yet to be accounted. What is concerning is not the incomplete data? What is concerning is the willingness to publish this and claim that inflation has gone down. This is a part of transparency, accountability and