To The Moon

In the past week, the news was relatively calm, and most assets also showed a revised market trend. Among them, the US Dollar Index fell back after failing to hit the high level for the second time.At present, the probability of walking out of the second leg is increasing.In the process, risky assets are expected to maintain a good momentum, but the US dollar will eventually find the bottom and show strength again.The sharp decline of US dollar in the Candlestick Chart is accompanied by the latest non-farm data, and the superposition of technical and news makes the short-term break more effective. On the weekly chart, it is obvious that the Concealing Swallow structure had come into being .The theoretical goal of double-top shape points at least below 104. At the current price and time spa

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The post-Fed party continued Thu, 02 Nov 2023 with the S&P 500 recording its best day since April 2023. All in all, the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow industrials all rose at least +1.7%. By the time the clock chimed at 4pm (US time): $DJIA(.DJI)$ : +1.70% (+564.50 TO 33,839.08). Its highest daily gain since June. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +1.89% (+79.92 TO 4,317.78). All 11 sectors ended in positive territory. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +1.78% (+232.72 to 13,294.19). Its best session since July. Two official reports released helped to cement the fact that US labour market is “cooling” down gracefully: Jobs Opening and Labour Turnover surveys (JOLTs) for September 2023. US

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged on Wednesday (November 1), although pointing out that the economy is strong and does not rule out further interest rate hikes in the future, Chairman Powell's post-meeting speech still brought a boost to the market, that perhaps the Fed has finished raising interest rates, the three major indexes of US stocks collectively closed higher, and US bond interest rates fell.At the end of a two-day meeting, the Fed left its target range of interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%, as expected. The latest statement also changed its description of third-quarter growth to "strong expansion" from "solid expansion" in September, reflecting better economic data since then.While the central bank is not so confident that financial conditions are t

Financial trading options have long been a playground for traders seeking an edge in the markets. While many strategies have been developed and refined over the years, the concept of the "theoretical edge" has emerged as a game-changer in the world of options trading. This concept, rooted in mathematical and statistical principles, provides traders with a unique perspective on how to gain an advantage in the complex and dynamic world of financial markets. Understanding the Theoretical Edge The theoretical edge in options trading is built on a foundation of probability, risk management, and rigorous analysis. At its core, it represents the difference between an option's theoretical fair value and its market price. By assessing this difference, traders can identify opportunities to buy or s

Click to vote. Can you predict how will $S&P 500(.SPX)$ close on Wednesday 20 September? If you get the right answers, You may divide 1000 Tiger Coins with other Tigers. In addition, you have the chance of winning Tiger Gifts.Investors are widely anticipating that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at the policy meeting this week. But traders will be keeping a close eye to get a better sense on the central bank’s stance on inflation from here. Traders are assigning a 99% chance that the Fed stays put when it releases its rate decision on Wednesday and just a 31% probability of a hike in November, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, which gauges pricing in the fed funds futures market.What is your ins

Recently, semiconductor company stock prices have significantly pullbacked, among which:Lithography giant $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ corrected 22.5%; $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ , the world's largest semiconductor equipment company, saw an 11% pullback; $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ pullbacked 23.6%;Chip contract manufacturing giant $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ back 19.4%...What happened? Is this semiconductor pullback a buying opportunity?In general, the main reason for this wave of semiconductor pullback is that semiconductor fundamentals cannot match skyrocketing stock prices.For example, Applied Materials, befo

The U.S. Federal Reserve kicks off a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday with officials widely expected to keep interest rates on hold for now, but also flagging in new economic projections whether they feel rates still need to rise further before the end of the year.A new policy statement and interest rate decision will be released at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) on Wednesday, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell scheduled to hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. to elaborate.As of today, it appears that market expectations for this meeting are minimal. In fact, Fed funds futures point to a 0.8% probability, equating to no rate hike this week. The chances of a rate hike at the upcoming meeting are also slim, with the probability of a 25 basis point hike in November now at 32 percent and a December rate hik