To The Moon

As speculated, news of the conflict between Israel and Iran has subsided, which has prompted a pullback in gold, and you may have to wait for a while to chase higher. For gold trading this year, the importance of finding a good time and a low position is relatively high, and it is not easy to chase ups and downs.The correction of gold With a long green line on Monday to determine a larger pullback/retracement time span, coupled with the more violent fall of silver (it has also been recommended to short silver and long gold to deal with this round of market), we expect gold to be short in the short term will not Reverse quickly.But how to judge the low point of the callback that everyone is more concerned about? First of all, it is certain that it is likely that it will be difficult for sho

The situation in the Middle East has once again become the focus of the market in recent days, with some concerns about the conflict between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have shown signs of perseverance, it is more likely that there will be “big thunder, little rain”. At the same time, referring to the geopolitical conflicts and small-scale military operations that have occurred several times before, the financial market can basically digest the impact within a week, so short-term fluctuations are difficult to shake the market trend.In theory, gold and crude oil are naturally the most sensitive to this topic. Last Friday's rise and fall seem to have previewed the weekend's soap opera in advance: Compared with a real fight, it seems more cost-effective to make a tough statement to g

The bulls in the crude oil market that continued in the first quarter have helped the price return to the central axis level we defined. With the emergence of high pressure and the small deviation between US stocks and stock indexes, we expect that it will be more difficult for oil prices to go up. For low buy/long investments, now may be the time to at least partially lock in profits.At the end of last year and the beginning of this year, we introduced the composition of crude oil price range: above 95/100 is the level of selling crude oil reserves by the US government (Biden made clear), while below 70 US dollars is the level of buying back crude oil reserves. The 84 line in the middle of the two is defined as the central axis because of the obvious change of hands. Under the big shock m

From the market situation in the past few years, it is not difficult to find that the current US government has a very strong control over the financial sector, and their trading methods are also comfortable. Since the first quarter of last year, NVIDIA, the first AI concept, is still the leading core variety, and they have also promoted the overall bull market of US stocks. This year, another one pushed to the front desk is BTC, which is well known but not much involved.Once upon a time, many Wall Street giants also said that BTC was defined as a channel for fraud and money laundering. However, this thing has boarded the hall of ETF in a twinkling of an eye. It is obviously unreasonable to say that there is no intentional promotion from Biden administration. Behind this is naturally the f

At the end of the month, the news from the terrorist attacks in Moscow shocked the market again, and also caused investors to worry about geopolitical progress. So will this event become a new driving factor and dominate the market in the second quarter? My personal opinion is that the possibility is relatively low. Unless there are more actions and conflicts between the two sides, the market will digest this topic quickly.First of all, from the market feedback, at first glance, there is a certain degree of risk aversion, but in fact, the assets themselves still show signs of "fighting", which shows that the event itself is not of high magnitude. For example, the US dollar did rebound and rise, but as we said before, the US Dollar Index is in the form of diamond, so it is not necessary to

Except for those categories that have been fluctuating for a long time, most assets that performed strongly in the first quarter or even set a new record high have experienced weak upside in the near future. Interestingly, the two leading brothers who lead the rise are unexpectedly in the same pace in the medium and long term. With the emergence of adjustment, compared with the rapid and rapid sharp drop, the way that may be buffered by time is also an option.As we all know, NVIDIA is the standard-bearer of AI concept and the engine of the bull market of US stocks last year, and the crazy performance of Bitcoin in the past few months is obvious to all. Although there is a certain degree of correlation between the two, it is not difficult to find that such a high degree of positive correlat

When gold was in 1450 position, we had boldly assumed that the current bull market of gold could rise to 2200-2300. At that time, many people didn't understand that the Federal Reserve was about to tighten at that time, and there was no reason for gold to enter a big bull market. However, the power of the market itself (graph) still proves that the real relationship between supply and demand has been included in the market. Now, with the new high coming earlier than expected, we need to consider whether 2300 will still be the upper limit of gold.This is a picture that I like to show you in online and offline lectures over the past year, and it is also the reason why I have always been optimistic about gold. 2263 is the lowest bull market target price that gold can reach according to the pe

The suspense in the US stock market has settled with the rising of NVIDIA, the leading eldest brother, and the risk appetite continues to support the upward attack of bulls. At the same time, crude oil prices also slowly made a breakthrough, It is particularly worth mentioning that after a wave of rising in the weekend, gold returned to the vicinity of the previous historical high point. The competition here is expected to determine whether the bull market can restart in the near future.The 2090 area is the key price of gold triple head before, and it is also the watershed of long-short conversion after the record high. Interestingly, this Friday will be a new non-farm day. According to past experience, when faced with key support and resistance, risk events will also be potential driving

The star stocks in 2023 are still shining in the new year. Driven by the strong financial report in the fourth quarter, NVIDIA jumped sharply and opened higher and reached a new record high. However, the performance of making up the gap on the same day still left some hidden dangers. Will this trigger the arrival of the US stock market correction?As we all know, the main driving force of this round of continuous slow bull market of US stock is AI stocks, and NVIDIA is the leading figure. After the Lunar New Year, the short-term deviation between Nasdaq and S&P was also affected by Nvidia's three-day consecutive decline. In other words, if NVDA shows signs of head, it will probably trigger continuous downward pressure on US stocks.Fundamentally speaking, the beautiful data and expectati

In the past holidays, although most assets in the market I covered fluctuated to varying degrees, there was no sign of trend start from the final market results. First of all, on precious metals, gold tried a double dip and held its low level. There are two possibilities for the pattern of A-B-C in adjusting structure, the lowest or near 1930. However, considering the one-week reversal of silver last week, platform consolidation is not impossible. On the whole, in the rest of February, bargain hunting will be the main choice for gold. At the same time, it is also difficult for gold prices to quickly receive and pay the previous historical high of 2090. If tested here, it should be an opportunity to close long positions and possibly turn over.In crude oil, the market trend is not rapid, but