Deflating the Balloon Without Bursting
@Archie Brixton:
Views are my own. Broad macro thoughts. Not investment advice. Sadly I feel that the credit issues for the market are just getting started. Higher interest rates expose weak balance sheets. They are not the cause of weak balance sheets. Balance sheets that were built on air like FTX or built without interest rate hedges like SVB. These balance sheets were already built on weak foundations. Higher rates just exposed that. They were shown to be swimming naked. What concerns me is that if this many people are being shown to be this naked. Then how many more naked swimmers are out there? The whole thing is starting to look like a nudist beach. The market is starting to have the same concerns and this is where the next problem is. Uncertainty. Uncertainty leads to fear and that leads to a