To The Moon

My investing muse - when an earnings beat does not imply that the business is getting better, interest rate, PCE & Tesla The above is the recent history of earnings forecast of AMD covering EPS and revenue. For the history above, we can notice that the single best quarter for AMD was the quarter ending June 2022 when the earnings beat both EPS and revenue forecast. In fact, it was the recent quarterly high for revenue at 6.55B and one of the highest quarterly EPS at 1.05. For the following quarters, the forecast for both EPS and revenue has not matched this Q2/2022 peak. This means that a double beat does not always mean that it is doing better than previous earnings. Bringing down the estimate is one of the ways to achieve an earnings beat. Ideally, we are hoping that there will be

Public Holidays No public holidays for Hong Kong, Singapore the US & China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (24Jul2023) Economic Calendar for the week starting 24 Jul 2023 Notable Highlights Fed interest rate decision should be the most watched macro news for the coming week. With the Fed predicting another 2 more interest rate hikes, it is speculated that the market is expecting a rate hike of 25bps. How will the market respond to this? The tone of the speech during the announcement may be a key reference. If the tone is largely hawkish, the market may not respond kindly to this. PCE - This is the Fed’s preferred indicator coming to inflation and the forecast (MoM) is a persistent 0.2% growth. This is an important data point as the Fed uses this as an important reference fo

Public Holidays No public holidays for Hong Kong, Singapore the US & China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (24Jul2023) Economic Calendar for the week starting 24 Jul 2023 Notable Highlights Fed interest rate decision should be the most watched macro news for the coming week. With the Fed predicting another 2 more interest rate hikes, it is speculated that the market is expecting a rate hike of 25bps. How will the market respond to this? The tone of the speech during the announcement may be a key reference. If the tone is largely hawkish, the market may not respond kindly to this. PCE - This is the Fed’s preferred indicator coming to inflation and the forecast (MoM) is a persistent 0.2% growth. This is an important data point as the Fed uses this as an important reference fo

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ released its Q2 2023 earnings on Wed 19 Jul 2023 after US market closed. This was followed by a press conference to answer queries that analysts, wall street professionals may have. Reactions on the following 2 days - Thu, 20 Jul & Fri, 21 Jul best summed up Wall Street sentiments. They did not like all the negatives stemming from the clarifications session. Does this signal the beginning of another Tesla correction? Below are some possible catalysts that I think might spur decline: (1) Q3 2023 EV volume will be reduced. During Q2 earnings press conference, mr musk announced that in Q3 2023, the giga factories will shutdown for factory improvements. (see above). Meaning output and delivery will be affected. Coupled wi

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ fell over 2% in premarket trading.It has started offering consumers 84-month auto loans after Elon Musk said the carmaker would “have to do something” about rising interest rates.

Carmaker missed on margins while beating earnings estimatesElon Musk-led Tesla is pouring money into AI, new CybertruckTesla Inc.’s profitability shrank in the second quarter, showing the electric-veh