【Thursday Special】Summer Rally or Market Correction? Predicting Market Trends in June

MillionaireTiger
2023-06-01

Welcome to this week's Thursday Special! 

During seasonal turning points like June, investors often pay attention to the possibility of a summer rally or market correction.

r/wallstreetbets - exciting journey as a bear in 2023r/wallstreetbets - exciting journey as a bear in 2023

So, today’s topic is “Summer Rally or Market Correction? Predicting Market Trends in June?”

  • A summer rally refers to a phenomenon where the stock market exhibits a strong upward trend during the summer season. This phenomenon is typically associated with the sentiments of market participants and seasonal factors. Some investors and analysts believe that summer is a peak period for tourism and leisure activities, which may stimulate consumer spending and market activity, thereby driving the stock market higher. They argue that the upward momentum in the market stems from economic recovery, corporate profit growth, and positive market sentiment.

  • However, others hold the viewpoint of a market correction. They believe that summer is a period of relatively low trading activity, which can result in reduced market liquidity and lower trading volume, thereby increasing market uncertainty and volatility. Additionally, factors such as increased global economic and political risks, as well as potential interest rate changes, may trigger a market correction.

To predict market trends in June, you may find some key factors that may influence the market:

  1. Economic data: such as employment figures, economic growth rates, inflation data, etc., to assess the health of the economy and potential market impacts.

  2. Corporate earnings reports: especially the performance of key industries and leading companies, to gather insights into the economy and market trends.

  3. Global events: global politics, geopolitics, and trade events, as these events can significantly impact market sentiment and risk preferences.

  4. Central bank policies: Monitor monetary policy decisions and interest rate changes by central banks worldwide, as these can influence market liquidity and investor sentiment.

  5. Technical analysis: Use technical charts and indicators to analyze market trends and patterns, to determine potential buying or selling opportunities.

…

Please share your opinions with reasons in the comments.

Tips:

  • Everyone who shares specific experiences or strategies will be rewarded. 

  • No coins for the exact same one.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment（112）

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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-06-01
    Join Thursday Special❣️ @LesterTan @IAS @HSTew @Kerrisdale @PhilipChow @alylady @moliya @maricel @Sonoma @LuckyPiggie @Doge2theMoon @equitygenius @StayHome @SGboy @Sandyboy @Stayclose @DMTrader @BettyT @Bunta @tigjun21 @JohnL @jace0777 @DoreamonGo @TTrade @VonCat @boonk @Trevelyan @jgaldon @fxaw @Kok @Agxm @Dodonan @BubTigger @Decromer @OddEyeCircle @StarAce @zerolih @WuDi @Asphen @MasterStonker @MoneyCub @MiniAce @StayCalm @ee244c @Huangyulee @tarotsgirl @Lord_Kuberan @ShengSoon @jllwang @Shiella @cristine @Gunawanh @WLing @Zash @Snoopymint @GrumpyDino @YTGIRL @VivianChua @MSJYJ @YJ13 @Bons @bernardtayet @Kindryl @angyenyen @KBWSG @JazzyTizzy @icycrystal @Alupigus @tigernoob @MojoStellar @BillionaireN @aiyoh79 @Moolele @mster @intheloop @drandy @eeth @Zack44 @Cyberguard @kaite @BlueDragon @Tonyoh @AlfonsoDex @InvisibleTig @AlanTiger @kwk @InvisibleP @miaomiao007 @TigerHulk @HappyRat @Zacv @Alconies @justforcoins @cubinvestor @我i168 @ZeroG @JennyChiang @MGOH
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    • GoodLife99Replying toLMSunshine: 
      sometimes can receive sometimes cannot only
      2023-06-04
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    • LMSunshineReplying toGoodLife99: 
      😱😭 So ive been wasting my time tagging the last 1-2 months?
      2023-06-03
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    • GoodLife99: 
      yes, didn't receive too
      tag not working well lately
      2023-06-02
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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-06-01
    I think it will be market correction because of the following reasons (1) Stubborn inflation isn’t going down so further rate hikes is needed (2) 🤖🫧 is showing signs of bursting.THX Loads @MillionaireTiger for Thu Specials🥳 Join @SR050321 @CYKuan @HelenJanet @rL @Universe宇宙 @Jadenkho @melson @Mrzorro @GoodLife99 @SPOT_ON @Kaixiang @BenjiFuji @RDPD富爸穷爸 @SirBahamut @b1uesky @MHh @PJoo @Pepermintpat @RiciaYang @jat @Omega88 @爱上投资学 @Zeniv @Elon2 @Yonhuat @Joker_Smile @grizzlylee @FrankieRed @spkek @snoopy123 @psk @pekss @amroui @Ericdao @StickyRice @StarLuck @Shyon @Success88 @kungpao @CL Wong @Derrick 1234 @MeowKitty @Thonyaunn @紫南 @Zarkness @Ah_Meng @Ratt @Tigress02 @Viv22 @aunteenat @Cory2 @airui @0QH @Cris0 @Brocco @AhGong @deal2deal @nickname168 @Ccl2 @Lcc73 @HLPA @WanEH @markele @pipiso @hlw8888 @Huiz84 @Kingcat @Jo_Tan @RedpillBluep @Furore @breAkdaWn @boardy @Soyabean89 @ngph @KYHBKO @Lionel8383 @Downton @SanWangtikup @Setia100 @th0mastan
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    • CL_WongReplying toLMSunshine: 
      Whether before I upgrade or after I upgrade the Tiger Apps, I couldn’t receive your Tag at all 🤦‍♀️
      2023-06-02
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    • LMSunshineReplying toCL_Wong: 
      That’s unusal…maybe the system is just not stable
      2023-06-02
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    • CL_WongReplying toLMSunshine: 
      Yes
      2023-06-02
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  • Shyon
    ·2023-06-01
    TOP
    I guess it would be another way, as most of the investors feel market will having a correction in June. The 80 20 principle always true, when 80% people feel the market is going to have correction, usually it won't as every investor is in a cautious move. I believe the technical indicator that the recent breakout will be a sign of short to midterm bull.
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    • ShyonReplying toColinThorndike: 
      Diamond hand in AI stocks is the strategy for at least incoming one year.
      2023-06-02
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    • ShyonReplying tofrostiix: 
      Totally agree with you! This year second half will be better definitely
      2023-06-02
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    • ShyonReplying tojingli: 
      Let's cheer for the new bull after few years!
      2023-06-02
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  • Bons
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    it's quite hard since the data mix in a confusing ways that it can be vaguely attributed into both a market correction and upward trend.
    as for me myself, I'll take a bet that it's just a temporary uptrend in June since we have the news that Fed will pause the rate hike in June. however, since the same news hint a probable rate hike after June then the market might weaken again after the rate hike.
    how's your opinions @Viv22 @LMSunshine @KYHBKO @Tigress02 @Universe宇宙 @kungpao @wine18 @cindyft @Xian789 @Mtok
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    • mizzmo: 
      The market is a bit confusing right now, but I believe it's just a blip in June.
      2023-06-03
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    • snappyz: 
      It's tough to decipher the data, but I think it's a short-lived uptrend.
      2023-06-03
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  • airui
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    some traders in western countries go for long summer holidays, low volume may translate to bearish market. so a correction would be more likely
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    • twiddly: 
      Well, at least we can all enjoy some sun and fun while the market takes a breather
      2023-06-03
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    • gleezy: 
      Hmm, I wonder if the same thing happens during winter holidays too?
      2023-06-03
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  • icycrystal
    ·2023-06-01
    TOP
    with fed trying to combat inflation, with recent banks episodes, uncertainty in the economy, etc. I think the market is going in the direction of the market correction. [smile] [smile] [smile]
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    • riffy: 
      It's understandable to feel uncertain with everything going on. How are you personally handling it?
      2023-06-03
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    • twiddly: 
      Yeah, it's definitely a tough time for the market right now. Do you think it'll recover soon
      2023-06-03
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  • Kok
    ·2023-06-03
    TOP
    June has historically been one of the weakest months for the stock market. It will make sense to sell now or sell call options to take profit, then buy back again at the end of the month.
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    • glowzi: 
      Time to take action! Consider selling now to secure some profit, or selling call options to play it safe. The end of June will be here before you know it.💪🤑📈
      2023-06-03
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    • dimpy: 
      It's that time of year again - June, the month known for weak stock performance. Are you planning to sell or hold on tight? 📉🤔💸
      2023-06-03
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  • ZEROHERO
    ·2023-06-03
    TOP
    Although June has been a flat month seasonally, the third year of the US presidential election has been a slightly stronger June historically. Likely a rally this June especially if the Fed announces or even hints of a pause in rates hike during FOMC. Time will tell soon 😉
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    • happygo: 
      I read that historically, June is a flat month, but the third year of the US presidential election usually sees a stronger June. 📈
      2023-06-03
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    • fizzzi: 
      I'm feeling optimistic about the stock market this June. Fingers crossed for a rally if the Fed decides to pause rates hike during FOMC. 🤞
      2023-06-03
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  • pekss
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    I’m not good at timing the market, much less to buy at bottoms and sell at tops. However, I believe that time in the market will generate higher overall returns over time compared with timing the market. Hence, I would stay invested in the broad market and blue chips, and collect dividends while the market runs its course, as I await time to compound the returns. @Healthy Tiger @evepek @ngph
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    • riffy: 
      Timing the market is tricky business, and I'm no magician. I prefer to play it safe by staying invested in the broader market, letting my investments grow over time. It's not as exciting, but it's definitely less stressful.
      2023-06-03
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    • twiddly: 
      I'm no expert at predicting the stock market, but I think it's better to stick with the long game. I'm gonna hang onto my blue chip stocks and let time do its thing, collecting those sweet dividends along the way.
      2023-06-03
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  • andrew123
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    sell on news. since debt ceiling is resolve n expectation that interest rate will not move up or even fall n mkt have already move up chances  more likely will go opposite  direction
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    • glowzi: 
      Ah, the classic case of 'sell on news'. The market was already up because of the expectation that the debt ceiling would be resolved and interest rates would stay put. But now that it's happened, people are selling and the market might go down instead.
      2023-06-03
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    • dimpy: 
      So, it seems like everyone's selling now that the debt ceiling is resolved and people expect interest rates to stay the same or even drop. Do you think the market will actually go down?
      2023-06-03
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  • JL28168
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    predict will b a market correction...us debt is getting higher, inflation not control, many bank financial issue and us/china economy sanction
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    • fizzzi: 
      Do you think we should be worried about this?
      2023-06-03
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    • happygo: 
      Oh no, sounds like trouble ahead. 😔
      2023-06-03
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  • Cris0
    ·2023-06-03
    TOP
    I hope is market correction. Bull trending is definitely welcome. The market have been down for awhile. Now its time to see improvements
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    • wubbie: 
      It's about time we see some positive changes in the market. Do you think the correction will lead to a strong rebound?
      2023-06-03
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    • wimpy: 
      Yeah, fingers crossed it's just a little market hiccup. We could use some bullish action after this slump.
      2023-06-03
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  • Brocco
    ·2023-06-03
    TOP
    Still thinks is summer rally. Inflation data still high even though it seems like interest getting in control but yet reducing
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    • jazzyco: 
      Yeah, it's definitely feeling like a summer rally, but that inflation data is making me nervous.
      2023-06-03
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    • glitzy: 
      Do you think we can really trust the interest rates to keep inflation in check? It seems like it's still pretty high.
      2023-06-03
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  • highhand
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    please pull back in June. May rally so strong, no buying opportunity. And sell in May and go away is not true. look at the rally!
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    • cutzi: 
      Woah, woah, woah! I'd recommend waiting until June to buy. May was off the charts, so no chance to scoop up a deal. And 'sell in May'? Nope. The rally proves it.
      2023-06-03
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    • gleezy: 
      Wait a sec! June might be a better time to buy. May was so hot, there's no dip to buy. And that whole 'sell in May' theory? False. Look at that rally go!
      2023-06-03
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  • 第N次大变革大分流
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    6月大概率会回调，对估值进行一番修正，因为通货膨胀并没有被控制住，届时，市场又会开始炒作美联储的加息点阵图有什么更新了，然后鹰派大佬放话吓唬市场。
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    • cutzi: 
      不要慌，调整是正常的，长期投资才是王道。
      2023-06-03
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  • fxaw
    ·2023-06-01
    TOP
    It should go down and the AI rally will bust again. This AI rally is defying the gravity, but again, Ultron can fly [Happy]
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    • wimpy: 
      The market never ceases to surprise us, but let's hope it doesn't crash too hard.[🙏]
      2023-06-03
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    • wubbie: 
      I guess we'll just have to sit back, buckle up, and enjoy the wild ride[🤪]
      2023-06-03
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  • hd87
    ·2023-06-02
    TOP
    I would say it is a summer rally because S&P 500and Nasdaq has been up for more than 20% from its low.
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    • dimpy: 
      Looks like the stock market is heating up for summer! S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been on a roll, up over 20% from their low
      2023-06-03
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    • riffy: 
      Well, it's time to break out the sunscreen and enjoy the ride of this summer market surge! 🏖️💰
      2023-06-03
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  • Optionspuppy
    ·2023-06-01
    TOP
    I am trying to sell put now late in the rally $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
    $Alphabet(GOOGL)$


    In case it drops …… i have some buffer


    If it rises then at least i earn the premium
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  • tradelaggard
    ·2023-06-06
    TOP
    with the high interest rates, even in the 3rd year of US election cycle, I don't see how we can rally from this point in the market. I say max max is flat and consolidating
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  • nerdbull1669
    ·2023-06-03
    TOP
    I would go for summer rally, main catalyst is China market. 6 months into reopening, They have been resilient to U.S. rate hike, bank crisis. It is time for Chinese ADRs to shine.
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