To The Moon

Technology stocks led the surge, the three major U.S. stock indexes on Monday (11) all closed higher. Apple's annual fall presentation is about to appear, Qualcomm announced that it has finalized a three-year deal with Apple to supply 5G chips for the iPhone until 2026, and the shares of both companies rose.

Sentiment was buoyed by a Wall Street Journal report that the Fed had reached a consensus not to raise rates at its meeting next week. According to CME FedWatch, traders are pricing in the Fed staying its hand in September, with about a 40 percent chance of a rate hike in November.

Investors are awaiting key U.S. inflation data in the coming week, with the latest consumer price index on Wednesday and the latest producer price index on Thursday. A slew of stronger-than-expected economic data last week renewed concerns that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates more than previously thought.

Goldman Sachs said the market had already priced in a soft landing ahead of the Fed meeting this month. The combination of good inflation data and signs of labor market weakness led economists at Goldman Sachs this week to cut their estimate of the likelihood of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months to 15 percent from 20 percent.

Morgan Stanley is bullish on Tesla's Dojo supercomputer prospects and raised its price target to $400 a share, sending the stock soaring more than 10 percent. However, large options orders show that institutions do not think that Tesla's stock price will rise above 282.5 this week, and they have sold call options:

sell $TSLA 20230915 282.5 CALL$

sell $TSLA 20231027 270.0 CALL$

sell $TSLA 20230929 277.5 CALL$

What's more, there are even large purchases of put options with a strike price of 115 expiring on September 22:

$TSLA 20230922 115.0 PUT$

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Option buyer open position (Single leg)

Buy TOP T/O:

$SEDG 20250117 190.0 CALL$ $NOW 20240621 600.0 PUT$

Buy TOP Vol:

$PARA 20230915 14.5 CALL$ $BSX 20230922 55.0 CALL$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant buy open position for options contracts in the market. The purchase of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying has upward momentum, and the purchase of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying has downward momentum. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Option seller open position (Single leg)

Sell TOP T/O:

$HD 20231117 305.0 PUT$ $UNH 20230915 520.0 PUT$

Sell TOP Vol:：

$F 20231020 10.0 PUT$ $HD 20231117 305.0 PUT$

Other tech stocks:

$AMZN 20230915 139.0 PUT$ $MCHP 20231117 70.0 PUT$ $ON 20231117 80.0 PUT$

$PYPL 20231027 55.0 PUT$ $AMD 20231215 70.0 PUT$ $KLAC 20230922 470.0 PUT$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screen is a significant sell open position for an option contract in the market. A sell of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has peaked, and a sell of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has bottomed. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Options portfolio open position

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant portfolio of options contracts in the market. Portfolio opening includes a variety of underlying trends, requiring traders to further master the basic knowledge of options for analysis and judgment.