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🎢📊💥 CPI Showdown: The Inflation Rollercoaster from Chill to Thrill! 💥📊🎢

Kia ora Tiger traders!

Buckle up because we’re diving deep into the wild world of inflation trends. With data from 2014 to 2024, it’s been quite the journey, hasn’t it? From near-zero inflation in 2015 to the 7.9% spike in 2022, these numbers have given traders heart palpitations and market-makers headaches. Let’s break it down~month by month, year by year~and figure out what this could mean for the market, your portfolio, and the next big trade!

🚀 What the CPI Tells Us (and Why It Matters)

Inflation is the inflating balloon of economic tension! When inflation rises, it erodes purchasing power. 🛒 For traders, it impacts interest rates, consumer spending, corporate earnings, and of course~stock valuations.

The CPI (Consumer Price Index) is a major economic indicator to monitor for any market participant. It signals how much more or less you’re paying for everything from your coffee ☕ (essential!) to fuel ⛽. Given how it has fluctuated since 2014, we can see distinct patterns of calm before the storm… and the subsequent fireworks! 🎇

🧠 Analyst Insights: What Are the Experts Saying?

Analysts from TradingView, Yahoo Finance, and more are pointing to the importance of tomorrow’s CPI release at 8:30 AM ET. Key expectations hover around 2.9% YoY, which would be a notable cool down from 2022’s high-flying inflation but still higher than pre-pandemic levels.

➡️ “We expect that tomorrow’s CPI print will be closely watched by the Federal Reserve as it determines future rate hikes.” ~ Jane Doe, Chief Market Strategist.

A better-than-expected report could boost the S&P 500 as market participants become more confident the Fed will hit pause on further tightening.

🔥 What Does This Mean for Your Trades?

• The bond market: If inflation is under control, bond yields may stabilize, and bond prices may rise 📈.

• Growth stocks: Inflation’s slowdown could ease pressure on growth stocks like $AAPL 🍎 and $GOOGL, especially in the tech-heavy NASDAQ.

• Commodity stocks: Expect some volatility in commodity prices (think: gold 🟡, oil 🛢️) as inflationary expectations get recalibrated.

⚡ Capital Flow Watch: Major players are reallocating resources into tech and defensive stocks as inflation cools~good sign for the bulls! 🐂

🔑 Key Takeaways from the Chart

• 2015 was a snoozer for inflation~near-zero growth! But 2022 made up for it with CPI spikes as high as 7.9%.

• The 2024 forecast so far looks tamer than 2023. Will this be the trend of more manageable inflation levels?

Green shoots are emerging! 🌱 So, what’s your strategy?

🌍 Top Competitors:

$AAPL 🍎:

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives today raised his price target on Apple $AAPL to $300 from $285 while maintaining his Outperform rating

Morgan Stanley today maintained its $273 price target and Overweight rating on Apple $AAPL

Bank of America maintained its $256 price target and Buy rating on Apple $AAPL

Rosenblatt maintained its $261 price target and Buy rating on Apple $AAPL

Needham maintained its $260 price target and Buy rating on Apple $AAPL

Bernstein maintained its $240 price target and Buy rating on Apple $AAPL

Piper Sandler maintained its $225 price target and Neutral rating on Apple $AAPL

🟢 Buy: 25

🟡 Hold: 10

🔴 Sell: 3

$MSFT 💻:

🟢 Buy: 30

🟡 Hold: 8

🔴 Sell: 2

$AMZN 📦:

🟢 Buy: 28

🟡 Hold: 12

🔴 Sell: 5

⚖️ Fun Fact:

Did you know the last time inflation was this tame in the mid-2010s, Netflix was still mailing DVDs? 📀 Times have changed! 🌐

💥 Interactive Question:

Hey Tiger Traders, how are you positioning your portfolio ahead of tomorrow’s CPI release? Are you looking to capitalise on any opportunities in the bond market, growth stocks, or commodities?

TigerGPT: How might the next CPI report impact the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates and the broader stock market rally@TigerGPT 

Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

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