To The Moon

In the past 4 weeks, the Magnificent Seven stocks have shown a strong rebound, although performance diverges across the group. (see above)

Past Weeks Performance.

(1) Group rebound:

As of 10 Jun 2025, the Mag Seven surged +33% collectively since the April 2025 market low, outperforming the broader market, that has risen +22%. (see above)

(2) Past 4-Weeks Top Performers:

• $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ : up by +6.64%, due to AI investments & ad revenue growth.

• $Alphabet(GOOG)$ gained +5.05% with Google-cloud services’ continual growth.

• $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is up +4.85% on the back of strong AI chip demand and Middle East market will open up to “compensate” for the loss of access to Chinese market.

(3) Past 4-Weeks Bottom Two.

• $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is down by -7.05%, still nursing the backlash from Trump-Musk fallout and falling sales across China & EU. A lot hinges on Tesla’s successful robotaxi rollout on 22 Jun 2025. “What if” …

• $Apple(AAPL)$ is still down by -7.01% due to its weak AI-positioning, leaving fans bewildered and wondering when will Siri be equipped with AI to enhance its capabilities.

Below are the key factors that will affect Magnificent 7 for June 16–20.

Key Factors:

US Economic Reports.

(1) US Retail Sales.

• Report will be out on Tue, 17 Jun 2025.

• Market has forecasted a -0.6% for May 2025, further decline from April’s 0.1%.

• May 2025’s weak numbers will be a clear signal that consumers’ spending slowdown.

• That will impact Amazon (AMZN) and discretionary tech directly.

(2) FOMC Meeting.

• Fed’s FOMC committee will meet on Tue, 17 Jun 2025 and wrap up on Wed, 18 Jun 2025.

• Wall Street has already factor-in that the Fed will hold interest rate steady for June 2025.

• Logically speaking, there should not be any surprise come Wednesday.

• A hawkish tilt during afternoon’s post meeting conference may pressure growth stocks like TSLA & NVDA.

(3) US Weekly Jobless claims.

• Report will be out on Wed, 18 Jun 2025 instead of the following day.

• This is because Thursday is US public holiday - Juneteenth.

2. Geopolitical Risks

Israel-Iran Conflict:

• Initial market panic drove oil prices up +6% and safe-haven demand for US dollar and Gold.

• Further escalation could spike energy costs, impacting tech valuations via inflation fears.

• Energy-exposed stocks (e.g., AMZN’s logistics costs,

  may face headwinds.

Ukraine-Russia War:

• Prolonged conflict sustains volatility in European markets, indirectly affecting US tech exports and cloud-service demand.

3. G7 Summit.

The 3-day summit will take place in Alberta, Canada from 16 Jun 2025 to 18 Jun 2025.

Key issues in focus include:

• Escalating Middle East Crisis: Summit will focus on aftermath of Israel’s attacks on Iran and the broader instability in the region.

• War in Ukraine: Ongoing support for Ukraine and potential increase in sanctions against Russia will be table for discussion, together with President Zelensky, who is attending the summit.

• Building critical mineral supply chains, addressing trade disruptions, and North American trade issues are priorities, especially given recent US tariffs.

While North American trade and tariffs are on the agenda, there is no sign from US or Canadian officials that the summit will produce an agreement to relax or remove Trump’s tariffs.

According to analysts, the best outcome is that the summit proceeds without major outbursts or escalation on trade issues.

June 16–20 Outlook.

Below are some possibilities how US market could behave this week.

US Market - Rally.

• Neutral Fed stance with no interest rate cut.

• Cooling Middle East tensions.

• US Retail sales report with positive results could fuel gains in AI stocks like NVDA, META & MSFT.

US Bear Market.

• Escalating Middle East conflict.

• Hawkish Fed signals may trigger profit-taking in sensitive stock like NVDA and TSLA.

Mag Seven’s trajectory hinges on balancing AI-driven growth against macro risks.

AI leading stocks like NVDA and META are better positioned, while AAPL and TSLA face higher volatility.

Remember to check out my other posts (See below). Help to Repost ok, Thanks.

Must Read: Click on below titles to access. Repost to share, Like as encouragement ok. Thanks.

• Nvidia: $150 Breakout This Week ! Possible ? Mon, 16 June. Picked post.

• US Stocks in June 2025, Brace for IMPACT ! Mon, 16 June. Picked post.

• CPI Out. Will Fed cut interest on 18 Jun ? Fri, 13 June. Picked post.

• Do you think it will be another chaotic week for US market this week ?

• Do you think the Mag 7 will continue to shine for another week ’?

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