Tariffs, Tantrums and The Trump Trade Trap - Do We Still Buy The Dip?

🌟🌟🌟Trump's latest tariff barrage has the markets rattled again.  But this time it is not just geopolitics stirring the pot.  It is Triple Witching Day - An quarterly event where stock options, index options and futures all expire on the same day.  Translation?  Volatility on steroids!

This time, it is not just China in the crosshairs.  Europe, Canada and many countries are facing steep important duties with some soaring as high as 46%.  Trump's goal is to reignite domestic manufacturing, shrink the trade deficit and flex economic muscle on the global trade.

But here is the Trillion Dollar question - Does the market still buy into the Trump tariff narrative?  Short answer - not like it used to. 

Markets initially rallied on the idea  "America First" economics.  But now with global supply chain strained, input costs rising and retaliatory tariffs hitting US exporters hard especially the farmers and the manufacturers, the shine is wearing off.  Even JPMorgan warns that the average effective tariff rate could settle around 15% to 18%, dragging in growth and inflation. 

But while headlines scream and stocks tumble, seasoned investors know that Volatility Creates Value. 

So what is worth buying when Tariffs tighten the screws? 

Defensive ETFs That Hold Up In Trade Wars 

$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ .  Gold does not care about politics.  It shines when uncertainty reigns. 

$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$  People still need power, tariffs or not.  XLU ETF offer stability and dividends. 

$Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$  Healthcare demand does not drop with trade tensions.  This ETF gives you exposure to Healthcare Giants like Eli Lilly and Johnson & Johnson. 

$Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP)$ When wallets tighten, people still buy toothpaste and cereal.  This ETF thrives on consistency and stability. 

Contrarian Play - China Tech 

$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$  While US tech reels, Chinese Tech is quietly rallying.  Alibaba, Tencent and other Chinese tech companies are gaining ground as global supply chains shift. 

Concluding Thoughts 

Tariffs may stir short term volatility but they do not rewrite long term fundamentals.  While I am bargain hunting the above ETFs, I am under no illusion that tariffs are a sustainable growth strategy.  I look for resilience, necessity and global diversification.  Tariffs may rattle the markets but they do not erase long term trends. 

So while I am watching the market volatility,  I am also shopping the shelves - carefully, strategically and meaningfully.  

@Tiger_comments  @TigerStars  @Tiger_SG  @CaptainTiger  @Daily_Discussion  @TigerClub  

# SeptemBEAR is here: Are Your Portfolio Ready for Volatility?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • Mortimer Arthur
    Β·06-21
    TOP
    Gold price suppression intervention is heavy. This is a good thing goldies. The Cabal is running out of iron dome ways to control the price. Accumulate. Buy gold cheap while they hold open the door.

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    • koolgal:Β 
      Best of luck πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
      06-21
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    • koolgal:Β 
      May you have a winning week ahead πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’°
      06-21
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Brilliant idea. 😍😍😍
      06-21
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  • Merle Ted
    Β·06-21
    TOP
    Bought a long dated XLV call. Already slightly in the money. I assume trump's pharma tariff is priced in. The XLV has been beaten down for months.
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Best of luck πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
      06-22
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    • koolgal:Β 
      May you have a winning week ahead πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’°
      06-22
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Have a wonderful weekend πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
      06-22
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  • neo26000
    Β·06-21
    TOP
    My idea of long term these days is to buy and sell within one and only one moonrise/moonset cycle [Cool] [Happy] [LOL]
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    • neo26000Replying tokoolgal:Β 
      [Happy] [Smile] [Cool]
      06-21
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    • koolgal:Β 
      If Lafufus look like this, I will snap it up 😘😘😘
      06-21
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    • koolgalReplying toneo26000:Β 
      You set a new trend and Lafufus may be a winner. πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘
      06-21
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  • LucasOng
    Β·06-21
    TOP
    Trade the volatility. Find opportunities when there is crisis
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Best of luck πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
      06-21
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Have a great week ahead πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’°
      06-21
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Happy weekend πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
      06-21
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