SeptemBEAR is here: Are Your Portfolio Ready for Volatility?
In September, the VIX may fly as we may see September Effect hit again.
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1. Is the market in danger with September effect approaching?
2. What's your strategy to cope with risks?
My plan: trim stretched names, keep a cash buffer, stagger buys on red days, and hedge tactically (index puts/DLCs) into data/Fed weeks. Focus on Q3 earnings set-ups into Oct. Defense first, then buy quality dips.
Replying to @koolgal:Haha same. I’m just holding on to my losing stocks. One fine day when my portfolio is big enough tat I don feel anything to realize the losses, then only I might cut haha. For now, I’m just ignoring it n moving on 😅//@koolgal:Top Glove is My Bagholder Badge of Honour. I am down 90%. That is not a typo. That is a latex laced lesson in humility. A bagholder is someone who clings to a stock long after its glory days are gone, watching it tumble while whispering sweet nothings like maybe it will bounce. It is the financial equivalent of holding the bouquet after the wedding has been called off. I was that person. I believed in Top Glove. I
September Effect Strikes: VIX Spike Ahead—Buy the Dip or Run?
Hedge funds are shorting the VIX at record levels, betting on continued calm, but as August fades, the notorious September effect looms, with historical average returns of -0.8% since 1950. The S&P 500 at 6,512.34 reflects optimism, but the VIX at 14.12 signals potential storms, fueled by Fed-Trump tensions and tariff escalations (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico). Oil holds at $74.50/barrel, Bitcoin at $123,456, but short VIX positions have hit extremes, per CFTC data, up 20% from July. Is the market in danger, or is this a buy point? Will you follow the trend or hedge risks? How did your portfolio fare in August? This deep dive unpacks the September effect, market dynamics, and strategies to decide: cash out, double down, or hedge. The September Effect: Historical Curse or 2025 Opportunity
The Bear’s Shadow: Why September Could Be the Market’s Toughest Month
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ September has long carried a reputation among investors as one of the most difficult months for the stock market. Historically, the so-called “September Effect” has been a seasonal headwind, with equity markets underperforming compared to other months. While seasonality alone doesn’t dictate market direction, the combination of elevated volatility, tightening liquidity, shifting central bank policy, and investor positioning often makes September a treacherous period for portfolios. With the VIX already threatening to spike, the question remains: are investors truly prepared for the bear-like risks that could emerge this September? The September Effect: More
Daily Scoop🍨 : Trump Hogs The Headlines For Supreme Court Ruling On Tariffs
$Biogen(BIIB)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Wall Street started off September on a sharply lower note on Tuesday as investors weighed the future of President Donald Trump's tariffs after a federal appeals court ruled most of his sweeping tariffs illegal. Market Snapshot The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 249.07 points, or 0.55%, to 45,295.81, the S&P 500 lost 44.72 points, or 0.69%, to 6,415.54 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 175.92 points, or 0.82%, to 21,279.63. Market Movers Shares of Alphabet surged as much as 7% in extended trading following the release of the judge’s ruling. Apple shares climbed as much as 2.78%. Alphabet Inc.’s Google will be required to share o
Seizing the September Surge: Why the Market is Poised for a Bullish Run Introduction The markets are bracing for the much-discussed “September Effect,” a historical period often marked by increased volatility and potential declines. With whispers of a rising VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) and seasonal uncertainties, some investors may feel cautious. However, this perceived turbulence is not a signal of doom but a golden opportunity for those ready to embrace it. The market’s underlying strength, bolstered by anticipated Federal Reserve actions and resilient economic indicators, sets the stage for a bullish outlook across short, medium, and long-term horizons. Here’s why now is the time to be aggressively optimistic. The Bullish Case Amid September Volatility The “September Effect,” while root
$Alibaba(BABA)$ The key highlights of its Q1 earnings report are twofold: a robust recovery in its cloud business and a significant ramp-up in capital expenditures. In contrast, domestic e-commerce performance remained stable but offered no surprises. While the cash-burning food delivery wars did impact profits, the market has largely priced this in, making it less of a current focus.Cloud Services: The True Growth Engine Powered by AIAlibaba Cloud's revenue grew by 26% year-over-year, not only exceeding market expectations (22%-23%) but also maintaining the same growth rate as external cloud services. This demonstrates that even amid policy headwinds and overseas chip restrictions, the explosive demand for domestic AI computing power has been suf
Morgan Stanley predicts that the Fed is about to be "dovish". Is it time to go long on U.S. debt?
According to Morgan Stanley's forecast, the Fed could cut interest rates more than the market currently expects. Economists on the bank's interest rate strategy team came to the above view after updating their forecast scenario from now until the end of next year.Their current base forecast is that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this month and make similar cuts at every other meeting until December 2026.However, after assessing other possibilities for the U.S. economy, Morgan Stanley believes that the "balance point" of these possibilities should be more dovish.Regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's previous speech at the "Global Central Mothers Annual Meeting", the market generally interprets that the Federal Reserve will adopt a looser stance in th
Crucial HPE Earnings To See If Growing Demand For AI Infrastructure Still Persist
$Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings after the market closes on Wednesday, September 3, 2025. This report comes at a crucial time for the company, as it navigates a competitive market and aims to capitalize on the growing demand for AI infrastructure. Revenue: Approximately $8.85 billion to $8.88 billion, which would represent a significant year-over-year increase of around 14-15%. This anticipated growth is largely driven by a strong order backlog and demand for AI servers. Earnings Per Share (EPS): The consensus for adjusted EPS is in the range of $0.18 to $0.44. The wide range and the fact that most analysts expect a decline in EPS year-over-year suggest concern about profitability and margins. Hew
I have been closely monitoring the market as September approaches, and the post you shared certainly raises some valid concerns. The idea that hedge funds and large speculators are betting on continued calm by shorting the VIX is intriguing, yet the mention of the potential September Effect has me on edge. Given my own experience with volatility, I can see why this might signal trouble ahead. My portfolio in August was quite a rollercoaster. The majority of my stocks experienced significant pullbacks, which led to an overall loss by the end of the month. It was a challenging period, and I found myself reevaluating my strategy as the market shifted unexpectedly. The reference to the Fed-Trump drama in the post resonates with me, as I have noticed how such uncertainties can impact market sen
My most ashamed stock of all: $JPX Global, Inc.(JPEX)$ The pain of holding it FOuR years and on till it's GONE FOuRVER MORE.. I couldn't carry on & DECEIVE myself ANYMORE Presenting to you ALL So you shall NEVER follow the same mistake AS I DID AS one of the BIGGEST BAGHOLDER of ALL [Smug]
What Assets Are Favored In 2025? Dollar Index -9.8% While China Equity +22%
Asset Performance: Gold Leads the Way, China Rides the Tailwind, Dollar Under PressureOver the past year, asset classes have shown significant divergence in performance. Gold $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ led the pack with a 30.5% annual return, reflecting robust safe-haven demand; European equities $iShares Europe ETF(IEV)$ (24.5%) and Chinese equities (21.9%) $iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$ followed closely, while Bitcoin (19.5%) exhibited greater volatility.In contrast, the U.S. Dollar Index $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ fell 9.8%, while crude oil prices declined 10.3%, highlighting pressures in commodity and curren
Been Trading for only 6 Months and Already up 216% Just by Catching the Knives?
Thanks for the feature! Been trading for only 6 months and already up 216% just by catching the knives—eh, I mean, scooping up those super-sold-off counters.Hello Tigers, thank you for watch my investing journey (Firtst Interviewed on August 12th and added on comments on August 20th and 27th.).Q: Quick intro, can?A: Yo, I’m Jerrying—wholesale kaki by day, night-owl trader by, well, night. My shift is 11 p.m. to 4 a.m. to watch the charts—steady, but not everyone’s cup of kopi. Got 15k followers on TikTok for my money talk, and every morning I open Tiger to read the notifications/reports and check the pre-market push before I dump them into my watchlist. Portfolio up 216% this year, steady pom pi pi.These are the counters that paid for my bak chor mee upgrades:
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 🚨 August just ended in flawless rhythm; September is not a month to survive, it’s a month to attack with discipline because history says it’s the most dangerous stretch in 70 years. 🚨 🔥📉📊 $SPY Pattern Perfection 📊📉🔥 For the week ending 29Aug25, $SPY moved exactly as scripted: ❤️ Monday red 💚 Tuesday green ❤️ Wednesday red 💚 Thursday green ❤️ Friday red That’s pure pattern perfection. Goodbye August. September now looms; and history says it’s been the worst month in 70 years. 🚀 The two top stocks I’m laser-focused on next week are $AMZN and
📊 SPY End-of-Month Setup: History, Seasonality, and Intraday Flow
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📆 August Seasonality vs September Risk I’m watching August finish stronger than usual. $SPY is closing the month up ~3%. The last time we saw this was August 2020, which ended +7% but gave back 65% of those gains in September with a –4.5% decline. Seasonality warns that September rarely inches green, so I’m weighing whether we’ll see a controlled pullback or a surprise August–September back-to-back surge given the April 30% drawdown already reset positioning. 📍 Key Dark Pool & Technical Levels I’m tracking intraday rejections at $644.85 and immediate support at $643.34, with $642.78 beneat
CrowdStrike for you? Preview of the week starting 25Aug25 <Full Article>
Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 25Aug25) Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, the United States, or Hong Kong. Observations The Core PCE price index is expected to be 0.3%. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve for inflation. This week's release of new home sales data, with a forecast of 630,000 units, will offer a useful benchmark for the residential real estate industry. In other news, durable goods orders are projected to be down by 4.0%, marking a notable recovery from the previous decline of 9.4%. Meanwhile, consumer confidence is expected to remain below 100, with a forecast of 98.0. Looking ahead, the second-quarter GDP is anticipated to hold at 3.0%. The most recent Chicago PMI reading of 47.1 points toward continued
jerrying: Six months in, 216 % YTD from intraday dip-buying — Next Roaring Tiger?
There are a dozen headlines for today’s story:“Fresh account, 216 % in six months, no margin, no options — how on earth is @jerrying pulling this off?”“The man who catches falling knives: Jerrying’s 216 % YTD without leverage.”“Sniping $1 intraday swings, aiming for $4 k a day — can he turn $30 k into $1 m?”“Pro dip-buyer alert: watch Jerrying flip small account into 216 % gains.”“No valuations, no long holds — how a stock-picker-timer-seller doubles money for fun.”Whatever the headline, the numbers don’t lie. Jerrying’s 2025 equity curve sits at +216 %, peak print +248 %.Hey Tiger cubs, today TigerClub brings you a trader who’s equal parts loud, proud and profitable: @jerrying .He
Crucial HPE Earnings To See If Growing Demand For AI Infrastructure Still Persist
$Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings after the market closes on Wednesday, September 3, 2025. This report comes at a crucial time for the company, as it navigates a competitive market and aims to capitalize on the growing demand for AI infrastructure. Revenue: Approximately $8.85 billion to $8.88 billion, which would represent a significant year-over-year increase of around 14-15%. This anticipated growth is largely driven by a strong order backlog and demand for AI servers. Earnings Per Share (EPS): The consensus for adjusted EPS is in the range of $0.18 to $0.44. The wide range and the fact that most analysts expect a decline in EPS year-over-year suggest concern about profitability and margins. Hew
September Effect Strikes: VIX Spike Ahead—Buy the Dip or Run?
Hedge funds are shorting the VIX at record levels, betting on continued calm, but as August fades, the notorious September effect looms, with historical average returns of -0.8% since 1950. The S&P 500 at 6,512.34 reflects optimism, but the VIX at 14.12 signals potential storms, fueled by Fed-Trump tensions and tariff escalations (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico). Oil holds at $74.50/barrel, Bitcoin at $123,456, but short VIX positions have hit extremes, per CFTC data, up 20% from July. Is the market in danger, or is this a buy point? Will you follow the trend or hedge risks? How did your portfolio fare in August? This deep dive unpacks the September effect, market dynamics, and strategies to decide: cash out, double down, or hedge. The September Effect: Historical Curse or 2025 Opportunity
🎁What the Tigers Say | Trump Stirs Fed Trouble? Long Gold & Short Risk Assets?
Trump announced on his social media platform that he was dismissing current Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, declaring it “effective immediately.”The move sent shockwaves through Wall Street. U.S. stock index futures fell sharply, while safe-haven assets such as gold and the Japanese yen surged. The market’s immediate reaction was not just fear of a single event, but a deeper reflection of investor concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve — the very core of the U.S. financial system.So where does the market go from here — long gold and short risk assets?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1.
Why I Bet On Google and Why September Could Be Its Coronation
🌟🌟🌟From underdog to unstoppable, Google $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ is the quiet giant that roared. When I first invested in Google, it wasn't the flashiest pick in the Magnificent 7. It did not have the meme magic of Tesla nor the cult like fervour of Nvidia. But Google had something deeper - resilience, scale and a quiet mastery of monetisation. Today I am up 83% and this week Google hit an all time high of USD 214.64. That is not just a number. It is a vindication of my conviction. Google was not the loudest voice in AI, but it is proving to be the most integrated. From Sear
Seizing the September Surge: Why the Market is Poised for a Bullish Run Introduction The markets are bracing for the much-discussed “September Effect,” a historical period often marked by increased volatility and potential declines. With whispers of a rising VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) and seasonal uncertainties, some investors may feel cautious. However, this perceived turbulence is not a signal of doom but a golden opportunity for those ready to embrace it. The market’s underlying strength, bolstered by anticipated Federal Reserve actions and resilient economic indicators, sets the stage for a bullish outlook across short, medium, and long-term horizons. Here’s why now is the time to be aggressively optimistic. The Bullish Case Amid September Volatility The “September Effect,” while root
Morgan Stanley predicts that the Fed is about to be "dovish". Is it time to go long on U.S. debt?
According to Morgan Stanley's forecast, the Fed could cut interest rates more than the market currently expects. Economists on the bank's interest rate strategy team came to the above view after updating their forecast scenario from now until the end of next year.Their current base forecast is that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this month and make similar cuts at every other meeting until December 2026.However, after assessing other possibilities for the U.S. economy, Morgan Stanley believes that the "balance point" of these possibilities should be more dovish.Regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's previous speech at the "Global Central Mothers Annual Meeting", the market generally interprets that the Federal Reserve will adopt a looser stance in th
September Effect Strikes: VIX Spike Ahead—Buy the Dip or Run?
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Hedge funds are shorting the VIX at record levels, betting on continued calm, but as August fades, the notorious September effect looms, with historical average returns of -0.8% since 1950. The S&P 500 at 6,512.34 and Nasdaq at 21,918.45 reflect optimism, but the VIX at 14.12 signals potential storms, fueled by Fed-Trump tensions and tariff escalations (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico). Oil holds at $74.50/barrel, Bitcoin at $123,456, but short VIX positions have hit extremes, per CFTC data, up 20% from July. Is the market in danger, or is this a buy point? Will you follow the trend or hedge risks? How did your portfolio fare in August? This deep dive unpacks the September effect, market dynamics, and strategies to decid
Daily Scoop🍨 : Trump Hogs The Headlines For Supreme Court Ruling On Tariffs
$Biogen(BIIB)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Wall Street started off September on a sharply lower note on Tuesday as investors weighed the future of President Donald Trump's tariffs after a federal appeals court ruled most of his sweeping tariffs illegal. Market Snapshot The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 249.07 points, or 0.55%, to 45,295.81, the S&P 500 lost 44.72 points, or 0.69%, to 6,415.54 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 175.92 points, or 0.82%, to 21,279.63. Market Movers Shares of Alphabet surged as much as 7% in extended trading following the release of the judge’s ruling. Apple shares climbed as much as 2.78%. Alphabet Inc.’s Google will be required to share o
AI Powerhouse: CrowdStrike Q2 Revenue Jumps 21%, But Swings to Loss! 🚀📉
$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ Fiscal Q2 2026 (ended July 31, 2025) showed mixed results, with core financial metrics broadly exceeding expectations. However, the shift from profit to loss coupled with weak Q3 revenue guidance sparked market concerns. Despite lingering effects from the July outage incident, the company achieved 21% year-over-year revenue growth, surpassing market expectations.This quarter delivered strong overall performance, with key highlights including accelerated AI-driven platform adoption and record-breaking free cash flow. Potential concerns stem primarily from GAAP losses driven by outage-related costs and potential uncertainty from near-term transaction delays, though these do not undermine the company's long-term gro
The Bear’s Shadow: Why September Could Be the Market’s Toughest Month
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ September has long carried a reputation among investors as one of the most difficult months for the stock market. Historically, the so-called “September Effect” has been a seasonal headwind, with equity markets underperforming compared to other months. While seasonality alone doesn’t dictate market direction, the combination of elevated volatility, tightening liquidity, shifting central bank policy, and investor positioning often makes September a treacherous period for portfolios. With the VIX already threatening to spike, the question remains: are investors truly prepared for the bear-like risks that could emerge this September? The September Effect: More
Market Overbought + Trump Stirs Trouble: Brace for a Dip?
Recently, market volatility has been disappearing. The latest data shows that hedge funds and large speculators are betting on calm continuing with unprecedented force—shorting $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ like crazy. The size of VIX shorts has hit its highest level in three years.But just as “Powell” sent out dovish signals, Trump started “stirring things up.” He openly announced the “unilateral” dismissal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook and confidently stated that he would soon hold a majority on the Fed’s board, allowing him to push for steep rate cuts.Trump Risk Coming Again? Pullback Will Arrive on Sep.?Since April, the market has been rallying almost nonstop, with barely any pullbacks in four months. Historically, U.S. equities see 2–3 corrections
What Assets Are Favored In 2025? Dollar Index -9.8% While China Equity +22%
Asset Performance: Gold Leads the Way, China Rides the Tailwind, Dollar Under PressureOver the past year, asset classes have shown significant divergence in performance. Gold $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ led the pack with a 30.5% annual return, reflecting robust safe-haven demand; European equities $iShares Europe ETF(IEV)$ (24.5%) and Chinese equities (21.9%) $iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$ followed closely, while Bitcoin (19.5%) exhibited greater volatility.In contrast, the U.S. Dollar Index $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ fell 9.8%, while crude oil prices declined 10.3%, highlighting pressures in commodity and curren
Treasury’s Single-Stock Ban Bombshell: Cash Out Now or Ride to New Highs?
The Treasury Secretary's push for a congressional ban on single-stock trading has sent ripples through Wall Street, with futures dipping and safe-haven assets like gold surging. This bold proposal, aimed at curbing insider trading and closing wealth gaps, spotlights high-profile cases and could reshape how investors play the game. With the S&P 500 at 6,466.58, Nasdaq at 21,713.14, and Bitcoin at $115,000, the market's bullish tone contrasts with tariff pressures (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and oil at $75/barrel. The VIX at 14.49 suggests calm, but the ban's potential to divert capital to ETFs could trigger a rotation rally or a sell-off storm. Is this the time to long gold and short risk assets? This deep dive explores the implications, market reactions, and strategies to navigat
LCU Flat WTD, Up 18.63% YTD; Rate Cut Hopes Clash with Concerns Regarding Fed Independence【CSOP APAC Mid-Week at a Glance】
East Asia LCU WTD return: 0.00% – While LCU was flat in USD WTD, it gained +18.63% in USD YTD. – Asian equities opened higher at the start of the week after Fed Chair Powell opened the door for rate cuts wider, but was subsequently affected by Trump’s dismissal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook, which heightened fears over the independence of the central bank. Furthermore, Trump threatened potential export restrictions on chips. – $CSOP LOW CARBON US$(LCU.SI)$ ’s WTD gains were led by IT, communication services and materials by sector and TSMC, Tencent and Alibaba by individual firm. SQU WTD return: +0.98% – $CSOP SEA TECH ETF US$(SQU.SI)$ ’s gains were led by EMTK, Sea Ltd and D&O Green Technologies. – S