$Brent Last Day Financial - main 2508(BZmain)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 🚨📊🔥The Trader’s Edge: Mastering a Volcanic Week in the Markets🔥📊🚨
I’m gearing up for what could be the most explosive trading week of the month. With the Fed back in the headlines, GPS spoofing lighting up the Strait of Hormuz, and three of the year’s most talked-about earnings on deck, $FDX, $MU, and $NKE, it’s all on the table. I’m moving into this week fully loaded, with precise technical levels, macro scenarios mapped, and capital ready to rotate.
📆Macro Showdown: Powell, PCE & Stress Tests in Focus
We’re entering a macro gauntlet. The Fed is out of its blackout period and won’t be quiet:
Monday 23 June: Powell testifies to the House Financial Services Committee
Wednesday 25 June: Powell testifies to the Senate Banking Committee
Friday 27 June: Core PCE inflation at 8:30 a.m. ET (est. 2.6%) and Fed stress test results at 4:30 p.m. ET
If Core PCE prints above 2.6%, I expect the 10-year yield to push beyond 4.3%, dragging tech lower and flipping risk appetite. A print below 2.4%? Get ready for a safety trade unwind and growth-stock squeeze.
Goldman flagged a widening divergence. The 2-year yield is climbing while the 10- and 30-year stays pinned. That’s a classic setup for sector rotation, out of tech and into defensives. I’m pre-positioned, ready to act.
🛢️Oil Shock 2.0? Strait of Hormuz Enters the Digital War
GPS spoofing near Bandar Abbas is now confirmed, impacting over 900 vessels daily, right after U.S. strikes on Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. While no bombs are falling, data signals are. And that disruption is triggering action.
Brent crude surged 8.6% to $84.50, WTI moved to $81. VLCC freight soared 40% in two days. If we see a shipping incident, oil breaks $90 quickly.
Middle Eastern equities? Climbing:
Egypt +2.39%
Israel +0.82%
UAE +1.5%
Kuwait +0.7%
That tells me institutional investors see escalation risk as already priced in. It’s a tactical green light for risk-on flows, while still watching the oil trade for stops and volatility.
📉Crypto & Risk Pulse
The gaslight continues in crypto:
Bitcoin fell ~4% to ~$99,237
Ethereum dropped ~8.5% to ~$2,199–2,270
Tech benchmark was down ~1.4% over the weekend
Gold rose ~1.3%
Oil was +8.6%
That shows a risk-off shift. Crypto and tech got hit, while traditional hedges held their ground. I’m watching continuation into Monday.
📈Watchlist Earnings: $FDX, $MU & $NKE
$FDX (FedEx) – Tuesday After Close
Price: $226.04
Key Level: Break above $230 opens room toward $238 then $246
RSI ~58, MACD positive, short interest ~2.7%, options open interest around $230 and $240
I’m watching carefully for signs of international volume uptick or margin pressure. Positive surprise equals 7 to 10 percent move. Cautious tone equals fade.
$MU (Micron Technology) – Wednesday After Close
Price: $123.60
Support: $120, breakout if it clears $130 to $132
RSI ~67, golden cross in place, MACD still bullish
Analyst target from Goldman: $160
Q2 NAND growth +23% YoY
Short interest ~4.9%
AI memory demand is the upside fuel, especially with enterprise spending accelerating. Big beat means strong sector move. Cautious guidance means fade.
$NKE (Nike) – Thursday After Close
Price: $59.79
Support around $58, resistance $65
RSI ~44, put/call skew bearish 1.6:1, short interest 1.8%
DTC sales +11% last quarter
Earnings need margin clarity and inventory control. A blowout tests $65. A miss fades toward $55.
⚡Extra Trade Plays
• $XLE is trading at $88.98, just below its recent trendline. I’m still watching the $93 call activity, but now treating a confirmed breakout above $90.50 as the key trigger zone. If oil holds above $84 and geopolitical risk escalates, I’ll rotate into XLE with a short-term upside target of $92.80 to $95. A pullback to $87.50 would offer a tactical re-entry with Brent still elevated
$VIX is already elevated, trading at 20.62 heading into a stacked macro week. That’s well beyond my original 14.85 trigger, confirming that volatility is back on the table. I’m now watching for a move toward 24–25 if Core PCE runs hot or Powell leans hawkish. If data cools, a volatility unwind toward 18 could offer an opportunity to sell premium and rotate back into growth.
• $BTC is hovering around $99,600, slightly off weekend lows but still inside a macro risk corridor. RSI is borderline oversold, and I’m watching for a breakout back toward $104,000 as a trigger confirmation. If inflation cools or Powell tilts dovish, Bitcoin could make a run toward $120,000 on renewed liquidity rotation. On the downside, a break below $97,800 risks a flush to $94K support.🎯Scenario Playbook
PCE > 2.6%
Short $QQQ
Long $XLE and $XLU
Hedge with $VIX calls targeting 17.40
PCE < 2.6%
Long $MU and $XLK
Rotate into $FDX on beat
Watch $BTC for bounce toward $104k
Powell hawkish = fade in tech, add energy and utilities
Powell balanced or dovish = risk-on swing into semis and small-caps
📌Friday ~ Russell Rebalance
Friday’s Russell index rebalance is a liquidity hotspot. I’ll be scanning for mispriced small-cap energy and AI-infrastructure names in low float.
📱Tesla Robotaxi Catalyst
Tesla launched its Robotaxi pilot in Austin on June 22, with 10 to 20 geofenced Model Y vehicles monitored by safety riders. Dan Ives at Wedbush values this as a potential $1T+ inflection point. Long thesis: if adoption accelerates or AI bet is validated, I’m watching call flow in $TSLA and semis tied to inference compute chips.
🧠Hidden Edge: Data Denial = New Black Swan
GPS spoofing isn’t just tactical, it’s strategic. I’m looking at satellite-based players like $IRDM and $GNSS. Institutional accumulation is up 15% since May, and with any further “visibility shock,” they’re the first ones traders rotate into.
💥Final Word: I’m Not Reacting. I’m Already There.
This isn’t a week to sit on hands, it’s a week to execute. I’ve mapped the Fed’s playbook, crystallised technical setups for earnings, positioned for oil-event meetings, and keyed into a Tesla catalyst that many will miss.
The edge is in anticipation, data, structure, and timing. If you’re chasing headlines, you’ve already lost.
📢 Like, Repost, and Follow me for setups that move markets 🚀 I’m obsessed with actionable insights that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀
Trade like a boss! Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
@Tiger_comments @TigerPicks @TigerWire @TigerStars @TigerClub @TigerObserver @TigerEvents
Modify on 2025-06-23 01:38
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