To The Moon

$Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$ 🚀🌑📈 INTUITIVE MACHINES: READY FOR LUNAR LIFT-OFF 📈🌑🚀

Something rare is happening in the cosmos of small caps, and I’m zeroing in on it. Intuitive Machines ($LUNR) just defied a bearish downgrade, posted a volume explosion, and is now retesting a breakout level with precision. When sentiment says no but price says go, I pay attention.

📊 Technical Setup: Launchpad Engaged

$LUNR has cracked key highs and is flagging just under the $12.50–$13 trigger zone, forming a textbook cup and handle. That’s not just bullish; it’s propulsion-grade bullish.

The 4H chart shows it flirting with resistance at $12.16 and eyeing a surge toward $13.11, $14.40, and potentially $15.70. Wave analysis aligns: we’ve likely completed wave 4 and just launched into wave 5 with a Fibonacci target at $15.89.

On the weekly, we’ve reclaimed the 5 and 10 moving averages and are curling up toward the 30MA at $12.82. RSI is lifting, MACD is turning, and volume surged at the open, always a precursor to velocity.

🎯 The Trigger Is Set

Hold $11.50 and this can ignite fast. The trigger sits between $12.50–$13. If that zone gets taken, I’ll be watching for acceleration into the $15 zone. Break that and we’ve got blue sky back to $20.05 and $22.40.

🧠 Fundamentals: Flawed but Forgivable?

This is where the story gets wild. Despite BofA slashing its target from $16 to $10.50 and stamping it with an “underperform,” $LUNR rallied.

Why?

Because the market isn’t buying the fear. $LUNR posted positive free cash flow in Q1 ($13.3M), and while management admitted it could be lumpy in Q2, the bigger picture is far more lunar than lumpy.

Yes, the balance sheet still shows red:

• EPS (TTM): -2.50

• P/B: -10.23

• ROE: -160.69%

But forward PE is improving at 59.51, and 2025 forecasts include:

• Revenue: $269.6M

• EPS: $0.20

• EBIT: -$26.42M

That’s not profit now, but it’s progress.

🏗️ Funded for the Future

LUNR just secured a Phase One grant alongside San Jacinto College and Rhodium Scientific to develop an Earth Reentry Program for space pharma payloads. That’s not science fiction; it’s government-backed orbital manufacturing. Add in their HQ expansion at Houston Spaceport, including a 16,500 sqft spacecraft facility and a new warehouse, and it’s clear they’re scaling fast.

🛰️ Contracts Galore: NASA + Beyond

• Multiple NASA lunar lander missions

• Near Space Network contract

• Reentry tech for semiconductors and biotech

• City-funded infrastructure growth in Houston

These aren’t dreams. They’re awarded, funded, and in-motion programmes. The firm’s workforce has already grown 130% since 2019, and they’re aligning with national security, civil space, and commercial demand.

🧬 Macro Tailwinds: Sector at Escape Velocity

The space economy is being re-rated. Between SpaceX’s influence, government R&D investment, and renewed geopolitical race-to-space dynamics, small-cap space plays are becoming strategic assets.

Volatility will remain; space is high capex, high burn, high risk. But in that chaos lives asymmetric upside.

💸 Capital Flows & Analyst Sentiment

• 5-day inflows into $LUNR show strong hands buying dips

• Analysts are split: 5 Buy, 2 Hold, 1 Underperform

• Price targets range from $10.50 to $21.50, with a mean of $14.875

So when BofA slashes targets and the stock rises, that’s smart money rotating in.

⚠️ Risks: Still a Penny in the Stars

• Lumpy cash flows remain a reality

• Dilution is always on the table in capex-heavy sectors

• Any mission delays or launch failures could crater sentiment

But I’m not looking for a stable dividend payer. I’m hunting for acceleration potential, and this chart screams ignition.

🔭 Strategy: My Game Plan

I’m watching $11.50 as the must-hold pivot. That’s my base. A clean move through $12.50–$13 unlocks $15 quickly, with potential for $17.50, then $20+ if sentiment runs hot.

If we roll over under $11.13, I’ll stay on the launch pad, but I won’t ignore the countdown.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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