To The Moon

This week marks the busiest earnings week of the season.

Crypto stocks Coinbase and MicroStrategy will release earnings on Thursday.

Chip stocks ARM and Qualcomm are scheduled to report after the bell on Wednesday.

In financial payments, SoFi, PayPal, Visa, and Mastercard will report on Tuesday and Thursday.

Oil giants Chevron and Exxon will release their results on Friday.

Which sector are you watching most closely?

Can this week’s earnings finally lift the gloom that’s shadowed the season so far?

🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.

Click titles to read the full analysis:

1. @yourcelesttyy:

Key Points:

Short-Term Plays

• Buy META on Earnings Beat: Enter at $580-$590, target $650, stop at $560. A 10-12% gain if ad revenue and AI shine.

• Buy ARM on Dip: Grab at $150-$155, target $180-$200, stop at $145. A 15-30% gain if earnings beat.

• Buy QCOM on Dip: Enter at $155-$160, target $180-$190, stop at $150. A 12-19% gain if 5G/AI excels.

• Buy SOFI on Momentum: Grab at $20-$20.50, target $23-$24, stop at $19. A 15-20% gain on crypto/fintech strength.

• Options Straddle: Buy $590 calls/puts on META, $155 calls/puts on ARM, or $160 calls/puts on QCOM for earnings volatility, targeting 200-300% gains on a 10%+ move.

Long-Term Investments

• Hold META: Buy at $580-$590, target $700-$750 by 2026, for 19-27% upside with ad and AI growth.

• Hold ARM: Buy at $150-$155, target $200-$250 by 2026, for 30-60% upside with AI chip demand.

• Hold QCOM: Buy at $155-$160, target $200-$220 by 2026, for 25-38% upside with 5G expansion.

• Hold MA: Buy at $560-$570, target $620-$650, for 10-14% upside with payment stability.

• Diversify with Tech ETF (XLK): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, for broad tech exposure.

Hedge Strategies

• VIXY ETF: Buy at $15, target $18, stop at $13, to hedge against tariff or earnings volatility.

• SPY ETF Puts: Use puts at $614 to protect against a 5-10% S&P 500 pullback.

• Gold ETF (GLD): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, as a safe-haven hedge.

My Trading Plan

I’m cautiously bullish, with a focus on META for its ad revenue and AI-driven upside, buying at $580-$590, targeting $650, with a $560 stop, and using a $590 call/put straddle for earnings volatility. For diversification, I’ll add ARM at $150-$155, targeting $180-$200, with a $145 stop, and MA at $560-$570, targeting $620, with a $550 stop. I’m hedging with VIXY at $15, targeting $18, and keeping 20% cash to seize dips if tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada), geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict), or earnings misses escalate. I’ll monitor earnings calls, Fed updates, and tariff developments for cues.

2. @nerdbull1669:

Key Points:

Opportunities for Trading Short-Term Post-Earnings:

Expected Volatility: The options market is pricing in a significant price move, typically around 3.5% to 4.1% for Apple post-earnings. This indicates high anticipated volatility and offers opportunities for short-term traders.

"Beat and Raise" vs. "Beat and Muted Guidance":

Bullish Scenario: A strong beat on both EPS and revenue, particularly if driven by better-than-expected iPhone sales (especially from Apple Intelligence early adoption) or accelerated Services growth, coupled with optimistic guidance for Q4 (suggesting a strong upgrade cycle), could lead to a solid rally.

Bearish Scenario: Even with a beat on current quarter numbers, if iPhone sales decline more than expected, Services growth disappoints, or guidance for Q4 is conservative (especially regarding AI's financial impact or persistent tariff concerns), the stock could see a significant pullback. Apple's stock has often seen slight declines even after beating estimates in recent quarters, indicating that guidance and qualitative commentary are heavily weighed.

Implied Volatility Crush: Options premiums will be elevated pre-earnings. After the report, this implied volatility typically drops ("IV crush"). This presents opportunities for strategies like selling options (e.g., straddles, strangles) if you anticipate a smaller move than the market is pricing in or want to generate premium.

Technical Levels: Traders will watch key support levels (e.g., $193-$195 region, or $165-$169 for stronger support) for potential bounces on a dip, and resistance levels (e.g., $215-$216, then $222) for potential breakouts on positive news.

Technical Analysis - Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

Apple has earnings on Thursday, on Tuesday, it was down 1.3% getting rejected again from resistance 221 down to 213. But we should not be concerned with this short-term price action, as it does not matter, though it might be impacted from moves on $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ when Wednesday, they have earnings.

The expected move on on Apple is 3.65% to the upside which is probably going to put AAPL at the top end of the resistance range and this might give the bulls a chance to make a daily uptrend expansion, but in the event that the earnings turned out no good, AAPL gets shot down,then we will be going back down into support.

Most of the earnings will be around the iPhone sales of course and their revenue growth rate. I am also looking for the talk on tariffs most likely in its outlook guidance. Not forgetting the iPhone refresh cycle and also AAPL might also do some deal of buybacks.

So hope the bulls can make use of the positive momentum and continue to push for a daily uptrend continuation.

Considerations for Short-Term Trading:

Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards big tech and growth stocks, particularly concerning AI, will play a role.

China Market: The performance in Greater China is a consistent concern, and any signs of stabilization or further weakness will be closely watched.

Risk Management: Earnings trades are high-risk due to unpredictable price swings. Implement strict risk management, including proper position sizing and stop-loss orders.

3. @WeChats :

Key Points:

💸 $250: Buying Opportunity or Value Trap?

$250 is a level not seen since early 2023 — and for some, that’s a flashing “buy the dip” signal.

📉 Current P/E: ~17x forward — vs 5-year average of 20x+

📈 Dividend yield has climbed to ~1.7% — not flashy, but solid given payout history

📊 Institutional investors still hold >80% of shares — and no major exits reported (yet)

However, some analysts (e.g., Morgan Stanley, RBC) have reduced price targets, citing near-term cost uncertainties.

Valuation watchers might argue:

💵 UNH is now trading near historical support levels

🤔 But risks remain if cost inflation proves sticky into 2H 2024

Bottom line: $250 could be a value zone — but only for investors comfortable riding short-term volatility.

4. @Mickey082024:

Key Points:

Valuation Analysis: Can AMD Justify $200?

Let’s run a conservative growth projection through 2028:

• Revenue CAGR (2025–2028): 17%

• Gross Margin Expansion: to 54%

• Operating Margin Target: 29%

• EPS Growth CAGR: 22%

• Fair P/E: 35x (adjusted for risk and volatility)

• 2026 EPS Estimate: $4.50

Using this, AMD could reasonably be valued at $157–165 based on intrinsic value and $180–190 in a bullish scenario. To justify a $200 share price by end of 2025, AMD would need to:

• Exceed $6 EPS in FY2026

• Deliver >$5B in MI300 revenue

• Continue expanding into enterprise AI and AI PCs

This is not impossible, but it assumes flawless execution and continued AI enthusiasm.

Verdict: Buy, Sell, or Hold at August 2025 Entry Price?

Entry Price as of Late July 2025: ~$174/share

• Buy: If you're a high-conviction, long-term investor with strong belief in AMD's AI roadmap and its ability to rival Nvidia, the current price still offers medium-term upside—especially if Q3 earnings show a significant AI revenue breakout.

• Sell: For shorter-term traders or those with large gains from the $100–$130 range, this could be a good time to trim your position. Much of the good news is priced in, and volatility is likely around earnings.

• Hold (Neutral): For existing shareholders, a Hold rating makes sense. The company’s long-term story is intact, but the stock is priced richly. The prudent move may be to hold through earnings and reassess after seeing forward guidance.

Verdict: HOLD with Bullish Bias

5. @ToNi:

Key Points:

Nvidia and AMD stocks higher.

Why $200 is Within Reach

Both companies benefit from tailwinds in AI adoption, with global AI spending expected to exceed $300 billion in 2025, per IDC estimates. AMD’s recent partnerships with cloud providers and Nvidia’s leadership in generative AI give them a competitive edge. Technical indicators also support this bullish case: AMD’s 50-day moving average is trending above its 200-day average, while Nvidia’s relative strength index (RSI) remains in the bullish zone at 65. With market liquidity high and institutional buying evident, the $200 milestone is not just possible—it’s probable.

Investment Takeaway

The data points to a clear winner-take-all scenario, but both Nvidia and AMD are poised to hit $200, with AMD’s current momentum giving it a slight edge and Nvidia’s fundamentals ensuring steady progress. Investors should consider adding to positions during any short-term dips, targeting entry points around $175 for AMD and $180 for Nvidia. With earnings season amplifying growth narratives, 2025’s second half could see these stocks lead a tech-driven market surge. Don’t miss out—this race is one to watch!

6. @EBITDA is King:

Key Points:

This is the kind of earnings week that sets the tone for the rest of the year—almost every major sector is on deck, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Big Tech will dominate headlines, with Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon all reporting in the space of 48 hours. If there’s a sector with the power to shift sentiment and break the market’s cautious mood, it’s definitely these giants. Investors are desperate for strong guidance on AI, cloud, and consumer resilience after a season where even earnings beats have led to muted stock moves or outright selloffs.

Crypto stocks are the wildcard. With Coinbase and MicroStrategy up this week, the focus will be on trading volumes, institutional adoption, and how recent Bitcoin and altcoin volatility is feeding through to the bottom line. A positive surprise here could reignite the risk-on mood for the whole sector, but a miss could drag sentiment lower across crypto-adjacent names.

Chip stocks like ARM and Qualcomm are must-watches too, given their role at the heart of AI and the recent volatility in semiconductors. After last week’s stumbles in TSMC and ASML, the market is hungry for a sign that chip demand remains red-hot—not just in theory, but in actual sales and margin performance.

Finance and payments names—SoFi, PayPal, Visa, Mastercard—will offer a crucial look at the health of the consumer and the global transaction ecosystem. Any sign of payment volume softness or weaker loan growth could send a chill across both Main Street and Wall Street.

And let’s not forget energy. With Chevron and Exxon capping the week, investors will be watching for signals on capital allocation, dividend growth, and how oil majors are positioning for energy transition risk.

Personally, I’ll be watching Big Tech and semis the closest—if they disappoint, it’s hard to see the rest of the market holding up. But if even half these bellwethers deliver solid numbers and guidance, it could be just the spark needed to lift the gloom and kickstart a late-summer rally.

Questions for you:

Which sector are you watching most closely?

Can this week’s earnings finally lift the gloom that’s shadowed the season so far?

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⏰Duration

• 6 Aug (24pm EDT)