πππ Crocs: From Trading Floors to Dance Floors ~ Will Shorts Survive the Foam Rush? πππ
$Crocs(CROX)$ $Deckers Outdoor(DECK)$ $Nike(NKE)$ πππ Crocs in Beast Mode β When Gamma Meets Rubber, Things Get Slippery πππ
When Life Gives You Tariffs, Make Croc-a-doodles
Iβm watching CROX go from sub-$76 lows to $78.33 like itβs trying to win a 100m sprint in a pair of clogs. GEX 1 resistance at $79 is the next hurdle; clear it, and $82β$85 becomes the next comfort zone before we see if shorts get blisters.
Ugly Duckling or Swan in Disguise?
Yes, CROX has faceplanted 43% in 12 months, earnings are down 69% YoY, and tariffs could take a $90M chunk out of margins. But analysts still see +36% EPS CAGR for 3 years; triple the S&Pβs pace. Thatβs not just foam, thatβs forward propulsion!
My Traderβs Map
Iβm lining up near-term checkpoints:
β’ $79: The first toe-dip into breakout territory
β’ $82β$85: The βfoam sweet spotβ if momentum sticks
β’ $90+: Shorts may need aloe vera here
β’ Analyst average: $97.28
β’ Street high: $135; luxury Croc territory
πππ From Clog to Catalog ~ CROX Could Kick Shorts Straight Into $85+ πππ
The Short Squeeze Sandal Shuffle
Short interest: 7.81M shares, 35.63% of float, 6.77 days to cover. Aug 11 short volume spiked like a foam platform heel. If $79 breaks, trapped shorts could fuel a market catwalk straight to $85.
From the Mall to Milan
North Americaβs guidance is slipping; Q3 revenue expected down 9β11%. But international sales? Up double digits, now over half the brandβs revenue. New product lines and DTC expansion mean CROX isnβt just a shoe; itβs a lifestyle franchise in stealth mode.
Final Strap
Traders get a volatility playground. Long-term investors get a brand that can still run in clogs. The roadβs bumpy, but if CROX executes, the quants wonβt be the only ones loving Crocs; the market might be wearing them to the next rally.
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
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- QueengirlypopsΒ·08-13TOPIβm all for that kind of trade plan where youβve got the near-term breakout target and the longer stretch mapped in. CROX lining up with both heavy short positioning and a product strategy thatβs clicking outside the US feels like a mix of momentum & fundamental strength4Report
- Cool Cat WinstonΒ·08-13TOPπI really like how you mapped out that $79 break as the trigger point. With short interest sitting over 35%, CROX has a similar squeeze profile to what we saw with BYND back in its momentum days, and that layered GEX target range gives a clear framework for scaling π»5Report
- Tui JudeΒ·08-13TOPThe international growth angle is key here. CROX expanding like DECK did with HOKA gives them more than just domestic momentum, and that $82β$85 zone you flagged could be the perfect inflection if buyers step in with size.3Report
- Hen SoloΒ·08-13TOPπYour note on double-digit overseas sales really stood out. It reminds me of when NKEβs non-US growth started driving the bulk of earnings, and with CROX trading at a discount P/E, that combination of valuation and global upside is hard to ignore.6Report
- JimmyHuaΒ·08-13TOPHappy trading ahead, Cheers, BC1Report