To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $MongoDB Inc.(MDB)$ I’m convinced this week sets up a defining moment for Tesla, Amazon, and MongoDB. I see Tesla pressing right on the neckline that decides whether it breaks lower into the $300s, Amazon coiling at the edge of a bullish breakout, and MongoDB exploding higher on blowout earnings. These are not casual levels; they are inflection points that will dictate the next major move.

📉 Tesla: Neckline Test in the $350–$300 Range

I’m watching $TSLA closely as it presses on the neckline at $331. The head-and-shoulders structure is pressing against a critical pivot, and the charts are showing how important this line really is. On the 4H Keltner/Bollinger overlays, Tesla is leaning into the lower band with short-term EMAs curling down, adding pressure. A clean break would shift momentum toward $314.94 and $309.07, which are the next visible supports. I’m noting that on the weekly chart Tesla is still above the 200W EMA, so while the short-term bias is weak, the long-term structure remains constructive. This is a key moment where bulls either reclaim $339.11 or risk a deeper slide inside the $350–$300 box.

⚠️ Options Flow Alert

Over $44M+ in single-leg, ≤90DTE calls were sold on $TSLA today alongside $24M+ in puts bought. Price fell more than $12, or 3.5% intraday. That positioning shift highlights how aggressively traders leaned bearish into today’s tape, reinforcing the neckline pressure.

📈 Amazon: Inverse H&S with Breakout Potential

I’m watching $AMZN for a possible inverse head-and-shoulders pattern that’s tightening on the daily. The right shoulder is holding trend and price is pressing into resistance. The $231.20 level is crucial; if it holds, the pattern remains intact. A breakout above $234–$235 would be the trigger, opening the door to $237.85 and even $246.40 above. On the 4H and weekly Keltner/Bollinger bands, volatility is tightening, which often precedes a directional breakout. Compared with Tesla’s breakdown risk, Amazon’s structure is setting up as a potential upside move, with a clean risk-reward profile around that $231 line.

🩵 MongoDB: Blowout Earnings Spark Breakout

I’m adding $MDB to my watchlist after a powerful reaction to earnings. Price surged straight through $300 and is holding near $316, confirming a major breakout. The $300 line now acts as a key retest level, with $275 as the earnings gap zone to monitor on any pullback. On both 4H and weekly charts, momentum is extreme and expanding outside of Keltner and Bollinger bands, signaling institutional conviction. MongoDB’s post-earnings breakout puts it firmly in play as one of my new favorites, and I’ll be tracking how price reacts to these key levels.

📊 Cash Flow vs Operating Income

Amazon has never had a wider spread between free cash flow and operating income. Operating income has surged more than 400% since 2019, while free cash flow remains negative on a trailing basis. This divergence highlights both the heavy reinvestment cycle and the potential leverage if capex normalizes. It’s a crucial backdrop for why $231.20 must hold; a breakout from the technical setup could align with improving capital efficiency.

🟢 $MDB +30% YTD | SaaS Database Momentum

I’m watching MongoDB with fresh conviction. This SaaS database management company has quietly been climbing for five straight weeks and is now up 30% YTD. The fundamentals are lining up with technical momentum in a way that’s hard to ignore.

• Nearing profitability with improving operating leverage

• 154% revenue growth since 2021

• 96% growth in large enterprise customers

• Forecasting a massive 653% EPS increase by 2027

• Currently trading just 2% above consensus price target

$MDB Investment Thesis:

• Quality rating: 5.9 (Good, with momentum tailwinds)

• Valuation still shows ~6.9% undervaluation

• Rule of 40 score at 27.4%

• Gross margin an impressive 72.9%

• P/FCF multiple at 103.7x, rich but supported by high growth trajectory

MongoDB has underperformed peers over the last 3 years, but its strong YTD performance suggests belief in its model is returning. The combination of expanding TAM, sticky subscription revenue, and high customer retention makes it a compelling SaaS story.

Does MongoDB’s past underperformance concern you, or are you a believer in its accelerating operating leverage and path to profitability?

📊 Range vs Breakout: Opposite Technical Narratives

I’m struck by the symmetry here. Tesla is testing a bearish neckline, Amazon is tightening into a bullish reversal, and MongoDB has already broken out with earnings momentum. Three names, three distinct technical narratives, each hinging on their pivot levels this week. I’m preparing for volatility and will be using these inflection points as my guide.

I believe conviction matters here. Tesla either confirms its breakdown or snaps back fast, Amazon either validates its inverse head-and-shoulders or fails at resistance, and MongoDB either holds above $300 as a new base or retraces into the gap. I’m positioned for volatility, and I’m treating these pivots as probability-weighted frameworks, not guesses.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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