๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ’ก $OSCR Weekly Ichimoku Rejection Meets Cloud Support ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ’ก

$Oscar Health, Inc.(OSCR)$ $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 

๐Ÿ“‰ Weekly Fibonacci and Cloud Dynamics

I see $OSCR rejected cleanly at the 0.786 log Fib near $20, which is a classic reversal level. Price is now leaning back onto the Ichimoku cloud top at $18, acting as first-line support. If this level holds, it confirms a healthy retest of breakout structure. A breakdown drags the stock deeper into the cloud toward $16.40โ€“16.80 where Kijun and Span overlap, and further down sits the 0.618 retracement at $12.25 as the major structural floor.

๐Ÿ“Š Volatility Expansion on Weekly Bands

The Keltner and Bollinger bands are expanding after rejection at $20, signalling volatility is live. Price is testing the median Keltner band near $18. If it loses this level on a close, momentum likely rotates toward the lower volatility envelope at $16. Volume confirms buyers thinned on the rejection, meaning the next impulse move will be decisive.

โฑ๏ธ 4H Tactical View

On the 4H, the pullback is sharper: price cracked below the mid-channel and is now testing the Keltner/Bollinger confluence. The EMA cluster is stacked at $17.80โ€“18.10, offering a chance for bulls to defend. Lose this zone, and the path of least resistance is a drop toward $16.80 in short order.

๐ŸŽฏ Trading Roadmap

Bullish roadmap: Hold $18, build structure above the cloud, and retest $20. A breakout targets $22.50+.

Bearish roadmap: Break $18, slide into the cloud, with $16.40 as the first major pivot.

Neutral roadmap: Consolidation between $18โ€“20 compresses volatility; the resolution will dictate the next multi-week leg.

๐Ÿ‘‰โ“With $OSCR now at the crossroads of breakout support and volatility expansion, do traders see $18 holding as a launchpad back to $20, or is the cloud about to swallow this move back toward $16?

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# Oscar Health Downgraded and Price Target Cut by Wells Fargo

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  • Tui Jude
    ยท2025-09-17
    TOP
    The volatility expansion callout on the Keltner and Bollinger bands is spot on. $SOFI had that same look last quarter before breaking through resistance, and now $OSCR feels like itโ€™s in that exact pressure zone where one side gives way fast.
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  • Cool Cat Winston
    ยท2025-09-17
    TOP
    ๐Ÿ“‰I like how you framed the $OSCR rejection off the 0.786 and immediate retest of cloud support at 18, itโ€™s a clean technical map. Reminds me of when $HIMS held its EMA cluster before squeezing higher, structure really matters at these levels.
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ยท2025-09-17
    TOP
    ๐Ÿ”ฅIโ€™m honestly loving the setup on $OSCR here, the rejection at 20 and the immediate pullback into the cloud just feels like that classic liquidity flush before the real move. Seeing $HIMS and $SOFI both build similar bases makes me think this whole digital disruptor lane is gearing up for another run, and the vibeโ€™s just way too aligned to ignore
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  • Hen Solo
    ยท2025-09-17
    TOP
    That 4H perspective ties it together well, especially the EMA stack around 17.80โ€“18.10. Iโ€™m seeing a parallel to how $UNH defended its support base earlier this year, and it really highlights why this cloud retest could be pivotal for the next leg.
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  • Queengirlypops
    ยท2025-09-17

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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