$CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$ $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ β‘οΈππ₯ CleanSpark CLSK: From Energy Arbitrage to AI Infrastructure, Positioning for Multi Year Repricing π₯πβ‘οΈ
I have tracked CLSK from the $9 base into a decisive expansion through the gold bands. Price at $15.29 is pressing directly beneath my $15.50 to $16.14 pivot band. If CLSK can secure a weekly close above that zone, I expect structural confirmation and a shift into the next leg of the multi year repricing cycle.
π FY25 Reset and Operational Leverage
FY25 revenue reached $766.3M which is 102 % higher YoY. Q4 revenue came in at $223.7M compared with $198.6M in Q3. Net income flipped to $364.5M from a $45.4M loss as BTC fair value adjustments added $425.6M. Adjusted EBITDA accelerated to $823M which is 235 % higher YoY on 81.3 % margins.
Liquidity now sits around $1.2B after the $1.15B zero coupon convertible notes closed on 13 November. This gives CLSK non dilutive capital to secure 1.3 GW of contracted power and continue scaling hashrate efficiency near 16.07 J per TH.
The Q3 foundation remains important. Revenue was $198.6M, cash lifted to $34.6M and cash mining margin held at 56.5 %. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 81.3 % which confirmed the profitability reset early.
βοΈ Energy Allocation and AI Compute Migration
I position CLSK as an energy optimiser with infrastructure leverage rather than a pure miner. They continue to secure low cost power, accumulate strategic land and deploy modular data centre designs suited to the next compute cycle.
The October HPC and AI expansion marks a genuine shift. CLSK brought in Jeffrey Thomas to lead data centre architecture and partnered with Submer to roll out immersion cooling that supports dense inference workloads. The 271 acre land acquisition and 285 MW power agreements near Houston form the backbone of a dedicated compute campus built for high density AI operations.
The DAM treasury program yields 5 to 7 % on idle BTC, and the buyback removing 10.9 % of float shows clear internal conviction that the equity remains mispriced relative to the balance sheet and infrastructure footprint.
π₯ Short Positioning and Catalyst Alignment
Short interest remains elevated. FINRA data shows 31.54 % short. Broader reporting sits around 20.53 % which equals 57.7M shares. Off exchange short volume is 12.3M with a dark pool ratio at 46.38 %.
A weekly close above $16.14 forces position repair and layers a potential squeeze dynamic on top of the FY25 profitability turn, AI infrastructure rollout and expanding treasury value.
π BTC Behaviour, Macro and Seasonal Liquidity
BTC continues to trade cleanly inside the $88,000 to $92,000 corridor. My 4H chart shows repeated taps of the upper Keltner band with compression around the Bollinger midline. Price is around $91,700 and has produced higher lows since 26 November. The 13, 21 and 55 EMAs have now restacked bullishly for the first time since the mid month decline which confirms stabilisation after the -16.5 % November drawdown.
BTC ranged $90,000 to $91,879 over Thanksgiving with a 1.02 % daily lift. December historically averages 9.2 % gains and ranks as the fifth strongest month since 2014. Ethereum is up roughly 1 % and Solana remains flat which keeps alt beta neutral.
With the probability of a December Fed cut near 85 %, I expect liquidity to continue rotating into miners and compute infrastructure names. CLSK and Bitfarms rallied more than 12 % on Friday while CEA Industries, Canaan, GameSquare and DeFi Tech also caught strong flow.
π Weekly Trend Map and Extension Targets
My structural map remains clear:
β’ $15.50 to $16.14 is the activation band
β’ $22.17 is the 50 % extension
β’ $26.99 is the weekly 0.618
β’ $42.60 is the full cycle retrace
β’ $67.85 is the golden ratio projection
The entire sequence activates once CLSK confirms a breakout above the pivot band.
π° Valuation, Institutional Tilt and Analyst Consensus
CLSK trades at around 9.7 x forward P E and 3.9 x P S which is materially discounted relative to peers. The treasury holds 13,033 BTC which is valued at roughly $1.2B at spot.
Analyst targets cluster around $23.16 with highs near $30. B. Riley reaffirmed Buy at $22 on power expansion. JPMorgan maintained Overweight on 24 November, highlighting the 200 MW IT capacity at the Texas development.
Institutional flows increasingly treat CLSK as a hybrid position combining Bitcoin yield generation, AI compute adjacency and stranded energy monetisation which aligns with 2025 liquidity preferences.
π§ My Forward Watchlist
β’ Weekly close above $16.14
β’ BTC behaviour inside $88,000 to $92,000
β’ Houston AI site milestones
β’ Off exchange short ratio trends
β’ December rotation into miners
β’ PPA structures for hybrid mining and HPC loads
β’ Q1 FY26 EPS guide at $0.18 against consensus
π Conclusion and Positioning
CLSKβs asymmetry is driven by FY25βs $766M revenue inflection, a strengthened treasury, 50 EH per second deployment, a $1.15B capital infusion and the AI and HPC expansion anchored by 285 MW of secured power.
Energy optimisation, treasury yield mechanics, short pressure and multi year technical alignment all support a continued rerating. If CLSK clears $15.50 to $16.14 with conviction, I expect $22.17 and $26.99 to come into play quickly. Long term potential toward $42.60 to $67.85 remains intact. Iβm already positioned and Iβm prepared to scale through validated strength.
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
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