To The Moon

The first trading day of 2026 definitely caught my attention. Seeing the Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  up 1.3% and the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  higher by 0.6% feels like a textbook "risk-on" start, especially with semiconductors leading the charge. When the market opens the year with leadership from chips rather than defensives, it usually says something positive about forward expectations.

In my own portfolio, Micron $Micron Technology(MU)$  was one of the highlights. Hitting new highs reinforces my conviction that the memory cycle is still in a strong uptrend, especially with AI servers and data center demand continuing to surprise on the upside. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   also pushed higher, and I still see it as a core long-term holding rather than a short-term trade — the AI infrastructure story is far from done.

Do I believe in the January effect? I don't treat it as a rule, but I do think sentiment matters. A strong January can help anchor confidence, attract fresh inflows, and reinforce existing trends. That said, I'm more focused on whether leadership is broad and backed by earnings visibility — and so far, semiconductors are checking those boxes.

Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  , on the other hand, didn't start the year on a strong note. While it's a bit disappointing to see it lag on day one, I'm not reading too much into a single session. Tesla has always been a stock that moves in waves, and early-year underperformance doesn't automatically invalidate the longer-term thesis.

I still have high hopes for Tesla in 2026. Between autonomy progress, energy storage growth, and optionality around AI and robotics, I believe the market could reprice Tesla meaningfully once execution becomes clearer. For me, this year is about staying with strong trends like Nvidia and Micron, while keeping patience with high-conviction names like Tesla that may simply need more time to shine.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community. 

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