Trump Strikes Again! Have You Gotten On the Resource Stocks Board?

$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ surged yesterday. The U.S. government is set to acquire a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth, backed by a total funding package of around $1.6 billion (federal funding + loans) to accelerate the buildout of domestic rare earth mining and magnet production capacity.

This would mark the largest single U.S. government investment in critical minerals under the Trump administration so far.

1. Four Trump Deals in One Year! And the Market Went Wild

In the past year, Trump-backed deals have repeatedly sent U.S. stocks flying:

In 1Y performance, the stocks have rallied near or more than 100%.

2. What Exactly Is This Resource-Stock Rally Trading?

1. Policy Funding = Certainty. Example: $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$+ U.S. Department of Defense

DoD will purchase $400M of convertible preferred shares, plus warrants. Reuters reported the effective stake could reach around 15%

2. A “Repricing” of Financing Costs and Refinancing Risk. Example: $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$

The government receives 5% equity via warrants, and also gains an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV project. This structure was disclosed in both DOE statements and company filings

3. Government Endorsement = Liquidity + Attention

Once a policy signal lands, the market typically reacts in this sequence: volume + attention surge first → valuation framework gets rerated → fundamentals slowly catch up later

3. What Should You Buy? Key Watchlist Summary

  1. $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ : A $1.6B funding package to build out rare earth mining in Texas and magnet production capacity in Oklahoma. The U.S. government participates through equity ownership + additional purchase rights.

  2. $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ : $400M DoD convertible preferred + warrants. The policy goal is clear: U.S. independence in rare earth magnets. Reuters estimates ~15% effective stake.

  3. $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ : DOE takes 5% equity via warrants, plus an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV — a textbook “loan structure + equity protection” combo.

  4. $Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ : Reuters reported a U.S. government investment of around $35.6M for roughly a 10% stake, plus potential warrant upside of about 7.5%.

  5. $CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ : Partnered with U.S. critical minerals company GreenMet to develop Greenland’s southern Tanbreez project, focused on heavy rare earth extraction.

  6. $Energy Fuels(UUUU)$: A leading U.S.-based critical minerals company that has successfully expanded from traditional uranium mining into rare earth elements (REE) and heavy mineral sands (HMS).

High-Beta “Sentiment Plays” in the Same Theme

Rare Earth / Critical Minerals: AREC NB TMRC TMC UAMY

Lithium: SQM RIO SGML SLI ATLX

Uranium / Nuclear Fuel Chain: LEU CCJ UEC DNN NXE

Community Poll

Which theme do you think becomes the next major market storyline?

Rare earths + magnets (USAR / MP)

Domestic lithium supply chain (LAC / Thacker Pass)

Uranium + nuclear fuel (LEU / CCJ / UEC)

High-beta critical minerals small caps (UUUU / AREC / NB, etc.)

Would you join the resource stock trade?

Will Trump trade last for another 4 year term?

Leave your comments to win tiger coins~

# Rare Earths Explode: Can Trump's Strategic Bet Go Further?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment18

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  • L.Lim
    ·10:58
    I don't think a new focus will appear, the headlines will still hover on rare earths and magnets, simply because China has a firm grip, and it is not easy for everyone else to ramp up production in the short term and maybe the medium term.
    The expertise required poses a challenge even if there are sites found to have good concentration of rare earths. Both the act to retrieve them, and not causing adverse environmental problems would be important things to balance.
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  • The Future of "Trump Trade" PoliciesPolicy Continuity: Tariffs were a central pillar of the 2024 campaign and are a continuation of measures initiated during his first term. The administration is expected to find ways to impose tariffs regardless of potential legal challenges.
    Potential Impacts:
    Increased Tariffs: Plans include a potential baseline 10% tariff on all imports and up to 60% on Chinese goods. This could disrupt supply chains and pressure international businesses.
    Inflationary Pressure: The combination of demand-side fiscal stimulus and supply-side shocks from tariffs is expected to keep inflation elevated.
    Sector-Specific Effects: The energy sector, while benefiting from general cyclical trends, could face downside risks for some commodities if widespread retaliatory tariffs are implemented. Domestically focused small-cap stocks are anticipated to benefit from a focus on reshoring and domestic growth.
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  • Alubin
    ·09:15
    Don’t think I will join the resource stock trade, it’s becoming less of an investment and more of a speculation. Also, I’m not confident trump will last for another 4 years terms.
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  • koolgal
    ·08:22
    🌟🌟Some investors talk about a Trump trade lasting for another 4 years, especially around energy, deregulation & domestic production.  However the Trump trade is a market narrative, not a prediction.  That narrative is currently centered on the resource  megatrend.

    The truth is that they are a signal that resources are finite.  The next 4 years focus will be on Lithium,  Uranium, Critical Minerals and Nuclear Fuel.

    Among the 4 mega resource trends, I believe that Nuclear Fuel is the most important .  It provides the power to fuel the AI revolution and Uranium is the heart of Nuclear Fuel.

    Centrus Energy $Centrus(LEU)$ is the quiet gatekeeper of the nuclear fuel cycle .  It is only US company  capable of producing High Assay Low Enriched Uranium, the advanced fuel required for the next generation reactors.  This makes Centrus Energy the bridge between  Uranium & nuclear fuel.

    Exciting times are ahead for Centrus Energy.🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG

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  • Chrishust
    ·03:20
    1. Which theme is the next market storyline: rare earths and magnets
    2. Would I join the resource stock trade yes $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$
    3. Will the trump trade last for another 4 years: trump is likely to win the next mid terms and be president for another 4 years
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  • Ragz
    ·02:48
    US companies involved in rare earth production get a big boost as the US government plans hugh investments. Once the euphoria wears off, volatility sets in until proper investment are set in place.
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  • Cadi Poon
    ·01-27 23:40
    這種資源股反彈交易到底是什麼?
    1、政策性資金=確定性。示例:$MP材料公司(MP)$+美國。國防部

    國防部將採購4億美元可轉換優先股,更多搜查令。路透社報道稱,有效股份可能達到15%

    2.融資成本和再融資風險的“重新定價”。示例:$美洲鋰業公司(LAC)$

    政府通過認股權證獲得5%的股權,並獲得Thacker Pass合資項目額外5%的權益。這種結構在能源部聲明和公司文件中都有披露

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  • TimothyX
    ·01-27 23:33
    $美國稀土公司(USAR)$昨天飆升。美國政府將獲得一個持有美國稀土10%股權,由總額約爲16億美元(聯邦資金+貸款)加速建設國內稀土開採及磁體產能.

    這將標誌着美國政府對關鍵礦產的最大單筆投資迄今爲止在特朗普政府的領導下。

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  • DreamBig572
    ·01-27 21:25
    Jumping in now! Trump trade could ride out the term if polls hold. [看涨]
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  • sunshineboy
    ·01-27 21:24
    Yeah, I'm in! Trump's moves could last years. [开心]
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  • highhand
    ·01-27 23:24
    I think I better not. no more cash to buy. sit quietly and wait for my holdings to go up. patience is a virtue
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  • ECLC
    ·19:20
    Have not follow the "super bet". Think resource stock trade carries higher risk with sudden surge.
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  • It's a scam. I bought near the peak and it fell more than 50% in a month
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  • AliceSam
    ·17:31
    还没有加入
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  • LucasOng
    ·09:12
    Diversify and get into some rare earth!
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  • AN88
    ·03:38
    won't last another term.
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  • good
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  • SSUNNY
    ·06:37

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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