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📌【Today’s Question】

Amazon, with its highest capital expenditures, has fallen into a bear market. Are you optimistic about its future?

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  • icycrystal
    ·44 minutes ago
    TOP

    Amazon has indeed entered a technical bear market as of February 2026, following eight consecutive days of declines after its Q4 2025 earnings report. The stock fell more than 21% from its recent high, primarily due to investor concern over its massive $200 billion capital expenditure (capex) plan for 2026.

    Despite the current market pessimism, many analysts remain optimistic about Amazon’s long-term future because of
    AWS Reacceleration: Amazon Web Services (AWS) saw revenue growth accelerate to 24% year-over-year in Q4 2025.

    AI Leadership: By developing its own hardware, Amazon aims to reduce reliance on third parties like NVIDIA and offer more cost-effective solutions.

    While the market is currently "voting with its feet" against the high spending, 64 out of 68 analysts still maintain a "Buy" recommendation, with 12-month price targets clustering between $260 and $289, suggesting a potential upside of up to 40% from current levels.

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  • Market Pressure: A projected $200B+ capex plan for 2026 has raised concerns about free cash flow, contributing to a stock decline.
    Operational Growth: AWS revenue is seeing strong growth ($140B+ run rate), alongside a significant increase in ad revenue.
    AI Focus: Investments in proprietary, high-growth AI chips are a key focus for future capacity.
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  • Shyon
    ·12:07
    TOP
    我今天关注的股票是 $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 在其最新收益之后。第四季度资本支出跃升至$2.1 B,因为该公司积极扩张人工智能芯片和数据中心以满足仍然超过供应的需求,并正在进一步的全球扩张。

    收入同比飙升六倍多,达到2.277亿美元,而由于大量投资,亏损扩大。喜欢 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ ,Nebius乘着AI基础设施浪潮,直接受益于供应英伟达芯片和云容量,合同电力容量现已超过2GW。管理层预计到2026年年化收入将大幅增长,反映出对人工智能持续需求的信心。

    从技术上讲,该股稳定在EMA200附近,显示出坚实的支撑。它似乎无法果断跌破,如果人工智能势头保持强劲,该水平可能会成为下一步上涨的基础。随着情绪稳定,我将密切关注潜在的反弹。

    @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

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  • MojoStellar
    ·11:28
    TOP
    I’ve come to realize that my investing journey has been just as much about personal growth as it has been about returns. Over time, I’ve learned that markets test more than strategy — they test patience, discipline, and emotional control. There were moments of excitement, moments of doubt, and plenty of lessons in between. Each experience shaped how I approach risk, long-term thinking, and staying grounded during volatility.

    That’s why I really appreciate the way you framed your investing journey through @koolgal . It’s such a powerful reminder that investing isn’t just about numbers — it’s about mindset.
    The thoughts we cultivate — patience, discipline, and a long-term perspective — truly determine what grows in our financial lives. Thank you for sharing both your experience and that inspiring image. It’s a meaningful perspective that resonates far beyond investing, and I’m genuinely glad to read and learn from your sharing. [Cool] [Salute] [Heart]

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    • MojoStellarReplying tokoolgal
      🙏✨️👍🧧🧨🎊💰
      12:12
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    • koolgal
      May you continue to be blessed with clarity of mind as it is a superpower that lets you see opportunities where others overlook.💕💕💕
      12:03
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    • koolgal
      Thank you @MojoStellar for sharing your investing journey.
      12:00
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  • koolgal
    ·11:58
    🌟🌟🌟"Unshaken" is the word I would use this week.  With markets swinging like a monkey from branch to branch -chaotic, noisy and unpredictable - I am still here, steady on my branch, waiting to snap great stocks at bargain prices - because volatility doesn't scare me, it just widens the discount aisle.

    I believe that $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is currently on sale as it is trading below USD 200, down 2%.  It has fallen 18% over the last 10 days. This can be attributed to capex shock after Amazon announced a massive USD 200 billion capex plan for 2026 to expand AI and AWS infrastructure.

    Many analysts view the recent sell off as an opportunity, suggesting the stock maybe undervalued relative to its long term potential.

    Consensus target price is USD 283.48, an upside potential of 27%.

    @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @Tiger_SG @CaptainTiger


    @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub @Tiger_comments @CaptainTiger

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  • 北极篂
    ·15:20
    我更关心两点:一是AWS在AI算力上的变现效率;二是电商利润率能否维持改善。如果现金流能稳住,高CapEx只是时间换空间。
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  • 北极篂
    ·15:20
    至于Amazon,我反而偏乐观。高资本开支确实压利润,但那是为云计算、AI基础设施和物流体系做前置投入。历史上每次它进入“重投入周期”,短期估值都会承压,但长期护城河反而加深。现在跌入技术性熊市,本质是市场担心回报周期拉长,而不是商业模式失效。
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  • 北极篂
    ·15:19
    我这周更多是控制仓位、做结构,而不是追涨杀跌。财报驱动的行情越来越分化,Applied Materials、Rivian、Roku给出乐观指引就被奖励,Coinbase亏损反而涨1%,市场明显更看“预期差”而不是绝对数字。
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  • 北极篂
    ·15:19
    如果用一个词形容我这周的交易——“收敛”。


    不是因为没机会,而是市场的节奏变了。科技股的回撤越来越情绪化,尤其AI链条的波动被放大。苹果单日蒸发两千亿美元市值,AppLovin暴跌,Fastly却暴涨,这种撕裂说明资金在做剧烈再定价,而不是单边趋势。
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  • L.Lim
    ·14:21
    Also for the coinbase vote, the more likely result was a decline, considering how markets have been playing out these couple of weeks.
    Crypto is in for a rough ride, with trunp satisfied with the wealth he made when becoming president and is no longer helping to generate hype
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  • WanEH
    ·14:20
    长期投资看 AI 和云基础设施的竞争壁垒仍是稀缺资产。
    亚马逊在 电商、广告和物流网络 同样具备持续增长能力。
    如果这些 CapEx 最终转化为更高的收入和利润率增长,当前熊市可能成为未来的“低位布局机会”。
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  • L.Lim
    ·14:18
    Apprehensive.

    Everything looks a little frail right now, and there is a need to sort through the noise.
    I believe that the time was due for many overvalued companies to have a price reset. 2025 was a wild ride upwards for seemingly everyone.
    It is however not easy to know if the bigger companies like $Microsoft(MSFT)$ has looked into their problems and have a improved plan moving forward.
    Interesting to note that gold has not continued climbing even while stocks looked bad, I might want to pick up a little more if a big drop happens.

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  • Alubin
    ·11:18
    While $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ expenditure on AI is huge, I believe it is needed for future growth, so the current situation is just temporary and I am optimistic of its future.
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  • ECLC
    ·11:46
    One word this week: add

    Market rather volatile lately and there are opportunities to add more and wait for rebound.

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  • 北极篂
    ·15:20
    市场在去泡沫,但不是去未来。区别很重要。
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  • highhand
    ·11:08
    inaction is doing something when you have no more cash to invest.  that's this week. [LOL]
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  • 一个字:卖!
    三个字:立即锁定利润!
    五个字:购买风险自担!
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  • Mrzorro
    ·11:16
    Crash is the word to describe my trade for this week [Facepalm] [Spurting]
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  • TimothyX
    ·22 minutes ago
    完美的!全部
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  • TimothyX
    ·14:46
    Fast! Trading fast
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