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⚙️ Wednesday — Futures Market Monitor price fluctuations in energy, precious metals, and agricultural futures.
International oil prices fell, but WTI crude oil still closed above $100.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, the price of light sweet crude oil futures for May delivery fell $1.50 to settle at $101.38 per barrel, a decrease of 1.46%; while the price of Brent crude oil futures for May delivery in London rose $5.57 to settle at $118.35 per barrel, an increase of 4.94%.
Precious metals surged, but the overall trend was weak in March.
Spot gold rose 3.5%, marking its third consecutive day of gains; however, it still fell 11% in March. Spot silver surged more than 7%, returning above $75, but fell nearly 20% in March.
📌【Today’s Question】
Can US stocks continue yesterday's gains? Share your thoughts in the comments section.
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While the headline narrative attributes yesterday's dramatic rally to a potential diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East, the market is largely ignoring a more potent underlying variable: the violent compression of the Equity Risk Premium (ERP) amidst a historic liquidity vacuum. This rally was less about fundamental conviction and more about a systemic "short squeeze" on pessimism. When the Iranian presidency hinted at a conditional ceasefire, it triggered a forced unwinding of deep out-of-the-money put options, creating a feedback loop of mechanical buying. This suggests that the current price action is a function of positioning rather than a definitive shift in the economic cycle, making the sustainability of these gains fragile and entirely dependent on the next forty-eight hours of diplomatic verification.
简单一句话：今天不是没机会涨，而是“涨了也未必拿得住”。
Primary Catalyst: Investors are reacting to a potential "off-ramp" in the Iran war, which led to a massive relief rally yesterday.
Seasonal Trends: Historical data suggests a positive outlook for the month; the S&P 500 has averaged a 1.6% return in April with a 68% gain frequency.
Technical Position: While yesterday's jump was substantial, major indices are still working to reclaim their 200-day moving averages after a brutal March.
Economic Monitoring: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently noted the importance of monitoring energy shocks, though he signaled limited immediate maneuvers.
What’s interesting is how Nvidia is evolving its strategy. As companies shift toward custom silicon, it’s staying central by integrating its CPUs, networking & interconnects with Marvell’s capabilities. Under Jensen Huang, the focus on NVLink Fusion and silicon photonics highlights where next-gen AI data center efficiency will be won. This also positions Marvell deeper inside the most critical layer of AI scaling.
With Alphabet and Meta driving massive AI spending, Marvell is well-positioned as a key enabler. Its long-term growth outlook remains strong, making this more than just a short-term catalyst.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub
International oil prices fell, but WTI crude oil still closed above $100.
Technical Momentum: On 31 March, the S&P staged a massive 2.9% surge to close at 6,528.52, its best day in almost a year.
RSI are showing strong Buy signals of 74.5, suggesting the bulls are in control of the current swing.
The War Pivot: Market sentiment has flipped from doom scrolling to hope scrolling. After Trump signaled a possible withdrawal from Iran with 2 to 3 weeks, oil prices retreated & global markets surged in anticipation of a de-escalation.
So do I think the S&P will go up tomorrow? Yes, on pure hope & a technical Strong Buy tailwind.
However you never know what Trump will say tomorrow as he is unpredictable as the weather.
@Daily_Discussion @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
昨晚情绪面确实很强，主要是市场在交易“战争降温预期”，带动 NASDAQ 大涨，像 Nvidia、Micron Technology 这些AI核心标的都有明显资金回流。但我觉得，这更像是一种短期risk-on修复，而不是趋势反转。