Buffett Bottomed OXY Again- Long or Short Energy Stocks?
According to the latest SEC filings, $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ bought 9.55 million shares of $Occidental(OXY)$ from June 17-22 at a cost of $54.96-$56.42 per share. Based on the average price, Buffett spent roughly $530 million.
From March to May this year, Berkshire also made large purchases of $Occidental(OXY)$ , making it the 6th largest position. $Occidental(OXY)$ also proves itself, as shares of $Occidental(OXY)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$ rose 134% and 47%, respectively in Q1, when US stocks took a big dive.
However, since June, both $Occidental(OXY)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$ have suffered sharp declines. On June 22, $Light Crude Oil - main 2208(CLmain)$ prices and the oil sector plunged, with $Occidental(OXY)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$ down 3.63% and 4.35%, respectively.
Is it a good opportunity to buy the dip?
Bearish
1. In order to reduce inflation, the Biden administration has released large amounts of oil reserve to lower gas prices.
On June 22, Biden called on Congress to suspend the federal gas tax as he tries to quell the rapid surge in prices at the pump.
2. In addition, oil prices continue to fall as the market continues to warn of a recession in the U.S. on concerns that a slowing economy is hurting energy consumption.
3. Citigroup analysts said:
The market will continue to shake, and oil prices are expected to continue to fall in 2023.
Oil prices should fall to more than $ 80 by the fourth quarter.
Bullish
1. The International Energy Agency (IEA) released its World Energy Investment 2022, which expects global energy investment to grow 8% to $2.4 trillion in 2022. Net profits for the global oil and gas industry will jump to $4 trillion in 2022, twice as much as in 2021.
2. $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods said Tuesday that the global oil market is likely to remain tight for the next 3 to 5 years.
3. Russell Hardy of Vitol Group (Vitol), the world's largest independent oil trader, holds the same opinion.
Unless demand weakens, oil prices are unlikely to fall.
Conclusion
In the short term, bearish sentiment is evident for oil and gas stocks, but in the long term, energy stocks remain high-quality value stocks.
So, Tigers, what's your opinion?
Do you think it is a good time to get into energy stocks?
Will you follow Buffett to bottom $Occidental(OXY)$ ?
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- Lynn098·2022-06-23TOPLooks like he is betting that recession will not cause a drop in oil price8Report
- Ah_Meng·2022-06-24Oil and gas should continue to do well at least in the middle term. It takes time for battery technology to take off. Renewables also need time to be built. There is no means to replace oil now6Report
- PatekP·2022-06-24买9卖29.一路向北.没机会了.😅😅5Report
- setia100·2022-06-24Buffet listens to the insiders. CEOs of the oil companies 😁5Report
- adeley·2022-06-24buffet will win long term cos he bought stocks cheap2Report
- OldCat·2022-06-24Please like this comment5Report
- kiliman·2022-06-24no horse run3Report
- Big Cat·2022-06-24Wait & see how 1st [Thinking]4Report
- Woobenny·2022-06-24When will he switch to investing in renewable and sustainable energy?LikeReport
- TWJ84·2022-06-26I wouldn't buy too much. maybe just a little2Report
- hh488·2022-06-26Too ex. If want to, will look at Rex counter listed in Sg.1Report
- jat·2022-06-24[Like] i wish i had the guts to get oil n commodity related counters [Chuckle]1Report
- ey79·2022-06-24Nice share2Report
- Big Cat·2022-06-24Wait & see how first [Thinking].2Report
- Philipoo·2022-06-26Great! Like olease1Report
- 叫我發先生·2022-06-26Heng heng, pls give me a like1Report
- BKT·2022-06-24Good. Pls like thanks.1Report
- MonKeyTgr·2022-06-24same thing. both long and short1Report
- kiliman·2022-06-24no horse run1Report
- hd87·2022-06-24谢谢分享:)1Report