Stocks Tumbling, Put Options Volumn Surges, Will You Go Short?

The Federal Reserve unleashed its most aggressive interest-rate increase strategy in decades and signaled more hikes to come as it battles stubbornly high inflation.

At Wednesday's FOMC meeting, the Fed raised its target range for the federal funds rate by a third consecutive 75 basis points, from 2.25-2.5% to 3-3.25%, the highest level since early 2008, and the latest interest rate plot also showed a hawk tone.

Global capital markets experienced Black Friday on Friday

The$DJIA(.DJI)$ fell 1.6% to close at 29,590.4, a June low and the lowest since November 2020. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 1.72% to 3,693.23, down 4.65% for the week and 23% for the year. The$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 1.8 per cent to 10,867.9, wiping more than $2.8 trillion off the market in a single week.

The market turmoil has rattled investors, with the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) market sentiment index hitting a new low for the year and bears topping 60 percent. According to Wall Street data:

More than 33 million put options were traded on Friday, the busiest trading day since records began in 1992. Meanwhile, put option volume on the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ , the world's largest exchange-traded fund tracking the S&P 500 index, has surged to an all-time high.

Under the pessimistic expectations, investment sentiment also fell to the bottom. The latest survey from Bank of America shows that fund managers have cut their equity exposure to historically low levels amid recession fears, while their cash holdings are at all-time highs.

What Analysts think

Goldman Sachs issued a report on the 22nd:

A sustained rise in US real interest rates will put pressure on US equity valuations, so the year-end target price for the S&P 500 was cut to 3,600 from 4,300 previously

Micheal Hartnett, chief U.S. equity strategist at Bank of America, said:

With inflation, interest rates, and recession shocks still to come, there is no doubt that investor confidence is at its lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis and the S&P 500 is expected to trade in a range of 3,300 to 3,500


How will the U.S. stock market develop? What do you think?

Is now a good time to go short? Would you go short?

How to operate in the turbulence of the market in order to retire?

Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments section and split the tiger coins!

# 💰 Stocks to watch today?(27 Dec)

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  • ___ _
    ·2022-09-26
    TOP
    I will not Short as I'm not for shorting.  I don't believe in borrowing something I don't own to sell it away in order to tank the price.  I'll slowly add and average down while waiting for market to recover.
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    • MHh
      [ShakeHands]
      2022-09-26
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    • Fenger1188
      🚀🚀
      2022-09-26
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  • Lewis Foong
    ·2022-09-26
    I have a great dream that I invented a time machine which might take me to the future,then I can bet all my assets in the US stock!unfortunately,sister brother,dream not come true.But if look back the past, we can found the index up and down has some similar terrain that we can tracked, but that not a proper answer can survived us. Meanwhile I didn't estimate the market but I believed the stock market not that well developed coming up. hence,if u wanna  short the market, pls do it but pls beware any news or winds from your so call friends, sosial media or wall street analysts because u always the last person to let other investors slaughtered you from arbitrage unless u did enough homework or else rather keep your money in pocket , your impulsive act won't help you become wealthy. last but not least, I using reverse pyramid strategy layering my investment to the market, from small to large amounts,u should set your own time frame to tap the market in periodly. Good luck Tigers.
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  • highhand
    ·2022-09-26
    Covid bear market was too short.
    So stock market giving second chance in 3 years to retire.
    Market is pricing in rate hike to 5% in 2023.
    Analysts are frantically using their calculators to reevaluate PE and growth.
    I don't short. Only long and longer for me. Next 9 months could be the best opportunity of the next decade!
    Wait for capitulation and buy buy buy.
    See you on the other side.
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  • Bonta
    ·2022-09-26
    If u cant beat them, sell them the puts! Due to the plunge, put premiums are elevated, its gd tine to sell put options for extra margin of safety. But then again, need some small round steel objects…
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  • 紫南
    ·2022-09-26
    Right now, 3 US main indexes reached to their critical positions. I won't short now, because I shorted long time ago. [shy] It's time to collect profits. And shorting the market won't make you become financial freedom, only looking for some excitement [love you] [love you]
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  • JZ8
    ·2022-09-26
    Well it's good to go for short but for a week or so. simply because September is not a good month for the market and also the current market sentiment. I will buy more quality stocks since their price are quite low now
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  • Brocco
    ·2022-09-26
    Will think it will fall in general until the next support line is established. Good time to buy the dip and DCA then hold for long term. Will choose the wait and see apporach in this turbulence nce
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  • Cris0
    ·2022-09-26
    Short term will think the US market will continue to drop. Choose to DCA and build up “cheap” portfolio. Need to hold pass the turbulence to go high. Accept the unrealise losses for now.
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  • Kingcat
    ·2022-09-26
    rather not. shorting does seem lucrative at the moment but will get riskier as prices dip further. big profits could turn into bigger losses should the bull return with a vengeance [Observation]
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  • Joker_Smile
    ·2022-09-27
    shorting is a big risk, even thought everyone mentioning investing in stock is also a risk. It will boil down to individual risk appetite. Think market will continue to dip, hoping October will ease
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  • SG 88
    ·2022-09-27
    I guess it's time to look into "your favorite shopping list" to buy. although it's not easy to handle the temperament. Once you are able to manage that and the position you take would reward you greatly in the long term [Cool]
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  • 己所不欲
    ·2022-09-27
    US market is heading towards  recession. Inevitably stock market will trend down. Those who are trapped will need to either average down or wait it out. Bull will return eventually.
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  • Joyjoy_Cheng
    ·2022-09-27
    TOP
    Looking at what the hedge funds are doing usually gives one of the best indicator. Personally I feel it is time to position long instead of short so as to oppose what the most retail people are doing.
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  • JL28168
    ·2022-09-27
    market remain volatile n investor panic n lose confident, will sold or leaving stock market.. inflation n economy recession bad impact stock market recovery....
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  • JohnL
    ·2022-09-27
    I won't go short as any rebounce for a couple of days will squeeze me out. It seems near a critical support lifeline now. Maybe I will sell some otm calls / puts. At least time is at my favour.
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  • SirBahamut
    ·2022-09-27
    Going short now is quite dangerous. The short opportunity should be made long ago, not now
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  • Doge2theMoon
    ·2022-09-27
    No. Shorting can have unlimited losses
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  • Investforget
    ·2022-09-27
    Ignore the noise. The market will go up in the long term. Don’t panic. DCA @Tiger_chat
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  • StickyRice
    ·2022-09-27
    When the market is in a correction, look for at least one major index to attempt a bottom. We are still looking for the first day that the index closes higher counts as Day 1 of its attempted rally.
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  • Chooer
    ·2022-09-27

    我不会作空.预期未来行情下跌,将手中股票按价格卖出,待行情跌后买进,获利差价利润。 其特点为先.
    未来的前景是乐观了👍

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    • Chooer
      [强]
      2022-09-27
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    • Korer
      👍👍👍
      2022-09-27
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