To The Moon

The United States will announce the CPI for October. The market expects that the value may be close to 8%, which is lower than the previous value of 8.2%, which will affect the Fed's decision on interest rates in December.

Investors use this to judge the rate of interest rate hike in December. JPMorgan Chase analysis predicts that if the year-on-year growth rate of CPI in October is 8.1-8.3%, the benchmark index will fall by 2-3%, with a possibility of 30%. If the CPI growth rate is 7.9-8% year-on-year, the benchmark index will fall by 1-1.5%, with a possibility of 40%. I think the above data is enough to affect the market's reaction. In addition, the mid-term elections in the US Congress will also affect the volatility of the stock market, and the stock market will remain uncertain.

I think that under the inflation caused by the Ukrainian-Russian war, the CPI data is still hovering above 7.5%, and inflation is still relatively high. In addition, the election of the US Congress will also affect the future political party's leadership, the entire economic plan. The anti-inflation must be greatly affected. It is a pity that the Republican Party has no measures to solve inflation. Only the Democratic Party has mentioned a plan to solve inflation. Therefore, the Republican Party has not received significant changes. Inflation still has some help, and the above are the results of major failure to fight inflation.

Due to the constant price inflation, after several consecutive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, the pressure on people's lives has reached its peak. Adding higher interest rates will undoubtedly suppress inflation, but it will further worsen the overall economic recession. Powell has spoken before to slow down the pace Interest rates will be discussed and considered on the agenda, but raising interest rates to the Fed will still continue to be hawks, not doves, so I am convinced that the Fed will still strongly increase the possibility of 0.75%, and the probability of adding 0.5%. Relatively low, based on the CPI is still at a high level.

Taking the U.S. Nasdaq 100 Index.US, Dow Jones Index.US, S&P 500 ETF-iShares.US, it will still be in a downward phase. Based on the fact that inflation has just been raised, there seems to be no sign of easing, and the CPI will continue to rise. Hovering at a high level, investors' funds continue to flow out of the stock market, and flow to the US bond market or banks to make high-interest time deposits, because the interest attracts more than the stock market, and the risk is low, so the investment funds are in the The stock market may not make a profit, and the chances of loss greatly increase, so most of the funds are invested in high-interest US treasury bonds and banks. Temporarily, it is difficult to judge the future development of the stock market trend, and the best way to plan funds early is to avoid it.

$SQQQ(SQQQ)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ 

@Daily_Discussion @Tiger_chat @MillionaireTiger @TigerStars