To The Moon

Advanced Micro Devices: reset or opportunity? This looks less like the end of the Al story and more like a valuation and expectations reset. The sell-off was driven by guidance, not execution. The earnings beat confirmed solid operations, but management did not deliver the near-term Al inflection the market had aggressively priced in. With China demand removed and MI300 ramp visibility pushed out, investors recalibrated from “immediate Al winner” to “cycle participant with timing risk”. That said, calling this the end of AMD’s Al optimism is premature. Three points matter: 1. Crowded trade unwind AMD had become a consensus Al proxy outside Nvidia. When guidance failed to accelerate, positioning, not fundamentals, did the damage. A 17 percent drawdown in one session has clear capitulation c

Thoughts on this dip?

This is a pivotal moment for AMD. The 17% plunge is not just a number; it's a violent market verdict on its AI narrative. Let's break down whether this is a structural breakdown or a painful, but temporary, dislocation. 1. Is This the End of AMD's AI Optimism? No, but it's the end of the "AI optimism at any price" phase. The market has shifted from valuing AI potential to demanding AI proof. The key issues from the report that triggered the reset: "Less Impressive Without China": This is critical. A significant portion of Q4's beat was driven by one-off, lower-margin sales in China ahead of new export restrictions. Stripping that out reveals underlying demand that was good, but not "beat-and-raise" spectacular. The market hates being misled by non-recurring boosts. Lack of Near-Term Inflec

Amd was inflated lol

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  and $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  is not a comparison. Right now AMD is a buy at this levels. Can buy some and wait to see if it drops again. Earnings was an A+. This is a long term hold for 3 to 5 years. SMCI on the other hand, is not a long term stock. You can trade it of there's momentum and uptrend. 

ARM to beat and Qualcomm to miss

I go for AMD then any other company. AMD doing well in AI

Advanced Micro Devices: Guidance in Context Guidance Summary AMD reported above-consensus revenue and EPS for its latest quarter, with data-centre revenue of around $5.4 billion.  For Q1 2026, guidance was roughly $9.5 billion to $10.1 billion (midpoint of about $9.8 billion), slightly above Street expectations but down sequentially from Q4.  Market Reaction Investors focused on the sequential decline in anticipated quarterly sales as a signal that the AI hardware build-out, while intact, might be normalising after a peak cadence of orders. The stock’s downward move reflects this recalibration rather than a fundamental earnings miss.  The guidance, though slightly below the most bullish forecasts, was nonetheless in line with analyst estimates and represented a conservative

AMD's Reality Check: Why Strong Earnings Couldn't Prevent a Selloff Semiconductor giant $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   released its Q4 earnings after the bell, triggering a sell-off that sent shares tumbling more than 8% in after-hours trading. What exactly happened? Let's take a closer look. Three Things to Watch Q1 Guidance Misses Expectations; The Performance Unlock Awaits the MI450 in H2 At first glance, AMD's Q4 2025 metrics seem to beat market expectations significantly. However, once you strip out the revenue from the China-specific MI308, the beat is actually quite modest. Furthermore, AMD's guidance for Q1 2026 failed to show the kind of sequential surge seen in AI memory stocks like $Micron Techno

AMD: Drop | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop Expensive stocks may fall if they don’t beat expectations, while cheaper stocks with real sales may rise.

Interesting that AMD dropped, despite decent results being announced. I guessed it gets compared to nvda, whether it wants to or not, and the most valuable company in the world puts anyone to shame. I do not believe that amd really looks at themselves to be an equal competitor to nvda though. They lack the first mover advantage, and are focusing on slightly different fields. I think amd could also look to consolidate the market for consumer facing products, specifically the pc parts where nvda looked dreadful as the days passed, before heavily pivoting towards AI. Amd could really anchor itself now and in the future as the brand that kept its focus and eke out a means of being a legitimate brand, even if the AI bubble pops.

AMD: Jump | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop Reason: I believe AMD's AI demand remains strong enough to support a stock jump; however, Qualcomm might experience a pullback due to the weak mobile market.

The recent earnings reports from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) have indeed led to a divergence in their stock performances, with AMD falling 7% and SMCI surging 7%. Let's break down the key points from their earnings reports and analyze the implications for their stocks. AMD's earnings report showed impressive 30%+ year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth and a 16% earnings per share (EPS) beat. However, the company's Q1 guidance of 9.8billionfellshortofthemostbullishexpectationsof 10 billion+, leading to a 7% decline in its stock price. Notably, AMD's data center revenue reached a record $5.4 billion, indicating strong demand for its products in this segment. On the other hand, SMCI reported a significant surge in revenue, with FY26 Q2 revenue of 12.7bi

AMD Shares Drop 5% as First Quarter Revenue Outlook Miss Some Estimates $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   shares declined more than 5% in extended trading Tuesday after the company's revenue outlook missed some of the analysts' estimates.  Revenue for the first quarter of 2026 is forecast at about $9.8 billion, plus or minus $300 million, including about $100 million of AMD Instinct MI308 sales to China, the company said in its earnings release. Analysts' estimates range from $8.32 billion to $10.23 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  For the fourth quarter ended December, revenue rose to a record $10.3 billion, boosted by shipments to China. While that surpassed the $9.65 billion aver

AMD: Jump | SMCI: Drop | QCOM: Jump | ARM: Jump Reason: CPU server shortage may drive AMD higher

AMD>Jump (Server dominance); SMCI>Drop (Margin pressure); QCOM>Jump (Aggressive push into Automotivr & AI is providing a nrw growth narrative that offsets a maturing mobile market) ARM>Jump (Royalty Power)

AMD: Drop | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop

🌟🌟🌟AMD $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is currently experiencing a post earnings volatility crush.  Despite reporting record revenue of USD 10.3 billion and beating EPS estimates at USD 1.53, AMD shares fell 5.75% in the after hours trading due to a projected revenue decline for Q1 2026. For those traders who believe in Lisa Su's 55% gross margin guidance and server CPU sell out through 2026 will lead to a swift rebound , a Bull Call Spread is more effective than buying outright  calls during a volatility crush. Set Up: Buy a USD 230 Call and sell a USD 250 call.  This caps your upside but significantly lowers your break even point. @Tiger_comments

Can AMD, SMCI, QCOM & ARM strike back to outrun their Memory peers? AMD: The Measured Retreat:DROP Despite a beat & raise performance from Lisa Su, AMD faces the classic perfection problem.  After a massive runup, the bar was set so high it requires a miracle to clear it. Expect a slight pullback as AMD catches its breath. SMCI: The Volatile Rebound: JUMP After a brutal year of margin anxiety, SMCI is finally showing that Volume is King.  With AI server demand still insatiable, any sign of fiscal discipline will send SMCI back toward the stratosphere. QCOM: The Gravity Check: DROP Qualcomm is currently fighting a 2 front war: stagnating mobile phone  sales & a transition to AI PCs.  Unless QCOM reveal a surprise strategy, gravity may win this round. ARM: T

AMD: Jump | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop Reason: I believe AMD's AI demand remains strong enough to support a stock jump; however, Qualcomm might experience a pullback due to the mobile market's drag.

This is a pivotal moment for AMD. The 17% plunge is not just a number; it's a violent market verdict on its AI narrative. Let's break down whether this is a structural breakdown or a painful, but temporary, dislocation. 1. Is This the End of AMD's AI Optimism? No, but it's the end of the "AI optimism at any price" phase. The market has shifted from valuing AI potential to demanding AI proof. The key issues from the report that triggered the reset: "Less Impressive Without China": This is critical. A significant portion of Q4's beat was driven by one-off, lower-margin sales in China ahead of new export restrictions. Stripping that out reveals underlying demand that was good, but not "beat-and-raise" spectacular. The market hates being misled by non-recurring boosts. Lack of Near-Term Inflec

Advanced Micro Devices: reset or opportunity? This looks less like the end of the Al story and more like a valuation and expectations reset. The sell-off was driven by guidance, not execution. The earnings beat confirmed solid operations, but management did not deliver the near-term Al inflection the market had aggressively priced in. With China demand removed and MI300 ramp visibility pushed out, investors recalibrated from “immediate Al winner” to “cycle participant with timing risk”. That said, calling this the end of AMD’s Al optimism is premature. Three points matter: 1. Crowded trade unwind AMD had become a consensus Al proxy outside Nvidia. When guidance failed to accelerate, positioning, not fundamentals, did the damage. A 17 percent drawdown in one session has clear capitulation c

Thoughts on this dip?

Yesterday my DEMO account wins.Only planned $Walt Disney(DIS)$ Bull Call Spread. AI Tool Support: My pre-market Options Plans for $DIS, $NXPI, $PLTRI spent like $30 but earned over $200Data as of YesterdayToday, I choose $PayPal(PYPL)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ as my observation and follow tickers.Personally, I like $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ better.$PayPal(PYPL)$ Dipped -0.68%: Q4 Revenue Miss & CEO Transition Weigh, Key Su

AMD's Reality Check: Why Strong Earnings Couldn't Prevent a Selloff Semiconductor giant $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   released its Q4 earnings after the bell, triggering a sell-off that sent shares tumbling more than 8% in after-hours trading. What exactly happened? Let's take a closer look. Three Things to Watch Q1 Guidance Misses Expectations; The Performance Unlock Awaits the MI450 in H2 At first glance, AMD's Q4 2025 metrics seem to beat market expectations significantly. However, once you strip out the revenue from the China-specific MI308, the beat is actually quite modest. Furthermore, AMD's guidance for Q1 2026 failed to show the kind of sequential surge seen in AI memory stocks like $Micron Techno

Advanced Micro Devices: Guidance in Context Guidance Summary AMD reported above-consensus revenue and EPS for its latest quarter, with data-centre revenue of around $5.4 billion.  For Q1 2026, guidance was roughly $9.5 billion to $10.1 billion (midpoint of about $9.8 billion), slightly above Street expectations but down sequentially from Q4.  Market Reaction Investors focused on the sequential decline in anticipated quarterly sales as a signal that the AI hardware build-out, while intact, might be normalising after a peak cadence of orders. The stock’s downward move reflects this recalibration rather than a fundamental earnings miss.  The guidance, though slightly below the most bullish forecasts, was nonetheless in line with analyst estimates and represented a conservative

Recent market performance has left many tech investors disheartened. Compared to last year's widespread euphoria, the semiconductor sector seems to have been "abandoned" by the market, with capital fiercely flowing towards the latest market darling – the memory section. While memory giants like Hynix and Micron reap huge profits from AI server demand, logic chip and architecture powerhouses are grappling with "growth premium" scrutiny. This week, AMD, SMCI, Qualcomm, and ARM, four companies at the center of the storm, will release their earnings reports. From "Storytelling" to "Order Books" $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$:Challenging NVIDIA as the "Number Two Player" The market is no longer satisfied with Lisa Su showcasing the MI455 chip; they want

Amd was inflated lol

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  and $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  is not a comparison. Right now AMD is a buy at this levels. Can buy some and wait to see if it drops again. Earnings was an A+. This is a long term hold for 3 to 5 years. SMCI on the other hand, is not a long term stock. You can trade it of there's momentum and uptrend. 

$Advanced Micro Corporation (AMD) $Will be onAnnounce the latest quarterly earnings report on February 3 (after hours EST), the overall market expectation is optimistic. Analysts generally expect that the company willRevenue is approximately in the range of US $9.4 billion-9.7 billion，Earnings per share (EPS) of approximately $1.24-$1.32, maintaining year-on-year growth. Wherein,Data Center and AI Accelerator BusinessStill the biggest attraction, investors focus on the shipment progress of Instinct series GPUs and EPYC server CPUs and their contribution to gross profit margins; Client and game businesses are regarded as performance stabilizers. After the financial report is announced,Management's Guidance for FY2026Will become a key variable influenci

The recent earnings reports from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) have indeed led to a divergence in their stock performances, with AMD falling 7% and SMCI surging 7%. Let's break down the key points from their earnings reports and analyze the implications for their stocks. AMD's earnings report showed impressive 30%+ year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth and a 16% earnings per share (EPS) beat. However, the company's Q1 guidance of 9.8billionfellshortofthemostbullishexpectationsof 10 billion+, leading to a 7% decline in its stock price. Notably, AMD's data center revenue reached a record $5.4 billion, indicating strong demand for its products in this segment. On the other hand, SMCI reported a significant surge in revenue, with FY26 Q2 revenue of 12.7bi

AMD Shares Drop 5% as First Quarter Revenue Outlook Miss Some Estimates $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   shares declined more than 5% in extended trading Tuesday after the company's revenue outlook missed some of the analysts' estimates.  Revenue for the first quarter of 2026 is forecast at about $9.8 billion, plus or minus $300 million, including about $100 million of AMD Instinct MI308 sales to China, the company said in its earnings release. Analysts' estimates range from $8.32 billion to $10.23 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  For the fourth quarter ended December, revenue rose to a record $10.3 billion, boosted by shipments to China. While that surpassed the $9.65 billion aver

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on February 3, 2026, after the market close. This report is arguably one of the most critical "stress tests" in the company's recent history, coming on the heels of significant 2025 volatility and operational hurdles. Key Metrics & Earnings Expectations Wall Street is looking for a massive sequential rebound after a disappointing Q1. The company itself has set a high bar for this quarter: Revenue: The company guided between $10 billion and $11 billion, representing a nearly 100% sequential increase from Q1 ($5.02B). Missing this midpoint would likely trigger severe concerns about demand fulfillment. Non-GAAP EPS: Analysts are targeting roughly $0.49 (with guida

ARM to beat and Qualcomm to miss

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  This week isn’t just another earnings cycle, it’s a stress test of whether liquidity, labour data, and earnings momentum can keep equities climbing while macro and political risks crowd the tape. I’m positioning where that decision shows up first, not after it’s obvious. 02Feb26 ET 🇺🇸 and we’re entering one of those weeks where everything converges at once. Earnings weight, labour data, shutdown politics, tariff talk, sector rotation and global policy signals are all colliding. When catalysts stack like this, price rarely moves gently. It reprices. I’m not trading headlines.

AMD Earnings Preview: High Stakes for the Data Center and the Bridge to MI455 Global semiconductor giant $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   is set to release its Q4 earnings after the closing bell on February 3, Eastern Time. Previously, the market narrative surrounding a shortage of server CPUs drove a rally for both $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   and $Intel(INTC)$   , but this momentum was briefly interrupted by Intel's disappointing financial results.  Recently, market sentiment has been tested by rumors suggesting a delay in the mass pro

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 02Feb2026) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Update The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled for release in the coming week. Previously, the year-on-year CPI was reported at 2.7%. This data is significant as it provides insight into the current inflation rate, a critical economic indicator. Market volatility is expected around the release, given CPI’s role in reflecting inflation trends. Controlling inflation remains a central focus for the Federal Government, which has set a target rate of 2%. Existing Home Sales for January Another important economic indicator to be released is the existing home sales data for January. The previous report showed a figure of 4.35 million. The upcoming data will offer valuable insight into the

Can AMD, SMCI, QCOM & ARM strike back to outrun their Memory peers? AMD: The Measured Retreat:DROP Despite a beat & raise performance from Lisa Su, AMD faces the classic perfection problem.  After a massive runup, the bar was set so high it requires a miracle to clear it. Expect a slight pullback as AMD catches its breath. SMCI: The Volatile Rebound: JUMP After a brutal year of margin anxiety, SMCI is finally showing that Volume is King.  With AI server demand still insatiable, any sign of fiscal discipline will send SMCI back toward the stratosphere. QCOM: The Gravity Check: DROP Qualcomm is currently fighting a 2 front war: stagnating mobile phone  sales & a transition to AI PCs.  Unless QCOM reveal a surprise strategy, gravity may win this round. ARM: T

We have seen how $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ suffer more than 5% dip on last Friday (30 Jan), though AMD has a more balanced chip business than Nvidia. AMD stock trades at a premium valuation of 40 times expected 2026 earnings. With rumor concerning potential production hiccups for its upcoming MI450 AI accelerators, will this further shake investors confidence for AMD ahead of its earnings. As AMD prepares to release its Q4 2025 earnings on February 3, 2026, the concern of its "premium" status could not be overlooked. While $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ dominates the headlines, AMD has quietly positioned itself as the "balanced" alternative, though this comes with a high bar for performance. In this article, we would

Interesting that AMD dropped, despite decent results being announced. I guessed it gets compared to nvda, whether it wants to or not, and the most valuable company in the world puts anyone to shame. I do not believe that amd really looks at themselves to be an equal competitor to nvda though. They lack the first mover advantage, and are focusing on slightly different fields. I think amd could also look to consolidate the market for consumer facing products, specifically the pc parts where nvda looked dreadful as the days passed, before heavily pivoting towards AI. Amd could really anchor itself now and in the future as the brand that kept its focus and eke out a means of being a legitimate brand, even if the AI bubble pops.