• MerleBobbyMerleBobby
      ·03-28 18:20
      $GCT Semiconductor, Inc.(GCTS)$ my opinion … cant pound this table any harder WARRANTS IS THE PLAY!!!! share price holding and warrants under 1$ with strike price 11.5$ 1:1 as they move closer to exercise they come within 11.5 distance from share price thats 30$ right now on a 0.5$ warrant 60x play… shares will drop and warrants will be used to hedge shorts and come closer…
      121Comment
      Report
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-27 14:20

      How the Fed and geopolitical risks could impact markets

      At the end of the month, the news from the terrorist attacks in Moscow shocked the market again, and also caused investors to worry about geopolitical progress. So will this event become a new driving factor and dominate the market in the second quarter? My personal opinion is that the possibility is relatively low. Unless there are more actions and conflicts between the two sides, the market will digest this topic quickly.First of all, from the market feedback, at first glance, there is a certain degree of risk aversion, but in fact, the assets themselves still show signs of "fighting", which shows that the event itself is not of high magnitude. For example, the US dollar did rebound and rise, but as we said before, the US Dollar Index is in the form of diamond, so it is not necessary to
      1.10KComment
      Report
      How the Fed and geopolitical risks could impact markets
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-26

      The Fed Doves Remain In Charge, But Why The Market Didn't Buy It?

      There is no suspense in the results of the Fed's interest rate meeting last week, and Powell's speech after the meeting is also dovish. At present, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates three times this year and reduce the QT rhythm at the same time. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as expected by the market, at least the current doves expect already has sufficient pricing, so the sensitivity of the follow-up market to the news of interest rate cuts will be relatively reduced. The integrity of the capital market will be weaker than before.When the expectation of interest rate cut becomes closer and closer, the market's reaction to the news will become more dull, and even fluctuate in reverse (all the good news is bad), so the financial market wil
      1.04KComment
      Report
      The Fed Doves Remain In Charge, But Why The Market Didn't Buy It?
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·03-22

      The Bank of Japan just made a historic rate pivot. What could happen next?

      In the past two years, in order to cope with the problem of high inflation, the central banks of major economies represented by the United States have started the rate hike cycle one after another, but Japan is an exception. As the only remaining "negative interest rate" in the world, Japan has maintained a loose monetary policy for a long time. However, the situation has changed now.A few days ago, the Bank of Japan announced an increase in the policy interest rate, and the negative interest rate policy that lasted for many years came to an end. It is worth mentioning that this is the first rate hike of the Bank of Japan since 2007, and the eight-year "negative interest rate era" in Japan has officially ended.Although the Bank of Japan's move shows its confidence in economic recovery, it
      8942
      Report
      The Bank of Japan just made a historic rate pivot. What could happen next?
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-21

      Time digestion space may be the best option now?

      Except for those categories that have been fluctuating for a long time, most assets that performed strongly in the first quarter or even set a new record high have experienced weak upside in the near future. Interestingly, the two leading brothers who lead the rise are unexpectedly in the same pace in the medium and long term. With the emergence of adjustment, compared with the rapid and rapid sharp drop, the way that may be buffered by time is also an option.As we all know, NVIDIA is the standard-bearer of AI concept and the engine of the bull market of US stocks last year, and the crazy performance of Bitcoin in the past few months is obvious to all. Although there is a certain degree of correlation between the two, it is not difficult to find that such a high degree of positive correlat
      1.72KComment
      Report
      Time digestion space may be the best option now?
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-19

      Watch Out For Big Market Waves!Fed Meeting Is Expected To Leave Interest Rates Unchanged

      With the release of various economic data in the United States and the speeches of the Federal Reserve Chairman and major officials, the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June has been extremely extreme.When we have been used to the good news, the small bad news will be particularly dazzling, which is exactly the case in the current market. March-May is another pricing of the Fed's interest rate cut path. The rate cut is not as fast as expected, and the market will also fall into shock, with different impacts on various commodities.First, the price of varieties with sufficient interest rate cut expectations began to fluctuateThe varieties whose price fluctuation is closely related to the expectation of interest rate cut are the varieties that have fully
      2.56K2
      Report
      Watch Out For Big Market Waves!Fed Meeting Is Expected To Leave Interest Rates Unchanged
    • 许亚鑫许亚鑫
      ·03-15

      PPI Above Expectations After Months of Inflation Progress,What Does It Mean For GOLD& OIL

      At 20:30 Beijing time on Thursday, March 14th, the US Department of Labor released the PPI data for February, which exceeded expectations in terms of year-on-year, month-on-month and core PPI year-on-year data. Relaying the previous CPI data, it further continued to imply the stubbornness of inflation.Data show that the PPI of the United States warmed up beyond expectations in February, rising by 1.6% year-on-year, and the previous value was 1.2%.Far exceeding the expected 0.9%; PPI accelerated by 0.6% month-on-month,It is twice the expected value,The previous value is 0.3%.PictureThe core PPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 2% year-on-year, which was the same as the previous value.Exceeding expectations by 1.9%;The core PPI rose by 0.3% month-on-month, which was less than th
      1.20KComment
      Report
      PPI Above Expectations After Months of Inflation Progress,What Does It Mean For GOLD& OIL
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-14

      Unexpected outbreak of gold, a prelude to inflation

      The most difficult situation in financial markets is that the news does not match the market, or the market price suddenly riots, and you can't find any news that can explain it. Last week's gold market was a similar situation. There is suspense but not much in the Fed's interest rate cut, which is not enough to support the rapid upward movement of gold price (there is nothing wrong with rising more or less, but the speed is really unexpected). For gold prices, an unproven,However, the logic that may conform to the current market reason is that there are funds that think that the gold reserves stored in the United States are not enough to cope with the delivery in the financial market, that is, the forced market in futures terminology.Although this possibility is very rare, once there are
      1.05KComment
      Report
      Unexpected outbreak of gold, a prelude to inflation
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-13

      What‘s The Gold's Next Move After Hitting A New Record High

      When gold was in 1450 position, we had boldly assumed that the current bull market of gold could rise to 2200-2300. At that time, many people didn't understand that the Federal Reserve was about to tighten at that time, and there was no reason for gold to enter a big bull market. However, the power of the market itself (graph) still proves that the real relationship between supply and demand has been included in the market. Now, with the new high coming earlier than expected, we need to consider whether 2300 will still be the upper limit of gold.This is a picture that I like to show you in online and offline lectures over the past year, and it is also the reason why I have always been optimistic about gold. 2263 is the lowest bull market target price that gold can reach according to the pe
      982Comment
      Report
      What‘s The Gold's Next Move After Hitting A New Record High
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·03-07

      Will Japan's Stock Market Rally Still have More Room To Run?

      In the first two months of 2024, the Japanese stock market continued to be strong, in which the Nikkei 225 index rose by more than 19% in the year ending March 5, while it rose by 28.2% in 2023. The rally was fueled by ultra-loose monetary policy in the Japanese stock market, which was further fueled by the magnification of overseas profits of Japanese companies in the context of the depreciation of the yen.In the short term, the Bank of Japan will not withdraw from QEE soon, and it will take time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Driven by the slowdown of economic growth and loose monetary policy, the depreciation trend of the yen will not be reversed, and the Japanese stock market bubble will continue to expand. In the medium term, with Japan's inflation reaching the policy
      841Comment
      Report
      Will Japan's Stock Market Rally Still have More Room To Run?
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-06

      What Pushs Gold to break through historical resistance?And What's The Next?

      The suspense in the US stock market has settled with the rising of NVIDIA, the leading eldest brother, and the risk appetite continues to support the upward attack of bulls. At the same time, crude oil prices also slowly made a breakthrough, It is particularly worth mentioning that after a wave of rising in the weekend, gold returned to the vicinity of the previous historical high point. The competition here is expected to determine whether the bull market can restart in the near future.The 2090 area is the key price of gold triple head before, and it is also the watershed of long-short conversion after the record high. Interestingly, this Friday will be a new non-farm day. According to past experience, when faced with key support and resistance, risk events will also be potential driving
      1.35K2
      Report
      What Pushs Gold to break through historical resistance?And What's The Next?
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-05

      What‘s The Next Move Of Gold And Oil Price?Focuse On This Key Indicator.

      Just entering March, in the absence of obvious special news, gold, US stocks and crude oil all rose sharply last Friday night, not to mention the rapid upward trend of Bitcoin a few days ago. This trend of market resonance shows that besides believing in the expectation of interest rate cut, the market began to gradually believe that inflation is coming again, which leads to the strange phenomenon that interest rate cut and inflation coexist. Theoretically, when inflation rises, the Federal Reserve has no incentive to cut interest rates. However, with the current high bond stock of the Federal Reserve (with a total loss of US $114.3 billion last year), it will take about four years to "turn losses" even if the interest rate is cut now. Therefore, the market believes that the interest rate
      1.74KComment
      Report
      What‘s The Next Move Of Gold And Oil Price?Focuse On This Key Indicator.
    • 许亚鑫许亚鑫
      ·02-29

      Gold Seen Lower Ahead of U.S. PCE Inflation Data,What To Watch Tonight?

      According to CME "Federal Reserve Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 97.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.5%. By May, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 82.2%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 17.4%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.4%.PictureAs can be seen from the above figure, the current price of the futures market has expected that the Fed will stay put in March and May, and the time node when it is more likely to cut interest rates will be postponed until June this year,It is basically consistent with the expectations that the Fed wanted to guide before.On February 28th, at 21:30
      1.17KComment
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      Gold Seen Lower Ahead of U.S. PCE Inflation Data,What To Watch Tonight?
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·02-28

      2 Key Signs of The Short-term Market Top

      The star stocks in 2023 are still shining in the new year. Driven by the strong financial report in the fourth quarter, NVIDIA jumped sharply and opened higher and reached a new record high. However, the performance of making up the gap on the same day still left some hidden dangers. Will this trigger the arrival of the US stock market correction?As we all know, the main driving force of this round of continuous slow bull market of US stock is AI stocks, and NVIDIA is the leading figure. After the Lunar New Year, the short-term deviation between Nasdaq and S&P was also affected by Nvidia's three-day consecutive decline. In other words, if NVDA shows signs of head, it will probably trigger continuous downward pressure on US stocks.Fundamentally speaking, the beautiful data and expectati
      1.60KComment
      Report
      2 Key Signs of The Short-term Market Top
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·02-27

      GOLD Price Inflection Is Coming: Is It Time To Buy Or Sell?

      With the announcement of the resignation of the Palestinian government, the tension in the Middle East seems to have eased relatively. Although it is still not optimistic that the conflict in Gaza will end here, such emergencies usually prolong the ceasefire, so the upward momentum for oil prices is weakened, making the trend still tangled. In fact, this result is not unexpected. At present, WTI crude oil still fluctuates along the edge of the 20-week moving average.If it can break through 79, the price will be the support for a period of time in the future. If it cannot break through, it is normal to bottom out 70 or even fall below 70 again. After all, the oil price environment is a broad volatile market in the first half of the year, and the fluctuation of $10 is only a swing rather tha
      1.62KComment
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      GOLD Price Inflection Is Coming: Is It Time To Buy Or Sell?
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·02-22

      Short-term Oil Market Outlook

      During the Spring Festival holiday, the international energy market was full of ice and fire, and the international crude oil price rose sharply, but the international natural gas price fell sharply. Among them, NYMEX WTI crude oil and ICE Brent crude oil rose by more than 2%, but natural gas prices in the United States and Europe fell by more than 11%. In the two trading days after the Spring Festival, the rise of international crude oil slowed down, which means that the favorable supply interference brought by the escalation of the Red Sea crisis is weakening.Figure 1: The price of 1: WTI crude oil futures April contract rose sharply during the Spring FestivalLooking ahead to the market outlook, we believe that the rise in crude oil prices has come to an end in the short term due to fact
      1.41KComment
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      Short-term Oil Market Outlook
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·02-20

      How To Find The Best Trading Opportunities In This Stock Market

      Looking at the tourism data of the Spring Festival, it is estimated that everyone has a good time this Spring Festival, so the market expectation next week will make us continue to be happy.During the Spring Festival this year, it should be regarded as the calmest Spring Festival market in recent years. The trend of various varieties is generally tepid, and there is no amazing fluctuation, which means that the fluctuation will be concentrated in the post-holiday market.During the Spring Festival, there are two biggest news highlights. One is the birth of sora, which will continue to boost the performance of AI stocks; Second, the Russian army has completely controlled the city of Avdeevka, an important defense hub in Ukraine. The victory of this strategic place means that Russia's control
      1.45K1
      Report
      How To Find The Best Trading Opportunities In This Stock Market
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·02-08

      Oil price forecast for 2024

      If you want to find a variety that is the most difficult to predict the general trend and direction this year, then crude oil must be on the list. Unlike most assets we looked forward to before, oil prices have been fluctuating within a relatively standard box since the end of 2022. Even if there are unexpected factors of production reduction/restriction and geopolitical conflict,However, the Biden administration is still ideal to "control" the price in the range of roughly 70-100 dollars. However, with the coming of the general election, the play and influence of the invisible hand of the United States may change.Selling crude oil reserves above $100 and buying crude oil reserves below $70 is Biden's previous clear operation against oil prices. In fact, the trend is perfectly in line with
      597Comment
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      Oil price forecast for 2024
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·02-06

      Powell Pushed Rate Cut Expectation To Later This Year,What It Mean For The Market?

      This year's first meeting on interest rates has ended, and the wording is almost consistent with market expectations, while the unexpected non-farm data has greatly delayed the market's expectation of rate cut this year, which is basically consistent with the situation that I expected to start cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. Generally speaking, these data are enough to affect the market trend in the next two months or so until the interest rate meeting in March, so everyone should not be too optimistic about the market in the next two months.First, the trend of the US stock indexNon-farm exceeded expectations, which suppressed the expectation of rate cut, but it was also a signal of strong economy, so it was not bad for the trend of US stock index that day. However,
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      Powell Pushed Rate Cut Expectation To Later This Year,What It Mean For The Market?
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·01-31

      Bullish Outlook For Gold Prices In 2024

      Gold experienced a good year in 2023. Under the trend of first suppressing and then rising, gold finally set a new record high. However, the short-term short-selling market did not bring about sustained buying, but triggered obvious profit-taking. Although the trend in the beginning of the year is average, from the medium and long-term structure, it is more likely that gold will continue to slow down to a new high in 2024.From the seasonal situation, the continuity of gold after the new high is still ideal, and there is no historical case of false breakthrough. From the correction situation, the time span is usually in one quarter, not more than two consecutive quarters, otherwise the periodic trend has changed. From the absolute pullback percentage, the more common ratio is 10-15%, genera
      7961
      Report
      Bullish Outlook For Gold Prices In 2024
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-27 14:20

      How the Fed and geopolitical risks could impact markets

      At the end of the month, the news from the terrorist attacks in Moscow shocked the market again, and also caused investors to worry about geopolitical progress. So will this event become a new driving factor and dominate the market in the second quarter? My personal opinion is that the possibility is relatively low. Unless there are more actions and conflicts between the two sides, the market will digest this topic quickly.First of all, from the market feedback, at first glance, there is a certain degree of risk aversion, but in fact, the assets themselves still show signs of "fighting", which shows that the event itself is not of high magnitude. For example, the US dollar did rebound and rise, but as we said before, the US Dollar Index is in the form of diamond, so it is not necessary to
      1.10KComment
      Report
      How the Fed and geopolitical risks could impact markets
    • MerleBobbyMerleBobby
      ·03-28 18:20
      $GCT Semiconductor, Inc.(GCTS)$ my opinion … cant pound this table any harder WARRANTS IS THE PLAY!!!! share price holding and warrants under 1$ with strike price 11.5$ 1:1 as they move closer to exercise they come within 11.5 distance from share price thats 30$ right now on a 0.5$ warrant 60x play… shares will drop and warrants will be used to hedge shorts and come closer…
      121Comment
      Report
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-26

      The Fed Doves Remain In Charge, But Why The Market Didn't Buy It?

      There is no suspense in the results of the Fed's interest rate meeting last week, and Powell's speech after the meeting is also dovish. At present, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates three times this year and reduce the QT rhythm at the same time. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as expected by the market, at least the current doves expect already has sufficient pricing, so the sensitivity of the follow-up market to the news of interest rate cuts will be relatively reduced. The integrity of the capital market will be weaker than before.When the expectation of interest rate cut becomes closer and closer, the market's reaction to the news will become more dull, and even fluctuate in reverse (all the good news is bad), so the financial market wil
      1.04KComment
      Report
      The Fed Doves Remain In Charge, But Why The Market Didn't Buy It?
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·03-22

      The Bank of Japan just made a historic rate pivot. What could happen next?

      In the past two years, in order to cope with the problem of high inflation, the central banks of major economies represented by the United States have started the rate hike cycle one after another, but Japan is an exception. As the only remaining "negative interest rate" in the world, Japan has maintained a loose monetary policy for a long time. However, the situation has changed now.A few days ago, the Bank of Japan announced an increase in the policy interest rate, and the negative interest rate policy that lasted for many years came to an end. It is worth mentioning that this is the first rate hike of the Bank of Japan since 2007, and the eight-year "negative interest rate era" in Japan has officially ended.Although the Bank of Japan's move shows its confidence in economic recovery, it
      8942
      Report
      The Bank of Japan just made a historic rate pivot. What could happen next?
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-19

      Watch Out For Big Market Waves!Fed Meeting Is Expected To Leave Interest Rates Unchanged

      With the release of various economic data in the United States and the speeches of the Federal Reserve Chairman and major officials, the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June has been extremely extreme.When we have been used to the good news, the small bad news will be particularly dazzling, which is exactly the case in the current market. March-May is another pricing of the Fed's interest rate cut path. The rate cut is not as fast as expected, and the market will also fall into shock, with different impacts on various commodities.First, the price of varieties with sufficient interest rate cut expectations began to fluctuateThe varieties whose price fluctuation is closely related to the expectation of interest rate cut are the varieties that have fully
      2.56K2
      Report
      Watch Out For Big Market Waves!Fed Meeting Is Expected To Leave Interest Rates Unchanged
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-21

      Time digestion space may be the best option now?

      Except for those categories that have been fluctuating for a long time, most assets that performed strongly in the first quarter or even set a new record high have experienced weak upside in the near future. Interestingly, the two leading brothers who lead the rise are unexpectedly in the same pace in the medium and long term. With the emergence of adjustment, compared with the rapid and rapid sharp drop, the way that may be buffered by time is also an option.As we all know, NVIDIA is the standard-bearer of AI concept and the engine of the bull market of US stocks last year, and the crazy performance of Bitcoin in the past few months is obvious to all. Although there is a certain degree of correlation between the two, it is not difficult to find that such a high degree of positive correlat
      1.72KComment
      Report
      Time digestion space may be the best option now?
    • 许亚鑫许亚鑫
      ·03-15

      PPI Above Expectations After Months of Inflation Progress,What Does It Mean For GOLD& OIL

      At 20:30 Beijing time on Thursday, March 14th, the US Department of Labor released the PPI data for February, which exceeded expectations in terms of year-on-year, month-on-month and core PPI year-on-year data. Relaying the previous CPI data, it further continued to imply the stubbornness of inflation.Data show that the PPI of the United States warmed up beyond expectations in February, rising by 1.6% year-on-year, and the previous value was 1.2%.Far exceeding the expected 0.9%; PPI accelerated by 0.6% month-on-month,It is twice the expected value,The previous value is 0.3%.PictureThe core PPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 2% year-on-year, which was the same as the previous value.Exceeding expectations by 1.9%;The core PPI rose by 0.3% month-on-month, which was less than th
      1.20KComment
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      PPI Above Expectations After Months of Inflation Progress,What Does It Mean For GOLD& OIL
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-14

      Unexpected outbreak of gold, a prelude to inflation

      The most difficult situation in financial markets is that the news does not match the market, or the market price suddenly riots, and you can't find any news that can explain it. Last week's gold market was a similar situation. There is suspense but not much in the Fed's interest rate cut, which is not enough to support the rapid upward movement of gold price (there is nothing wrong with rising more or less, but the speed is really unexpected). For gold prices, an unproven,However, the logic that may conform to the current market reason is that there are funds that think that the gold reserves stored in the United States are not enough to cope with the delivery in the financial market, that is, the forced market in futures terminology.Although this possibility is very rare, once there are
      1.05KComment
      Report
      Unexpected outbreak of gold, a prelude to inflation
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-13

      What‘s The Gold's Next Move After Hitting A New Record High

      When gold was in 1450 position, we had boldly assumed that the current bull market of gold could rise to 2200-2300. At that time, many people didn't understand that the Federal Reserve was about to tighten at that time, and there was no reason for gold to enter a big bull market. However, the power of the market itself (graph) still proves that the real relationship between supply and demand has been included in the market. Now, with the new high coming earlier than expected, we need to consider whether 2300 will still be the upper limit of gold.This is a picture that I like to show you in online and offline lectures over the past year, and it is also the reason why I have always been optimistic about gold. 2263 is the lowest bull market target price that gold can reach according to the pe
      982Comment
      Report
      What‘s The Gold's Next Move After Hitting A New Record High
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·03-07

      Will Japan's Stock Market Rally Still have More Room To Run?

      In the first two months of 2024, the Japanese stock market continued to be strong, in which the Nikkei 225 index rose by more than 19% in the year ending March 5, while it rose by 28.2% in 2023. The rally was fueled by ultra-loose monetary policy in the Japanese stock market, which was further fueled by the magnification of overseas profits of Japanese companies in the context of the depreciation of the yen.In the short term, the Bank of Japan will not withdraw from QEE soon, and it will take time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Driven by the slowdown of economic growth and loose monetary policy, the depreciation trend of the yen will not be reversed, and the Japanese stock market bubble will continue to expand. In the medium term, with Japan's inflation reaching the policy
      841Comment
      Report
      Will Japan's Stock Market Rally Still have More Room To Run?
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·03-05

      What‘s The Next Move Of Gold And Oil Price?Focuse On This Key Indicator.

      Just entering March, in the absence of obvious special news, gold, US stocks and crude oil all rose sharply last Friday night, not to mention the rapid upward trend of Bitcoin a few days ago. This trend of market resonance shows that besides believing in the expectation of interest rate cut, the market began to gradually believe that inflation is coming again, which leads to the strange phenomenon that interest rate cut and inflation coexist. Theoretically, when inflation rises, the Federal Reserve has no incentive to cut interest rates. However, with the current high bond stock of the Federal Reserve (with a total loss of US $114.3 billion last year), it will take about four years to "turn losses" even if the interest rate is cut now. Therefore, the market believes that the interest rate
      1.74KComment
      Report
      What‘s The Next Move Of Gold And Oil Price?Focuse On This Key Indicator.
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·03-06

      What Pushs Gold to break through historical resistance?And What's The Next?

      The suspense in the US stock market has settled with the rising of NVIDIA, the leading eldest brother, and the risk appetite continues to support the upward attack of bulls. At the same time, crude oil prices also slowly made a breakthrough, It is particularly worth mentioning that after a wave of rising in the weekend, gold returned to the vicinity of the previous historical high point. The competition here is expected to determine whether the bull market can restart in the near future.The 2090 area is the key price of gold triple head before, and it is also the watershed of long-short conversion after the record high. Interestingly, this Friday will be a new non-farm day. According to past experience, when faced with key support and resistance, risk events will also be potential driving
      1.35K2
      Report
      What Pushs Gold to break through historical resistance?And What's The Next?
    • 许亚鑫许亚鑫
      ·02-29

      Gold Seen Lower Ahead of U.S. PCE Inflation Data,What To Watch Tonight?

      According to CME "Federal Reserve Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 97.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.5%. By May, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 82.2%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 17.4%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.4%.PictureAs can be seen from the above figure, the current price of the futures market has expected that the Fed will stay put in March and May, and the time node when it is more likely to cut interest rates will be postponed until June this year,It is basically consistent with the expectations that the Fed wanted to guide before.On February 28th, at 21:30
      1.17KComment
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      Gold Seen Lower Ahead of U.S. PCE Inflation Data,What To Watch Tonight?
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·02-22

      Short-term Oil Market Outlook

      During the Spring Festival holiday, the international energy market was full of ice and fire, and the international crude oil price rose sharply, but the international natural gas price fell sharply. Among them, NYMEX WTI crude oil and ICE Brent crude oil rose by more than 2%, but natural gas prices in the United States and Europe fell by more than 11%. In the two trading days after the Spring Festival, the rise of international crude oil slowed down, which means that the favorable supply interference brought by the escalation of the Red Sea crisis is weakening.Figure 1: The price of 1: WTI crude oil futures April contract rose sharply during the Spring FestivalLooking ahead to the market outlook, we believe that the rise in crude oil prices has come to an end in the short term due to fact
      1.41KComment
      Report
      Short-term Oil Market Outlook
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·02-28

      2 Key Signs of The Short-term Market Top

      The star stocks in 2023 are still shining in the new year. Driven by the strong financial report in the fourth quarter, NVIDIA jumped sharply and opened higher and reached a new record high. However, the performance of making up the gap on the same day still left some hidden dangers. Will this trigger the arrival of the US stock market correction?As we all know, the main driving force of this round of continuous slow bull market of US stock is AI stocks, and NVIDIA is the leading figure. After the Lunar New Year, the short-term deviation between Nasdaq and S&P was also affected by Nvidia's three-day consecutive decline. In other words, if NVDA shows signs of head, it will probably trigger continuous downward pressure on US stocks.Fundamentally speaking, the beautiful data and expectati
      1.60KComment
      Report
      2 Key Signs of The Short-term Market Top
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·02-20

      How To Find The Best Trading Opportunities In This Stock Market

      Looking at the tourism data of the Spring Festival, it is estimated that everyone has a good time this Spring Festival, so the market expectation next week will make us continue to be happy.During the Spring Festival this year, it should be regarded as the calmest Spring Festival market in recent years. The trend of various varieties is generally tepid, and there is no amazing fluctuation, which means that the fluctuation will be concentrated in the post-holiday market.During the Spring Festival, there are two biggest news highlights. One is the birth of sora, which will continue to boost the performance of AI stocks; Second, the Russian army has completely controlled the city of Avdeevka, an important defense hub in Ukraine. The victory of this strategic place means that Russia's control
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    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·02-27

      GOLD Price Inflection Is Coming: Is It Time To Buy Or Sell?

      With the announcement of the resignation of the Palestinian government, the tension in the Middle East seems to have eased relatively. Although it is still not optimistic that the conflict in Gaza will end here, such emergencies usually prolong the ceasefire, so the upward momentum for oil prices is weakened, making the trend still tangled. In fact, this result is not unexpected. At present, WTI crude oil still fluctuates along the edge of the 20-week moving average.If it can break through 79, the price will be the support for a period of time in the future. If it cannot break through, it is normal to bottom out 70 or even fall below 70 again. After all, the oil price environment is a broad volatile market in the first half of the year, and the fluctuation of $10 is only a swing rather tha
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      GOLD Price Inflection Is Coming: Is It Time To Buy Or Sell?
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·02-06

      Powell Pushed Rate Cut Expectation To Later This Year,What It Mean For The Market?

      This year's first meeting on interest rates has ended, and the wording is almost consistent with market expectations, while the unexpected non-farm data has greatly delayed the market's expectation of rate cut this year, which is basically consistent with the situation that I expected to start cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. Generally speaking, these data are enough to affect the market trend in the next two months or so until the interest rate meeting in March, so everyone should not be too optimistic about the market in the next two months.First, the trend of the US stock indexNon-farm exceeded expectations, which suppressed the expectation of rate cut, but it was also a signal of strong economy, so it was not bad for the trend of US stock index that day. However,
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      Powell Pushed Rate Cut Expectation To Later This Year,What It Mean For The Market?
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·02-08

      Oil price forecast for 2024

      If you want to find a variety that is the most difficult to predict the general trend and direction this year, then crude oil must be on the list. Unlike most assets we looked forward to before, oil prices have been fluctuating within a relatively standard box since the end of 2022. Even if there are unexpected factors of production reduction/restriction and geopolitical conflict,However, the Biden administration is still ideal to "control" the price in the range of roughly 70-100 dollars. However, with the coming of the general election, the play and influence of the invisible hand of the United States may change.Selling crude oil reserves above $100 and buying crude oil reserves below $70 is Biden's previous clear operation against oil prices. In fact, the trend is perfectly in line with
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    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·01-18

      Where Is the Stock Market Headed after Red Sea War Breaking Out?

      I. Review of Market1. Performance of US stock index futuresSince December, the market is worried about over-pricing of the US Treasury yields, superimposed non-agricultural employment data exceeding expectations, inflation remains resilient, superimposed hawkish remarks of the Federal Reserve, and the yield of 10-year US bonds has rebounded. As the market gradually correction its expectations until the Federal Reserve starts to cut interest rates in mid-2024, the marginal impact of negative interest rate will weaken after the revision of interest rate cut expectations, and market sentiment will gradually repair. The three major indexes will fluctuate and rebound, maintaining a high range of volatility, the US Dollar Index will fluctuate and rebound.fundamental analysis(1) The Red Sea crisi
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      Where Is the Stock Market Headed after Red Sea War Breaking Out?