To The Moon

2024 Review: US Stock Market: Technology stocks, particularly in the AI sector, drove the market higher. The S&P 500 has realised returns in excess of 25% for two consecutive years. Whilst rare, since the start of 2024, this trend indicates a shift from conceptual speculation to profit realisation in AI investments, with the market becoming more stringent in discerning the companies that truly benefit. Hong Kong and China-A (onshore) shares: Financial sectors and High-yielding dividend stocks performed well. Indices like MSCI China Financials Index and FTSE China 50 Index outperformed US benchmarks like the Nasdaq and S&P 500, reflecting the supportive role of policies in driving stable economic growth.2025 Outlook: US Stock Market: As AI technology advances into specialised vertic

Let's talk about the US market outlook for 2025. Full live link replay >>1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ 2025 Year-end Forecasts:These are some of the 2025 year-end forecasts provided by various research houses for the $.SPX(.SPX)$ As of 18 Dec 2024: SPX’s closing price: 5872On average, the year-end target is 6,658, representing a 13% upside compared to yesterday's closing price of 5,872.The most bullish research house is Oppenheimer, they predict a target price of 7100 for the $.SPX(.SPX)$ .However, I want you to know that analysts often change

Here are my talk about AI Industry. Full live link replay >>I have shared a lot about AI trends in the past. Just bear in mind that the AI total addressable market is huge.The valuation for a lot of AI stocks is expensive, but still not as crazily expensive as during the dot-com bubble.For example, the P/E ratio for the Nasdaq 100 is now trading at 35x. At the peak of the dot-com bubble, it was trading at 175x.1995 marked the start of internet monetization. It also kickstarted the dot-com bubble.The entire dot-com bubble lasted for 5 years, from 1995 to 2000.At its peak, the $.SPX(.SPX)$ returned 265%.If AI is a bu

Here are my talk about US tariff. Full live link replay >>About one month ago, Trump said he wanted to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico,and an additional 10% on China.Basically, if the U.S. imposes tariffs on any country, that country will still want to export to the U.S. because it is difficult to find a replacement with the size and appetite of the U.S.The common way to make your goods still look affordable to U.S. companies is through currency depreciation.For example, in 2018-2019, the RMB depreciated as much as 13% when the U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on Chinese goods.Trump’s tariffs are a negotiating tactic to reach a deal.For instance, Trump wan

First, let’s spend some time on Trump’s policy. Full live link replay >>The most important thing you need to know is that Trump’s policies are pro-growth and pro-business, which should be constructive for the U.S. equity market in 2025.For example, he has said that he wants to extend the 2017 personal tax cuts and lower the corporate tax rate.The question here is:How likely is Congress to approve Trump’s tax cut plan?The answer is quite likely because Republicans have a majority in the House and Senate.Trump also pledges to lower the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% for corporations that manufacture products in the U.S.The purpose is to

I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Data Source: Bloomberg, Complied by Tiger Brokers II. Key Market Themes i. Fed Cuts Rates as Expected, Powell’s Hawkish Comments Rattle Markets: Is the Stock Market Peaking Again? Last week, the Federal Reserve's FOMC announced a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the benchmark rate to 4.25%-4.5%. However, the accompanying statements were notably hawkish, with the Cleveland Fed President voting against the decision. Powell also publicly stated, “The current rate policy is no longer as restrictive, and future adjustments will be more cautious.” This aligns with our earlier assessment that the Fed would pause further rate cuts after this one. The dot plot also reflects a more hawkish stance, with three officials suggesting that the Fe

I currently don’t read investment books because my schedule is quite busy, and I believe that real-life trading and investment experiences are more impactful for my learning. For me, the process of analyzing, investing, and reflecting on actual market outcomes offers a more hands-on and intuitive way to understand the complexities of investing, rather than relying on theoretical knowledge. Financially, my primary investment goal is to build a portfolio of high-quality dividend stocks that provide me with stable and consistent income. My vision is to have this dividend income grow large enough to comfortably cover my daily expenses, ensuring a level of financial independence. Beyond dividends, I am also aiming to capitalize on stock price movements to generate significant gains from buying

As 2024 draws to an end with Christmas bells ringing, I finished adjusting most of the positions for the year.  Looking back, I started 2024 with backlog from 2023.  I did 2 major mistakes then in 2023. 1. Overconcentrated positions in Alibaba, which resulted in big swings against my portfolio. Margin requirements went up significantly also, as at peak, up to 80% of my margin requirement was used up by Alibaba. I resolved to reduce my Alibaba sizes in 2024 and diversified away.  This is also the reason why many experienced investors advocated portfolio and risk management. Over concentration does bring fast money, but disproportionate risks as well.  2. Earnings play. During 2023, I dabbled in earnings play by selling short strangles. Most of the time, I made money, but

I don't know if Rally or Correction or Crash ... [Grin]  [Grin]  whatever coming, HAVE A GREAT MERRY LOVELY WONDERFUL CHRISTMAS everyone... [Lovely]  [Lovely]   We have been with 2024 - everything is going to be behind, new year is coming. Wish your all love, health and wealth in this world. [Love]  [Smart]  [USD]  @nomadic_m @Barcode @koolgal @Kiwi Tigress @Tui Jude @Optionspuppy

Fed Outlook 2025: A More Hawkish Fed Committee May Spark More Dissent As we step into 2025, the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has sent ripples through global markets. Last Wednesday's meeting not only raised the inflation outlook but also signaled a restrained approach to rate cuts, leaving investors scrambling to evaluate its potential impacts on the financial landscape. Powell's Hawkish Tone Shakes Wall Street During the December FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell's hawkish stance directly led to a reevaluation of the projected interest rate path for 2025. These adjustments in market expectations have triggered significant turbulence in both equity and bond markets. Beyond the FOMC's decision to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps), th

The S&P has been having one ATH after another, 2025 will be no exception I believe. Especially with Trump's 2nd term about to begin, the feel-good factor probably might somehow boost the market. To how high will it go, only time will tell and to be honest, I'll just keep on DCA into my ETFs which includes $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPLG)$ and $Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$  In the long run, the plummet (if it does happen mid-year), will look like nothing but a blip when everything concludes because S&P 500 has always been an uptrend since decades ago. Of course there have been and will

Life is too short to keep worrying about what you do it's when you do it that matters 

Navigating 2025: My Trading Strategy for SPYG and Broader Markets$SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF(SPYG)$   With major institutions projecting the S&P 500 potentially reaching 7,000 in 2025, I feel optimistic yet cautious about how the year might unfold. The market’s direction will depend heavily on how many interest rate cuts actually happen and how corporate earnings perform. Here’s my approach to trading SPYG and how I plan to capitalize on opportunities while managing risks. Maximizing Monthly Income with SPYG 💰 My strategy for SPYG focuses on consistent returns. By dollar-cost averaging, I’ve accumulated 100 shares at an average price of $87.20, reducing my entry risk. I sell covered calls monthly

Last week, assets entered a new wave of correction after the December FOMC meeting.First, on the rate cut front, the Fed cut 25bp as planned, bringing the benchmark rate back to 4.25%-4.5%, just as the market thought it would be, as November data on nonfarm payrolls, service prices, and rents, as well as data on GDP and the unemployment rate, all supported the cut.Second, at the meeting the Fed indicated that rate cuts would slow down in the future, with the "dot plot" showing only two cuts in 2025, less than the market expected.The meeting statement also added to consider the "magnitude and timing" of the words, Powell also said to be more cautious, move more slowly, but also have to keep an eye on the trend of inflation.In addition, the Fed has adjusted its economic data forecasts for 20

Even though it's payed of big time this year, I have had too many eggs in only one basket. Yes if you follow me you know, it's $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$. But I just had to go all in. I saw the huge potential and just didn't get why it was so insanely cheap. And to be fair, I won't stop buying it. I'd say it's now fairly priced, but given the company's potential over the next five years, it's just going to keep skyrocketing (no pun intended). I've made a lot of money. Because this stock was a unicorn. Not so much now, but I still am resolute that it will double in price next year. But just know, my cost basis on this stock is $4.10, and it's now at $25.50, so when I buy more my safety margin is massive. But it now represents over 50% of my portf

The market is poised to reach new highs in the first two quarters of 2025, propelled by momentum carried over from 2024. A strong start is expected as optimism fuels equity markets, supported by resilient corporate earnings and stabilizing global growth. However, the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to reduce interest rates will exert downward pressure on the real estate sector and broader U.S. economy, potentially cooling consumer confidence and spending. This will begin to weigh on market sentiment as the year progresses. Simultaneously, the geopolitical landscape is expected to take a turbulent turn with the return of Donald Trump to office. His administration’s confrontational stance towards China is likely to intensify trade and technological tensions, escalating risks of an all-out econo

With the macro crash - correction underway, at the minimum this will run till end of MAY-JUNE 2025, and see the DOWJ correct between 32-34% + or - a % point, but could also be a macro top and macro low will print in 2032, as part of the 18.6 year MLS Lunar cycle. Currently I have sold all interests in large cap stocks that have topped or are about to top, and have completed my transition to small and mid caps in the Defence & Securities sectors, Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals, Energy-emphasis on hydrogen sector, and AI. All the companies I have moved my capital into, have just bottomed or are about to bottom, and will see some huge upside against a falling stock market, money rotation is the name of the game now, with smart choices you can make good returns in a macro crash -

Continue vesting S&P

S&P 7,000? Let’s Trade Like It’s Possible! [Happy]   The S&P 500 has analysts buzzing, with projections ranging from 6,400 to 7,100 points. Bold? Absolutely. But I guess it’s not all hot air—there are some solid reasons to believe in a strong 2025: AI and Tech Boom: Innovation isn’t slowing down, and demand for cutting-edge technologies is driving growth across sectors. Economic Expansion: Steady growth and favorable policies are giving industrials and energy a boost. Financial Services Rebound: Easing monetary policies could inject new life into banks and other financial players. Of course, markets are never predictable, but 2025 has all the makings of a rally worth riding—if you know where to look. Hot Spots: Where the Money Is Follow the Growth - Here’s what I’m e

Inflation as Trump with his tarrif 

Let's talk about the US market outlook for 2025. Full live link replay >>1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ 2025 Year-end Forecasts:These are some of the 2025 year-end forecasts provided by various research houses for the $.SPX(.SPX)$ As of 18 Dec 2024: SPX’s closing price: 5872On average, the year-end target is 6,658, representing a 13% upside compared to yesterday's closing price of 5,872.The most bullish research house is Oppenheimer, they predict a target price of 7100 for the $.SPX(.SPX)$ .However, I want you to know that analysts often change

2024 Review: US Stock Market: Technology stocks, particularly in the AI sector, drove the market higher. The S&P 500 has realised returns in excess of 25% for two consecutive years. Whilst rare, since the start of 2024, this trend indicates a shift from conceptual speculation to profit realisation in AI investments, with the market becoming more stringent in discerning the companies that truly benefit. Hong Kong and China-A (onshore) shares: Financial sectors and High-yielding dividend stocks performed well. Indices like MSCI China Financials Index and FTSE China 50 Index outperformed US benchmarks like the Nasdaq and S&P 500, reflecting the supportive role of policies in driving stable economic growth.2025 Outlook: US Stock Market: As AI technology advances into specialised vertic

Here are my talk about AI Industry. Full live link replay >>I have shared a lot about AI trends in the past. Just bear in mind that the AI total addressable market is huge.The valuation for a lot of AI stocks is expensive, but still not as crazily expensive as during the dot-com bubble.For example, the P/E ratio for the Nasdaq 100 is now trading at 35x. At the peak of the dot-com bubble, it was trading at 175x.1995 marked the start of internet monetization. It also kickstarted the dot-com bubble.The entire dot-com bubble lasted for 5 years, from 1995 to 2000.At its peak, the $.SPX(.SPX)$ returned 265%.If AI is a bu

First, let’s spend some time on Trump’s policy. Full live link replay >>The most important thing you need to know is that Trump’s policies are pro-growth and pro-business, which should be constructive for the U.S. equity market in 2025.For example, he has said that he wants to extend the 2017 personal tax cuts and lower the corporate tax rate.The question here is:How likely is Congress to approve Trump’s tax cut plan?The answer is quite likely because Republicans have a majority in the House and Senate.Trump also pledges to lower the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% for corporations that manufacture products in the U.S.The purpose is to

Here are my talk about US tariff. Full live link replay >>About one month ago, Trump said he wanted to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico,and an additional 10% on China.Basically, if the U.S. imposes tariffs on any country, that country will still want to export to the U.S. because it is difficult to find a replacement with the size and appetite of the U.S.The common way to make your goods still look affordable to U.S. companies is through currency depreciation.For example, in 2018-2019, the RMB depreciated as much as 13% when the U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on Chinese goods.Trump’s tariffs are a negotiating tactic to reach a deal.For instance, Trump wan

I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Data Source: Bloomberg, Complied by Tiger Brokers II. Key Market Themes i. Fed Cuts Rates as Expected, Powell’s Hawkish Comments Rattle Markets: Is the Stock Market Peaking Again? Last week, the Federal Reserve's FOMC announced a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the benchmark rate to 4.25%-4.5%. However, the accompanying statements were notably hawkish, with the Cleveland Fed President voting against the decision. Powell also publicly stated, “The current rate policy is no longer as restrictive, and future adjustments will be more cautious.” This aligns with our earlier assessment that the Fed would pause further rate cuts after this one. The dot plot also reflects a more hawkish stance, with three officials suggesting that the Fe

As 2024 draws to an end with Christmas bells ringing, I finished adjusting most of the positions for the year.  Looking back, I started 2024 with backlog from 2023.  I did 2 major mistakes then in 2023. 1. Overconcentrated positions in Alibaba, which resulted in big swings against my portfolio. Margin requirements went up significantly also, as at peak, up to 80% of my margin requirement was used up by Alibaba. I resolved to reduce my Alibaba sizes in 2024 and diversified away.  This is also the reason why many experienced investors advocated portfolio and risk management. Over concentration does bring fast money, but disproportionate risks as well.  2. Earnings play. During 2023, I dabbled in earnings play by selling short strangles. Most of the time, I made money, but

I currently don’t read investment books because my schedule is quite busy, and I believe that real-life trading and investment experiences are more impactful for my learning. For me, the process of analyzing, investing, and reflecting on actual market outcomes offers a more hands-on and intuitive way to understand the complexities of investing, rather than relying on theoretical knowledge. Financially, my primary investment goal is to build a portfolio of high-quality dividend stocks that provide me with stable and consistent income. My vision is to have this dividend income grow large enough to comfortably cover my daily expenses, ensuring a level of financial independence. Beyond dividends, I am also aiming to capitalize on stock price movements to generate significant gains from buying

Fed Outlook 2025: A More Hawkish Fed Committee May Spark More Dissent As we step into 2025, the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has sent ripples through global markets. Last Wednesday's meeting not only raised the inflation outlook but also signaled a restrained approach to rate cuts, leaving investors scrambling to evaluate its potential impacts on the financial landscape. Powell's Hawkish Tone Shakes Wall Street During the December FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell's hawkish stance directly led to a reevaluation of the projected interest rate path for 2025. These adjustments in market expectations have triggered significant turbulence in both equity and bond markets. Beyond the FOMC's decision to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps), th

Last week, assets entered a new wave of correction after the December FOMC meeting.First, on the rate cut front, the Fed cut 25bp as planned, bringing the benchmark rate back to 4.25%-4.5%, just as the market thought it would be, as November data on nonfarm payrolls, service prices, and rents, as well as data on GDP and the unemployment rate, all supported the cut.Second, at the meeting the Fed indicated that rate cuts would slow down in the future, with the "dot plot" showing only two cuts in 2025, less than the market expected.The meeting statement also added to consider the "magnitude and timing" of the words, Powell also said to be more cautious, move more slowly, but also have to keep an eye on the trend of inflation.In addition, the Fed has adjusted its economic data forecasts for 20

Navigating 2025: My Trading Strategy for SPYG and Broader Markets$SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF(SPYG)$   With major institutions projecting the S&P 500 potentially reaching 7,000 in 2025, I feel optimistic yet cautious about how the year might unfold. The market’s direction will depend heavily on how many interest rate cuts actually happen and how corporate earnings perform. Here’s my approach to trading SPYG and how I plan to capitalize on opportunities while managing risks. Maximizing Monthly Income with SPYG 💰 My strategy for SPYG focuses on consistent returns. By dollar-cost averaging, I’ve accumulated 100 shares at an average price of $87.20, reducing my entry risk. I sell covered calls monthly

Even though it's payed of big time this year, I have had too many eggs in only one basket. Yes if you follow me you know, it's $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$. But I just had to go all in. I saw the huge potential and just didn't get why it was so insanely cheap. And to be fair, I won't stop buying it. I'd say it's now fairly priced, but given the company's potential over the next five years, it's just going to keep skyrocketing (no pun intended). I've made a lot of money. Because this stock was a unicorn. Not so much now, but I still am resolute that it will double in price next year. But just know, my cost basis on this stock is $4.10, and it's now at $25.50, so when I buy more my safety margin is massive. But it now represents over 50% of my portf

S&P 7,000? Let’s Trade Like It’s Possible! [Happy]   The S&P 500 has analysts buzzing, with projections ranging from 6,400 to 7,100 points. Bold? Absolutely. But I guess it’s not all hot air—there are some solid reasons to believe in a strong 2025: AI and Tech Boom: Innovation isn’t slowing down, and demand for cutting-edge technologies is driving growth across sectors. Economic Expansion: Steady growth and favorable policies are giving industrials and energy a boost. Financial Services Rebound: Easing monetary policies could inject new life into banks and other financial players. Of course, markets are never predictable, but 2025 has all the makings of a rally worth riding—if you know where to look. Hot Spots: Where the Money Is Follow the Growth - Here’s what I’m e

As we bid farewell to a volatile 2024, investors are turning their gaze toward the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead in 2025. The U.S. stock market has been a stage for both euphoria and caution, and 2025 promises to bring another chapter of uncertainty, shaped by economic policies, geopolitical dynamics, and technological breakthroughs. Let’s dive into the key factors that will likely define the market's trajectory in the coming year. 1. Federal Reserve Policy: A Balancing Act The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy will continue to be a dominant narrative in 2025. With inflation moderating in the latter half of 2024, the Fed paused rate hikes, but a potential soft landing remains elusive. The debate between “higher for longer” and “pivoting” will shape equity markets, especially

The market is poised to reach new highs in the first two quarters of 2025, propelled by momentum carried over from 2024. A strong start is expected as optimism fuels equity markets, supported by resilient corporate earnings and stabilizing global growth. However, the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to reduce interest rates will exert downward pressure on the real estate sector and broader U.S. economy, potentially cooling consumer confidence and spending. This will begin to weigh on market sentiment as the year progresses. Simultaneously, the geopolitical landscape is expected to take a turbulent turn with the return of Donald Trump to office. His administration’s confrontational stance towards China is likely to intensify trade and technological tensions, escalating risks of an all-out econo

I don't know if Rally or Correction or Crash ... [Grin]  [Grin]  whatever coming, HAVE A GREAT MERRY LOVELY WONDERFUL CHRISTMAS everyone... [Lovely]  [Lovely]   We have been with 2024 - everything is going to be behind, new year is coming. Wish your all love, health and wealth in this world. [Love]  [Smart]  [USD]  @nomadic_m @Barcode @koolgal @Kiwi Tigress @Tui Jude @Optionspuppy

The S&P has been having one ATH after another, 2025 will be no exception I believe. Especially with Trump's 2nd term about to begin, the feel-good factor probably might somehow boost the market. To how high will it go, only time will tell and to be honest, I'll just keep on DCA into my ETFs which includes $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPLG)$ and $Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$  In the long run, the plummet (if it does happen mid-year), will look like nothing but a blip when everything concludes because S&P 500 has always been an uptrend since decades ago. Of course there have been and will

With the macro crash - correction underway, at the minimum this will run till end of MAY-JUNE 2025, and see the DOWJ correct between 32-34% + or - a % point, but could also be a macro top and macro low will print in 2032, as part of the 18.6 year MLS Lunar cycle. Currently I have sold all interests in large cap stocks that have topped or are about to top, and have completed my transition to small and mid caps in the Defence & Securities sectors, Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals, Energy-emphasis on hydrogen sector, and AI. All the companies I have moved my capital into, have just bottomed or are about to bottom, and will see some huge upside against a falling stock market, money rotation is the name of the game now, with smart choices you can make good returns in a macro crash -

Investors should remember that market volatility is a natural part of investing. It has been four months since the last significant volatility spike, measured by the VIX, which occurred in August amid recession fears and unwinding of the yen carry trade. That episode passed, and this one likely will too.Despite the sell-off, the broader market trend remains upward. Prices are still above the 200-day moving average, signaling that the bull market isn’t over. While pullbacks are inevitable, they are not a reason to panic. The ability to stay psychologically resilient during such drops is the price investors pay for superior long-term stock returns. Stay the course. The Fed’s cautious outlook reflects concerns about inflation. Proposed trade tariffs under Trump could increase the cost of good

The people have spoken & Tired of listening to the lies & same old retorick until Now, 2025 will be a year of Prosperity at another level. Anyone ready & prepared for what 2025 is to offer ? As Donald Trump said , "We are going to Win in every area imaginable, we're going to be Winning so much that you're going to become tired of Winning until Mr Trump hears you complaining about winning & he will once again let you know that you have not been winning enough, you need more Winning " That's my outlook & message  for 2025 & for all Tiger Trader investors, you're all going to be Winning & Winning Big, so embrace this message , send it to your friends & family & let them all know they are  going to be Winning in 2025, place your focus on just Winni