To The Moon

Global markets are holding their breath ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision to be released on Wednesday. CME FedWatch tool is pricing in nearly 89.4% probability of a rate cut, yet what investors worry about more is whether the Fed will deliver hawkish signals alongside the cut, which could dampen expectations for a sustained easing cycle.At the upcoming meeting early Thursday morning, Powell’s remarks and the dot plot will be the key focus. His comments will set the tone for the next two meetings.If the message leans dovish, inflation expectations may strengthen further, and equity indices as well as gold and silver could continue to move higher in the short term.If he sounds more hawkish, that would align with current expectations in the bond market, meaning market reactions m

From my perspective, tonight’s move will hinge less on the 25 bps cut and more on Powell’s tone. A slightly dovish message could spark a quick gap-up in equities and precious metals, though I still expect an early fade as markets digest the details. Positioning is elevated, so any pop may be short-lived. If Powell sounds hawkish, the reaction may actually be muted since the bond market already expects it. Any dip in stocks or metals would likely be modest, and I’d view that kind of pullback as a potential buying window, especially with easing still on the table for 2025. For the 2026 dots, I’d see them as guidance on the Fed’s long-run comfort zone, not a strict plan. Fewer cuts into 2026 would simply signal caution during a soft-landing phase, meaning more near-term volatility but still

2026 is shaping up as “cautiously bullish” rather than euphoric: there’s still fuel for a rally – especially from AI and dividends – but a lot depends on earnings, interest rates, and how investors rotate across sectors.Below is a distilled view from all the articles you shared.1. Big Picture: Cautious Bull, Not a New ManiaAcross different research pieces and strategist notes, the base case for 2026 looks like this:Year-end 2025: A Santa Claus rally is possible but not guaranteed. Seasonality, rate-cut hopes and strong tech earnings could help… but valuations are already rich, so any macro disappointment can quickly kill the party.2026 Base Case:Many houses expect the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ to be higher, often in the mid-to-high 7000s.Some more conse

Can the Fed afford not to cut rates further into 2026? I think not as US debt explodes higher!

🚨🚨🚨📈 Market Analysis Summary: December 10, 2025 The market is showing mixed movements, with major US indices generally trading in a tight range or slightly down, while the crypto market shows a tentative rebound despite short-term bearish technical signals for Bitcoin. The US Federal Reserve's policy decision is the primary focal point driving market caution. 🏛️ Traditional Equity Markets (US & Global) Global markets are characterized by caution ahead of the US Federal Reserve's policy announcement, expected by some to include a 25 basis point (bp) rate cut.  * US Indices:    * Dow Jones Industrial Average: Slightly down (e.g., -0.38% to -0.45% reported across sources).    * S&P 500: Trading mixed/slightly down (e.g., -0.09% to -0.35%).    * Nasda

From fed decision this weeks  could be on highlight into rise trending market index and will be continues for Q1 2026 but 2026 momentum possible have another point  for reasonable US stock market still back rising time from world cup 2026 on Q3 season.    Now 2026 have point from gap point in market index performance and 2027 what you have big momentum back? Still remainders for long term on schedule in chart.

The initial 25bp cut is largely priced in, so the equity reaction hinges on Powell’s tone. If he signals confidence in disinflation and no urgency for further cuts, markets may extend the rally, led by rate-sensitive sectors and high-quality tech. If he hints at data-dependence and a slower path, gains may be modest, since investors have already repositioned aggressively. For 2026, the key is not the number of cuts but the reason behind them. A growth-friendly cutting cycle supports higher valuations through cheaper financing and sustained earnings. A risk-off cutting cycle triggered by weakening labour markets would cap upside and raise volatility. Given current trends, the base case remains a controlled easing path aligned with soft-landing expectations, which is favourable for equities

With the global rate-cut cycle and the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s SGD 5 billion Equities Market Development Plan (EQDP) jointly supporting the market, Singapore equities are expected to continue seeing valuation re-rating and earnings expansion in 2026.CGS International forecasts that Singapore-listed companies’ net profit could grow 8.5% YoY in 2026, while market liquidity is set to improve significantly. Against this backdrop, we highlight three blue-chip stocks offering both attractive dividends and growth potential, along with three fundamentally solid S-REITs, giving investors a clear roadmap for positioning into 2026.I. 2026 Market Outlook: Three Key Themes Driving Structural OpportunitiesCGS International maintains a positive view on the Singapore market for 2026 and identifi

Overall Market Overview Global equity markets were largely cautious and directionless as investors paused ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on December 10. Trading volumes were muted, with equities showing mixed performance across major regions as markets priced in uncertainty over future monetary policy direction. US Markets – Waiting for the Fed’s Signal US stocks closed mostly flat as investors avoided major positions ahead of the Fed’s rate announcement. The Dow Jones $DJIA(.DJI)$  fell 0.4% to 47,560, reflecting caution in cyclical stocks, while the S&P 500$S&P 500(.SPX)$   slipped slightly by 0.1%.

Yes it's going to be bullish with the upcoming fed cut. 

I don't believed in the rally of any kind when FOMC announced the rate cut on 10/12/2025 as this has been factor in. The big one would be the BOJ meeting on 19/12/2025, which will affect the global shift of liquidity, when the carry trade will benefits Japan rather than US. You see, when the interest rate was zero in Japan, a lot of borrowings was made to use the money for purchasing US stocks or treasuries like bonds, but now, the Japanese borrowers will have to sells US stocks and bonds to cover their borrowings when banks started to charge interest and that would affect US repatriation to Japan. This will also affect the US-JPY currencies exchanges as JPY will appreciates against the USD. 

The market already factor in the 25bp , the cut  could also change to a bear market as a cut mean softening labour market and an indicator of economic slowdown.

A 25 bp cut on 10 December is largely priced in, so the market’s reaction will depend less on the cut itself and more on Powell’s guidance. If he signals confidence in disinflation and avoids hinting at a policy pause, risk assets can continue to advance. Liquidity conditions are already improving, and seasonality typically supports year-end strength, so an orderly grind higher is still possible. The risk is a “sell the news” move if Powell stresses data-dependence or pushes back against aggressive easing bets. Positioning has shifted repeatedly in the past two months, and any sign of hesitation could trigger short-term volatility. For 2026, the framework should be simple. Cuts will be determined by two forces: the durability of disinflation and the resilience of labour markets. If inflati

Are we going to see a strong stock market finish by end of December, and will this drive the continued rally into 2026 with strong momentum coming from tech stocks and bigger firms? I would think that there might be continued rally, but with caution, so in this article I would like to share the current, evidence-based view of whether we are likely to see a strong stock market finish in December 2025 and whether that could carry into a sustained 2026 rally, especially driven by tech and large caps — and what it might mean for a renewed or extended bull market:  1) Near-Term: Year-End Rally (Santa Claus Effect) — Possible but Not Guaranteed Many strategists and market participants expect typical year-end strength (a “Santa Claus rally”) in stocks driven by seasonality, holiday flows, an

I think this cut, if it happens, just signals the sensible business minds getting on with their jobs inspite of orange boys continuous tweeting that cause constant chaos and confusion.  I believe 2026 will be a repeat of 2025, lots of volatility, even more information that is wrong or worse, intentional mis information intended to manipulate the markets. But idc. I have my pics for 2026 and I will just steer the course Happy trading fellow tigers @Tiger_SG  @Tiger cub  @MillionaireTiger  @TigerTrade 

A Nervous Market Awaits the Fed Stocks drifted lower Monday as investors braced for a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting widely expected to deliver a 25 bps interest-rate cut, and potentially a messy debate about what comes next. Wall Street’s biggest concern isn’t this cut, but the Fed’s lack of consensus on 2026 policy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces a fractured committee, making clear forward guidance nearly impossible. FOMC Markets reflected that anxiety: Dow: –0.45% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : –0.35% Nasdaq : –0.14% Hot Stock: Paramount Skydance +9.0% Biggest Loser: Air Products & Chemicals –9.5% Best Sector: Tech +0.9% Worst Sector: Communication Services –1.8% Index Even a strong 2026 outlook from strategists wasn’t enough to steady the tape. Wha

Overview: Cautious Sentiment Returns Global markets turned defensive as investors stepped back ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s final policy meeting of the year. US equities ended lower, Europe traded mixed, and Asia showed divergence with China rebounding while Hong Kong lagged. The dominant theme remains policy uncertainty and selective risk-taking. United States: Pre-Fed Profit Taking US stocks retreated as traders locked in gains before the Fed announcement. The Dow Jones$DJIA(.DJI)$   fell 0.5% to 47,739, while the S&P 500$S&P 500(.SPX)$   slipped 0.4% to 6,846. Defensive positioning suggests investors expect critical gu

Read that mostly expect about 87% chance of Dec10 rate cut. Investors are avoiding risks and waiting for clues to any more rate cuts next year. Cautious trading to potential strong market reactions.

It's doesn't matter much more. Once the rate cut is locked in, the market ignores or prices in it's impact.  As interest rates keep dropping, we need to look at dividend stocks now closely for passive income. 

Market Outlook After the December Cut A 25bp reduction is already fully discounted, so the immediate reaction hinges on two elements: Powell’s tone and the updated policy path in the Summary of Economic Projections. 1. Relief from the uncertainty premium The past 1 to 2 months have seen wide swings because traders were constantly adjusting the timing and scale of easing. Once the decision is delivered, the uncertainty premium usually narrows. If Powell signals confidence that inflation is on a sustainable path to target, equities typically find support. The first cut in a cycle often lifts valuations because discount rate assumptions stabilise. 2. Risk of a “sell the news” episode Since the cut is expected, markets may briefly fade if Powell emphasises data dependency or warns against assu

🌟🌟🌟As we approach the final FOMC meeting of 2025 on December 10, the air in the market is thick with anticipation and anxiety.  Investors have been on a roller coaster for the past 2 months , repositioning for an easing cycle that has been anything but a foregone  conclusion.  This volatility is amplified by another more ominous risk , whispering through global finance : the potential unwinding of the yen carry trade. Is the 25 BP rate cut a done deal? While recent data and comments from key Fed officials have tilted expectations heavily toward a cut, it is not 100% certain.  Market probabilities are pricing in 85% to 90% chance of a 25 basis point cut, bringing the Federal Funds rate to a target range of 3.5% to 3.75%. However the committee is reportedly divided . 

2026 is shaping up as “cautiously bullish” rather than euphoric: there’s still fuel for a rally – especially from AI and dividends – but a lot depends on earnings, interest rates, and how investors rotate across sectors.Below is a distilled view from all the articles you shared.1. Big Picture: Cautious Bull, Not a New ManiaAcross different research pieces and strategist notes, the base case for 2026 looks like this:Year-end 2025: A Santa Claus rally is possible but not guaranteed. Seasonality, rate-cut hopes and strong tech earnings could help… but valuations are already rich, so any macro disappointment can quickly kill the party.2026 Base Case:Many houses expect the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ to be higher, often in the mid-to-high 7000s.Some more conse

Global markets are holding their breath ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision to be released on Wednesday. CME FedWatch tool is pricing in nearly 89.4% probability of a rate cut, yet what investors worry about more is whether the Fed will deliver hawkish signals alongside the cut, which could dampen expectations for a sustained easing cycle.At the upcoming meeting early Thursday morning, Powell’s remarks and the dot plot will be the key focus. His comments will set the tone for the next two meetings.If the message leans dovish, inflation expectations may strengthen further, and equity indices as well as gold and silver could continue to move higher in the short term.If he sounds more hawkish, that would align with current expectations in the bond market, meaning market reactions m

With the global rate-cut cycle and the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s SGD 5 billion Equities Market Development Plan (EQDP) jointly supporting the market, Singapore equities are expected to continue seeing valuation re-rating and earnings expansion in 2026.CGS International forecasts that Singapore-listed companies’ net profit could grow 8.5% YoY in 2026, while market liquidity is set to improve significantly. Against this backdrop, we highlight three blue-chip stocks offering both attractive dividends and growth potential, along with three fundamentally solid S-REITs, giving investors a clear roadmap for positioning into 2026.I. 2026 Market Outlook: Three Key Themes Driving Structural OpportunitiesCGS International maintains a positive view on the Singapore market for 2026 and identifi

🚨🚨🚨📈 Market Analysis Summary: December 10, 2025 The market is showing mixed movements, with major US indices generally trading in a tight range or slightly down, while the crypto market shows a tentative rebound despite short-term bearish technical signals for Bitcoin. The US Federal Reserve's policy decision is the primary focal point driving market caution. 🏛️ Traditional Equity Markets (US & Global) Global markets are characterized by caution ahead of the US Federal Reserve's policy announcement, expected by some to include a 25 basis point (bp) rate cut.  * US Indices:    * Dow Jones Industrial Average: Slightly down (e.g., -0.38% to -0.45% reported across sources).    * S&P 500: Trading mixed/slightly down (e.g., -0.09% to -0.35%).    * Nasda

From my perspective, tonight’s move will hinge less on the 25 bps cut and more on Powell’s tone. A slightly dovish message could spark a quick gap-up in equities and precious metals, though I still expect an early fade as markets digest the details. Positioning is elevated, so any pop may be short-lived. If Powell sounds hawkish, the reaction may actually be muted since the bond market already expects it. Any dip in stocks or metals would likely be modest, and I’d view that kind of pullback as a potential buying window, especially with easing still on the table for 2025. For the 2026 dots, I’d see them as guidance on the Fed’s long-run comfort zone, not a strict plan. Fewer cuts into 2026 would simply signal caution during a soft-landing phase, meaning more near-term volatility but still

Can the Fed afford not to cut rates further into 2026? I think not as US debt explodes higher!

Overall Market Overview Global equity markets were largely cautious and directionless as investors paused ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on December 10. Trading volumes were muted, with equities showing mixed performance across major regions as markets priced in uncertainty over future monetary policy direction. US Markets – Waiting for the Fed’s Signal US stocks closed mostly flat as investors avoided major positions ahead of the Fed’s rate announcement. The Dow Jones $DJIA(.DJI)$  fell 0.4% to 47,560, reflecting caution in cyclical stocks, while the S&P 500$S&P 500(.SPX)$   slipped slightly by 0.1%.

The initial 25bp cut is largely priced in, so the equity reaction hinges on Powell’s tone. If he signals confidence in disinflation and no urgency for further cuts, markets may extend the rally, led by rate-sensitive sectors and high-quality tech. If he hints at data-dependence and a slower path, gains may be modest, since investors have already repositioned aggressively. For 2026, the key is not the number of cuts but the reason behind them. A growth-friendly cutting cycle supports higher valuations through cheaper financing and sustained earnings. A risk-off cutting cycle triggered by weakening labour markets would cap upside and raise volatility. Given current trends, the base case remains a controlled easing path aligned with soft-landing expectations, which is favourable for equities

From fed decision this weeks  could be on highlight into rise trending market index and will be continues for Q1 2026 but 2026 momentum possible have another point  for reasonable US stock market still back rising time from world cup 2026 on Q3 season.    Now 2026 have point from gap point in market index performance and 2027 what you have big momentum back? Still remainders for long term on schedule in chart.

Are we going to see a strong stock market finish by end of December, and will this drive the continued rally into 2026 with strong momentum coming from tech stocks and bigger firms? I would think that there might be continued rally, but with caution, so in this article I would like to share the current, evidence-based view of whether we are likely to see a strong stock market finish in December 2025 and whether that could carry into a sustained 2026 rally, especially driven by tech and large caps — and what it might mean for a renewed or extended bull market:  1) Near-Term: Year-End Rally (Santa Claus Effect) — Possible but Not Guaranteed Many strategists and market participants expect typical year-end strength (a “Santa Claus rally”) in stocks driven by seasonality, holiday flows, an

A Nervous Market Awaits the Fed Stocks drifted lower Monday as investors braced for a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting widely expected to deliver a 25 bps interest-rate cut, and potentially a messy debate about what comes next. Wall Street’s biggest concern isn’t this cut, but the Fed’s lack of consensus on 2026 policy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces a fractured committee, making clear forward guidance nearly impossible. FOMC Markets reflected that anxiety: Dow: –0.45% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : –0.35% Nasdaq : –0.14% Hot Stock: Paramount Skydance +9.0% Biggest Loser: Air Products & Chemicals –9.5% Best Sector: Tech +0.9% Worst Sector: Communication Services –1.8% Index Even a strong 2026 outlook from strategists wasn’t enough to steady the tape. Wha

Last Week's Recap1. US Market-Inches higher with confidence uptick and Fed cut expectThe $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ within 1% of record highs set in late October and mid-November, respectively. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ finished less than 2% below its historic peak. Labor market weakens: ADP shows 32K job losses in Nov, reversing Oct's 47K gain; official report delayed to Dec 16.Consumer confidence rises: Modest uptick in sentiment; core PCE inflation cooled to 2.8% in Sep (from 2.9%).Q3 earnings strong: S&P 500 up 13.4% QoQ—fourth consecutive double-digit quarter—led by tech's 29% gain.Treasury yields jump: 10-year at 4.14%; 30-year at 4.79% (three

🌟🌟🌟As we approach the final FOMC meeting of 2025 on December 10, the air in the market is thick with anticipation and anxiety.  Investors have been on a roller coaster for the past 2 months , repositioning for an easing cycle that has been anything but a foregone  conclusion.  This volatility is amplified by another more ominous risk , whispering through global finance : the potential unwinding of the yen carry trade. Is the 25 BP rate cut a done deal? While recent data and comments from key Fed officials have tilted expectations heavily toward a cut, it is not 100% certain.  Market probabilities are pricing in 85% to 90% chance of a 25 basis point cut, bringing the Federal Funds rate to a target range of 3.5% to 3.75%. However the committee is reportedly divided . 

$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ December Outlook: November Strength May Limit Gains🎅 Seasonal Patterns: The "December Effect" Reality CheckDecember is historically the 3rd strongest month for the STI, averaging +1.3% since 2000, driven by:Dividend capture trades: Investors pile into high-yield names like DBS (5.1% yield) and Singtel (5.8%) before ex-datesWindow dressing: Fund managers boost holdings in index heavyweights ( $DBS(D05.SI)$ , $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ , $UOB(U11.SI)$ ) to flatter year-end reportingSanta Rally timing: Typically kicks in after Dec 15, but be warned – Singapore's rally is 40% weaker than the <

🇺🇸💸 Traders Are Quietly Pricing In a “Post-Powell Pivot” — And It Has Everything To Do With Trump’s Next Fed Chair Markets are no longer trading just 2025—they're already betting on 2026. Something unusual is happening deep inside the futures market. Over the past week, traders have been aggressively adding positions to the front end of the SOFR curve, signalling one thing: > Wall Street now believes that after Powell’s term ends in May 2026, a Trump-appointed Fed Chair will push monetary policy toward faster, earlier easing. This shift isn’t subtle. It’s a repricing of the entire 2026 rate path. Let’s break down what’s driving this—and what retail investors should watch next. --- 🔥 Why SOFR Futures Are Suddenly Exploding in Volume ✔ Expectation #1: Trump has (almost) revealed his prefe

Yes it's going to be bullish with the upcoming fed cut. 

Market Outlook After the December Cut A 25bp reduction is already fully discounted, so the immediate reaction hinges on two elements: Powell’s tone and the updated policy path in the Summary of Economic Projections. 1. Relief from the uncertainty premium The past 1 to 2 months have seen wide swings because traders were constantly adjusting the timing and scale of easing. Once the decision is delivered, the uncertainty premium usually narrows. If Powell signals confidence that inflation is on a sustainable path to target, equities typically find support. The first cut in a cycle often lifts valuations because discount rate assumptions stabilise. 2. Risk of a “sell the news” episode Since the cut is expected, markets may briefly fade if Powell emphasises data dependency or warns against assu

A 25 bp cut on 10 December is largely priced in, so the market’s reaction will depend less on the cut itself and more on Powell’s guidance. If he signals confidence in disinflation and avoids hinting at a policy pause, risk assets can continue to advance. Liquidity conditions are already improving, and seasonality typically supports year-end strength, so an orderly grind higher is still possible. The risk is a “sell the news” move if Powell stresses data-dependence or pushes back against aggressive easing bets. Positioning has shifted repeatedly in the past two months, and any sign of hesitation could trigger short-term volatility. For 2026, the framework should be simple. Cuts will be determined by two forces: the durability of disinflation and the resilience of labour markets. If inflati

Overview: Cautious Sentiment Returns Global markets turned defensive as investors stepped back ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s final policy meeting of the year. US equities ended lower, Europe traded mixed, and Asia showed divergence with China rebounding while Hong Kong lagged. The dominant theme remains policy uncertainty and selective risk-taking. United States: Pre-Fed Profit Taking US stocks retreated as traders locked in gains before the Fed announcement. The Dow Jones$DJIA(.DJI)$   fell 0.5% to 47,739, while the S&P 500$S&P 500(.SPX)$   slipped 0.4% to 6,846. Defensive positioning suggests investors expect critical gu

I don't believed in the rally of any kind when FOMC announced the rate cut on 10/12/2025 as this has been factor in. The big one would be the BOJ meeting on 19/12/2025, which will affect the global shift of liquidity, when the carry trade will benefits Japan rather than US. You see, when the interest rate was zero in Japan, a lot of borrowings was made to use the money for purchasing US stocks or treasuries like bonds, but now, the Japanese borrowers will have to sells US stocks and bonds to cover their borrowings when banks started to charge interest and that would affect US repatriation to Japan. This will also affect the US-JPY currencies exchanges as JPY will appreciates against the USD.