Earnings for coming week starting 16Sep24 - what does FedEx's earnings say about the market outlook?
Earnings Calendar (16Sep24) Q3/2024 has started and a few interesting earnings are coming in the coming week. These include Factset, FedEx and Lennar. Let us look into FedEx. Observations of recent performances: Revenue grew from $47.4 billion in 2015 to 87.6 billion in 2024. This is a decline compared to the $93.5 billion in 2022 and $90.1 billion in 2023. The gross profit margin for the 10-year median stands at 21.3%. The free cash flow for the 10-year median margin stands at 2.0% And the 10-year CAGR is 15.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) has grown from $3.65 in 2015 to $17.21 in 2024. This shows good cost management. However, the best year for earnings per share is 2021 which clocked $19.45 for EPS. The current P/E ratio is 16.2 is attractive. More importantly, the outlook of FedEx can
#rookiemistakes Do fellow rookies learn from my mistake now. When crunching your take profit sales and buy backs over estimate your fees by about %0.05 or like me you'll set your margins too small and loose $0.01 rather than gaining your projected small penny profits. Good luck out there
I'm going long on $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$, banking on a potential rate cut from the Fed to spark a rally reminiscent of Nvidia's legendary surge. When the Fed pivots, TLT could skyrocket, and I'm positioning for a piece of the action
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ share price is heading for a pullback after continuously risen with an impressive increase of 44.19%. TSLA share price decline would signal a broader market decline in other sectors. The next market opportunities are likely to stem from upcoming economic data releases! Notably, the inflation report due on Thursday, July 11, is a crucial data point that could disrupt present market trend. Traders have increase bullish bets on bonds ahead of the Fed Chair’s testimony to Congress and the consumer price index release this week. If Powell's speech or Thursday’s inflation data bolsters expectations for a rate cut this year, these bets will benefit. Recommending to purchase Tresaury ETF such as $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT
still equities but other sectors beaten down like consumer staples and discretionary and healthcare. can also buy tlt bond etc to prepare for interest rate cut. it's coming ...
[US Election Series #02] Finding Certainty Amid Election Uncertainty: Defensive Assets Are a Must!
Hello, Tigers!Welcome to the second article in our US Election series! In this piece, I’ll focus on how to find relatively certain investment opportunities amid the uncertainties of the election season.Ps: In the previous article, I highlighted a bullish opportunity in $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ following its initial surge and trading opportunities in $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and US Treasuries:Article link: [US Election #01] Tesla soar 10% overnight: What new opportunities arise with the US election?Market Overview (2024/06/17-2024/06/30)In the recent period, global major indices have shown mixed performance. US small-cap stocks have seen signific
[US Election Series 01] Tesla soar 10% overnight: What new opportunities arise with the US election?
Hello, Tigers!This is the first article in Tiger_Academy's special series on the US election~Last night, Tesla surged 10% intraday, marking its second-best single-day gain of the year. From a technical perspective, Tesla's daily K-line broke out of the downward trend channel that started in July 2023, turning bullish.Over the past week (2024/06/25-2024/07/02), Tesla's stock has risen by 26.66%, and the double-long Tesla ETF (TSLL) has soared an astonishing 55.85%!Two main reasons account for Tesla's significant gains:Tesla delivered 443,956 vehicles in the second quarter, surpassing Wall Street's average expectation of 439,302.Elon Musk, representing traditional American manufacturing and industri
Why now is a good time to invest in long-term bonds despite the Fed’s hawkish stance?
Hello, Tigers~On the evening of the 25th, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman delivered a speech on monetary policy. Bowman stated that there would be no rate cuts in 2024 and that the Fed might delay rate cuts until 2025: “We are not yet at a point where it is appropriate to lower the policy rate. Given the risks and uncertainties in my economic outlook, I will remain cautious when considering future changes to the policy stance.”The Fed’s latest dot plot from June shows that 4 members do not expect any rate cuts this year, 7 members expect one rate cut, and 8 members expect two rate cuts. No one expects three or more rate cuts this year, which is significantly more hawkish compared to the previous dot plot. In March, 10 members anticipated three or more rate cuts!Given the lowering
Get Two Streams of Cash Flow with Regular Savings Plan in Dividend Funds
Hi tigers!Today, I'd like to introduce you to a beginner-friendly, low-volatility, and regularly dividend-paying investment: Dividend Funds.Additionally, I'll also show you how to get two significant streams of cash flow! Ready to learn how? Let’s dive in:1. Choose Dividend Funds to Earn Your First Stream of Cash Flow1.What Are Dividend Funds?Dividend funds are investment funds that regularly pay dividends to investors. They typically invest in assets that generate steady income, such as bonds, high-dividend stocks, and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).The returns from dividend funds primarily come from two sources: capital gains and dividends.Capital Gains: These are the profits made from the appreciation of the fund’s assets in the market.Dividend or Interest Income: This refers to
Earnings for coming week starting 16Sep24 - what does FedEx's earnings say about the market outlook?
Earnings Calendar (16Sep24) Q3/2024 has started and a few interesting earnings are coming in the coming week. These include Factset, FedEx and Lennar. Let us look into FedEx. Observations of recent performances: Revenue grew from $47.4 billion in 2015 to 87.6 billion in 2024. This is a decline compared to the $93.5 billion in 2022 and $90.1 billion in 2023. The gross profit margin for the 10-year median stands at 21.3%. The free cash flow for the 10-year median margin stands at 2.0% And the 10-year CAGR is 15.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) has grown from $3.65 in 2015 to $17.21 in 2024. This shows good cost management. However, the best year for earnings per share is 2021 which clocked $19.45 for EPS. The current P/E ratio is 16.2 is attractive. More importantly, the outlook of FedEx can
[US Election Series #02] Finding Certainty Amid Election Uncertainty: Defensive Assets Are a Must!
Hello, Tigers!Welcome to the second article in our US Election series! In this piece, I’ll focus on how to find relatively certain investment opportunities amid the uncertainties of the election season.Ps: In the previous article, I highlighted a bullish opportunity in $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ following its initial surge and trading opportunities in $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and US Treasuries:Article link: [US Election #01] Tesla soar 10% overnight: What new opportunities arise with the US election?Market Overview (2024/06/17-2024/06/30)In the recent period, global major indices have shown mixed performance. US small-cap stocks have seen signific
[US Election Series 01] Tesla soar 10% overnight: What new opportunities arise with the US election?
Hello, Tigers!This is the first article in Tiger_Academy's special series on the US election~Last night, Tesla surged 10% intraday, marking its second-best single-day gain of the year. From a technical perspective, Tesla's daily K-line broke out of the downward trend channel that started in July 2023, turning bullish.Over the past week (2024/06/25-2024/07/02), Tesla's stock has risen by 26.66%, and the double-long Tesla ETF (TSLL) has soared an astonishing 55.85%!Two main reasons account for Tesla's significant gains:Tesla delivered 443,956 vehicles in the second quarter, surpassing Wall Street's average expectation of 439,302.Elon Musk, representing traditional American manufacturing and industri
Why now is a good time to invest in long-term bonds despite the Fed’s hawkish stance?
Hello, Tigers~On the evening of the 25th, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman delivered a speech on monetary policy. Bowman stated that there would be no rate cuts in 2024 and that the Fed might delay rate cuts until 2025: “We are not yet at a point where it is appropriate to lower the policy rate. Given the risks and uncertainties in my economic outlook, I will remain cautious when considering future changes to the policy stance.”The Fed’s latest dot plot from June shows that 4 members do not expect any rate cuts this year, 7 members expect one rate cut, and 8 members expect two rate cuts. No one expects three or more rate cuts this year, which is significantly more hawkish compared to the previous dot plot. In March, 10 members anticipated three or more rate cuts!Given the lowering
Get Two Streams of Cash Flow with Regular Savings Plan in Dividend Funds
Hi tigers!Today, I'd like to introduce you to a beginner-friendly, low-volatility, and regularly dividend-paying investment: Dividend Funds.Additionally, I'll also show you how to get two significant streams of cash flow! Ready to learn how? Let’s dive in:1. Choose Dividend Funds to Earn Your First Stream of Cash Flow1.What Are Dividend Funds?Dividend funds are investment funds that regularly pay dividends to investors. They typically invest in assets that generate steady income, such as bonds, high-dividend stocks, and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).The returns from dividend funds primarily come from two sources: capital gains and dividends.Capital Gains: These are the profits made from the appreciation of the fund’s assets in the market.Dividend or Interest Income: This refers to
Lesson 9: Avoiding 3 traps to win in long-term returns
Hello, Tigers!In the last lesson, we learned three methods to find opportunities for profit during times of panic. I believe you've gained a lot from it. In this lesson, I will talk to you about three common traps in behavioral finance and how to avoid them, so you can win in long-term returns.1.Refuse emotional tradingThe first trap: Emotional trading.Emotional trading is one of the common trading pitfalls in behavioral finance.Simply put, emotional trading refers to irrational decisions made by investors in the face of market fluctuations due to emotions such as fear, greed, or anxiety. These decisions are often driven by emotions rather than rational thinking.Emotional trading can lead to many trading mistakes. For example, when the market is volatile, some people may hastily sell out o
Hello, Tigers!In the previous lesson, I introduced you to a new term: "anomaly," and explained to you the investment opportunities presented by two types of financial report anomalies. In today's lesson, we will continue to discuss a common term: "panic," and I will teach you three methods to profit from panic.1.How panic arisesHow does panic occur during trading? Based on what we've discussed in previous lessons, we can roughly summarize it into four reasons:(1) Herd MentalityInvestors are often influenced by other investors, leading to a herd effect. When sudden events or significant price fluctuations occur in the market, they may join the majority out of fear of missing out or fear of loss, resulting in excessive buying or selling, which can trigger market panic.(2) Loss AversionPeople
Lesson 7: Investment opportunities brought by two types of financial report "Anomalies"
Hello Tigers!In the previous session, I introduced you to a practical behavioral finance strategy: the long-term reversal strategy, which essentially follows the principle of "what goes up for too long must come down, and what goes down for too long must go up." Now, in this lesson, I'll introduce a new concept: "anomaly," and explain the investment opportunities it presents.1.Anomaly factors in financial reportsFirst, let me explain what an "anomaly" is.An anomaly refers to abnormal phenomena that contradict the traditional finance theory of risk-return correspondence. In traditional finance theory, we are often "taught" that the higher the return, the greater the risk.However, behavioral finance has found that in practice, it's often possible to find strategies or methods to gain more pr
Lesson 6: Anticipating others' anticipations — The long-term reversal strategy
Hello Tigers!In the last lesson, we went through what risk aversion and loss aversion are, shedding light on the decision-making processes our brains undergo during investments. In this lesson, I will introduce some practical behavioral finance investment strategies.1.What are behavioral finance strategies?Behavioral finance strategies involve using investors' psychological biases and market inefficiencies to develop investment strategies. This means taking advantage of mispriced stocks before most investors realize their mistakes, investing in those that are either undervalued or overvalued. Once market prices return to a reasonable level, you close your positions promptly to make a profit.In simple terms, behavioral finance strategies are about profiting from people's mistakes.2.Three co
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ share price is heading for a pullback after continuously risen with an impressive increase of 44.19%. TSLA share price decline would signal a broader market decline in other sectors. The next market opportunities are likely to stem from upcoming economic data releases! Notably, the inflation report due on Thursday, July 11, is a crucial data point that could disrupt present market trend. Traders have increase bullish bets on bonds ahead of the Fed Chair’s testimony to Congress and the consumer price index release this week. If Powell's speech or Thursday’s inflation data bolsters expectations for a rate cut this year, these bets will benefit. Recommending to purchase Tresaury ETF such as $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT
Lesson 5: Unveiling the Key to Surpassing 80% of Investors - Harnessing Your Rational Mind
Hello Tigers!In the previous session, I covered the herd effect, elucidating the psychological foundations of speculative trading and herd investing. Now, in this lesson, I'll discuss leveraging behavioral finance to enhance investment choices and engage your rational thinking.1.What is irrational decision-making?Let's start by looking at a phenomenon. In the stock market, there are bull markets and bear markets, but many investors fail to make money in bull markets and end up losing big in bear markets. Why is that?Let's analyze it briefly:During bull markets, when stock prices generally rise, Tiger Friends are usually in a profitable state. However, many Tiger Friends often can't hold onto their stocks and tend to sell after a significant rise of 20-30%.In bear markets, when stock prices
Lesson 3: Pride and Prejudice - How Market Sentiment Affects Your Investments
Hello Tigers!In the second lesson, I took you through cognitive biases, helping you understand why we often make repeated mistakes in investing. In this lesson, we're going to delve into another crucial aspect affecting your investment gains and losses: market sentiment.I. Why Market Sentiment Influences Investment DecisionsTraditional finance theory holds that stock prices always reflect the underlying value of listed companies. But is this really the case?Investors who have put their money into stocks should be aware that in actual financial markets, stock prices frequently diverge significantly from the true value of the listed companies. This phenomenon is primarily driven by investor sentiment.Emotions are a dominant force affecting various aspects of our lives. Our decisions, conclus
Lesson 2: Why do "Cognitive Biases" always lead people to make mistakes?
Hello Tigers!In the last class, I used three investment scenarios to help you understand what behavioral finance is. You should have noticed that behavioral finance permeates all aspects of investment, constantly influencing our investment decisions.In this class, I will take you deeper into the classic theory of behavioral finance: "Cognitive Biases".What are cognitive biases?In simple terms, it implies that you're unable to perceive things accurately as you wish. If you're still unclear, I'll elaborate further with two sections below.1.Do you really understand a company?Let's first talk about a common cognitive bias: Do you really understand a company?Many will first get to know a company before making investment decisions. They believe that without a thorough understanding of a company,
Lesson 1: Understanding behavioral finance through three investment scenarios
Hello, Tigers！In this issue, we will explore a fascinating course: "Behavioral Finance".This course is captivating because it unravels many mysteries commonly encountered in investments: What is the mechanism behind financial markets? Why do certain trading strategies yield profits? How can one avoid investment mistakes? And how to overcome erroneous psychological and emotional tendencies? How to achieve stable returns?In this class, I will vividly introduce to you what behavioral finance is through three lively trading scenarios.1.Every time you buy a certain stock, it starts to fall, but when you sell it, it rises again?Scenario 1:Whenever you invest in a particular stock, it seems to start falling continuously. However, when you sell that stock or prepare to buy another, it begins to ri
#rookiemistakes Do fellow rookies learn from my mistake now. When crunching your take profit sales and buy backs over estimate your fees by about %0.05 or like me you'll set your margins too small and loose $0.01 rather than gaining your projected small penny profits. Good luck out there
I'm going long on $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$, banking on a potential rate cut from the Fed to spark a rally reminiscent of Nvidia's legendary surge. When the Fed pivots, TLT could skyrocket, and I'm positioning for a piece of the action