How will the market perform before & after FOMC Meeting?
The Fed is expected to raise interest rates by 50 base points on the FOMC meeting on May 3 & 4... So how will the market perform before & after that? Make a prediction & leave your analysis to win coins!
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There was a relief rally on May 4 right after the Fed raised the interest rate by 50 basis points and calmed the market that it was not considering more aggressive hike of 75 basis points that originally worried the market. However, the relief proved to be brief as major US market indices recorded one of their greatest falls in recent months the following day. The market renewed its concern that the inflation would continue to surge and the economy would head into a stagflation. I believe that the market will continue its roller coaster ride throughout this year, as it sways between optimism on news of strong jobs data, continual consumer spendings and robust corporate earnings, and pessimism on news of stubbornly high inflation, heightening geopolitical tensions and worsening corporate ou
It will cause a bloodbath especially by looking at tech indices such as $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$And $Technology SPDR(XLK)$. Personally, this is more due to sentiment rather than fundamentals. Most of the firms fundamentals are rather solid. I will be entering the market while it is down and hold the stocks for sometime till they ride out this storm. DYODD. The interest rate hikes may even benefit firms such as Visa as the payments volume will be higher.
why the bloody Thursday {5 May 2022)"Thursday's stock selloff suggests that Wednesday's post-FOMC market action was a relief rally. We are still not out of the woods yet, as there is still too much uncertainty over how the Federal Reserve's actions will tame inflation without causing a recession," Zach Stein, chief investment officer of Carbon Collective, wrote in an email Thursday. "The concerns that triggered the stock market correction over the past few months, such as inflation, the Russia and Ukraine war and surging oil prices, are still with us and haven't been resolved yet."$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$DJIA(.DJI)$
The Biggest Rally After Rate Hike! 4 Key Takeaways Tell You Why
The Fed announced the largest rate hike-50bps in 22 years, and the stock market recorded the biggest rally after FOMC's rate hike news in 44 years. 4 Key Takeaways of FOMC Meeting Powell's harsh rhetoric on inflation ("attentive", "much too high") had intimidated the market. But then Powell removed the market's concerns by making it clear that the committee was not considering a 75bp rate hike. Powell added future data benchmarks for Fed's direction - the job vacancy's rate and the unemployment rate. The non-farm payrolls data will be the new incoming indicator for investors to observe Fed's move. Powell showed great confidence in a "soft landing", arguing that there won't be recession
Prior to FOMC announcement, I had predicted that there will be a relief rally as long as the raise is as per expectation, which happened.Let's do some crystal ball gazing until end of 2022.The image appears to be less foggy now and the pieces have been falling into place.In terms of macro economics, barring a major escalation of Ukraine war which involves the entire NATO or world wide escalation of pandemic which leads to world wide lock down, the markets will likely only go up or at worst sideways from now for us markets.Why so?The biggest elephant in the room is US mid-term election which is coming in 8 Nov 2022.It is extremely unlikely that Biden and Democratic Party will take any action that will jeopardise their elections.A recession or market crash before mid-terms will open the
market jumps as Fed rules out larger rate hikes after 50 basis points was announced. will this be sufficient to slow the rising inflation?#FOMC #ratehike #Powell #inflation
The Fed is widely expected to raise interest rate or more accurately the Fed funds rate by 50 basis point (bp) at its May meeting. At least one more 50 bp and several 25 bp hikes are forecasted to rein in inflation, which has hit the highest in 40 years, with US consumer price index (CPI) at 8.5%. Additionally, a rapid reduction of the Fed's $8.9 trillion balance sheet is expected, trimming to a tune of $95 billion per month.J Powell photo credits: Samuel Corum / Getty Images Markets Longer TermHistorical data compiled by Fisher Investments shows that stock markets, using $S&P 500(.SPX)$ as the proxy actually performed better, not worse during rate hike cycles. From table below, in 9 rate hike periods since the 1970s,
We have 4 loosing weeks since the starts ofApril. I feel the market has already priced inthe rate hike for this coming 4th May when The Fed announces the next interest rate. Thus I believe the market will rebound back maybe not as strong as the previous announcement but up nonetheless. it will be a week ending with Green Candle in first week of May. 🤞