To The Moon

Tesla (TSLA) Valuation Split: AI and Robotics vs. Profit Forecasts 1. Tesla's AI and Robotics Narrative and Valuation Tesla is increasingly being valued as an AI and robotics ecosystem rather than just an EV manufacturer, leading to a disconnect between its stock price and traditional automotive valuations. This narrative is driven by several key factors: Shift from EV to AI/Robotics: Tesla is actively transitioning its focus from electric vehicle manufacturing to becoming a leader in physical artificial intelligence, encompassing autonomous driving, robotaxis, and humanoid robots. Robotaxi Potential: The autonomous vehicle market is projected to reach $115 billion by 2029, with the robotaxi market alone expected to be worth $1.2 trillion by 2030. Tesla's launch of unsupervised robotaxi ri

[Miser]Hi Tigers,US equities are consolidating near cycle highs, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holding above key moving averages as upside momentum eases. Volatility has picked up slightly, and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ settling in the mid-teens suggests two-way risk is back on the table.As liquidity tailwinds fade, investors are refocusing on rate-cut timing, AI capex visibility, and earnings guidance. With Super Earnings Week underway, stock-specific fundamentals are starting to matter more, setting the stage for wider dispersion beneath the index surface.In this backdrop, positioning is tilting toward AI, big tech, and core US assets. These sectors offer clearer earnings visibility, stronger balan

Tesla can still be a buy, but it depends on your view and patience. Tesla is no longer just a car company. Its value story is mainly about technology, scale, and optional upside. EV margins may be under pressure short term, but Tesla still leads in battery tech, software, and manufacturing efficiency. Few competitors can match its cost structure or global footprint. The real upside comes from long-term bets like autonomy, AI, energy storage, and charging infrastructure. If even one of these scales meaningfully, it changes Tesla’s earnings profile. That said, the stock is volatile and sensitive to rate expectations, competition from China, and demand cycles. For long-term investors, Tesla makes sense if you believe in its tech edge and are comfortable riding out swings. For short-term trade

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$’s fiscal Q4 2025 earnings, scheduled for release on January 28, 2026, arrive at a critical juncture as the company’s valuation increasingly detaches from its core automotive performance. The Financial Outlook Wall Street is braced for a significant year-over-year decline. The consensus estimates include: Non-GAAP EPS: ~$0.44–$0.45 (a nearly 40% YoY drop). Revenue: ~$24.8–$25.0 billion (down ~3% YoY). Automotive Margins: Investors are looking for stabilization around 14.8%–15.0%. The primary drag is the automotive segment. Tesla already reported 418,227 deliveries for Q4, a 15.6% YoY decline, attributed to the expiration of U.S. tax credits in Q3 and an aging product lineup. The "Tech Pivot" Strategy 1. Because the car business

Last Week's Recap 1. The US Market - Show Slight Pullback on Geopolitical Tensions: Slight pullback: the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (-0.35%, 6,915.61), the $Dow Chemical(DOW)$ (-0.53%, 49,098.71), and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ (-0.06%, 23,501.24)posted fractional declines for the second week in a row. Geopolitical tensions: International tensions over Greenland and the related prospect of tariffs were the key catalysts for Tuesday’s tumble around 2%. Metals dazzle: Precious metals prices are extending rallies again. Gold is trading above $5000 per ounce, while silver surpassed $100 per ounce for the first time. U.S. GDP upgrade: The government’s updated figure put the quarter

Tesla Earnings Preview: Amid Expected Earnings Drop, What New Story Can Elon Musk Tell? $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   will announce its FY2025 Q4 earnings report after the market closes on January 28th.  Tesla's Q4 revenue is likely to continue its weak trend, following the company's earlier announcement of a significant decline in Q4 car sales. As competition intensifies in the US electric vehicle market, Musk urgently needs to present a new narrative. The market penetration rate for new energy vehicles in the US is expected to be 7.8% in 2025, with Tesla holding a 46.2% market share. Market estimates for this year's penetration rate are around 8%, suggesting limited overall market growth. Considering the sc

Tesla's upcoming earnings report on January 28, 2026, is expected to be a test of whether investors will focus on the company's established automotive business headwinds or its long-term "tech giant" potential in AI, robotics, and autonomy. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some predicting a short-term rally due to low expectations, while long-term valuation remains highly speculative.  Automaker or Tech Giant? Tesla's valuation today is widely considered a bet on its future as a tech giant and AI leader, rather than just an automaker.  Automaker View: Tesla's core automotive business is facing significant pressure from increasing competition, declining margins, and a fall in deliveries, which often leads analysts to rate it as a "Hold" or "Sell" based on traditional auto metrics.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   🧠 Market Structure, Levels, Momentum, and Flow $TSLA retested both my short term and mid term moving averages today and closed above both, confirming near term support, strengthening trend structure, and reinforcing bullish momentum control. Bollinger Bands tightening = volatility compression, signalling a high probability expansion phase. Big move loading as liquidity compresses, range narrows, and order flow builds underneath price. Critical test: can $TSLA hold into earnings? The post e

[Smile]  [Smile]  [Smile]  [Smile]  

Developments already more than priced in....

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  🤖🧠 Tesla Optimus: Embodied Intelligence and the Emergence of a General-Purpose Labour Platform 🤖📈 I view Tesla’s Optimus as a structural inflection point, not only for Tesla, but for labour economics, automation, and long-term productivity across the global economy. This is not an incremental robotics initiative or a speculative moonshot. It represents the moment artificial intelligence transitions from digital environments into persistent, physical execution at scale. The iPhone plac

As a casual investor for Tesla, it always feels good to get a pep talk from our charismatic spokesman. Personally I don't think neither the robotaxi nor the humanoid robot is really going to start hit the streets big time this year or next year. 

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  I’m anchored to weekly structure. As long as $TSLA keeps printing higher highs and higher lows, dips remain corrective, not trend breaking into earnings. Momentum, liquidity pockets, gamma exposure, Vanna flow, positioning, and volatility regime all continue to support trend continuation over distribution. 🚨 Tesla is quietly preparing for mass Optimus V3 production 🤖 $685M in robot parts ordered 🤖 ~180,000 humanoid robots implied 🤖 Production targeted for 2026 🤖 Expands Tesla into AI, robotics, autonomy, and labour automation If structure holds, this i

Yes Robotics is the next AI Tesla rice target $600

1. Analysis of Tesla's Autonomy Upside and Market Pricing The market's valuation of Tesla is increasingly bifurcated between its current automotive business and its future potential in autonomy and robotics. The recent stock reaction to CEO Elon Musk's comments suggests the market is highly responsive to updates on these future technologies. Arguments that the market may be underpricing the upside: Valuation Shift in Focus: Analysts note that investor focus for Tesla's upcoming earnings has shifted from traditional financial metrics to progress on "unsupervised FSD, Robotaxi, and the Optimus robot". This indicates the market is attempting to price in a future that is still under development. Strategic Bet on AI: Tesla is explicitly framing itself as an "AI & Robotics" company, developi

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Intel(INTC)$  ⚡ $TSLA follow through confirmed from yesterday’s setup. This is structural reclaim with real momentum, not random upside. Price smashed through short and medium term moving averages in a single candle, the first close above both since my stop was triggered on Dec 26. That is a decisive trend shift, structure realignment, and a clean flow flip. 📊 Structure 📈 Momentum 💧 Liquidity 🔄 Rotation ⚡ Volatility Price is rotating back into trend with expanding participation. Today checked off multiple technical levels, signalling real intent, not a reflex bounce. 📉 BX Trender Daily turning constructive

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  22Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 23Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 🧠 Structural Reality Check I’m anchoring on what the chart confirms, not the noise. $TSLA structure remains intact on higher timeframes despite volatility. This still reads as consolidation within trend rather than structural failure. • Weekly structure remains constructive • 21 week EMA continues to act as the dominant trend anchor • $422–$435 remains a critical structural pivot and decision zone • 4H compression suggests volatility expansion ahead • All time highs remain the upside magnet if momentum and flow rebuild 🧩 Technical Context That Matte

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🌟 Buckle up, folks! Lemonade just dropped a bombshell that's got Tesla shares buzzing with a solid 2% climb. They're offering a whopping 50% cut on per-mile insurance rates for Tesla drivers who flip on Full Self-Driving (FSD) mode. Why? Their crunching of real-world data screams that FSD slashes accident risks big time, making it a no-brainer safer bet than your average human behind the wheel. 😎 This isn't just a perk—it's rock-solid proof backing Elon Musk's vibe that Tesla's tech outdrives us mere mortals, even as regulators scratch their heads. 🔥 Does this validate FSD's safety creds? Absolutely! Lemonade's move dives deep into Tesla's telemetry treasure trove, tracking every twist and turn to spot the magic: FSD-engaged m

This news has multiple impact on TSLA n other car brands with self driving capabilities. 1) Public perception will improve, leading to greater acceptance and hasten approval time for local and overseas government. 2) Decreased insurance cost for autonomous taxis. 3) More car owners subscribing to FSD. 4) Even more data to make streets safer from poor drivers and less traffic jams.

1. Insurance Pricing as a Validation Signal The insurance industry's core business model is based on actuarial data and risk assessment. Therefore, Lemonade's decision to offer a substantial 50% discount for FSD-enabled vehicles is a tangible, market-based endorsement of the technology's potential to reduce accident rates. This action lends third-party, financial credibility to CEO Elon Musk's long-standing claims about FSD's superior safety compared to human drivers.  However, this validation must be contextualized: Single Data Point vs. Broad Adoption: This is an initiative by one insurer. Broad validation would require adoption by major insurance carriers and sustained data over time.  Ongoing Regulatory Scrutiny: The news data indicates that regulatory bodies like the NHTSA c

Tesla (TSLA) Valuation Split: AI and Robotics vs. Profit Forecasts 1. Tesla's AI and Robotics Narrative and Valuation Tesla is increasingly being valued as an AI and robotics ecosystem rather than just an EV manufacturer, leading to a disconnect between its stock price and traditional automotive valuations. This narrative is driven by several key factors: Shift from EV to AI/Robotics: Tesla is actively transitioning its focus from electric vehicle manufacturing to becoming a leader in physical artificial intelligence, encompassing autonomous driving, robotaxis, and humanoid robots. Robotaxi Potential: The autonomous vehicle market is projected to reach $115 billion by 2029, with the robotaxi market alone expected to be worth $1.2 trillion by 2030. Tesla's launch of unsupervised robotaxi ri

[Miser]Hi Tigers,US equities are consolidating near cycle highs, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holding above key moving averages as upside momentum eases. Volatility has picked up slightly, and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ settling in the mid-teens suggests two-way risk is back on the table.As liquidity tailwinds fade, investors are refocusing on rate-cut timing, AI capex visibility, and earnings guidance. With Super Earnings Week underway, stock-specific fundamentals are starting to matter more, setting the stage for wider dispersion beneath the index surface.In this backdrop, positioning is tilting toward AI, big tech, and core US assets. These sectors offer clearer earnings visibility, stronger balan

Last Week's Recap 1. The US Market - Show Slight Pullback on Geopolitical Tensions: Slight pullback: the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (-0.35%, 6,915.61), the $Dow Chemical(DOW)$ (-0.53%, 49,098.71), and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ (-0.06%, 23,501.24)posted fractional declines for the second week in a row. Geopolitical tensions: International tensions over Greenland and the related prospect of tariffs were the key catalysts for Tuesday’s tumble around 2%. Metals dazzle: Precious metals prices are extending rallies again. Gold is trading above $5000 per ounce, while silver surpassed $100 per ounce for the first time. U.S. GDP upgrade: The government’s updated figure put the quarter

Tesla can still be a buy, but it depends on your view and patience. Tesla is no longer just a car company. Its value story is mainly about technology, scale, and optional upside. EV margins may be under pressure short term, but Tesla still leads in battery tech, software, and manufacturing efficiency. Few competitors can match its cost structure or global footprint. The real upside comes from long-term bets like autonomy, AI, energy storage, and charging infrastructure. If even one of these scales meaningfully, it changes Tesla’s earnings profile. That said, the stock is volatile and sensitive to rate expectations, competition from China, and demand cycles. For long-term investors, Tesla makes sense if you believe in its tech edge and are comfortable riding out swings. For short-term trade

Tesla Earnings Preview: Amid Expected Earnings Drop, What New Story Can Elon Musk Tell? $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   will announce its FY2025 Q4 earnings report after the market closes on January 28th.  Tesla's Q4 revenue is likely to continue its weak trend, following the company's earlier announcement of a significant decline in Q4 car sales. As competition intensifies in the US electric vehicle market, Musk urgently needs to present a new narrative. The market penetration rate for new energy vehicles in the US is expected to be 7.8% in 2025, with Tesla holding a 46.2% market share. Market estimates for this year's penetration rate are around 8%, suggesting limited overall market growth. Considering the sc

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$’s fiscal Q4 2025 earnings, scheduled for release on January 28, 2026, arrive at a critical juncture as the company’s valuation increasingly detaches from its core automotive performance. The Financial Outlook Wall Street is braced for a significant year-over-year decline. The consensus estimates include: Non-GAAP EPS: ~$0.44–$0.45 (a nearly 40% YoY drop). Revenue: ~$24.8–$25.0 billion (down ~3% YoY). Automotive Margins: Investors are looking for stabilization around 14.8%–15.0%. The primary drag is the automotive segment. Tesla already reported 418,227 deliveries for Q4, a 15.6% YoY decline, attributed to the expiration of U.S. tax credits in Q3 and an aging product lineup. The "Tech Pivot" Strategy 1. Because the car business

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   🧠 Market Structure, Levels, Momentum, and Flow $TSLA retested both my short term and mid term moving averages today and closed above both, confirming near term support, strengthening trend structure, and reinforcing bullish momentum control. Bollinger Bands tightening = volatility compression, signalling a high probability expansion phase. Big move loading as liquidity compresses, range narrows, and order flow builds underneath price. Critical test: can $TSLA hold into earnings? The post e

Tesla's upcoming earnings report on January 28, 2026, is expected to be a test of whether investors will focus on the company's established automotive business headwinds or its long-term "tech giant" potential in AI, robotics, and autonomy. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some predicting a short-term rally due to low expectations, while long-term valuation remains highly speculative.  Automaker or Tech Giant? Tesla's valuation today is widely considered a bet on its future as a tech giant and AI leader, rather than just an automaker.  Automaker View: Tesla's core automotive business is facing significant pressure from increasing competition, declining margins, and a fall in deliveries, which often leads analysts to rate it as a "Hold" or "Sell" based on traditional auto metrics.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  🤖🧠 Tesla Optimus: Embodied Intelligence and the Emergence of a General-Purpose Labour Platform 🤖📈 I view Tesla’s Optimus as a structural inflection point, not only for Tesla, but for labour economics, automation, and long-term productivity across the global economy. This is not an incremental robotics initiative or a speculative moonshot. It represents the moment artificial intelligence transitions from digital environments into persistent, physical execution at scale. The iPhone plac

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  22Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 23Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 🧠 Structural Reality Check I’m anchoring on what the chart confirms, not the noise. $TSLA structure remains intact on higher timeframes despite volatility. This still reads as consolidation within trend rather than structural failure. • Weekly structure remains constructive • 21 week EMA continues to act as the dominant trend anchor • $422–$435 remains a critical structural pivot and decision zone • 4H compression suggests volatility expansion ahead • All time highs remain the upside magnet if momentum and flow rebuild 🧩 Technical Context That Matte

1. Analysis of Tesla's Autonomy Upside and Market Pricing The market's valuation of Tesla is increasingly bifurcated between its current automotive business and its future potential in autonomy and robotics. The recent stock reaction to CEO Elon Musk's comments suggests the market is highly responsive to updates on these future technologies. Arguments that the market may be underpricing the upside: Valuation Shift in Focus: Analysts note that investor focus for Tesla's upcoming earnings has shifted from traditional financial metrics to progress on "unsupervised FSD, Robotaxi, and the Optimus robot". This indicates the market is attempting to price in a future that is still under development. Strategic Bet on AI: Tesla is explicitly framing itself as an "AI & Robotics" company, developi

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🌟 Buckle up, folks! Lemonade just dropped a bombshell that's got Tesla shares buzzing with a solid 2% climb. They're offering a whopping 50% cut on per-mile insurance rates for Tesla drivers who flip on Full Self-Driving (FSD) mode. Why? Their crunching of real-world data screams that FSD slashes accident risks big time, making it a no-brainer safer bet than your average human behind the wheel. 😎 This isn't just a perk—it's rock-solid proof backing Elon Musk's vibe that Tesla's tech outdrives us mere mortals, even as regulators scratch their heads. 🔥 Does this validate FSD's safety creds? Absolutely! Lemonade's move dives deep into Tesla's telemetry treasure trove, tracking every twist and turn to spot the magic: FSD-engaged m

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  I’m anchored to weekly structure. As long as $TSLA keeps printing higher highs and higher lows, dips remain corrective, not trend breaking into earnings. Momentum, liquidity pockets, gamma exposure, Vanna flow, positioning, and volatility regime all continue to support trend continuation over distribution. 🚨 Tesla is quietly preparing for mass Optimus V3 production 🤖 $685M in robot parts ordered 🤖 ~180,000 humanoid robots implied 🤖 Production targeted for 2026 🤖 Expands Tesla into AI, robotics, autonomy, and labour automation If structure holds, this i

1. Insurance Pricing as a Validation Signal The insurance industry's core business model is based on actuarial data and risk assessment. Therefore, Lemonade's decision to offer a substantial 50% discount for FSD-enabled vehicles is a tangible, market-based endorsement of the technology's potential to reduce accident rates. This action lends third-party, financial credibility to CEO Elon Musk's long-standing claims about FSD's superior safety compared to human drivers.  However, this validation must be contextualized: Single Data Point vs. Broad Adoption: This is an initiative by one insurer. Broad validation would require adoption by major insurance carriers and sustained data over time.  Ongoing Regulatory Scrutiny: The news data indicates that regulatory bodies like the NHTSA c

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Intel(INTC)$  ⚡ $TSLA follow through confirmed from yesterday’s setup. This is structural reclaim with real momentum, not random upside. Price smashed through short and medium term moving averages in a single candle, the first close above both since my stop was triggered on Dec 26. That is a decisive trend shift, structure realignment, and a clean flow flip. 📊 Structure 📈 Momentum 💧 Liquidity 🔄 Rotation ⚡ Volatility Price is rotating back into trend with expanding participation. Today checked off multiple technical levels, signalling real intent, not a reflex bounce. 📉 BX Trender Daily turning constructive

[Smile]  [Smile]  [Smile]  [Smile]  

Developments already more than priced in....

As a casual investor for Tesla, it always feels good to get a pep talk from our charismatic spokesman. Personally I don't think neither the robotaxi nor the humanoid robot is really going to start hit the streets big time this year or next year. 

Yes Robotics is the next AI Tesla rice target $600

This news has multiple impact on TSLA n other car brands with self driving capabilities. 1) Public perception will improve, leading to greater acceptance and hasten approval time for local and overseas government. 2) Decreased insurance cost for autonomous taxis. 3) More car owners subscribing to FSD. 4) Even more data to make streets safer from poor drivers and less traffic jams.