To The Moon

Sell Iron Condor at 16 Delta just before market close before earning announcement. When market open the next day, IV will be down significantly.

I will definitely keep my stocks n buy in more and wait for the touted $1000+++++

TL;DR: A mysterious institution is bullish on Tesla, expecting the stock price to explore $210 in June and return above the year's high of $250 by August.On the afternoon of April 28th, a sudden news report revealed that Elon Musk had been invited to visit China. The main purpose is to discuss the deployment of Tesla's self-driving technology in the Chinese market. Although there is no specific timeline, judging from official Weibo statements and the Tesla app's purchase page descriptions, cooperation between the two parties seems highly likely.On Monday, Tesla finally reversed its sluggish performance this year, with its pre-market stock price surging 12%, showing strong signs of a trend reversal. Previously, Tesla's option big orders were predominantly bearish, with the main strategy bei

Quarterly earnings. While many are obsessed over the after-hour price moves after earnings are being reported, and trying to figure out why is the stock price up or down, and why so little or so much. Instead all that we are choose to focus is going through the financials, and reading the earnings call transcripts, and making sure that the investment thesis of the companies that we own are still intact, and tracking their progress. There is something truly zen about being business-focused investors than to be price-focused investors. This is because we know what is the ultimate North Star and driver of our long-term returns from owning the businesses that can keep growing revenues, profits and cash flows for a very long time.

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ - I sold META puts a couple days ago. Although I believe META can rebound in the future, the capital used to take on those put positions will likely be tied up for at least 3 months. As someone who tries to unite theory and practice, I didn't really feel like talking much tonight and wanted to remain quiet.Despite lacking energy, I still need to maintain daily observations. An interesting question arises - after an earnings release, will market makers start killing off option positions?Call options will undoubtedly get crushed. For META's put options this week, the 450, 470, 440, 400, 480 strikes have the highest open interest. Looking at the intraday movements, although market makers can't control everything, they sti

In summary: Tesla's stock price is likely to settle around $160 this week, but there is a small probability of a gamma squeeze on call options, pushing the price up to $170.After its earnings report, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rebounded 11%, essentially just recouping last week's losses. Apart from "killing" the shorts, there seems to be no other substantial impact - it was just noise.The short-sellers were hit hard, with the effect being significant. The top 9 out-of-the-money put options expiring this week were essentially all buried, expiring worthless. Listed from low to high strike prices, the put options with open interest above 10,000 contracts had strikes at: 150, 140, 130, 135, 75, 120, 100, 145, 125, 160, 115, 155, 110, and 90.The distribution

Impacted by last week's plunge, tech earnings this week, even with robust numbers, may not see significant rallies and could potentially decline further. As a result, large options orders for tech stocks appear to have turned quite conservative, with institutions starting to employ in-the-money option combinations to reduce costs and control risks. This reflects the market's skepticism about the sustainability of the current market rebound. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I believe META will remain the strongest performer this earnings season due to its monopolistic advantages. However, expectations should not be set too high, as the previous sell-off has made $525 a minor resistance level, making a repeat of last quarter's 20% surge unrealistic. No

No idea what I'm doing 

The seven giants are adjusting, but US stocks are starting to differentiate. Except for NVIDIA as a necessity, the other companies are facing expenditure, profit, and tests. The performance so far this year, except for Tesla plummeting, the rest have surged and then fallen back. In the unusual options activity on April 23, the shadows of the small-cap stock $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ and the emerging markets ETF $iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF(EEM)$ appeared. IWM's small-cap stock put option 8% out-of-the-money for next month is relatively neutral, implying that some investors are betting on the performance of small-cap stocks next month; the emerging markets are a 17% out-of-the-money call for Dece

Out of my league 😊

$Alphabet(GOOG)$   the parent company of Google, is navigating a period of change and restructuring amid market volatility and economic uncertainty. Recently, the company has focused on driving more resources toward artificial intelligence (AI) by consolidating its AI teams under Google DeepMind. This move aims to streamline AI development and research within the company. The company has also announced layoffs and relocations within its finance department, reflecting an effort to manage costs and adapt to the current economic landscape. At the same time, Alphabet faces challenges with employee discontent due to internal protests and concerns about labor conditions. Despite these internal challenges, Alphabet's stock performance has

My life and stocks. Which app what time who what why when. I don't understand how I can do it all

Done this is so real

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  the company has seen strong performance in 2024, though it faces some challenges, such as losses from its Reality Labs division and controversies surrounding its AI assistant. Nevertheless, Meta is expected to report robust revenue growth, which could impact the stock price positively. Here's how to take advantage of IV crush while expecting the results of Meta: 1. Sell High-IV Options Before Earnings: By selling options (both calls and puts) before earnings when implied volatility is high, you can capitalize on the premium decay that occurs post-earnings. Selling options allows you to benefit from the IV crush, where option prices decrease as implied volatility falls afte

Tesla is currently facing a challenging period marked by a combination of declining stock performance and operational challenges. The company's share price has dropped significantly in recent times, down 43% year-to-date, and Tesla has experienced a seven-day consecutive decline in stock value. Tesla is expected to report a 5% decline in sales, marking the first year-over-year revenue drop since 2020 when operations were disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, the company has recently announced further price cuts on its vehicles and premium driver assistance system, as well as workforce layoffs exceeding 10% of its staff. Tesla's quarterly deliveries report was disappointing, and key executives Drew Baglino and Rohan Patel have recently departed from the company, adding further u

After examining Friday's new options positions, I feel there's no need to wait until Monday's market close. I can assert that this week, the battle for NVIDIA's stock price will revolve around the $800 level.Specifically, I'm optimistic that NVIDIA will be able to maintain a price above $800 this week, although upside may be capped around the $840 level.Let me first share the overall picture of NVIDIA's options. Although some might regret missing last week's plunge, there's no need to worry, as the next major options expiration event is on May 17th, when the monthly options for May expire, with a significant number of open interest contracts. However, the specific dynamics will depend on the price movement preferences in May, for which I'll conduct a thorough analysis as we approach that d

Learning a new word today. IV. Anyway, just have a plan and execute it when the price is right n attack![Bless] [Chuckle]  

First of all need to know well in their industry and weather the estimated earning will be good or bad. Look into Pice to book ratio, PE ratio. See this industry market demand. Then see overall market and geopolitical situation. is all met then should be a bullish price for this particular company. Always do your own due diligence check which is the most important. @TigerEvents @TigerClub @Tiger_SG 

Sell Iron Condor at 16 Delta just before market close before earning announcement. When market open the next day, IV will be down significantly.

TL;DR: A mysterious institution is bullish on Tesla, expecting the stock price to explore $210 in June and return above the year's high of $250 by August.On the afternoon of April 28th, a sudden news report revealed that Elon Musk had been invited to visit China. The main purpose is to discuss the deployment of Tesla's self-driving technology in the Chinese market. Although there is no specific timeline, judging from official Weibo statements and the Tesla app's purchase page descriptions, cooperation between the two parties seems highly likely.On Monday, Tesla finally reversed its sluggish performance this year, with its pre-market stock price surging 12%, showing strong signs of a trend reversal. Previously, Tesla's option big orders were predominantly bearish, with the main strategy bei

I will definitely keep my stocks n buy in more and wait for the touted $1000+++++

After examining Friday's new options positions, I feel there's no need to wait until Monday's market close. I can assert that this week, the battle for NVIDIA's stock price will revolve around the $800 level.Specifically, I'm optimistic that NVIDIA will be able to maintain a price above $800 this week, although upside may be capped around the $840 level.Let me first share the overall picture of NVIDIA's options. Although some might regret missing last week's plunge, there's no need to worry, as the next major options expiration event is on May 17th, when the monthly options for May expire, with a significant number of open interest contracts. However, the specific dynamics will depend on the price movement preferences in May, for which I'll conduct a thorough analysis as we approach that d

Impacted by last week's plunge, tech earnings this week, even with robust numbers, may not see significant rallies and could potentially decline further. As a result, large options orders for tech stocks appear to have turned quite conservative, with institutions starting to employ in-the-money option combinations to reduce costs and control risks. This reflects the market's skepticism about the sustainability of the current market rebound. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I believe META will remain the strongest performer this earnings season due to its monopolistic advantages. However, expectations should not be set too high, as the previous sell-off has made $525 a minor resistance level, making a repeat of last quarter's 20% surge unrealistic. No

In summary: Tesla's stock price is likely to settle around $160 this week, but there is a small probability of a gamma squeeze on call options, pushing the price up to $170.After its earnings report, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rebounded 11%, essentially just recouping last week's losses. Apart from "killing" the shorts, there seems to be no other substantial impact - it was just noise.The short-sellers were hit hard, with the effect being significant. The top 9 out-of-the-money put options expiring this week were essentially all buried, expiring worthless. Listed from low to high strike prices, the put options with open interest above 10,000 contracts had strikes at: 150, 140, 130, 135, 75, 120, 100, 145, 125, 160, 115, 155, 110, and 90.The distribution

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ - I sold META puts a couple days ago. Although I believe META can rebound in the future, the capital used to take on those put positions will likely be tied up for at least 3 months. As someone who tries to unite theory and practice, I didn't really feel like talking much tonight and wanted to remain quiet.Despite lacking energy, I still need to maintain daily observations. An interesting question arises - after an earnings release, will market makers start killing off option positions?Call options will undoubtedly get crushed. For META's put options this week, the 450, 470, 440, 400, 480 strikes have the highest open interest. Looking at the intraday movements, although market makers can't control everything, they sti

The recent drop in Tesla Motors' (TSLA) stock price following a Q1 delivery miss and a sustained decline below its 200-day moving average raises questions about the company's future prospects. Investors' pessimism about Tesla's future trend, with some predicting a further decline to $120 or $110, contrasts with ARK ETFs' Cathie Wood, who recently added a significant number of Tesla shares to her portfolio. Here is my view on how to take advantage of implied volatility (IV) crush during the earnings season, as well as whether to bottom-fish Tesla stock at the current or lower levels: Understand IV Crush: Implied volatility (IV) often spikes before earnings announcements due to the uncertainty around potential stock price movement. Once the earnings report is released, IV tends to drop sign

**Understanding IV Crush and Strategies to Capitalize on It** In the world of options trading, few terms are as critical to understand as "IV Crush." IV, or Implied Volatility, is a metric that reflects the market's forecast of a likely movement in a security's price. An IV Crush occurs when there's a sharp decline in implied volatility, which typically happens after a significant event like an earnings report. This sudden drop can significantly affect the extrinsic value of options contracts, often to the detriment of uninformed traders¹. **What Causes an IV Crush?** An IV Crush is usually event-driven. Before a major event, there's a lot of uncertainty about the future price of a stock, which inflates the option premiums due to higher implied volatility. Once the event passes and the unc

$Alphabet(GOOG)$   the parent company of Google, is navigating a period of change and restructuring amid market volatility and economic uncertainty. Recently, the company has focused on driving more resources toward artificial intelligence (AI) by consolidating its AI teams under Google DeepMind. This move aims to streamline AI development and research within the company. The company has also announced layoffs and relocations within its finance department, reflecting an effort to manage costs and adapt to the current economic landscape. At the same time, Alphabet faces challenges with employee discontent due to internal protests and concerns about labor conditions. Despite these internal challenges, Alphabet's stock performance has

Tesla is currently facing a challenging period marked by a combination of declining stock performance and operational challenges. The company's share price has dropped significantly in recent times, down 43% year-to-date, and Tesla has experienced a seven-day consecutive decline in stock value. Tesla is expected to report a 5% decline in sales, marking the first year-over-year revenue drop since 2020 when operations were disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, the company has recently announced further price cuts on its vehicles and premium driver assistance system, as well as workforce layoffs exceeding 10% of its staff. Tesla's quarterly deliveries report was disappointing, and key executives Drew Baglino and Rohan Patel have recently departed from the company, adding further u

The seven giants are adjusting, but US stocks are starting to differentiate. Except for NVIDIA as a necessity, the other companies are facing expenditure, profit, and tests. The performance so far this year, except for Tesla plummeting, the rest have surged and then fallen back. In the unusual options activity on April 23, the shadows of the small-cap stock $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ and the emerging markets ETF $iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF(EEM)$ appeared. IWM's small-cap stock put option 8% out-of-the-money for next month is relatively neutral, implying that some investors are betting on the performance of small-cap stocks next month; the emerging markets are a 17% out-of-the-money call for Dece

Implied Volatility (IV), sounds simple yet complicated. Anyway, it is worth to learn and understand the principle behind IV. Before and after the release of financial reports, implied volatility often experiences a sharp decline, a phenomenon referred to as IV Crush. IV, or Implied Volatility, is a critical parameter in option pricing models, representing the market's expectation of future volatility in the underlying asset. Unlike historical price data, IV is inferred from option market prices. Therefore, IV reflects current market conditions and participants' expectations, providing valuable insights into market volatility. Significant events such as financial report releases or policy changes may cause substantial price fluctuations in the underlying asset. Before these events occu

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  the company has seen strong performance in 2024, though it faces some challenges, such as losses from its Reality Labs division and controversies surrounding its AI assistant. Nevertheless, Meta is expected to report robust revenue growth, which could impact the stock price positively. Here's how to take advantage of IV crush while expecting the results of Meta: 1. Sell High-IV Options Before Earnings: By selling options (both calls and puts) before earnings when implied volatility is high, you can capitalize on the premium decay that occurs post-earnings. Selling options allows you to benefit from the IV crush, where option prices decrease as implied volatility falls afte

The best and safest way to profit from iv crush during earnings is to sell options, Either covered calls or cash secured puts, because of the uncertainty and big swings in price the premium received is much higher than when the stock is not reporting earnings.. Let us use $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  as an example as they are reporting earnings next week. If you own 100 Shares of tsla and you are bearish you can sell a call option at the strike price you are comfortable selling the 100 shares. If tsla reports good earnings and the price rallies and expires above the strike of the call, you get to sell the shares at the price you want and get to keep the premium as well. If tsla reports bad earnings and the stock crashes you get to keep the full

I'll create a short strangle position 2-4 weeks before the earning release date by selling both out of money call and put options with the expiry date just a few days after the release date. That timing the IV is at it highest thus both legs can earn good premium. Strike price should be around 1-2 sigma for above the market price for call option and 1-2 sigma for put option- that's to balancing the return and provide room for price fluctuations before strike price been hit.  After earning released, either call or put option will be in the money, then can close the position by buying back the options to take the advantage of reduce the IV and theta value. Both factors will cause option prices to decrease.  As regards to the risk control, I suggest to have the equal underlying

Quarterly earnings. While many are obsessed over the after-hour price moves after earnings are being reported, and trying to figure out why is the stock price up or down, and why so little or so much. Instead all that we are choose to focus is going through the financials, and reading the earnings call transcripts, and making sure that the investment thesis of the companies that we own are still intact, and tracking their progress. There is something truly zen about being business-focused investors than to be price-focused investors. This is because we know what is the ultimate North Star and driver of our long-term returns from owning the businesses that can keep growing revenues, profits and cash flows for a very long time.

Navigating the complexities of options trading demands a cautious and informed approach, particularly when earnings announcements loom on the horizon. Seasoned traders understand the inherent risks associated with these events, notably the phenomenon of IV Crush, which can swiftly erode the value of positions post-announcement. With earnings season presenting both opportunities and pitfalls, a nuanced understanding of IV Crush is indispensable for crafting effective options trading strategies and mitigating potential losses.  Traders are advised to exercise caution when considering options purchases in proximity to earnings announcements, primarily due to the anticipated phenomenon known as IV Crush. This occurrence has the potential to significantly diminish the value of positions fo

"IV crush is a phenomenon primarily beneficial for sellers of option contracts, rather than buyers. For instance, consider the case of an individual who purchased Donal JT's media put option when the company initiated live trading. At that time, the IV stood at over 300%. Despite the stock plummeting by over 50% within just three weeks, the IV crush rendered the trade barely profitable. When capitalizing on IV crush during earnings seasons, fundamental principles of selling put options remain paramount. It's imperative to select companies with robust fundamentals, ones you'd be comfortable holding the underlying asset of even if earnings disappoint. Finding the right balance between strike distance and premium collection is crucial. Evaluating the risk-to-reward ratio is essential; however

IV, or Implied Volatility, is a critical parameter in option pricing models, representing the market's expectation of future volatility in the underlying asset. Unlike historical price data, IV is inferred from option market prices. Therefore, IV reflects current market conditions and participants' expectations, providing valuable insights into market volatility.High IV indicates a market expectation of significant future price fluctuations, implying higher risk and uncertainty, while low IV suggests a market expectation of smaller price fluctuations, indicating relative stability.