The writings are on the wall. US economy is cooling. Last week’s 4 jobs reports have more or less affirmed this. (1) JOLTs. Firstly, Jobs Opening & Labour Turnover survey (JOLTs) rose marginally by +2.79% for May 2024 to 8.14 million jobs. (2) ADP Non farm payroll. Secondly, ADP Private payroll growth edged lower by -4.46% for June 2024 to 150,000 jobs, indicating a potential slowdown in the US labour market. (3) US Weekly jobless claims. Thirdly, US weekly jobless claims (week ending 29 Jun 2024) rose by +1.70% to 238,000 claims. The 4-week average of claims climbed by 2,250 to 238,500., the highest in 9 months. (4) US Non-farm payroll. US Non-Farm payroll report released on Fri, 05 Jul 2024 was the final piece to the jigsaw puzzle. (see above) For June 2024, no of jobs fell by -5.50%
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ It’s the start of a new week, so I thought lets share something easy and equally significant. Then I came across this post from IBD. (see below) Let’s see what we can learn. On Tue, 02 Jul 2024 - Cathie Wood and her Ark Invest firm shed some of their Tesla shares. And in a surprise twist, loaded up on budding drone maker . On Wed, 03 Jul 2024, Tesla stock jumped, while $Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$ shares spiked. How Much Sold? On Tuesday, Wood and Ark Invest sold a total of 62,867 Tesla shares, that was worth 14.538 million, based on the 231.26 closing price, based on daily trade updates from the firm. Of the 62,867 Tesla shares s
A few years back, $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ wasn't the hottest ticket in biopharma. But today, it's a juggernaut in global healthcare. So, is Eli Lilly still the top pick for healthcare investors? Let's check out three biotech stocks worth buying:1. $Amgen(AMGN)$ Eli Lilly's stock has surged over 50% this year, while Amgen's gains have been in the single digits. Amgen even reported a net loss in Q1 2024 under GAAP.But where Amgen really shines is valuation—it beats Eli Lilly hands down. Amgen's forward P/E ratio is less than 16.2x, while Lilly's is a hefty 66.7x. And on dividends, Amgen trumps Lilly with a forward dividend yield of 2.9% versus Lilly's paltry 0.6%.2. $Vertex Ph
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Okay so Citi Analyst Tyler Radke just issued a Neutral rating on Palantir $PLTR, maintaining a $25 Price Target. Core points from his note: - AIP Go-To-Market seems to be accelerating dramatically with more bootcamps, indicating US Commercial is growing well - Although AIP’s GTM is strong, Citi is unconvinced that the monetization is ramping up at the same rate - Doubtful on massive government growth even with the latest gov contracts - Moved from a “Sell” rating to Neutral, but believes the stock's valuation, trading at approximately 24 times next twelve months (NTM) enterprise value to sales (EV/Sales), makes it difficult for Citi to identify positive near-term catalysts
【Stock Prediction】Guess which bank is a big winner this week ?
Q2 earnings season kicks off on Friday with $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ , $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ , and $Citigroup(C)$ reporting. Can you predict which bank is a big winner this week ? If you get the correct answer, you may divide 1000 Tiger Coins with other Tigers.Q2 banks' earnings outlookBank stocks are relatively strong this year as investors continue to lean into the U.S.’s largest banks as havens from banking sector woes. Of the trio of big banks, Citigroup notched the largest gains this year, with a rise of 24%, followed by a 21% gain for Wells Fargo and a 20% rise by Goldman.The banking sector was put through a stress test
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ have experienced a 6 consecutive weeks up moves, which have exceeded its two standard deviations price runs. In order to break the sequence, it is possible that the price will move lower. Standard deviation (SD) is a statistical measure that indicates how much a stock's price typically deviates from its average price. A price movement exceeding one, two or more SD suggests a more significant deviation than usual, potentially signaling a trend change or overbought/oversold territory. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ </
$Intel(INTC)$That's the reason Intel is under valued now. After Intel gets back to leading position in terms of chip design and manufacture, its margin will go up, and sales/income per employee will go up too. At least now I see it's going to the right direction. Buy stocks is for the future, I see the next 6-18 months Intel will be in better position than now because* Lunar Lake/Arrow Lake will be released with better efficiency and performance at the end of this year.* Intel next gen GPU chips will be released, start getting some market share from near 0 market share today. Seems like most of driver issues are sorted out. It will be very competitive, and market welcome a new player in the space as current only two play
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$you are missing the opportunity in front of your face. I bought most of my 20k shares around the $10-$15 range. But I also have added leaps on big pullbacks. And we are in one now. This is the loading zone for the inevitable trip back to $200+ and eventually like $300+. I assume you missed purchasing AMD since $10 so you will continue down that path. I think AMD will eventually bury Intel and NVIDIA.
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$Shorts shorted $150, thinking it would fall,Confident in their wisdom, they gave it their all.Shorts shorted $160, certain of the trend,Believing in the downturn, they bet once again.Shorts shorted $170, convinced they were right,Ignoring the market's unpredictable might.But the stock held steady, rising with the sun,Leaving the shorts wondering, "What have we done?"The market's a mystery, a game of chance and skill,Where fortunes can be made, or lost against one's will.So heed this little tale, of shorts and their plight,For in the world of stocks, nothing's black and white.
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ I think that AMZN has built the greatest money printing machine the world has or will ever see……just watch as they open the EPS spigot more and more in the coming years ………..remember this when they are at or near a 10T mkt cap……and still considered a buy
2nd Job Report Dropped. On the eve of 4th July, US Independence Day, the 2nd jobs report dropped. The United States (US) Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute released its monthly report on US private sector job creation for June 2024 on Wed, 03 Jul 2024. Known as the ADP Employment Change, the report is released 2 days before US official Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report. Despite random divergences in the data outcome (on & off), market regard it as an advanced indicator to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. A strong job creation in the private sector will likely be seen as an upcoming upbeat NFP report and vice versa. ADP June 2024. Private payroll growth edged lower in June, indicating a potential slowdown in the US labour market. Companies added 150,000 jobs, (a)
$Sea Ltd(SE)$Sea is the leader of the pack in its home turf (which, relative to other economic loci around the world, is highly enviable turf), a behemoth of e-commerce, fintech, gaming, and logistics. I wouldn't be surprised if they one day boasted a thriving ad business, as well.They are net debt negative (with their currently-US$5.4B cash pile now growing again, having bottomed in 4Q23), and consensus has them posting an adj. EPS growth rate of 80% in FY25. Yes, I said an eighty percent growth rate in earnings.What earnings multiple are you paying for that 2025 EPS?28.5 ...No, I'm not joking. Sea is trading at 28.5x next year's adj. EPS, and it's expected to be posting a growth rate of eighty frickin' percent.The year a
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Friday (July 5), the U.S. non-farm payrolls became the detonation of gold and silver and other non-U.S. assets fuse, gold in the non-farm payrolls after the violent shock of more than 40 U.S. dollars, from 2368 to 2350 near, and then soared to 2380 near. Why non-farm payrolls triggered such a big market? The study of non-farm payrolls "breakdowns" look over, a chart detailing non-farm payrolls and the breakdown of each industry.The June employment data clearly sent some mixed signals, but in general, they are leaning towards a slowdown in the economy. This will spark a debate about how strong (or weak) the labour market really is. Either way, the debate about the Fed will heat up in the coming weeks. Although trading was
Semiconductor Stocks seem to finish their correction
Developments in semiconductor technology during the past 50 years have made electronic devices smaller, faster, and more reliable. Think for a minute of all the encounters you have with electronic devices. How many have you seen or used in the last 24 hours? Each has important components that have been manufactured with electronic materials. NVIDIA Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang unloaded shares worth nearly $169 million in June, the most he netted in a single month, as insatiable demand for the chips used to power artificial intelligence drove the stock to fresh peaks. Nvidia daily chart As shown in the chart above, NVIDIA share price pulled back to EMA25 after a bearish engulfing candle appeared two weeks ago. This week, after revisited its support level at
Investment Reflection on Additional Investment in Apple Stock
Reflecting on my recent investment in Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ stock, I find myself both optimistic and reassured about the decision. Apple has long been misunderstood by many on Wall Street, often viewed through the narrow lens of being primarily a smartphone manufacturer. However, this perspective fails to capture the essence and broader scope of Apple's capabilities and strategic positioning. Core Strengths and Market Position Consumer Technology Leader: Apple is not just a smartphone maker; it is the producer of some of the best and most beloved consumer technology products in the world. Its ecosystem, which includes the iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, and various accessories, is designed to provide a seam
My recent decision to increase my investment in Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT)$ stock is driven by several compelling factors that highlight the company’s strong position in the technology sector and its future growth potential. Dominance Across Multiple Industries Microsoft has consistently demonstrated its ability to dominate any industry it ventures into. Its extensive product range, from software and hardware to gaming and enterprise solutions, showcases its versatility and market leadership. This breadth allows Microsoft to maintain a steady revenue stream from diverse sources, reducing its dependency on any single market segment. Azure's Growing Presence A significant driver of my confidence in Microsoft is i
Overview: As investors closely monitor potential disruptions from Tropical Storm Beryl, oil prices have seen slight movements. With significant ports in Texas closing in anticipation of the storm, concerns about energy supply interruptions are mounting. Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices experienced minor fluctuations in early trading, reflecting the market's cautious approach to the unfolding situation. Tropical Storm Beryl's Impact on Texas Ports: The largest ports in Texas, including Corpus Christi, Houston, Galveston, Freeport, and Texas City, have been shut down in preparation for Tropical Storm Beryl. The storm is projected to strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane and make landfall between Galveston and Corpus Christi. These port closures could temporarily hal
Overview: Market Turbulence and Uncertainty Nvidia's $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ stock has experienced significant volatility, sparking debates over the sustainability of its AI-driven rally. Despite concerns about valuation and competitive threats, a critical factor remains: how long will the demand for AI chips persist? The broader market is currently navigating through uncertainty, with Nvidia's future performance closely tied to evolving sentiments about AI's role in business expansion and efficiency improvements. Tech Giants' AI Investment Surge Nvidia's largest clients—Microsoft$Microsoft(MSFT)$ , Meta $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.High Probability $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Breakout Trade that Paid Multiple 1000% Runners 🚀Explanation below 👇TSLA had been consolidating since late January 2024, trading in a range above $167 for the past 3 months. Once TSLA moved back above $182 this helped set up for $200 again. TSLA moved to $200 on June 28th and started to break out on July 1st.I took the TSLA 205C at $4.20, and these moved to $47.32 by Friday. TSLA $200 was a key breakout level for 2024. Once TSLA reclaimed $200, this set it up for a move to $216-$224 this week. TSLA ended up running to $252.TSLA gapped up after delivery numbers on July 2nd. It opened at $218 and moved to $233 intraday. I took the TSLA 225C a