To The Moon

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Technical: On the upside, gold prices will aim for 3130 (the upper limit of the four-month long uptrend channel) as it breaks above the psychological short-term resistance at 3100. Once the latter is breached, gold prices will rise to $3200.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the D1 chart has risen above 70, suggesting an overbought condition in the near term. In case of a technical correction in gold, $3060/(the midpoint of the uptrend channel) could be seen as the first support level; if it breaks below this support, sellers will aim for $3000-2990 (static level, the lower limit of the uptrend channel) and $2,980 (the 20-day simple moving a

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.First of all, have a great weekend! Technical surface: whether it is D1 or H4 trend indicators are strong, the overall trend of bias upward development. Comprehensive point of view, gold in the continuous upward trend, the price is climbing, the lows continue to move up, the highs continue to refresh, at present, the price of gold is still rising space, for the lower support first pay attention to the 3060 near, above continue to continue to test the 3090-3100 area or higher prices! If gold successfully fell below 3060, then the real adjustment may come. Next Monday's trading range in the support 3065-resistance 3110! Trading to maintain the main buy trading! Meanwhile, you need to keep an eye on the market news over the

Since mid-March, international crude oil prices have experienced a rebound. NYMEX WTI crude oil futures rose from $65.6 per barrel on March 10 to $69.37 per barrel by March 25, an increase of about 5.7%. Similarly, ICE Brent crude oil futures rose from $68.65 per barrel to $72.54 per barrel during the same period.This price rally is driven by supply-side disruptions, including geopolitical crises and U.S. sanctions, which have led to downward revisions in crude oil production forecasts for 2025. OPEC+'s implementation of compensatory production cuts has eased concerns about oversupply. However, factors such as China’s shift to new energy vehicles and reduced oil demand in the U.S. due to tariffs and fiscal tightening make it unlikely that crude oil will break away from its oversupply trend

At the latest Federal Reserve meeting last week, policymakers unsurprisingly chose to maintain the status quo on interest rates. The relatively dovish tone of the communication improved market sentiment slightly, yet significant uncertainty remains over the future trajectory of monetary policy. Opinions are split: some believe that former President Trump's anti-globalization policies might lead to inflation or stagflation, preventing the Fed from cutting rates, while others anticipate that recession risks will compel the Fed to implement aggressive monetary easing to stabilize the economy. Examining bond market data can help determine which of these scenarios is more plausible.Recent Trends in 10-Year Treasury YieldsSince peaking at over 5% during the previous U.S. rate-hiking cycle, the 1

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Wednesday (26 March) Asian market, gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near 3020.83 U.S. dollars. Gold prices rose slightly on Tuesday, closing at $3019.84, temporarily holding above the 3000 round number mark, on the one hand, tariff concerns still provide safe-haven support, on the other hand, the U.S. consumer confidence data performed poorly, dragging down the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields, to give support to the gold price. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$

Media Report: U.S. and Russia Expected to Release Joint Statement at 4 PM Beijing Time.According to CBS News, after the Saudi-hosted talks on a ceasefire agreement in the Black Sea region, it is anticipated that the United States and Russia will issue a joint statement. .The announcement is scheduled for 4 AM Washington time, 11 AM Moscow time, and 4 PM Beijing time. While specific details of the statement remain unclear, reports from U.S. technical teams in Saudi Arabia shared with the Trump administration appear optimistic. Additionally, Ukrainian officials have been briefed on the developments.Historically, factors driving gold price fluctuations have revolved around two key attributes: its role as a hedge against inflation and its value as a safe-haven asset. Since President Trump took

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Monday, gold continues to maintain a technical decline! The sell order strategy has reached TP perfectly! The key support still needs to pay attention to $3,000! It is expected that there will be a wide range of fluctuations this week! Gold will have a new direction only if the news stimulates it! The overall trend of gold will continue to rise! It will reach $3,500 in the middle of the year! Friends who need more strategies and signals

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Monday (March 24) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading at 3025.54 U.S. dollars near. Gold prices fell 0.7% on Friday, due to a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, the plate once touched the 3000 round number mark, but the lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainty, coupled with the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts, the price of gold is still subject to the low buyers and safe-haven buyers to support, on Friday, the price of gold closed at $ 3023.04 near the weekly rise of 1.17% for the third consecutive weekly rise.Survey shows that most analysts and retail investors still tend to bullish

1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ TECHNICAL: The gold trend remains upward, however, the gold price action formed a doji on Thursday, which could lead to a pullback before resuming the rebound trend.Gold ended Thursday's session slightly down nearly 0.1 % at $3044.64. Gold prices touched a record high of $3,057.57 during the session.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought but is set to fall to 70 as bulls hedge their bets, meaning shorts aren't out of the woods but may take some profits on the decline in gold prices.The first support level for gold prices will be the $3,000 mark. Once it falls below this level, the next target will be the 20 February high of $2954 and then $2900.Should gold prices rise above $3,050, this would pave the way

Overnight, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as anticipated, while announcing significant policy adjustments. According to the FOMC statement, beginning April 1st, the Fed will slow its balance sheet reduction pace, decreasing Treasury securities reduction limits from $25 billion/month to $5 billion/month, while maintaining the MBS reduction cap at $35 billion/month. The committee noted increased economic uncertainty but still forecasts two interest rate cuts this year, totaling 50 basis points altogether.Benchmark Rate Unchanged, Balance Sheet Reduction Slowed, Two Rate Cuts - All Within ExpectationsFed Chairman Powell broke new ground in the press conference by addressing tariffs for the first time, acknowledging that Trump's policies are impacting the economy. He emphasized

After recognizing the mistake and previously being bullish on gold, its price has continued to rise with little resistance, recently surpassing the $3,000 milestone. With this milestone achieved, investors are concerned about how far this gold bull market can go and whether a correction or reversal might occur soon. This outlook explores these questions briefly.Firstly, regarding the bullish target, we previously discussed that once the triangular formation ended, new upside potential opened up, with the target for a bullish rally pointing towards the $3,300 resistance area. Based on current prices, there's roughly a 10% upside potential left in the medium term. Considering gold's historical volatility and its low points at the beginning of the year, this target aligns with past patterns.

This Thursday at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate setting meeting, which receives significant market attention, especially during quarterly meetings. Previously, there were pessimistic expectations about the Fed cutting rates twice this year. If the post-meeting press conference does not convey a sufficiently hawkish stance, the market might become more optimistic, potentially boosting indices further. Therefore, stock index trends might change around Wednesday this week. If there's a significant rebound on Monday and Tuesday, investors should be cautious about potential peak rebounds on Wednesday, as the market's fear index (VIX) is relatively high, and a double bottom is quite common.Wind Direction: Will the Federal Reserve Remain Cautious This Month,

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices continue to rise and face a resistance level near $3050, which must be broken to confirm further medium-term bullishness towards $3100-3200. Otherwise, if the resistance level remains intact, gold prices could fall towards $3000, or even $2950! Technical data on the daily chart suggests that the bullish trend will continue. Despite the Relative Strength Index (RSI) being at overbought levels, the technical indicators remain firmly to the upside with no signs of the upside drying up. Meanwhile, the gold price is well above all of its moving averages, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resuming its upward move and curr

Nice

U.S. Economy Facing Rising Risks of RecessionSince January, recession risks in the U.S. economy have become increasingly salient. Optimistic market sentiment has subsided, and policy shifts under the Trump administration—including tariff hikes, federal budget cuts, and layoffs at Doge Corporation—have significantly dampened economic momentum.Key indicators show evident deterioration:On March 11, the U.S. 10-year treasury yield fell to 4.28%, down from January's optimistic peak of 4.79%. The U.S. Dollar Index also sharply declined from 110.17 (January 13) to 103.39 (March 11).The Atlanta Fed drastically cut its Q1 2025 GDP growth forecast from 3.9% to -2.4%, citing weak consumer spending and net exports.Recent retail sales figures notably missed expectations, consumption growth slowed sharp

good analysis and info

The US stock market has experienced a continuous decline over the past three weeks, with an overall drop of around 5%. From the perspective of market trends over the past year and a half, this three-week period often marks an important node, indicating either the end of an adjustment or the conclusion of a phase. Therefore, whether the market can stabilize this week will have significant reference value.Using the S&P 500 as a reference, every adjustment since the middle of last year has lasted about three weeks, followed by a resumption of the upward trend. Even in slightly longer-term market trends with more weekly adjustments, there usually is a small rebound or correction after three weeks. If history repeats itself or if trends need to continue, the US stock market should not exper

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The financial market is like a never-ending wave, fluctuating up and down every day, and it seems that there are trading opportunities everywhere. But remember, the real opportunities are not those superficial and fleeting fluctuations, but the opportunities that you can truly understand and grasp with your own experience, knowledge and keen insight. Only such opportunities are truly your opportunities.Unfortunately, in the world of trading, 90% of traders seem to be troubled by an invisible obsessive-compulsive disorder. This obsessive-compulsive disorder drives them to feel that they must open an order today, as if it is an unshirkable task.

Conclusion ?

Last year, to avoid a U.S. government debt default, Congress approved a temporary funding bill extending federal government funding until March 14, 2025. With this deadline approaching next week, House Speaker Mike Johnson has proposed a new temporary funding measure lasting until September 30. This bill is scheduled for a vote next Tuesday. Although the probability of outright rejection is relatively low, uncertainties remain. Political maneuvering by a minority of lawmakers and possible delays from the Democratic Party could complicate or prolong the bill's passage, thereby negatively impacting market sentiment.U.S. Stocks: Approaching Interim Lows—Short-Term Rebound PossibleAfter significant declines last week, major U.S. indices—led by the S&P 500—have dropped around 8%, nearing a

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Technical: On the upside, gold prices will aim for 3130 (the upper limit of the four-month long uptrend channel) as it breaks above the psychological short-term resistance at 3100. Once the latter is breached, gold prices will rise to $3200.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the D1 chart has risen above 70, suggesting an overbought condition in the near term. In case of a technical correction in gold, $3060/(the midpoint of the uptrend channel) could be seen as the first support level; if it breaks below this support, sellers will aim for $3000-2990 (static level, the lower limit of the uptrend channel) and $2,980 (the 20-day simple moving a

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.First of all, have a great weekend! Technical surface: whether it is D1 or H4 trend indicators are strong, the overall trend of bias upward development. Comprehensive point of view, gold in the continuous upward trend, the price is climbing, the lows continue to move up, the highs continue to refresh, at present, the price of gold is still rising space, for the lower support first pay attention to the 3060 near, above continue to continue to test the 3090-3100 area or higher prices! If gold successfully fell below 3060, then the real adjustment may come. Next Monday's trading range in the support 3065-resistance 3110! Trading to maintain the main buy trading! Meanwhile, you need to keep an eye on the market news over the

Since mid-March, international crude oil prices have experienced a rebound. NYMEX WTI crude oil futures rose from $65.6 per barrel on March 10 to $69.37 per barrel by March 25, an increase of about 5.7%. Similarly, ICE Brent crude oil futures rose from $68.65 per barrel to $72.54 per barrel during the same period.This price rally is driven by supply-side disruptions, including geopolitical crises and U.S. sanctions, which have led to downward revisions in crude oil production forecasts for 2025. OPEC+'s implementation of compensatory production cuts has eased concerns about oversupply. However, factors such as China’s shift to new energy vehicles and reduced oil demand in the U.S. due to tariffs and fiscal tightening make it unlikely that crude oil will break away from its oversupply trend

At the latest Federal Reserve meeting last week, policymakers unsurprisingly chose to maintain the status quo on interest rates. The relatively dovish tone of the communication improved market sentiment slightly, yet significant uncertainty remains over the future trajectory of monetary policy. Opinions are split: some believe that former President Trump's anti-globalization policies might lead to inflation or stagflation, preventing the Fed from cutting rates, while others anticipate that recession risks will compel the Fed to implement aggressive monetary easing to stabilize the economy. Examining bond market data can help determine which of these scenarios is more plausible.Recent Trends in 10-Year Treasury YieldsSince peaking at over 5% during the previous U.S. rate-hiking cycle, the 1

Media Report: U.S. and Russia Expected to Release Joint Statement at 4 PM Beijing Time.According to CBS News, after the Saudi-hosted talks on a ceasefire agreement in the Black Sea region, it is anticipated that the United States and Russia will issue a joint statement. .The announcement is scheduled for 4 AM Washington time, 11 AM Moscow time, and 4 PM Beijing time. While specific details of the statement remain unclear, reports from U.S. technical teams in Saudi Arabia shared with the Trump administration appear optimistic. Additionally, Ukrainian officials have been briefed on the developments.Historically, factors driving gold price fluctuations have revolved around two key attributes: its role as a hedge against inflation and its value as a safe-haven asset. Since President Trump took

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Wednesday (26 March) Asian market, gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near 3020.83 U.S. dollars. Gold prices rose slightly on Tuesday, closing at $3019.84, temporarily holding above the 3000 round number mark, on the one hand, tariff concerns still provide safe-haven support, on the other hand, the U.S. consumer confidence data performed poorly, dragging down the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields, to give support to the gold price. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Monday, gold continues to maintain a technical decline! The sell order strategy has reached TP perfectly! The key support still needs to pay attention to $3,000! It is expected that there will be a wide range of fluctuations this week! Gold will have a new direction only if the news stimulates it! The overall trend of gold will continue to rise! It will reach $3,500 in the middle of the year! Friends who need more strategies and signals

1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ TECHNICAL: The gold trend remains upward, however, the gold price action formed a doji on Thursday, which could lead to a pullback before resuming the rebound trend.Gold ended Thursday's session slightly down nearly 0.1 % at $3044.64. Gold prices touched a record high of $3,057.57 during the session.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought but is set to fall to 70 as bulls hedge their bets, meaning shorts aren't out of the woods but may take some profits on the decline in gold prices.The first support level for gold prices will be the $3,000 mark. Once it falls below this level, the next target will be the 20 February high of $2954 and then $2900.Should gold prices rise above $3,050, this would pave the way

Overnight, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as anticipated, while announcing significant policy adjustments. According to the FOMC statement, beginning April 1st, the Fed will slow its balance sheet reduction pace, decreasing Treasury securities reduction limits from $25 billion/month to $5 billion/month, while maintaining the MBS reduction cap at $35 billion/month. The committee noted increased economic uncertainty but still forecasts two interest rate cuts this year, totaling 50 basis points altogether.Benchmark Rate Unchanged, Balance Sheet Reduction Slowed, Two Rate Cuts - All Within ExpectationsFed Chairman Powell broke new ground in the press conference by addressing tariffs for the first time, acknowledging that Trump's policies are impacting the economy. He emphasized

This Thursday at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate setting meeting, which receives significant market attention, especially during quarterly meetings. Previously, there were pessimistic expectations about the Fed cutting rates twice this year. If the post-meeting press conference does not convey a sufficiently hawkish stance, the market might become more optimistic, potentially boosting indices further. Therefore, stock index trends might change around Wednesday this week. If there's a significant rebound on Monday and Tuesday, investors should be cautious about potential peak rebounds on Wednesday, as the market's fear index (VIX) is relatively high, and a double bottom is quite common.Wind Direction: Will the Federal Reserve Remain Cautious This Month,

After recognizing the mistake and previously being bullish on gold, its price has continued to rise with little resistance, recently surpassing the $3,000 milestone. With this milestone achieved, investors are concerned about how far this gold bull market can go and whether a correction or reversal might occur soon. This outlook explores these questions briefly.Firstly, regarding the bullish target, we previously discussed that once the triangular formation ended, new upside potential opened up, with the target for a bullish rally pointing towards the $3,300 resistance area. Based on current prices, there's roughly a 10% upside potential left in the medium term. Considering gold's historical volatility and its low points at the beginning of the year, this target aligns with past patterns.

Last year, to avoid a U.S. government debt default, Congress approved a temporary funding bill extending federal government funding until March 14, 2025. With this deadline approaching next week, House Speaker Mike Johnson has proposed a new temporary funding measure lasting until September 30. This bill is scheduled for a vote next Tuesday. Although the probability of outright rejection is relatively low, uncertainties remain. Political maneuvering by a minority of lawmakers and possible delays from the Democratic Party could complicate or prolong the bill's passage, thereby negatively impacting market sentiment.U.S. Stocks: Approaching Interim Lows—Short-Term Rebound PossibleAfter significant declines last week, major U.S. indices—led by the S&P 500—have dropped around 8%, nearing a

U.S. Economy Facing Rising Risks of RecessionSince January, recession risks in the U.S. economy have become increasingly salient. Optimistic market sentiment has subsided, and policy shifts under the Trump administration—including tariff hikes, federal budget cuts, and layoffs at Doge Corporation—have significantly dampened economic momentum.Key indicators show evident deterioration:On March 11, the U.S. 10-year treasury yield fell to 4.28%, down from January's optimistic peak of 4.79%. The U.S. Dollar Index also sharply declined from 110.17 (January 13) to 103.39 (March 11).The Atlanta Fed drastically cut its Q1 2025 GDP growth forecast from 3.9% to -2.4%, citing weak consumer spending and net exports.Recent retail sales figures notably missed expectations, consumption growth slowed sharp

The US stock market has experienced a continuous decline over the past three weeks, with an overall drop of around 5%. From the perspective of market trends over the past year and a half, this three-week period often marks an important node, indicating either the end of an adjustment or the conclusion of a phase. Therefore, whether the market can stabilize this week will have significant reference value.Using the S&P 500 as a reference, every adjustment since the middle of last year has lasted about three weeks, followed by a resumption of the upward trend. Even in slightly longer-term market trends with more weekly adjustments, there usually is a small rebound or correction after three weeks. If history repeats itself or if trends need to continue, the US stock market should not exper

Recently, the market has been volatile. Futures for $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ , $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ , $China A50 Index - main 2503(CNmain)$ , $Hang Seng Index - main 2503(HSImain)$ , $WTI Crude Oil - main 2504(CLmain)$ , $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ have been observed to rise significantly and trade actively in Tiger Trade community.In particular, the inquiry for $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ has reached a new high.At the s

Germany Announces Historic Fiscal Stimulus PlanGermany dropped a bombshell today as the incoming German government announced an unprecedented fiscal stimulus plan. This includes establishing a €500 billion special infrastructure fund, providing "unlimited" support for defense spending, and permitting local governments to increase borrowing. Altogether, the total scale of this plan could exceed €1 trillion.The magnitude of Germany's fiscal stimulus plan is on par with the historic impact of the reunification of East and West Germany over 35 years ago. In the short term, this initiative aims to "provide a safety net" to prevent further economic deterioration. From a mid-term perspective, the plan is expected to bring a "paradigm shift" to Germany's economic growth model. With increased defen

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices continue to rise and face a resistance level near $3050, which must be broken to confirm further medium-term bullishness towards $3100-3200. Otherwise, if the resistance level remains intact, gold prices could fall towards $3000, or even $2950! Technical data on the daily chart suggests that the bullish trend will continue. Despite the Relative Strength Index (RSI) being at overbought levels, the technical indicators remain firmly to the upside with no signs of the upside drying up. Meanwhile, the gold price is well above all of its moving averages, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resuming its upward move and curr

On Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky engaged in a heated debate in the Oval Office, with Trump even warning that Ukraine was “gambling on World War III.” Despite the dramatic confrontation broadcast live for the world to witness, the U.S. stock market displayed relatively little reaction. Instead, traders and investors appeared to focus on the possibility of progress in Russo-Ukrainian peace negotiations.While the markets initially dipped following the news, volatility quickly subsided, and stocks began to recover. The "fear index" on Wall Street briefly spiked but stabilized shortly after. Keith Lerner, Co-Chief Investment Officer at Truist Advisory Services, commented that investors seemed to interpret Trump’s remarks as political theatrics ra

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Monday (March 24) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading at 3025.54 U.S. dollars near. Gold prices fell 0.7% on Friday, due to a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, the plate once touched the 3000 round number mark, but the lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainty, coupled with the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts, the price of gold is still subject to the low buyers and safe-haven buyers to support, on Friday, the price of gold closed at $ 3023.04 near the weekly rise of 1.17% for the third consecutive weekly rise.Survey shows that most analysts and retail investors still tend to bullish

Last night, former President Donald Trump made a statement indicating plans to include multiple cryptocurrencies as part of the reserve system. This announcement sparked a surge in the cryptocurrency market. However, despite the short-term boost, we believe the broader market trend will remain unaffected by such political moves. After the initial excitement subsides, the market is likely to return to its original rhythm and structure.Recent Trading Opportunities and Market MovementsFor some time, we have been positioning ourselves to capitalize on the buying opportunity around the 85,000-86,000 range. Following entry, prices unexpectedly dipped further, with last week’s price bottoming out at approximately 78,000. However, Friday's significant lower shadow and the support at the previous g