To The Moon

1. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Dragonfly at the 50DMA and Stochastic curling up at oversold levels.Volume is low, so the setup is risky, but it is still bullish.Maybe?↗️Semis to the rescue?Image2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ The market has less than 4 hours tomorrow to fix this situation: A weekly gravestone above the Bollinger Band.Image3. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Bullish hammer with high volume, will the semiconductor sector save the rally?I’d say the rally because price is still above short term moving averages for $.SPX(.SPX)$ . The rally is technically live.

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ has a clear sequence of lower highs that is not very encouraging, weekly moving averages are curling down, and the 5 weekly average rejected price yesterday.The potential bright side: Volume suggests exhaustion (even for previous 5 days weeks), and oscillator is in oversold zone.The latest Fundamental edition delves into $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, presenting the fundamental reasons for the current decline from ATH. It analyzes also the prospects for those three based on their business, financials and competitiveness.Image

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ - Doji at ATHProbably nothing, as in previous circumstances price has continued moving up (always followed by an intra-week pullback), however the oscillator is hotter than in the latest two occurrences, it actually can be compared with a doji seen in March 2024; when it worked as an early warning.In February 2023 it was a top that preceded a -8.6% decline from top to bottom.What is about to happen? March 2024, February 2023, or simply nothing?The $.SPX(.SPX)$ has less than 4 hours tomorrow to fix this warning.Image

1.Do NOT Concentrate 🫤 When it comes to stockmarket performance the more concentrated the index becomes, the more attractive it is to sail in the opposite direction of cap-weighted strategies and go for equal-weighted. Probably a lot of this is the result of the dot com bubble and early-1980’s oil boom, but it’s not the only analysis on this issue...Image2.Asset Allocators -- Pay Attention!What worked well in the past may no longer work... but thanks to various biases and industry pressures, the below picture will be too hard a pill for most to swallow.Here's why you should consider this scenario though: Image

PAVE is rated as a Hold due to anticipated fiscal tightening under Trump's administration, which could limit federal infrastructure spending and impact the ETF's performance. PAVE's portfolio, heavily concentrated in industrials, has outperformed the S&P 500 but faces overvaluation concerns and lacks major future catalysts. Trump's economic plans favor private sector investment and reduced regulation, posing a headwind for infrastructure ETFs reliant on government funding. Despite PAVE's strong momentum, investors should be cautious of timing risk and consider taking profits as the ETF trades near all-time highs. 400tmax The Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (BATS:PAVE) looks to be in an uncertain position as President-elect

The iShares High Yield Corporate Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF writes covered calls on the HYG ETF to generate high distributions. The fund's strategy results in capped upside and uncapped downside, causing it to underperform the underlying HYG ETF over the long term. Given the monthly rolling of HYGW's covered calls and current low credit spreads, HYGW is likely to see capital losses as the economy weakens in the coming years. AndreyPopov/iStock via Getty Images In recent years, we have seen a proliferation of 'derivative income funds' in financial markets. From plain vanilla funds like the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) that write covered call options on the

I believe the market is in complacency mode, with the potential for a sharp correction, as evidenced by the AI-driven rally showing cracks in the semiconductor sector. Investors are becoming overly greedy, as seen in record ETF inflows and stock buybacks, which could exacerbate downside risks during a market correction. Geopolitical tensions and Trump's tariff agenda pose significant risks, potentially leading to a Black Swan event that could disrupt market stability. Despite some analysts predicting moderate economic growth in 2025, I believe investors should be fearful, not greedy, due to high valuations and underlying market vulnerabilities. lechatnoir The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has had a strong year with gains of around 25%

I regret selling Meta Platforms too early, missing out on significant gains as shares surged from $98.45 to $559.60. Meta's quarterly revenue hit a record $40.59 billion, driven by a surge in advertising revenue and user growth, especially on the Threads platform. Despite heavy losses in Reality Labs, Meta remains attractively priced due to its strong cash flows and substantial returns to shareholders. While the easy money has been made, Meta's growth and financial health justify maintaining a 'buy' rating for now. Derick Hudson If you haven't had any regrets from your investing journey yet, it just means you haven't been investing very long. We all end up making mistakes, and I don't know about you, but those mistakes stay with me. Back in October of

Despite China's economic slowdown, Hermès shows resilience with healthy revenue growth, outperforming peers like LVMH and Kering, which faced double-digit declines. Stimulus measures in China could boost luxury market demand, which can benefit the company further. Also, accelerated growth in Europe and Japan is encouraging. A stable forward P/E ratio also supports a positive outlook for Hermès. Cristi Croitoru/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Since the last time I wrote about the French luxury fashion company and brand Hermès (OTCPK:HESAY) (OTCPK:HESAF) in July, its price has gon

Citigroup's recent financials show stable top-line performance but falling profitability due to ongoing investments in tech and human capital. We expect these investments to pay off over the next few years, as EPS appears set to grow substantially into 2030. The Company's valuation is attractive, with low P/E and P/B ratios compared to peers. Overall, despite risks, C's strategic transformation and market position make it a compelling 'Buy'. EschCollection A few weeks ago, we wrote a piece on Morgan Stanley (MS) and Goldman Sachs (GS). In it, we took a deeper look at

Clear Secure's sharp decline in post-Q3 earnings is due to slowing customer growth and declining net member retention despite solid sales growth and profitability. The company's focus on profitability over customer acquisition and retention may hinder long-term growth, especially with regulatory risks. Clear Secure must diversify beyond airport security to unlock its full potential, but its current strategy seemingly prioritizes short-term shareholder value. While YOU has substantial sales growth and a low forward P/E ratio, given its rising profitability, its business model and management focus raise long-term growth concerns. In my view, the company must prove that it is not a "fast pass" that benefits from price discrimination but actually fulfills an identification need, particularly o

Eli Lilly and Company's stock has seen an unexpected drop recently following disappointing developments in its Q3 results and more recently a lawsuit against the HRSA. While slowing sales growth for key drugs like Mounjaro and Zepbound might be a blip, it's worth watching out for developments going forward. The company also continues to be in the crosshairs with the government, having sued the HRSA recently for rejecting its payment method under the 304B program. As a result, despite a more attractive forward P/E ratio than even a couple of months ago, it's best to err on the side of caution right now. Michael Vi Pharmaceuticals stock Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) is down by 23% since I

$Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ Dell Technologies' stock fell sharply following its Q3 FY2025 earnings report, dropping 12% in after-hours trading despite notable AI service growth. Let's dive into the numbers and factors driving this reaction. Financial Highlights vs. Market Expectations Revenue: $24.37B (+10.1% YoY), missed the expected $24.52B. Operating Profit: $2.2B (+2% YoY), beating the $2.16B consensus. EPS: $2.07 (+9% YoY), surpassing expectations. Business Segment Performance Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG): Revenue surged 34% YoY to $11.37B, driven by strong storage and networking demand.AI servers delivered $2.9B in revenue, exceeding the $2.8B forecast. Customer Solutions Group (CSG): Consumer PC sales fell 2% YoY, dragging total

Bitcoin's recent retracement from nearly $100K to $93K has stirred debate among investors. Is this a sign of a bearish reversal, or merely a temporary dip in a broader bull market? Let’s dive into the key factors shaping Bitcoin’s future trajectory. What’s Driving Bitcoin’s Pullback? Profit-Taking After Rally: Bitcoin’s climb near $100K saw many early investors cashing out, creating selling pressure that led to a price dip. Regulatory Uncertainty: Concerns over potential regulatory crackdowns continue to unsettle crypto markets, contributing to short-term volatility. Macro Factors: Broader economic conditions, including inflation data and central bank policies, are influencing Bitcoin's price movements. Why This Could Be a Healthy Pullback Market Correction for Stability: Corrections often

MoneyLion sports stable revenue growth, expanding margins, and a reasonable valuation, making it an attractive opportunity in the consumer fintech space. The company's innovative products, like InstaCash, have driven significant user acquisition and revenue growth, and the company now has more than $500 million in top line run rate. Despite some risks, MoneyLion's strong product strategy and attractive valuation make it a 'Strong Buy' in the current market. guenterguni When we first heard about MoneyLion Inc. (NYSE:ML) a few months ago, we largely dismissed the company as 'yet another financial app'. In a crowded industry where thousands of competitors are vying for consumers' limited attention, it can be hard

BrightView Holdings has improved liquidity and deleveraged its balance sheet, but lacks near-term sales growth drivers, leading to a downgrade from "buy" to "hold". The company’s strategic focus on margin expansion and divesting non-core businesses has streamlined operations and improved profitability. Despite improved cash flows and lower debt-to-EBITDA ratios, BV stock appears undervalued compared to peers. kozmoat98/E+ via Getty Images BV’s Strategic Focus Holds The Key I discussed BrightView Holdings (NYSE:BV) in the past, and you can read the previous article here, published on July 6, 2024. Over the past few years, BV has incrementally deleverag

ASML's recent underperformance is largely due to a slowdown in Capex by global chipmakers, but long-term prospects remain strong. With a 40% drop in the stock price, ASML's valuation is once again attractive, making it an intriguing 'buy the dip' opportunity. While you could buy shares, selling $600 strike February 2025 put options appears optimal, offering a robust annualized yield of 14.37% to investors. We rate ASML a 'Buy'. Phabbiuzzo/iStock via Getty Images In the summer of 2023, we wrote our first-ever piece of analysis on NASDAQ:ASML (ASML), the leading global manufacturer of advanced chipmaking equipment. Titled "ASML: The Highest-Moat Business On The Market",

The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF is a solid choice for income and appreciation, despite recent underperformance. SCHD invests in 100 dividend-paying stocks from the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index, focusing on fundamentally sound, reasonably priced businesses. While initial capital requirements to replace an income are high, the yield growth has been significant, lowering the barrier to entry. We rate SCHD a 'Buy'. Richard Drury Here on Seeking Alpha, it's common to see analysts talking positively about NYSEARCA:SCHD, the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF™. Oftentimes discussed as a 'rock solid', if somewhat 'unsexy' option for those seeking both income and appreciation, the fund has