The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ , officially known as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, is calculated based on the prices of near-month and next-month options with expiration dates ranging from 23 to 37 days. It measures the annualized volatility of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ over the next 30 days.In simple terms, the VIX index gauges the implied volatility of the S&P 500 Index. A higher VIX value indicates that investors anticipate greater market volatility. Given the significance of the S&P 500 Index, the S&P 500 VIX Index can be seen as a harbinger of potential market risks, hence also known as the "Fear Index."The "16 Rule" of VolatilityWhile investors can trade futures and
VIXmain (Volatility Index - main 2410)
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What to Buy After a Plunge? Look at Volatility Index: VIX, UVXY, UVIX
What to Buy After a Plunge? Look at Volatility Index: VIX, UVXY, UVIX
S&P500 Weekly Chart Analysis - Will it go against logic?
S&P500 Weekly Chart - Bull Flag Bull Flag Retracement (See Chart 1) - Bull Flag from 13 Mar, recent pullback was to Fibonacci 61.8 Bear Flag Retracement (See Chart 2) - Bear Flag since 3 Mar 2023, current price action has retraced to Fibonacci 78.6 (even breaking above it past week) S&P500 Weekly Chart - Bear flag What does it mean? - A support at 61.8 for bull flag does show a somewhat bullish outcome given the strength it bounce off - A prolonged stay above Fib 61.8 on the bear flag) and now even going above Fib 78.6 does point to a good chance of full reversal, meaning going back to the same ATH as 3 Mar 2023 Will we get there? - I'm still leaning we will get there, albeit, there could be a good pullback to SPY 437
S&P500 Weekly Chart Analysis - Will it go against logic?
S&P500 (SPX) Found Buyers At The Equal Legs Area
Hello fellow traders. In this technical article we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of SPX published in membership area of the website. As our members know, S&P500 is trading within the cycle from the October’s 3492.7 low, which is unfolding as 5 waves structure. Recently we got 3 waves pull back which found buyers right at equal legs area as we expected. In the further text we are going to explain the Elliott Wave Forecast SPX 4h Elliott Wave Analysis 09.21.2023 SPX is doing wave (4) blue pull back. The index is correcting the cycle from the 3839.7 low. Pull back looks incomplete at the moment. We expect another leg down toward 4274.7-4114.5 area to complete the correction. Reminder: You can learn about Elliott Wave Rules and Patterns at our F
S&P500 (SPX) Found Buyers At The Equal Legs Area
S&P500 Weekly Look - Not bearish until 420 (or MA50) gives way!
Price action - 2 consecutive weeks of hammer candle and support off 421 - At confluence with uptrend channel too - MA50 on weekly chart has been a guiding one ===> It is confluence at support of 421 to 417 too Macro View On a macro view perspective, quite simple, once price action goes below MA50 which would be about SPY 420 or 417, I would lean bearish. Just like how Friday action has shown, market makers like to do what it likes to do, which is bull and bear traps and past week was a bear trap. Good luck, all! S&P500 Weekly Analysis - 7 Oct 2023 @LMSunshine @macroB @melson
S&P500 Weekly Look - Not bearish until 420 (or MA50) gives way!
S&P500 Weekly Analysis - Enough to be bullish on rather than bearish!
1. MA50 - Price action has broken and stayed above (Resistance through 2022 and now becomes support) ==> Bullish 2. 2022 Bear Flag Fibonacci retracement - 430/435 are levels of 61.8 ==> Significance of breaking above signifies a change of trend 3. Controlled buy channel since Oct 2022 ==> Bullish 4. Price action above middle of buy channel ==> Bullish if stay in upper half 5. Failure to stay above 416 ==> Possibly bearish if 409 and 405 do not hold 6. Support by MA50 coming 405 ==> Support 7. Break below of 405 and 400 ==> Bear flag will play out to levels of 320/350 8. Maro-economic conditions (e.g. much talked about recession, crash etc) ==> Bearish (All can happen of course!) Summary, there are more bullish possibilities than bearish for now O
S&P500 Weekly Analysis - Enough to be bullish on rather than bearish!
S&P500 (SPX) Elliott Wave: Calling The Rally From The Equal Legs Area
S&P500 (SPX) Elliott Wave: Calling The Rally From The Equal Legs AreaMay 16, 2023 By EWF VladaIn this technical article we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of SPX published in membership area of the website. As our members know, S&P500 is trading within the cycle from the October 2022 low, which is unfolding as 5 waves structure. We got 3 waves pull back which found buyers right at equal legs area as we expected. In the further text we are going to explain the Elliott Wave ForecastSPX 1h Elliott Wave Analysis 05.04.2023SPX is doing wave 4 red pull back. The index is correcting the cycle from the 3837.92 low. Pull back looks incomplete at the moment. It’s still short of equal legs area that comes at 4051.78-3991.85. At that area SPX should i
S&P500 (SPX) Elliott Wave: Calling The Rally From The Equal Legs Area
S&P500 ( $SPX ) Elliott Wave Forecasting The Path
S&P500 ( $SPX ) Elliott Wave Forecasting The Path March 30, 2023 By EWF Vlada Hello fellow traders. In this article we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of S&P 500 ( SPX) published in members area of the website. As our members know SPX is showing incomplete structure in the cycle from the January 2022 peak, calling for potential extension lower. Recently we got a 3 waves bounce that completed right at the extreme zone as we expected. In the further text we are going to explain the Elliott Wave Forecast. SPX Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 03.18.2023 We are calling cycle from the 4191.79 peak completed as 5 waves structure. Currently SPX is doing correction against the mentioned high. For now we can count only 5 waves up from the low,
S&P500 ( $SPX ) Elliott Wave Forecasting The Path
How CPI Can Make Or Break S&P500 Next Week!
Investors will get key economic updates on Tuesday, 14 March 2023 when the U.S. Labor Department releases its February Consumer Price Index reading at 8:30am. If the numbers appear hotter than expected, the stock market will go belly up as the Fed will determine the next rate hike based on the data. The save the Fed from raising higher interest rate, the CPI for February needs to be lower than 6.4%! CPI at 6.4% in Jan 2023 The annual inflation rate in the US slowed only slightly to 6.4% in January of 2023 from 6.5% in December, less than market forecasts of 6.2%. Still, it is the lowest reading since October of 2021. SPY flipped support into resistance on Friday On Thursday, the SPY printed a bearish Marubozu candlestick, which indicated lower prices were likely to come on Friday. When the
How CPI Can Make Or Break S&P500 Next Week!
This week we have FOMC! Very crucial! We also have quad witching! Something big is brewing this week! I have explained in this week's video the catalyst for the HUGE move coming. Watch, understand and brace yourself for what might come! Last week when many were bullish, I said we go down first. I was bearish on the week. Looks like I was right again. Lets see if we get it right again this week. Stocks tagged also have their analysis done! As always, trade safe & invest wise! Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technical analysis videos! www.youtube.com/c/investing101channelVideo Link:https://youtu.be/USQM3Gw-g2s$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)
FOMC week! Very important week! There are reasons to be bullish, yet technicals are pointing bearish! What should you do? There are a few key points to note this week so you dont buy the wrong side! Watch the video the find out more! As always, trade safe & invest wise! Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technical analysis videos! www.youtube.com/c/investing101channelVideo Link:https://youtu.be/USQM3Gw-g2s$Volatility Index - main 2205(VIXmain)$$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2206(NQmain)$
Are we going up again after pullback tuesday which was pre warned? Smaller TFs are all shifting towards a downtrend whilst larger TF like 2H and 4H are still on an uptrend and showed that we just completed a pullback. Watch the resistance and if it doesnt break, do take caution it might go down to test supports! Supports/resistances all in the video for stocks tagged! As always, trade safe & invest wise! Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technical analysis videos! www.youtube.com/c/investing101channelLink to video:https://youtu.be/Uyt9GTpeboc$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$$Volatility Index - main 2205(VIXmain)$$VIX Short-Term Futures
S&P500 - Back to test support...
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $Volatility Index - main 2205(VIXmain)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500(SPXU)$ $Micro 10-Year Yield - main 2205(10Ymain)$ In a complete reversal of yesterday's rally, US stock prices fell sharply. Update Link SPXUS Treasury yields rose as the market continued to digest FOMC action and assess the chances of a recession.Implied volatility in o
S&P500 - Back to test support...
Fed Hikes Rates Half-Point...SPX levels
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Volatility Index - main 2205(VIXmain)$ $Micro 10-Year Yield - main 2205(10Ymain)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500(SPXU)$ Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has assured Americans that policymakers will do what it takes to rein in soaring inflation, acknowledging it could cause "some pain" - including job loss -The US central bank was rolling out its most powerful policy tightening in decades. The Fed on Wednesday raised interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time since 2000 and Powell
Fed Hikes Rates Half-Point...SPX levels
FOMC is coming this Wed. we have tons of important data coming this week as well too. $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2206(NQmain)$almost broke the recent lows. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2203(ESmain)$also close to breaking 24th Feb lows which have held for 2 months so far. $Volatility Index - main 2205(VIXmain)$also looks to be ready for another run. But despite all this DXY also finally did a pullback after hitting 104 resistance. With USD pulling back to 101 or potentially lower, what does it mean for the indices? what to expect now? Do we go new lows or do we reverse here as a double bottom on the $SPDR S&P 50
How to trade VIX
The market swung in shock on Monday. For Tiger friends who are familiar with VIX, they may have gained a lot. This article will explain why. First of all, from the title that VIX is a product in the crown of trading, I think it deserves its name. If you consciously understand VIX and related trading targets, futures, options and ETN, which are relatively complex financial products, should all be in your knowledge circle. Because VXX, the most widely traded target of VIX index, is the product of the combination of these three concepts. What is VIX Since the calculation method of VIX index and the operation method of VIX futures are among the most complicated products available to retail investors, we will not elaborate on the details. The VIX figure represents the implied volatility (
How to trade VIX
Happy 91st Birthday @WarrenBuffet!Truly the goat of investing! ??Here are my key takeaways:1. Extremely hard to assess the companys valuation. However, based on conservative FCF method, its currently fairly valued at USD 280-300. 2. Berkshire has lagged the S&P500 for the past 2 years. However, I personally believe they are still able to beat the the market on the long run with the compounding effect.3. S&P500 is up against Berkshire due to its tech eexposure. However, with the overvaluation at S&P500 right now, Berkshire would be a better buy. 4. Biden's $1 Trillion infrastructure bill will further boost Berkshire's earnings in the coming years. 5. Once Warren Buffet/Charlie Munger dies, the companys share price will take a small dip due to bad m
