Santa Rally Begins! How to Trade December?

S&P 500 has risen 5.73% this month. With the index continuously hitting new highs, several Wall Street investment banks have raised their targets for U.S. stocks in 2025. Nearly all major investment banks predict further gains for U.S. stocks next year. The most optimistic is Deutsche Bank, which has set a year-end 2025 target of 7,000 points for the S&P 500. However, analysts also caution investors to consider the risks of high valuations. --------------- How's your protfolio going in November? Will santa rally happen after so many gains in November? Are you bullish on S&P 500?

avatarBarcode
12-18 01:33
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 🎅 Santa Rally 🎅 📊 SPX Levels: Navigating Year-End Trends  As of 18Dec 24, 🇳🇿NZ Time, the S&P 500 is trading at 6,052.66, reflecting a slight dip of -0.35%. From 14Dec24 ~ day mostly done other than chop. Want to be way more cautious now going into next week. Where the markets momentum slowed or dropped after the 2016 and 2020 elections going into Santa. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: • Support: $6045 • Mid-Range Resistance: $6055 • Breakout Zone: $6067 🚀 2MIN chart with Heiken Ashi candles. Looks like a cup and handle. Not sure it is going to break out with FOMC tomorrow. Keep watching it. Might as well make it a triple header, here is a prior 30 min $SPX chart with some fibs. It only trades during RTH and generally follows th

Oracle tumbles as Q2 earnings miss despite AI boosts

$Oracle(ORCL)$ announced its financial results for Q2 FY2025 on Dec. 9. The company was down more than 9% after hours due to miss Q2 results and weaker-than-expected guidance, and was one of the relatively worse-performing cloud services companies in this earnings season.Key FinancialsFinancial OverviewOperating income was $14.06 billion, up 9% year-over-year, slightly below market expectations of $14.12 billion.But the growth rate accelerated compared to the previous quarter's 7% year-over-year increase.Adjusted EPS came in at $1.47, up 9.7% year-over-year, again below the market's estimate of $1.48, compared to 17% year-over-year growth in the prior-year quarter.Business Performance by SegmentCloud Services and Licensing Support: revenue for thi
Oracle tumbles as Q2 earnings miss despite AI boosts

SGX Deputy Comments on Post-ATH Stock Performance

Singapore's Straits Times Index $STI.SI(STI.SI)$ performed well in the past week, continuing its year-to-date gains. The STI rose 1.5% last week to close at 3,796 points. During the week, the STI also broke through the 3,800-point mark at one point, reaching 3,843 points. Ms. Li Ximeng, Deputy Director of the Singapore Exchange, said in an interview with Yicai Global on Monday:This is a new high since October 2007. As of Friday's close, the STI was 2.9% away from its all-time high in 2007. In terms of sectors, the engineering and industrial sectors in the STI performed well, and the banking sector also continued to gain. Looking back at the second half of 2024, as of the end of November, the STI's total return reached 15.4%, making it one of the
SGX Deputy Comments on Post-ATH Stock Performance

Is Stock Cheap or Expensive? Earnings Insights on Q3

Q3 U.S. stock market status(i) Valuation1. OverallCurrently, U.S. stock valuations are at high levels, with $.SPX(.SPX)$ index valued at the 94% historical quartile (Shiller PE) since 1990. According to $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ Group strategists, despite the rise in U.S. stock valuations across the board, historically high valuations alone have not been enough of a cause for immediate concern, and higher valuations are usually benign if the subsequent economic growth environment is healthy.Stock valuations will continue to be a concern. The U.S. tech "Mag 7" have created their own asset class, resulting in distorted valuation metrics, but the actual valuation of U.S. equities is still reasonable, and in addition
Is Stock Cheap or Expensive? Earnings Insights on Q3
avatarKeeley
12-09

Why Your Trading Results Have Nothing To Do With Your Strategy

Have you ever wondered why some trades feel different than others? You're following the same strategy, looking at the same patterns, but something just feels... off. Last week, I received a message from a trader who was convinced that his strategy wasn't working. He had back-tested it extensively with 300 data points, showing a 45% win rate with a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Statistically, he should have been profitable. Yet after three months of live trading, his account was down 28%. What he and what most traders didn’t realize and never consider is that his problem wasn't his strategy. It was something far more dangerous. The Hidden Force Destroying Your Trading Account Think about your last losing trade. Be honest with yourself: Did you move your stop loss because you "felt" the market woul
Why Your Trading Results Have Nothing To Do With Your Strategy
avatarAqa
12-07
💐💐💐 Congratulations on your profits from the November rally especially with Trump-related stocks like Tesla (TSLA). Agree that the Santa rally will materialize. Focus on AI and EV related stocks. Thanks for sharing @Shyon @TigerClub @icycrystal
yeah why not... just how "rally" it is, is anyone guess... therefore, be careful and not be too aggressive... several major investment banks have raised their 2025 targets for U.S. stocks. Deutsche Bank leads the pack with an ambitious year-end projection of 7,000 points for the S&P 500. with valuations soaring, analysts warn investors to tread carefully. @rL @GoodLife99 @Universe宇宙 @HelenJanet @LMSunshine @koolgal
avatarShyon
12-06
The Santa Rally, typically seen in December, may be less impressive this year after strong market gains in recent months. With valuations already high, investors may be more cautious, although sectors like technology and consumer discretionary could still benefit from year-end optimism and holiday spending. The continuation of the rally will depend on factors like inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical stability. If these issues stabilize or improve, the market may continue its upward momentum. However, any sudden volatility or negative economic news could dampen the rally’s strength in the final weeks of the year. Looking ahead to 2025, the S&P 500’s outlook remains generally positive, driven by growth in sectors like AI, EVs, and technology. However, challenges such as inflation

BIG TECH WEEKLY | AAPL's status is the reflection of 2025 estimates

Big-Tech’s PerformanceEntering December, investors began to sprint for yearly gains, and the annual Christmas market seems to be previewed in advance.On the one hand, the U.S. dollar remains at the high end of the rally, the international macro events increased, the risk aversion attribute of the U.S. dollar funds once again reflected; on the other hand, risky assets are extremely active, BTC broke through the $100,000 mark, U.S. growth stocks are active, and big tech is also leading the broader market to new highs.To the close of December 5, the past week, the big technology companies as a whole soared. $Apple(AAPL)$ +3.45%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +7.18%, $Microsoft(MS
BIG TECH WEEKLY | AAPL's status is the reflection of 2025 estimates

Who Contributed to Lululemon's Earnings Surge?

$Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ The company reported FY2024 Q3 results after the bell on Dec. 5, jumping 10% after the bell.The company's stock has been rebounding since bottoming out in August of this year, and although YTD earnings are still negative, having been over $500 at the end of last year, the company has performed relatively strongly in this year's overall consumer environment, with results exceeding expectations while lifting full-year guidance.It also increased its share repurchase program by another $1 billion.Financials and Market ExpectationsOverall FinancialsRevenue was $2.4 billion, up 8.7% year-on-year, beating market expectations of $2.36 billion;Its Central America region remained Lululemon's largest source of revenue, with revenu
Who Contributed to Lululemon's Earnings Surge?
avatarRUW
12-06
People really don't understand the power of compounding and option premiums. That's why they buy and hold shares for 5 years. Case 1: Let's say you got it for $20k and after 5 years it grows to 200k (10x).  Case 2: Let's say you collect option premiums weekly at 2%. Then your 20k will grow in 5 years to $3,444,091.28. Why? Because, each week you collect 2% interest (premium) and reinvest this new total the following week. So, it grows exponentially.  What about tax? Let's say you pay 40% tax. Still you ended up with $779,026.46 And if you just hold the shares (without options), then you get discounted tax by 50% as in Australia. The post tax amount (20%) for case 1 is $164,000.  2% options are not inherently riskier as they are with good companies or ETFs. However, I push th
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CEO murdered on revenge of lack of coverage?

On Wednesday morning, Brian Thompson, CEO of $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ insurance business unit, was shot and killed outside the Hilton Hotel in Midtown New York.The incident occurred shortly before 7 a.m. EDT as Thompson was traveling to a scheduled investor meeting.He was shot in the chest by an assailant who had been waiting for him at the hotel's entrance and was pronounced dead a short time after being taken to Mount Sinai Hospital, according to reports.Police are calling the shooting a deliberate act rather than a random crime.The CEO of a $500 billion market capitalization company said no, but the most important thing for investors is what effect it will have on the stock price.Looking at the disk, the news has had little impact.UNH is a very typic
CEO murdered on revenge of lack of coverage?

SentinelOne Q3: CRWD outage brought it nothing?

$SentinelOne, Inc(S)$ The company reported its financial results for Q3 FY2025 on December 4, 2024 .Although the overall results exceeded market expectations and guidance was healthy, instead of a big jump as expected, the company plunged 14% after the earnings report.While SentinelOne was potentially the biggest beneficiary of the $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ downtime, it seems that the company didn't catch a splash of riches, and investors still harbor varying degrees of concern about its future margins and market share.Financials and Market ExpectationsSentinelOne's performance in Q3 FY2025 exceeded market expectations.Specific financials are listed below:Revenue: SentinelOne reported third-quarter
SentinelOne Q3: CRWD outage brought it nothing?
avatarKSR
12-05
👍
avatarkoolgal
12-05

My Singapore Bank Stocks Are Hitting New Highs

🌟🌟🌟Hurray! Santa Rally is here in December and my Singapore Bank Stocks are hitting new highs ever since they posted strong earnings growth in the 3rd quarter.   My best performing Singapore Bank stock is DBS $DBS Group Holdings(D05.SI)$  DBS reported Net Income of SGD 3.03 billion for Q3 24, up 17% year over year from SGD 2.59 billion.  This is the first time DBS' quarterly earnings is above the SGD 3 billion mark.  DBS' profit was supported by record fee income led by wealth management, higher treasury customer sales and strong market trading income.  DBS' Net fee and commission income for the quarter was SGD 1.11 billion, up from SGD 843 million in the same period in 2023. 
My Singapore Bank Stocks Are Hitting New Highs
avatarAN88
12-05
a lot of sources state market will crash soon. be cautious
avatarCathK
12-05
blessings
avatarECLC
12-05
Santa rally on going into 2025. No idea when big correction will happen but think it is quite certain. Took some profits and still trade cautiously.
Santa Rally For 24 n 25 year ll be boom ! Just DCA n buy those company u trust and invest safe n remember to do risk control for every situation then u r fine to go with wonderful santa celebration