Jurrien Timer is the director of global macro in Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation Division, specializing in global macro strategy and active asset allocation. He joined Fidelity in 1995 as a technical research analyst.Key takeawaysWhile the current bull market is aging, and may be in its seventh inning, I believe it still has some room to run and that investors still have time on their side.So far, this year has closely tracked a historical pattern of strong returns in the fourth year of a presidential cycle.Rising earnings and the Fed's easing bias may also provide support for the market in the face of the headwinds of high inflation and rates.I believe the coming years could bring an end to the current bull super cycle—which might mean a transition from above-average to below-average r

The recent rebound in April is an example that Chinese stocks can rebound without a rebound in property. Falling property price has been a boon to discretionary spending.- China’s economy is bottoming with some upticks, not stalling - our proprietary cycle indicator shows. Manufacturing investment has made up for the fall in property investment. China’s advantage in export stems from its labor productivity and costs. It won’t disappear and will trigger trade frictions. Geopolitical risks abound. - Excess savings are coming out of bank accounts seeking yields. When confidence improves, they will likely be allocated back to stocks, instead of WMPs. The best plays in this unique cycle have been industrial commodities, instead of stocks still beset by regulatory reforms in domestic market

Overview: Apple Inc. $Apple(AAPL)$  has recently hit record highs, largely driven by its groundbreaking partnership with OpenAI to integrate ChatGPT into its iPhone, iPad, and Mac product lines. This collaboration, although currently not expected to generate significant immediate revenue, is set to enhance Apple's product ecosystem and user engagement. This surge comes amidst a broader market rally, buoyed by investor optimism and positive economic indicators. Tech Sector: Buoyed by Innovation and Strategic Partnerships Apple's partnership with OpenAI marks a significant leap in its strategy to incorporate cutting-edge AI technologies into its devices. This integration is expected to enhance user experience and potentially increase the

Ok let's address all three questions. Is it wise to buy at historical highs? Well if there is a number of tailwinds that lead you to the conclusion that the stock will continue to rally, then yes. But also look at the potential headwinds. At some point you must make the decision to either buy a ticket for the roller coaster and jump on, or just sit at the ticket booth and watch, interviewing people who are on the ride and either regret your decision not to buy a ticket, or rejoice in your decision to stay on the sidelines. Have I brought at historical highs? Yes, most recently $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$. And to date I have no regrets. I brought at $1.08, not many, but now it's over $1.30 in under two weeks or so. Do I regret not buying more? No, whenever

The U.S. stock market $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ hit a new high for the 30th time, and the bull market is expected to continue into next year. Do we need to continue to hold stocks firmly? One indicator worth a look>> $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ index fell below 12 last month—such a trajectory has only occurred a few times since the index was established in 1990.When we see such levels, the market is quiet. But we should not misinterpret this as "calm before the storm." In fact, individual stocks may start to outperform the market from here.To prove this point, I looked at

Investing at Highs: A Kiwi Perspective Is buying at historical highs a wise choice? Investing at all-time highs can seem daunting, but historical data supports it as a viable strategy. From 1988 to 2024, buying the S&P 500 at peaks often yielded better returns over one-, three-, and five-year periods compared to other times [oai_citation:1,Investing with the Market at All-Time Highs | Wealth Management](https://www.wealthmanagement.com/equities/investing-market-all-time-highs) [oai_citation:2,The Smart Money Is Buying All-Time Highs - And Why You Should Too | Nasdaq](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/the-smart-money-is-buying-all-time-highs-and-why-you-should-too). Market highs indicate strength and momentum, suggesting further gains [oai_citation:3,Don't Fear All-Time Highs, Understand

[Cool] As warren buffet once said "Be fearful when others are greedy" and "Be greedy when others are fearful".There is so much opportunities right now in the market because of our everchanging world. Technology advancement will change our lives and the industry. [USD] Right now, technology stocks are rising more than ever. The Magnificient 7 and other tech stocks are the driving factors for the increase in the US stock market. We are now more bullish than ever towards technology and Artificial intelligence.  [Doubt] Are stocks at a historical high? I disagree because we do not know if we can go higher and no one can predict a market crash. However, if you continue to Dollar Cost Average and stick to fundamentals, it will pay off.  [Helpless] We have yet to see

Dear fellow investors, with the EU dropping their rates. USD has raised in forex value. This will be their cushion when US dropped their rates in Nov.  The corporations are manipulating the numbers to push the main indexes to new highs with decrease volume. Looking back to the data of the 2008 dotcom bubble. It is very similar in nature. History always repeats itself.   The geopolitical landscape is apparent in moving against the US under the Biden Administration.The rise of BRICS and gold reengagement by central banks across the globe. This cannot be more clear of the capital direction ahead.  Do trade with care my fellow investors. Do look out for the Nov 2024 US fed rate cut where we will see the tides retreat with great speed and reveal who

$Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$  $Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$ Self Reflection 🪞[Cry]  [Cry]  [Cry]  [Cry]  . Is this an example of Bought at Historical High [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  [Facepalm]  .   Original Rebound play becomes..... Long Term Value Investment [Cry]  [Cry]  [Cry]  [Cry]  ... Current Recovery play is not through Ave. Down 👇 But Play others like Apple 🍎, Google to slowly claw Back the losses and it's working slowly and surely [Bless]  [Bless]  [Bless]  [Bless]  .... Well I Wish I have 🪝 NVDA for a Faster Recovery but only in my dr

I would prefer to buy historical low than historical high [Grin] [Grin] [Grin] patience is a virtue that is cultivated especially when it comes to trading... at times, I found myself itching to buy where I should wait it out.. and that could be risky because it could affect portfolio... am still working on it... patient, patience... noun verb or whatever... [Happy] [Happy] [ [Happy] @rL @Shyon @HelenJanet @GoodLife99 @Universe宇宙 @LMSunshine

Investing in stocks at historic highs requires a balanced approach. While historical trends and potential gains offer compelling reasons to invest, the risk of corrections and valuation concerns warrant caution. By carefully assessing your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and conducting thorough research, you can make informed decisions that align with your financial goals. Remember, investing is a long-term game, and staying focused on your objectives can help you navigate market fluctuations with confidence.

"Should you buy at historical highs?* The answer isn't simple. Consider the opportunity cost: if you don't invest your weekly auto deposit, it's like saving gold coins without earning interest. Unlike some other apps, NZ users lack access to high-yield intermediary funds. Therefore, investing in stocks, even at historical highs, might be a better long-term strategy.

It is dangerous to buy stocks at their historical highs. Stock price cannot keep rising indefinitely; a pullback will occur sooner or later. Buying stocks at their historical highs and when the market subsequently falls, means suffering significant losses.Only growth stocks for long term holding can justify buying at high points.

Replying to @MHh: @rL @Kaixiang @DiAngel @Universe宇宙 @SPOT_ON @HelenJanet @AliceSam @Success88 @Fenger1188 @SR050321 come join //@MHh</

The market crashes every 6-7 years. It's inevitable, but trying to predict exactly when is a fool's errand. If you listen to the doomers, you risk being locked out of epic market rallies like the one over the past 20 months. Bears don't get to say "told you so" when the crash finally happens, because opportunity cost matters. If you care more about making money than being "right", then being early is the same thing as being wrong.

What would my 45 year old self tell my 25 year old self, with regards to the market: 1. Buy and hold index funds, and add to them every year. 2. Buy and hold a basket of the world's leading companies, add on 20%+ dips. 3. Stop active trading. Do that, and the results will be in the top 5%. Less is more, over the long term.

Holding for long term And you believe in the company future.