In the history, the Bank of Japan has often been ambiguous in its attitude towards policy shifts, allowing the market to digest expectations on its own but without providing a clear timetable. Policy shifts are often "unexpected yet reasonable." $Japanese Yen - Mar 2024(JPY2403)$ $Japanese Yen - main 2406(JPYmain)$ $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ The long-term loose policy has led to the monetization of the fiscal deficit, distortion of government bond prices, and depreciation of the yen. In recent years, as the growth momentum of the Japanese economy gradually recovers and inflation levels warm up, the subjective and objective conditions for the Bank of J

This week, investors will be looking for answer to the number of rate cuts for this year. The current expectation from both the Fed and market is 3 cuts. Things may and could change on Wed as Fed release its latest monetary policy decision. This is especially so when recent inflation reports came in hotter than expected. ==== Check out my latest YouTube video on market analysis: Warning: Hot Inflation + FOMC Meeting https://youtu.be/rJNqShqb7Aw $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$$Apple(AAPL)$  $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ 

Earnings Calendar (18 Mar 2024) In the coming week, we have some earnings of interest that include Micron, FedEx and Factset. Let us look at the recent performance of Micron. For Micron, the EPS TTM is -6.28 (that implies making a loss) in the 12 months trailing. The stock price has surged 64.58% from one year ago. The rating of the stock (from investing) is “NEUTRAL”. From the annual income statement, we have the following observations: Total revenue TTM has fallen to $16.18B compared to the recent peak of $30.75B (30 Aug 2022). The operating income has fallen from $9.7B (30 Aug 2022) to -$6.63B (TTM). The TTM operating income is expected to be worse. The Free Cash flow was negative for the last 2 years. Though TTM has a worse Operating income, the Free Cash Flow is improving compared to

Public Holidays No holidays for Singapore, China, the USA, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (18 Mar 2024) Notable Highlights FOMC interest rate decision should be the most watched economic data this coming week. We are not expecting the interest rate cut to begin. With the recent inflation data, we should also cater for potential interest rate hikes in the coming months should inflation worsen. Fed Chair Powell is speaking at the end of the week. His speech can move the market as they await updates of a hopeful fed pivot. Manufacturing data. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI provide an outlook of the manufacturing and we are expecting the sector to expand as per the forecast given. S&P Global Services PMI provides an outlook on the demand for U

Energy stocks will rise and take the lead over most

AI boom is undeniably an opportunity for companies like Nvidia, AMD and Microsoft. But it is also quite evident that over the last few weeks, Apple and Google have been quite unloved in the latest AI rally. It has been a while since Apple innovated or came out with something fantastic. Their Vision Pro hasn’t been lifting off, at least for now. At the same time, we don’t see lots of AI plays in their business - both products and services. Recently, they have also pulled the plug on Apple cars. As for Google, they have been a little late in entering the AI field - late in introducing Bard to rival ChatGPT, late in introducing Gemini to rival other generative AI platforms. To make things worse, they had 2 rounds of bloopers for both of these platforms. Rushed products? Probably. They haven

Markets standing tall The markets have held up pretty well going into March and this is where I have to add that the markets that are doing well are doing so on narrow leadership.  The magnificent seven have been pulling the markets along as they ploughed through the bears. However, they have all been taking turns to fall back. Tesla was first and not surprisingly so being more of an EV story and much more affected by high rates. Then Apple and Google were next both not making new highs. Microsoft followed thereafter just recently which leaves only Nvidia, Meta and Amazon to hold the fort. Now that everyones' technicals seem to paint a complete pattern upon a five wave pattern, it seems only a matter of time before they pull back. So as much as the bulls would like the party to c

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 11 Mar 2024 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend having completed another top crossover. Chaikin Money Flow advises an uptrend though the momentum is thinning. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long-term and mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are moving in a fanned-out pattern, thus implying an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. From investing, it recommends a “Strong Buy” fo

With rising awareness of global climate change, geopolitical conflicts affecting crude oil prices, and tightening emission controls, adoption of electric vehicles is expected to increase over time, even if the EV industry may be encountering softening demands temporarily due to economic slowdown, escalated borrowing costs and expiring subsidies. Availability of charging infrastructure may have deterred buyers too. However, I believe that the EV market is poised to resume growth as the Fed is expected to commence rate cuts this year after taming the inflation and being confident that it is falling back sustainably to the Fed's 2% target, so as to avoid tipping the US economy into a recession. With $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

Let's look into history of typical March year in year out, generally stock market don't perform well in this month, especially at the moment where we have strong US economic data which will prolong Fed of cutting interest rates sooner than expected, and with the stronger than expected US economy, business are suffering from extremely high borrowing cost and with stocks valuations at all time high levels, potential of stocks doing price correction to reflect the actual situation has a higher chance of stocks moving higher. Please trade with care fellow traders. @TigerCommunity @Tiger_Insights @TigerTrade

Costco misses quarterly revenue expectation despite strong online presence so what does that mean? It means slowing down is in the game otherwise talk of interest rate cut will not be in the picture by the Fed. So what does it mean from now till then? Economy slowdown? It has to because in order for inflation to go down to 2%, something must give!

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You never know who's gonna be the big winner or the big loser in March. Either way, it's gonna be a wild ride, it's gonna be an exciting month!People miss the move up and then get upset because "the market is irrational". Yeah, maybe so, but learn from history. The market generally moves up.Step out and you're risking missing a big move. Timing the market is really, really hard. It could drop 20% or 50% sometime soon, but no one knows. Be prepared for all circumstances best you can and according to your risk tolerances. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$

March is here and my emotions about the stock market are all over the place, I am nervous, worried about potential losses.I simply point out that valuation risk exists and that, if you open a 5/10/15-year window every time the sp500 has traded above 25x earnings, the returns were not promising.So a portfolio consisting of American index funds or high-multiple names carries a risk that I have no interest in bearing.I don't have that problem, since I don't invest in funds and, if I hold a high-multiple name (like $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ ), it is simply because the multiple has expanded and there a trailing stop attached: the risk/reward becomes worse and worse the higher the shares trade and there are better uses for the funds.

March is always a crazy time for the stock market, isn't it? It's like March Madness for investors! Enjoy free capital gains without working. No need to work in a real job anymore. Just buy the US Stocks with your food money and wait for the FED to Pump the stock prices big time every single day, Despite Tanking Corporate Revenues and Collapsing Economy. Worse fundamentals do not matter. It is a Free Money ATM, Get Quick Rich Scheme. There is no risk anymore, No Correction, not even red day anymore. Only green days, only free capital gains without risk every single day forever. Even Bankrupt company stocks are getting Pumped by 500-600% per year... NO risk of losing money! The FED gives away trillions of dollars in the form of capital gains every single day, by Pumping the US Stock prices

March is here and I'm wondering if the stock market is gonna give us a thrill or a chill! It's like a rollercoaster ride every day, up and down, my heart can't take it! But hey, that's the thrill of it, isn't it? I'm just hoping my portfolio doesn't take a nose dive this month.Rising interest rates drew trillions of dollars into money-market funds and other cash-like investments in the past two years, with more than $8.8 trillion parked in money funds and CDs as of the third quarter of 2023. Investors are optimistic that with rates poised to fall, people will redirect that money and fuel markets’ next leg higher. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$