Will Santa Rally hit the streets?

S&P 500 rose by 8.92% in Nov. The market has been waiting for pullback but also expects for Santa rally. Some stocks retrace 1/2%, and broader market remains elevated at 4500. --------------- Will the Santa Rally hit the streets? How do you trade in December? Will the last month bring more gains?

avatarSamlunch
2023-12-17
$Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$  I am bullish on QQQ the next upcoming week. We are breaking out of consolidation and heading for all time highs. Dow and Spy have already hit new all time highs and QQQ will likely continue to new ATH as well.  There is breadth in the market now with smaller names notching gains, not just the magnificent 7. That will help push the broad index up.  As long term interest rates fall, money market funds will be less attractive to investors and they will rotate their funds to equities. This will be FOMO money and push up the stock market to really overbought levels.  Expect to see Very Greedy on the fear and greed index before any pull back in mid Jan.  Good Luck Investors
avatarEdmondcjj
2023-12-14
Yes wow Christmas is early 
avatarLord Tan
2023-12-14
In the whimsical world of holiday-themed financial predictions, the notion of Santa hitting the streets of the stock market is more metaphorical than literal. This concept, often referred to as the "Santa Claus Rally," is a phenomenon where the stock market experiences a positive trend during the final weeks of December. While this idea is not grounded in hard economic theory, it has captured the imagination of investors and analysts alike. The Santa Claus Rally is essentially a historical pattern rather than a reliable predictor of market movements. Many attribute the phenomenon to increased consumer spending during the holiday season, positive sentiment, and a general sense of optimism that tends to prevail as the year comes to a close. Investors may be inclined to buy stocks in anticipa
avatarEric414
2023-12-14
Will next year will be the great year 
avatarDyl do
2023-12-14
avatarDo_Trading
2023-12-13

"Inflation, Markets: Navigating Dynamics"

On tuesday, the market responded with modest gains despite a tepid inflation report, signaling that the report did not exert significant pressure on the Federal Reserve to implement a final rate hike. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ led the day's performance with a 0.7% increase, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both posted gains of approximately 0.5%. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) release provided a mixed picture, with headline price growth dipping slightly to a 3.1% annual increase, primarily due to lower gasoline prices. However, the core CPI, excluding volatile categories, accelerated to a 0.3% pace, maintaining a year-over-year rise of 4%, double the Fed's 2% inflation targe
"Inflation, Markets: Navigating Dynamics"

Why is ATH LULU still worth a buy?

Since being included in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index, the stock price of $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ has continued to rise. Despite not experiencing a significant jump on the quarterly earnings report on December 8th, it reached a new all-time high during the day's trading.Currently, LULU has a price-to-earnings ratio of 44 times, which, although lower than the 60+ times at the beginning of the year, is still the highest in the apparel industry (ahead of $Nike(NKE)$ 36 times). Can this valuation support the stock price?First, let's look at the growth rate. LULU used to heavily rely on in-store sales because its clothing was difficult to purchase online and requir
Why is ATH LULU still worth a buy?

Why Oracle is still Not Cheap

$Oracle(ORCL)$ fell nearly 9% after its 24FYQ2 fiscal report on Monday after market close.The main reason for the decline was underperformance: Q2 revenue was $12.9 billion, with a YoY growth rate of only 5.4%, and lower than the market's expected $13.05 billion. Earnings per share were $1.34, slightly higher than the market's average expectation of $1.32.Total cloud revenue was $4.8 billion, with a growth rate of 1.6%, while the market expected $4.86 billion.Remaining performance obligations were $65 billion, with a YoY increase of 6.2%, exceeding annual revenue.However, the market was not satisfied with these results because the growth rate of the cloud business was already set very low and still fell short of expectations, considering the signi
Why Oracle is still Not Cheap
avatarJacksNiffler
2023-12-11

Macy’s Offered $5.8bn Buyout| Another Big M&A Case in Advance?

According to Wall Street Journal, private equity groups Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management have proposed a $5.8 billion offer to take $Macy's(M)$ private, which means a $21 per share.Based on current information, these two private equity firms already hold some Macy's stock. Looking at the stock price trend over the past month, the increase after the financial report is far beyond other companies in the industry, such as $Nordstrom(JWN)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$, $Target(TGT)$ etc. This indicates that the private equity group had already established positions well in advance.It's no wonder that Macy's has been soaring a
Macy’s Offered $5.8bn Buyout| Another Big M&A Case in Advance?

Dec FOMC Preview: Not That Soon!

December FOMC meeting is coming, with the last suspenseful suspense of the year being revealed. Rate hikes are definitely over, and the market is just betting on how much longer the Fed's "Higher For Longer" will last. According to CME interest rate trading, the market is betting on five rate cuts (25bps each time) throughout the year 2024, starting from March.And over the past month, the long-term US Treasury bond yield quickly dropped from 5% to 4.2%, becoming the main driving force behind the performance of assets including US bonds, stock markets, gold, and cryptocurrencies. So, what might be the stance of the Federal Reserve at the December FOMC meeting?We anticipate:1. No further interest rate hikes, maintaining the current level of rates, in line with market expectations.2. An upwar
Dec FOMC Preview: Not That Soon!
avatarSuccess88
2023-12-11
avatarGoodgolddays
2023-12-10

Soft landing or recession?

S&P500 and Nasdaq continued their rally and clinched their highest closing levels since early 2022. The S&P500 is now up a whopping 20% this year. Investors are believing that we are about to have a soft landing scenario. So, can the Federal Reserve really pull off a soft landing, or has 2023’s recession been postponed till 2024? Let’s discuss them in my latest video. Have lots of things to share for my options trades. Interested viewers please stay throughout the video! Stocks covered in the video (technical analysis) – SPY, Apple, Tesla, Google + Option trades  ======== Soft Landing or Recession? [US Stock Market Analysis] https://youtu.be/1cOjWQvN9xQ$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ
Soft landing or recession?
avatarAjleowjm
2023-12-10
Is the market slowing down??
avatarAsphen
2023-12-10

S&P500 Weekly Chart Review - 10 Dec 2023 - What will impact coming 2 weeks!

Price action! - 6th week of positive in a row!! - 4.45% away from All Time High! - Stayed above Fibonacci retrace 78.6 of the bear flag from 2022 Bear - RSI at 63 (some room to go to 70) Upcoming key week! - Tuesday 12 Dec - CPI! Will it be hot? ==> Am seeing cooler with the consideration of oil price in the previous read - Wed 13 Dec - FOMC! Any rate hikes? ==> Am seeing no hikes and only cuts upcoming in 2024 - Wed 13 Dec - PPI! Hot? Might be over-shadowed by CPI and FOMC Dec Summary of Economic Projection (SEP) Is very important! - Why? Look for the FED projection on 2024 rates. The figure will determine how many cuts they are projecting! - Why significant? Market is now projecting 5 cuts, so if FED shows less than 5 cuts, there will be sell off Technicals - Staying above Fib 7
S&P500 Weekly Chart Review - 10 Dec 2023 - What will impact coming 2 weeks!
avatarZEROHERO
2023-12-10

Can S&P 500 Break 480 ATH Next? 🚀

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for QQQ. Stocks finished higher Friday, with the S&P 500 notching its highest level of 2023. CPI next Tuesday and Fed pause could propel the index into Santa rally by year end 🥳 The S&P 500 posted its highest close of the year last week, but had yet to exceed its 2023 intraday high set in July until Friday, when it topped 4,609 in afternoon trading. The benchmark is now up about 20% on the year and trading at its highest level back to March 2022. November’s nonfarm payrolls report showed an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate. The jobless rate fell to 3.7% in November from 3.9% the prior month. It was expected to remain the same. The economy added 199,000 jobs, slightly ahead of the 190,000 estimate from Dow Jo
Can S&P 500 Break 480 ATH Next? 🚀
avatarKYHBKO
2023-12-09

Preview of the week starting 11 Dec 2023 - How should Adobe fare?

Public Holidays No public holidays in the coming week for Hong Kong, China, Singapore and the USA. Economic Calendar (11 Dec 2023) Notable Highlights Fed’s interest rate decision should dominate the headlines in the coming week. We can expect to be volatile leading to this announcement. Auction of Treasury note and bond. This deserves some attention as this is deemed a relatively safe asset class. This is used to finance the deficits incurred by the Federal government. CPI. This is the common indicator used to reflect inflation. This should be the next most closely watched data which has significant implications for the Fed’s coming interest rate decisions. Retail Sales & Core Retail Sales - this is an indication of consumer health. Initial Jobless Claims - This is a reflection on t
Preview of the week starting 11 Dec 2023 - How should Adobe fare?
avatarpekss
2023-12-09

Will the Fed bring cheers to the market next week?

As the clock ticks down on the upcoming FOMC review next week, the market is increasingly pricing in an eventual end to the monetary tightening cycle to rein in a sticky inflation not seen in decades. High borrowing costs have been weighing on high-growth stocks and depressed their valuations, as their incoming cash flows tend to be more distant. Hence, a halt to the rate hikes would bode well for stocks on high growth projectiles, and they may finally heave a sigh of relief. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ has been a stellar performer with a threefold boost in its share price year to date, amidst speculations of an eventual approval by the US Securities and Exchange Commission of an inaugural spot price-based bitcoin
Will the Fed bring cheers to the market next week?
avatarrodders
2023-12-09
No I believe the average consumer is so disenchanted and are facing burnout from the hectic political problems that Biden is creating. The continual demands by the Biden administration on there wallet/purses people are wary. And they know that the turmoil will keep going and the constant demands for climate change and other projects home heating  increases in taxes and services. On top of this the volatility on the oil and groceries energy costs for the home. I believe the average consume will leave there wallets at home Inflation and interest rates will be the grinch that steals Christmas
avatarHLPA
2023-12-08
 News of a pause in interest rate hikes or a possible rate cut into the new year 2024 saw stocks hitting new highs. I believe this upward uptrend in the S&P 500 and the DOW would continue its push upwards in December.  For the past 21 years, the first half of the December month has seen the S&P 500 and the Russell 1000 trading sideways. A modest rally in the first week of the past 21 Decembers gave way going into the middle of the month. However, from about the 20th of December, stocks rallied. For many years the Santa Claus rally began on 23rd Devember and lasted into 2nd January of the following year. The S&P 500 gained 1.3% on average during that festive seven day period. As seen in the past 21 years, I would be buying stocks on the dips till about 20th December an
avatarJacksNiffler
2023-12-08

Why investors feel indifferent about AVGO Q4 Earnings

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ fell about 3% in after-hours trading on Thursday, just after announcing its Q4 earnings following the completion of its acquisition of $VMware(VMW)$ . Although the earnings exceeded expectations and the guidance for the next fiscal year was strong, there was no upward momentum.In terms of Q4 earnings, total revenue was $9.3 billion, higher than the market's expected $9.28 billion. Semiconductor solutions revenue was $7.33 billion, higher than the expected $7.27 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3%. Infrastructure software reached $1.97 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year. Operating activities generated $4.82 billion in cash, with capital expenditures of approximately $105 milli
Why investors feel indifferent about AVGO Q4 Earnings