Microsoft -10%! Overreaction? A Buy at $400?

Microsoft sank 10% despite solid fundamentals. Q2 revenue grew 15% YoY in constant currency, beating expectations, with Azure up 38% and Microsoft 365 Commercial rising 14%, driven by steady subscriber and pricing gains. However, ongoing supply-chain constraints capped upside versus buy-side hopes, reviving concerns over near-term AI monetization and delivery capacity.

avatarL.Lim
09:34
It has been a huge irritant on users of Windows about how MSFT is going about their execution of ai usage for their users. Instead of focusing on what users would want or need, the direction taken seems desperate and thoughtless, a mad rush to scream "look at us! we invested in openai and this is what we can do" Constant drivel about how windows os should be an agentic os, and not giving users the option to reject these ai functionalities will cause msft to cede ground to competition like Apple and Google
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Any price can be a good price for every individual has a different time frame, risk tolerance, tongue and taste. If one needs to ask, means generally you are uncomfy with the price. For if one does not want to pay 150bucks for a ribeye, then dont eat it.
avatarph5188
09:43
avatarTiger_comments
01-30 22:25

Mag 7 Earnings Scoreboard: Was Microsoft Crash Overreaction?

Four of the Mag 7 have reported earnings this week, and the divergence is getting very real. Meta surged +10% against the tape. Microsoft wiped out $357B in market cap, the 2nd-largest single-session value drop in stock market history. Tesla and Apple were underwhelming. Little price reaction. Let’s break down the scoreboard for these four mega-cap tech giants. 🏆 The Winners $Apple(AAPL)$: “Ecosystem Dominance at Scale” Revenue $143.8B, EPS $2.84 — a clean beat across the board. Why it’s on the winners list: Ultra-high user loyalty powered iPhone revenue +23%. Even more impressive, Greater China revenue flipped sharply higher to +38% YoY, crushing market concerns. A record 48.2% gross margin proves Apple’s unmatched ability to leverage its supply
Mag 7 Earnings Scoreboard: Was Microsoft Crash Overreaction?
avatarJC888
01-30

Buy NVDA, GOOG, MSFT if US Shutdown again?

Last week’s batch of data / reports, points to a US economy heading into 27–28 January FOMC with solid growth, a still-tight labour market, and inflation stuck just above target rather than re-accelerating. Below are the details. Jobless Claims. Weekly Claims: For week ending 17 Jan 2026, weekly claims rose by 1,000 to 200,000 versus consensus estimated a rise to 209,000. The 4-week moving average dropped to 201,500, its lowest level since early 2024, indicating that layoffs are not yet a primary driver of economic concern. (see below) Continuing Claims: For the week ending 10 Jan 2026, continuing claims fell by -26,000 to 1.849 million, remaining below the average seen in H2 2025. (see above) The decrease suggests that while hiring has been slow, those currently unemployed are finding it
Buy NVDA, GOOG, MSFT if US Shutdown again?
avatarBarcode
01-30

📉🧠💻 Microsoft Shockwave Triggers SaaS Selloff, Quantum Unwind, AI Valuation Reset 💻🧠📉

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  I’m documenting a rare multi-sector repricing where Microsoft’s worst day in five years cascaded into SaaS, long-duration growth, and quantum equities, signalling a regime shift in risk appetite, valuation tolerance, and AI capital narratives. NZT time, 30Jan26 🇳🇿 📉💻 Microsoft is down -12% on 29Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 30Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 Microsoft’s fundamentals remain strong, yet price action reflects OpenAI concentration exposure, record AI CapEx intensity, Azure growth optics, and long-duration valuation compression rather than earnings impa
📉🧠💻 Microsoft Shockwave Triggers SaaS Selloff, Quantum Unwind, AI Valuation Reset 💻🧠📉
avatarAm3n_Tao
02-01 14:44
Microsoft reset will always regain after some time historically. Just hold or add some on dips. Meta has long runway. Just do it. Apple is old apple. If u like to wait for apple drop on head, then slowly wait. Tesla is king. King of jokes. Just wait for the advertising stunts and follow the clowns but leave the theater before the show finish.
avatarmster
02-01 16:28
$Microsoft(MSFT)$   Capitalizing on the MSFT dip by selling Cash Secured Puts (CSPs) at lower support levels to accumulate fresh shares. This allows for a lower entry price compared to existing holdings without over-leveraging. Once the share price rebounds, I’ll trim the higher-cost shares to maintain a balanced position size and keep capital fluid. It's all about upgrading the cost basis while staying disciplined with total exposure.
avatarCayChan
01-30
$Microsoft(MSFT)$   Here’s a clean, market-level explanation of that Microsoft move, tying price action to fundamentals and expectations (not just the headline numbers). ⸻ Why Microsoft Fell ~10% Despite “Good” Fundamentals At first glance, Microsoft’s results looked strong: • Q2 revenue +15% YoY (constant currency) • Azure +38%, beating expectations • Microsoft 365 Commercial +14%, driven by pricing and subscriber growth So why did the stock sell off hard? Because stocks don’t trade on whether results are good — they trade on whether results are better than what was already priced in. ⸻ 1. Expectations Were Extremely High (Especially for AI) Going into earnings, the buy-side narrative was: • Azure acceleration
avatarLanceljx
01-31 11:33
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Yes, this looks closer to an overreaction than a thesis break, but the entry decision depends on time horizon. What actually disappointed the market The fundamentals were solid. Growth did not slow. The sell-off was driven by expectations, not results. Buy-side positioning had priced in near-flawless AI execution. When management flagged ongoing supply-chain and capacity constraints, the market recalibrated near-term AI monetisation, even though demand remains clearly intact. That distinction matters. Is the AI story impaired? No. Microsoft is demand-constrained, not demand-challenged. Azure’s 38% growth confirms AI workloads are scaling rapidly. The issue is delivery timing. Revenue is being deferred, not lost. That is a v
$Microsoft(MSFT)$  as a new investor and a rather "experimental" portfolio, this considerable dip and recommendation from others here, Im gonna put lot more of my savings into this as a long term investment  (≥3 years).
avatarLanceljx
01-31 11:34
Here is a concise, direct view within the limit. 1. Microsoft at $400? Yes, as a dip-buy. Microsoft sold off on timing concerns, not demand weakness. Azure growth confirms AI traction. $400 is a reasonable accumulation level for long-term investors, though not a short-term bottom call. 2. Can Meta be chased after +10%? No. Meta Platforms is executing well, but post-rally risk-reward is less attractive. Better to wait for consolidation than chase momentum. 3. Apple says memory costs are fine. Why no stock move? Because the market wants growth catalysts, not cost reassurance. Apple is stable, but AI monetisation and services acceleration remain incremental, not transformative yet. 4. Will Tesla deliver in 2026? Unclear, execution-heavy. Tesla still has a compelling narrative, but repeated t
Microsoft sank 10% despite solid fundamentals. Q2 revenue grew 15% YoY in constant currency, beating expectations, with Azure up 38% and Microsoft 365 Commercial rising 14%, driven by steady subscriber and pricing gains. However, ongoing supply-chain constraints capped upside versus buy-side hopes, reviving concerns over near-term Al monetization and delivery capacity. Risks to Monitor Supply Chain Delays: If GPU shortages persist beyond 2024, Azure growth could stall near 30%. Enterprise Spending Pullback: Fed rate hikes could pressure cloud budgets. Regulation: FTC scrutiny of OpenAI partnership remains a wildcard. Valuation: Fair at $400? Post-Drop Metrics: P/E: ~32x forward earnings (vs. 5-yr avg: 35x) FCF Yield: ~2.5% (slightly below historical avg) Price/Sales: ~11x (elevated but jus
avatar赌徒心理
02-01 07:51
Confirm growing, as what i used more often is microsoft, it become more controlling.
avatarLazyCat Invests
02-01 02:38
The dip for $Microsoft(MSFT)$ seems more like a valuation rest, it may be a good to take a small initial position to be scaled in after more clarity at the next earnings. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is not likely to deliver as Elon Musk has consistently hyped the market repeatedly.
avatarkoolgal
01-31 05:36
🌟4 Titans are at a crossroad. Conviction is being tested. Investors are forced to choose whether they trust the story or the noise. Microsoft: Would I buy at $400?  Yes.  Its dip isn't about weakness.  It is about investors flinching at its AI Capex & slowing cloud growth. Yet long term AI enterprise engine remains intact. $400 is the level where weak hands panic & strong hands accumulate. Meta: Can it be chased after a 10% jump? Yes. I believe Meta's growth runway is long. I see accelerating revenue, AI driven ad strength & its willingness to spend boldly because the growth is real. Apple:  It trades on expectations, not explanations. So even when it says memory cost inflation is manageable, the market hears margins may drop, supply chain is  tight. G
avatar1PC
01-31 23:26
MSFT is still a Good stock, at this level could numble some as an investment [Chuckle].... But I'm out of bullets 😭. @JC888 @Barcode @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @Shyon @DiAngel
avatarShyon
01-30 22:49
From my view, Microsoft’s $Microsoft(MSFT)$ drop looks like a valuation reset rather than a broken business. Azure is still growing at a very high level, but the market owned MSFT for acceleration, not deceleration. I’d be cautious but constructive — $400 feels like a reasonable first entry, though I’d scale in slowly rather than go all-in. Meta $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is the clearest winner for me. The +10% move is supported by real ad re-acceleration and visible AI-driven efficiency gains. I wouldn’t chase after a vertical rally, but on consolidation or pullbacks, this still looks like a stock you want to own. Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ delivered objectivel
avatarHumbly
01-31 15:02
There appears to be a pivot away from stocks in the SAAS sector which used to trade at very high multiples due to expectations of strong growth to more moderate growth, and MSFT appears to be a casualty of that. AI is here to stay but whether users will pay enough to cover the investment costs are a key unknown, especially when depreciation or AI hardware depreciates more rapidly than expected.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ ​📉 The Setup: The Post-Earnings Flush & Technical Floor ​The market is currently punishing Microsoft for "only" growing Azure at 37% and increasing Capex. For us, that means we get to buy a world-class compounder at a 20% discount from its highs. ​Support Sniper: The $425–$435 zone is a relatively good support area. We are currently sitting right at the "flush bids" level where smart money accumulates after a temporary earnings miss. 🛡️ ​P/E Compression: At $433, MSFT is trading at a forward P/E of ~29x. Considering it's forecast to grow EPS by 15–20% in 2026, we are buying this growth at a PEG ratio that is significantly more attractive than it was just 48 hours ago. 📉✅ ​Oversold Bounce: The stock dropped nearly 10% in