CoreWeave Below $100?! Oversold on Lock-up Expiration?

CoreWeave will face its first major post-IPO share unlock on Friday, with approximately 84% of its Class A shares becoming tradable. These shares are primarily held by company insiders and key supplier Nvidia. The large influx of shares into the market could trigger further selling pressure. The stock fell below $100 yesterday and rebounded a little in the overnight trading. Questions: Is it oversold on lock-up expiration news? Is it a buy under $100?

avatarBarcode
08-15

🔥📉 🩸 CoreWeave lock-up expiry fuels heavy put flow and valuation stress 🩸 📉🔥

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ 🩸High conviction short-term pressure meets structural red flags as $CRWV faces its largest post-IPO share unlock, deepening an already aggressive options-driven sell-off. 📆 Event Snapshot At 02:07 on 15Aug25 Auckland time, $CRWV traded at $101.85, down 13.49% intraday, extending a two-day slide following Q2 results and ahead of the 15Aug25 lock-up expiration. Approximately 84% of Class A shares, held largely by insiders and key supplier Nvidia, become tradable on Friday, 16Aug25 NZ time. This liquidity surge hits a market already questioning accounting quality and cash conversion
🔥📉 🩸 CoreWeave lock-up expiry fuels heavy put flow and valuation stress 🩸 📉🔥
avatarxc__
08-12

CoreWeave Earnings Clash: Rally Like SoundHound or Lock-Up Bloodbath?

CoreWeave’s ( $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ ) meteoric 250% rise since its March 2025 IPO has investors on edge as Q2 earnings loom on August 12, 2025. The AI cloud powerhouse plans $20-$23 billion in 2025 capex but has only secured $5 billion in debt financing—how it bridges this gap will be the earnings spotlight. SoundHound AI ( $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ ) surged 21% post-earnings on August 7, but CoreWeave faces a massive lock-up expiration (83% of Class A shares unlocked) right after, potentially flooding the market. Is this a SoundHound-style rally in the making, or a prime SELL CALL opportunity? This deep dive explores CoreWeave’s earnings outlook, lock-up risks, SoundHound comparison, and strategic inve
CoreWeave Earnings Clash: Rally Like SoundHound or Lock-Up Bloodbath?
avatarxc__
08-15

CoreWeave Plunges Under $100: Unlock Chaos or Golden Buy Opportunity?

CoreWeave ( $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ ) is making headlines as it braces for its first major post-IPO share unlock on Friday, August 15, 2025, with approximately 84% of its Class A shares—around 403 million shares—set to become tradable. Held largely by insiders and key supplier NVIDIA, this influx could flood the market, sparking selling pressure. The stock, which debuted at $40 on March 28, 2025, and peaked at $187, slipped below $100 yesterday, closing at $98.50 after a 9.2% drop, only to rebound slightly to $101.20 in overnight trading. With the S&P 500 at 6,466.58, Nasdaq at 21,713.14, and Bitcoin at $124,002, the market remains buoyant, but tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and oil at $75/barrel add tension. Is this dip a sign of a
CoreWeave Plunges Under $100: Unlock Chaos or Golden Buy Opportunity?
avatarWeChats
08-17
CoreWeave Below $100 📉 Bargain or Value Trap? CoreWeave just hit a major milestone: its first post-IPO lock-up expiration. Nearly 84% of Class A shares are now free to trade — many of them held by insiders and key backer Nvidia. That sudden flood of supply rattled the stock, which briefly sank below the psychological $100 mark before staging a modest rebound. For retail investors, this sets up the classic question: is the sell-off just mechanical (due to insider unlocks), or is it signaling deeper cracks in CoreWeave’s growth story? --- Why Oversold Stocks Matter Now 💡 History shows that lock-up expirations often create short-term selling pressure, regardless of fundamentals. Insiders and early investors may want to take profits, causing sudden dips. But some of the market’s best rebound s
avatarxc__
08-14

CoreWeave Bloodbath: Can You Survive the Plunge Below $100?

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ The tech world is reeling as CoreWeave’s stock faces a brutal pullback after its latest earnings report on August 13, 2025, revealed a revenue surge to $1.21 billion—up from $395 million year-over-year, beating estimates with OpenAI’s support. Yet, the operating margin cratered from 20% to 2%, sparking profit-taking and a sharp drop, with shares sliding 13.44% to $128.76 in premarket trading. Against a backdrop of a robust S&P 500 at 6,297.36 and Nasdaq at 20,884.27, fueled by crypto gains (Bitcoin at $121,000), tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and oil at $75/barrel add pressure. Is CoreWeave’s growth momentum enough to offset margin woes? Could this drop be a healthy correction after a 147% rally, or will it c
CoreWeave Bloodbath: Can You Survive the Plunge Below $100?
avatarShyon
08-12

Nebius: My High-Conviction Bet on the Next AI Infrastructure Giant

How Nebius Came Onto My Radar When I first discovered Nebius Group $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ , it was not by accident. I had been actively scanning the AI and cloud infrastructure landscape, looking for companies that were not only growing but also positioned to become essential in the AI-driven economy. Nebius, headquartered in Amsterdam, immediately stood out. The company is building cloud infrastructure and software platforms purpose-built for AI's demanding computing needs — workloads that require immense processing power, high efficiency, and global scale. Its story became even more compelling when I learned that Nebius is the rebranded successor of Yandex's non-Russian assets. After exiting the Russian market, the management team repositioned the busin
Nebius: My High-Conviction Bet on the Next AI Infrastructure Giant
Analysis: CoreWeave Post–Lock-Up Expiration 1. Is CoreWeave oversold given the lock-up expiration? Significant sell pressure: Following the lock-up expiration, insiders—including director Jack Cogen—offloaded more than $1 billion worth of shares via coordinated block trades organized by Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs . Sharp recent decline: The stock fell approximately 35% over two days, in response to both the lock-up news and weaker-than-expected Q2 earnings, including bloated expenses (~$1.2 billion) and widening losses . Historical context: Market data indicates that, on average, IPO-lock-up expirations result in a 2.4% decline over the following month, but for large-cap stocks—such as CoreWeave’s ~$57 billion market cap—the average drop is much smaller (~0.5%) . In short,
avatarxc__
08-10

SoundHound AI’s Earnings Fireworks: Can You Catch the Nvidia AI Wave?

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ SoundHound AI (NASDAQ:SOUN) ignited a 21% stock surge to $13.07 in premarket trading following its Q2 2025 earnings beat on August 7, 2025, outpacing a broader Nvidia-linked rally. The company reported $42.7 million in revenue (up 217% YoY, beating the $32.9 million estimate), an adjusted EPS loss of $0.03 (better than the $0.09 forecast), and raised its 2025 revenue outlook to $160-$178 million. Wall Street analysts, including Wedbush (Outperform, $16 target), are bullish, citing robust growth in automotive, restaurant, and enterprise AI. With Nvidia-linked stocks like Nebius and CoreWeave up 7%, Innoviz up 3%, RXRX and Arbe Robotics up 2%, and Aurora Innovation
SoundHound AI’s Earnings Fireworks: Can You Catch the Nvidia AI Wave?

SOUN Rockets on Earnings: Is the Nvidia-Linked AI Hype Worth Chasing?

$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ SoundHound AI’s shares exploded following a blowout quarter. For investors who track thematic momentum — particularly anything that smells like “Nvidia adjacency” or AI-platform upside — the reaction has been electric: a mid-week rally that erased weeks of downward pressure and thrust the name back into headlines. But underneath the price action are two competing narratives: (1) a genuine acceleration in voice and conversational AI monetization across auto, restaurants and enterprise customer service, and (2) an outsized multiple being attached to a still-lossmaking business that depends on execution, channel scaling and margin improvement. This article dissects the numbers, the market’s reaction, the fundamentals and wha
SOUN Rockets on Earnings: Is the Nvidia-Linked AI Hype Worth Chasing?
avatarToNi
08-15
CoreWeave’s Lock-Up Expiration: A Bullish Dip, Not a Bloodbath CoreWeave (CWE) is at a pivotal moment as it faces its first major post-IPO share unlock today, Friday, August 15, 2025, at 09:30 AM NZST, with approximately 84% of its Class A shares becoming tradable. These shares, primarily held by company insiders and key supplier NVIDIA, could unleash significant selling pressure, sparking the 179 posts on X under the “CoreWeave Bloodbath” narrative. However, a contrarian bullish view emerges: this lock-up expiration may present an oversold opportunity rather than a collapse, making CWE a compelling buy under $100. Here’s why the market’s fear could be overblown, and why CoreWeave’s fundamentals and strategic positioning suggest long-term upside. Fundamental Resilience: AI Infrastructure P
avatarWeChats
08-14
📉 CoreWeave Bloodbath — Would You Step In Below $100? ⚡ Triple-digit growth meets a single-digit margin — and the market isn’t impressed. CoreWeave ($CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$  ) just posted +206% YoY revenue growth, jumping from $395M to $1.21B, largely on the back of massive demand from OpenAI and other AI workloads. Yet, instead of cheering, Wall Street sold hard — wiping billions off the company’s value. The issue? Margins collapsed from 20% to just 2%. That’s the kind of squeeze that makes even the fastest-growing companies look fragile. --- 💡 The Numbers Behind the Pain While the headline growth screams “AI boom,” a closer look tells a different story: YoY Revenue: +206% ($1.21B) Gross Margin: Down from 20% to 2% Customer Concentration: He

Why Nvidia Concept Momentum Seem To Be Working For Soundhound AI but Not C3.ai?

Though the term “Nvidia Concept Momentum" is not a formally recognized financial or technical term. but it has used by many in the investment community to describe the positive market sentiment and stock price movement of companies that are perceived to be closely aligned with or benefiting from Nvidia's dominance in the AI and GPU market. This "momentum" is often driven by a narrative of a company being a key partner, customer, or a beneficiary of the broader AI trend that Nvidia is leading. The reason this "concept momentum" seems to work for $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ but not $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ can be attributed to several factors related to their specific businesses and their relationship with Nvidia. Sou
Why Nvidia Concept Momentum Seem To Be Working For Soundhound AI but Not C3.ai?

Winners vs. Wipeouts: Post-Market Scorecard From 11 Q225 Reports

Following is a summary of the earnings reports and stock price movements of 11 key companies after the market closed on August 7, 2025, EST. The reports are categorized into "up" and "down" groups, along with key catalysts.[Up Winners]1. $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ rise 14% post market due to raise guidanceSecond-quarter revenue reached $42.7 million, a 217% year-over-year increase, a record high, and the company raised its full-year guidance to $157-177 million. The company highlighted the surge in demand for voice AI in verticals like food service, automotive, and healthcare. CEO Keyvan Mohajer stated that "virtual customer service has become widely accepted."Gross profit margin was 61% (compared to 48% in the same period last year), with subscrip
Winners vs. Wipeouts: Post-Market Scorecard From 11 Q225 Reports
1. Is the Stock Oversold on Lock-Up Expiration News? Lock-Up Details & Market Reaction The lock-up is set to expire after market close on Friday, August 15, 2025, freeing up approximately 83–84% of Class A shares for sale . CoreWeave has experienced steep losses: shares plunged 18% after earnings, down from a high of around $121–122 . Early Thursday trading saw an additional ~10% decline as the market digested lock-up risk . Historical Post-Lock-Up Patterns Historically, IPOs tend to hold relatively steady immediately after lock-up expiration; average first-day moves are minimal . Over a one-month horizon, stocks typically decline around 2.4%, although for large-cap firms (like CoreWeave, now with a market cap near $57B) the average is more modest—around 0.5% . Analyst Stance Most anal
avatarBarcode
08-09
$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🚀🛰️📊 $SOUN 217% Revenue Surge, 40% Short Float, Wedge Breakout Targeting $14.70 and $16.50 📊🛰️🚀 SoundHound AI’s Q2 2025 numbers executed with surgical precision: $42.7M revenue (+217% YoY) versus $32.9M consensus ignited a +28.17% gap and +32.25% intraday surge. Price confirmed a wedge breakout with MACD positive, RSI ~71 acting as a volatility trigger, and the 50MA anchoring support. A 40% short float, 126M shares short, and 3.33 days to cover amplify the potential. A decisive $14.70 break on >60M shares could unlock $16.50 quickly, with the $24.98 high back in scope if execution persists. Catalyst Snapshot Q2 2025: $42.7M vs $32.9M consensus; FY25 guidance $16
Analysis: Oversold Due to Lock-Up Expiration? 1. Lock-Up Expiration and Immediate Market Reaction A substantial 84% of Class A shares—previously held by insiders and early backers—became tradable on August 15, 2025, releasing a significant portion of CoreWeave's float for the first time since its March IPO. This influx of shares triggered heavy block selling through Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, with some blocks as large as 8 million shares—generating over $1 billion in insider sales. Compounding the pressure, CoreWeave reported wider-than-expected losses in Q2—approximately $290–291 million—and rapidly increasing operating expenses (~$1.19–1.2 billion). 2. Is It Oversold? Though the stock has pulled back—dropping some 35% over two days—this move appears fundamentally driven
avatarMrzorro
08-09
SoundHound Call Options Volume Triples After Revenue Blew Past Estimate $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$  's call options volume more than tripled after the voice-based artificial intelligence (AI) company reported revenue and gross margin that blew past analysts' estimates and raised its full year outlook late Thursday. The company also launched Vision AI, which unites voice and visual capabilities into one intelligent platform, allowing the technology to listen, see, and interpret the world around it. The system was designed to meet the needs of enterprise applications including AI-powered retail inventory intelligence, hands-free equipment troubleshooting and personalized drive-thru experiences."  "We are movin
Nothing new isn't it. I've foreseen such and forewarned. It's only a matter of time.  But for those new to the topic, let's revisit what a lockup expiration is. ​WHAT IS A LOCKUP EXPIRATION? When a company goes public through an IPO, insiders (executives, early investors, etc.) are typically restricted from selling their shares for a period of time, known as the lock-up period. The expiration of this period allows these insiders to sell their shares for the first time, which can create significant selling pressure on the stock.   COREWEAVE'S SITUATION: ​CoreWeave is an AI-specific cloud computing company. Its stock, which had rallied significantly since its IPO, was subject to a lock-up period.  ​The lock-up expiration occurred shortly after the company reported its sec
avatarMrzorro
08-15
Nvidia Q2 Holdings Breakdown: Over 90% Bet on CoreWeave $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  , a leader in AI chips, revealed its Q2 2025 investment portfolio, showing a huge focus on one company. The 13F filing shows Nvidia put 91.36% of its public holdings into $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$  , a specialized AI cloud provider. This shows Nvidia isn't just building AI chips—it's also investing in the companies that use them. Why CoreWeave is Important CoreWeave is becoming a major player in AI cloud computing. The company offers Nvidia’s most advanced GPUs, like the GB200 NVL72 systems, to clients such as $Coherent (COHR.US)$, $IBM Corp (IBM.US)$, and Mistral AI. According to CoreWeave, it i
avatarShyon
08-15
I find the situation with CoreWeave $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$  quite intriguing as it approaches its first major post-IPO share unlock on this Friday, August 15, 2025. The fact that approximately 84% of its Class A shares will become tradable is a significant event, and I am considering what this might mean for the stock's valuation. I note that these shares are primarily held by company insiders and Nvidia, a key supplier. This concentration of ownership suggests that the decisions of these major stakeholders could heavily influence the market. I wonder if their potential selling could indeed create the selling pressure mentioned, which might drive the stock price down. When I think about whether the stock is oversold due to this lock-up expir