Hello, everybody.Today I looked at these main indexes weekly volatility forecast and offered my insights:1.OIL Weekly Volatility ForecastCurrently ourvolatility for OIL is at 6.6%, increasing from 4.7% last week, located on 100th percentile, placing us in a THE HIGHEST volatility environmentBased on the previous calculations, there is currently a 15.5% chance that the asset is going to break the channel(the weekly candle it will close above/below)TOP 83BOT 75.5At the same time, based on the previous calculations:- There is a 30% chance that the previous high from last week of 86.6 is going to be touched- There is a 70% chance that the previous low from last week 78.02 is going to be touched(at the moment of the writing was already touched)We can deduct that we

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.16%, up from 3.08% from last week according to DVOL dataWith this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 71th percentile,while according to VIX, we are on 31th percentile.Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:Bullish: 2.72% movementBearish: 2.4% movementAt the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,meaning that there is a 15.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the ne

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.93%With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 65th percentile.Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*Bullish: 2.64% movementBearish: 2.47% movementAt the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:TOP: 4025BOT: 3800Taking into consideration the previous weekl

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 2.85% , down from 3.06% of last week.According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 63th percentile, while with VIX$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  we are on 29th percentile.Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :In case of bullish- 2.9%In case of bearish- 2.56%With the current IV calculation, we have currently 24.3% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either aboveor below the next channel:TOP: 4143BOT: 3897At the same time, taking into consideration t

1.Crude Oil Weekly Forecast Analysis 3-7 Oct 2022 We can see that currently the volatility is around 7.05% for this week, decrising from the 7.4% from the last week.Currently there is around 29% that the asset is going to close either above or below the channel:TOP 87BOT 75The current volatility percentile is around 90th, placing us in a very risky environment. With this situations in general the market moves:AVG weekly bull candle = 4.25%AVG weekly bear candle = 5.36%With this mind, from the opening price it would situate us aroundTOP 84.6BOT 76.74At the same time, there is currently a 70% that we will touch the ath of previous weekly candle of 83,and there is a 30% that we will touch the low of the previous week of 76.25From the technical analysis&

Hello everyone,Today I bring you a technical analysis of the key US indices and stocks for next week(18 - 22 July 2022)1.DAX Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022​$Global X Dax Germany ETF(DAX)$ Current the implied volatility is around 4.24%, compared to last week where it was 4.02%.We are atm in a calmer period since we are in the 92th percentile of thevolatilityso it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 80% that the price of the asset is going to be between:TOP 13484BOT 12386Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 75% chance where the prices are going to be above/belowTOP 13072BOT 12800Weekly chart volatility forec

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Possible BIG Short movement for SPXWe can that currently we are close to one of the biggest resistence points of 4100.4800, 4600, 4300, 4100 Were the biggest resistence points for 2022, so we can use these values for future references.In this year, we had 2 big bullish movements and 2 big bearish movements, all of them very similar, around 18% .If history is going to repeat itself and the 4100 is going to act as a huge resistence point for the bullish trend,we can expect a possible downfall until 3400/3300 according to the past movements.However, if we are going to break 4100, we can have a possible 5% long continuation movement until 4300 which is the next big resistence point.2.

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.41% which declined from 3.56% last week.Currently according to ATR we are on 80th percentile, and according to VIX we are on 65th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a volatile market.Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.We can see that currently there is 24.3% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channelTOP: 3890BOT: 3616This can also be translated as a 75.7% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.At the same, looking at the

1.SP500 Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022$S&P 500(.SPX)$ We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.2%, down from 3.34% last week according to VIX data(US Volatility Index )With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 68th percentile, while according to VIX, we are on 33th percentile.Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:Bullish: 3% movementBearish: 2.55% movementAt the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,meaning that there is a 24.3% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be eith

1.SPX/SPY Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.44%, falling from 4.48% of the last week.At the same time, its currently place on the 90th percentile based on the ATR calculations.With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:In case of a Bullish movement : 2.54%In case of a Bearish movement : 2.7%With the current volatility point, we have a 24.3% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:TOP : 3751BOT : 3430At the same time

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX January Monthly Volatility Analyis 2023Currently the IV for SPX is at 6.25%, down from 6.67% last month.From the volatility current percentile we are located on 58th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement:Bullish: 6.544%Bearish: 6.106%With this in mind we have currently 81.1% that the market is going to stay within the next channelTOP Limit: 4154BOT Limit: 3635If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a :38.18% to hit the previous monthly high56.52% to hit the previous monthly lowLastly from the technical analysispoint of view, currently ( going from -100 to +100)Weekly Timeframe:

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022Currently the implied volatility for this asset is around 3.12%, down from 3.33% of last week.From volatility percentile, point of view, we are currently on 65th from ATR and 51th from VIX index.With this volatility percentile values into account we can expected on average that the weekly candle is going to be:2.86% forbullish2.73% forbearishWith the current IV, we can expect with a 75.7% probability that the market is not going to close either above or below the next channel:TOP: 4116BOT: 3851Lastly, based on previous calculations, we have:79% to hit the previous weekly high of 401426% to hit the previous weekly low of 37382.

Hello, everybody.Today I looked at SPX/ES, SPY & QQQ Volatility and offered my insights: $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 1.Crude Oil Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022The current impliedvolatilityis +-4.8$ from the current opening of the weekly candle, 84.81$With this in mind, we have a 74% chance that the market is going to stay within the range:TOP: 90.55BOT: 79.06At the same time, we can see that the average weekly candle, is around 3.6 - 4.1%From thetechnical analysisPOV, we can see that our asset is belowEMA50 and aboveEMA100/200.From thevolumePOV, we can see that currentlyCMFlevel has been declining, indicating a more p

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.47%, decreasing from 7.49% of last month.This is currently placing us in the 85th percentile according to ATR and 100th according toVIXBased on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:BEARISH Candle : 6.23%BULLISH Candle : 5.1%With this in mind we can expect with a close to 15.7% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:BOT: 3610TOP: 4200Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023Based on the data from VIX we can see that currently the IV for this week is at 19.76%, down from 20.21% last week.This can be translated in +/- 2.74% weekly movement from the open of the candle, which makes the next top/bot channelTOP: 4188BOT: 3965The probability to break this channel(akathe close of the weekly is going to end up either above/below this channel) is at82% with the last 20 years of data71% with data since 2022However, if we were to make a more accurate statement, based on the current percentile of the VIX( from 0 to 10) , we can apply a condition in the filterto look for scenarios when the volatility were lower than 50 percentile( bottom half).

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022Currently the volatility for this week is around 3.57% , up from expected 3.4% last week.According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 72th percentile.Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :BEAR : 2.6% from the opening point of the weekly candleBULL : 2.8% from the opening point of the weekly candleAt the same time, currently there is 10.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going tobreak and close either above or below the next channel:TOP: 4044BOT: 3778Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :79% chance that we are going to touch the previous week

Hello, everyone.Today I provide you with weekly volatility forecasts for the major indexes between October 10th and 14th: $S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ DAX,GOLD,NIFTY&BTC1.GOLD Weekly Forecast 10-14 October 2022We can see that currently the volatility is around 3.65% for this week, rising from the 3.56% from the last week.Currently there is around 24.9% that the asset is going to close either above or below the channel:TOP 1754BOT 1634The current volatility percentile is around 90th, placing us in very risky environment. With this situations in general the mar

 1、VIX$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Weekly Forecast Currently the weekly volatilityis around 15.72% , and it stands within the 71h percentile indicating a possible trend reversal soon.Taking this into account we can expect that our weekly top and bot are going to be with a close to 78% chanceTOP : 28.15BOT : 20.50At the same time we can use a lower % of initialyvolatility, and forecast where the prices is going to be above/below with a close to 81% chanceTOP : 25.095BOT : 23.565From thetechnical analysis POV lets take a look at different timeframesWe can see that on theDaily timeframe, we had received a short signal on 18th JulyAt the same time from 4h we can see that we had a short signal on 14 JulyOn 1h timefr

$Global X Dax Germany ETF(DAX)$ Current the implied volatility is around 4.24%, compared to last week where it was 4.02%.We are atm in a calmer period since we are in the 92th percentile of thevolatilityso it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 80% that the price of the asset is going to be between:TOP 13484BOT 12386Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 75% chance where the prices are going to be above/belowTOP 13072BOT 12800Weekly chart volatility forecastAt the same time from our DailyHerculesApricus, we had a short entry on 1st JulyLastly we can see on the Daily timeframe, we also had a short entry on 27 January