Hello, everybody.Today I looked at these main indexes weekly volatility forecast and offered my insights:1.OIL Weekly Volatility ForecastCurrently ourvolatility for OIL is at 6.6%, increasing from 4.7% last week, located on 100th percentile, placing us in a THE HIGHEST volatility environmentBased on the previous calculations, there is currently a 15.5% chance that the asset is going to break the channel(the weekly candle it will close above/below)TOP 83BOT 75.5At the same time, based on the previous calculations:- There is a 30% chance that the previous high from last week of 86.6 is going to be touched- There is a 70% chance that the previous low from last week 78.02 is going to be touched(at the moment of the writing was already touched)We can deduct that we

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.16%, up from 3.08% from last week according to DVOL dataWith this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 71th percentile,while according to VIX, we are on 31th percentile.Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:Bullish: 2.72% movementBearish: 2.4% movementAt the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,meaning that there is a 15.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the ne

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.93%With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 65th percentile.Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*Bullish: 2.64% movementBearish: 2.47% movementAt the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:TOP: 4025BOT: 3800Taking into consideration the previous weekl

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 2.85% , down from 3.06% of last week.According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 63th percentile, while with VIX$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  we are on 29th percentile.Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :In case of bullish- 2.9%In case of bearish- 2.56%With the current IV calculation, we have currently 24.3% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either aboveor below the next channel:TOP: 4143BOT: 3897At the same time, taking into consideration t

1.Crude Oil Weekly Forecast Analysis 3-7 Oct 2022 We can see that currently the volatility is around 7.05% for this week, decrising from the 7.4% from the last week.Currently there is around 29% that the asset is going to close either above or below the channel:TOP 87BOT 75The current volatility percentile is around 90th, placing us in a very risky environment. With this situations in general the market moves:AVG weekly bull candle = 4.25%AVG weekly bear candle = 5.36%With this mind, from the opening price it would situate us aroundTOP 84.6BOT 76.74At the same time, there is currently a 70% that we will touch the ath of previous weekly candle of 83,and there is a 30% that we will touch the low of the previous week of 76.25From the technical analysis&

Hello everyone,Today I bring you a technical analysis of the key US indices and stocks for next week(18 - 22 July 2022)1.DAX Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022​$Global X Dax Germany ETF(DAX)$ Current the implied volatility is around 4.24%, compared to last week where it was 4.02%.We are atm in a calmer period since we are in the 92th percentile of thevolatilityso it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 80% that the price of the asset is going to be between:TOP 13484BOT 12386Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 75% chance where the prices are going to be above/belowTOP 13072BOT 12800Weekly chart volatility forec

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Possible BIG Short movement for SPXWe can that currently we are close to one of the biggest resistence points of 4100.4800, 4600, 4300, 4100 Were the biggest resistence points for 2022, so we can use these values for future references.In this year, we had 2 big bullish movements and 2 big bearish movements, all of them very similar, around 18% .If history is going to repeat itself and the 4100 is going to act as a huge resistence point for the bullish trend,we can expect a possible downfall until 3400/3300 according to the past movements.However, if we are going to break 4100, we can have a possible 5% long continuation movement until 4300 which is the next big resistence point.2.

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.41% which declined from 3.56% last week.Currently according to ATR we are on 80th percentile, and according to VIX we are on 65th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a volatile market.Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.We can see that currently there is 24.3% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channelTOP: 3890BOT: 3616This can also be translated as a 75.7% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.At the same, looking at the

1.SP500 Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022$S&P 500(.SPX)$ We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.2%, down from 3.34% last week according to VIX data(US Volatility Index )With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 68th percentile, while according to VIX, we are on 33th percentile.Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:Bullish: 3% movementBearish: 2.55% movementAt the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,meaning that there is a 24.3% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be eith

1.SPX/SPY Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.44%, falling from 4.48% of the last week.At the same time, its currently place on the 90th percentile based on the ATR calculations.With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:In case of a Bullish movement : 2.54%In case of a Bearish movement : 2.7%With the current volatility point, we have a 24.3% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:TOP : 3751BOT : 3430At the same time