To The Moon

As we head into the final stretch of 2025, markets feel restless. Volatility has picked up, rallies fade faster, and every headline seems to question whether the Santa Rally still exists. But stepping back, this does not feel like panic. It feels like transition. After a strong year driven by rate cuts, AI momentum, and returning liquidity, markets are no longer pricing upside blindly. Instead, they are digesting gains, resetting positions, and waiting for clarity. That is why December has been choppy rather than directional. Several forces are colliding at once: Thin year-end liquidity amplifying moves Heavy options positioning influencing daily price action Global macro uncertainty lingering, especially around policy shifts This creates an environment where price behaviour matters more t

This expiry feels less about direction and more about structure. With such a heavy concentration of ODTEs and strikes clustered around 6,800, the pinning effect has a real chance to dominate into the close — unless a macro surprise forces dealers to re-hedge aggressively. My base case is intraday volatility with a compressed close, not a clean Santa rally yet. Liquidity looks thin, sentiment fragile, and positioning crowded. For me, this is a session to trade levels, not narratives, and size down. December has been about survival and discipline, not hero trades.

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$   This Christmas, I chose to travel, and interestingly, Korea ended up giving me some of the clearest trading lessons of the year. K-culture looks flashy on the surface: K-pop performances, perfectly choreographed stages, polished visuals. But once you are there, you realise the real story is discipline, repetition, and respect for process. No idol debuts overnight. Years of training happen quietly before the spotlight ever turns on. That felt painfully familiar as a trader. In markets, we celebrate the breakout days and the winning trades. But the real edge is built off-screen, journaling, reviewing losses, cutting positions early, and sitting through boredom when there is nothing to do. Korea reminded me that consisten

Tesla just printed a new all-time closing high, and the question traders are quietly asking is no longer Why is TSLA going up?  but What assumptions are now priced in? At these levels, Tesla is no longer trading as a car company. It is being valued as a platform bet on autonomy, robotics, and AI-driven operating leverage. That distinction matters. 📈 Why Tesla Keeps Pushing Higher This rally is not purely momentum-driven. Several structural narratives are reinforcing price: Autonomy optionality: Updates around robotaxis and Optimus are reviving long-dated growth assumptions Liquidity tailwinds: Risk appetite remains strong despite macro noise Positioning: Shorts and underweight funds continue to get squeezed on strength Price action tells the story clearly: dips are being bought quickl

Markets are entering the final stretch of the year with an unusual mix of seasonal optimism and macro anxiety. On the surface, U.S. equities look resilient. The S&P 500 has pulled back modestly, Bitcoin is volatile but holding key levels, and economic data still points to a relatively strong labour market. Yet beneath that calm sits a growing unease, will global liquidity tighten just as investors expect a Santa Rally? At the centre of this tension is Japan. 🇯🇵 Why the BOJ Suddenly Matters to U.S. Markets This week, the

Yesterday's action was messy on the surface, but very informative underneath. Tech weakness, crypto volatility, and rotation headlines made it feel chaotic, yet this is exactly the kind of tape where pick quality matters more than bravado. 🧠 Big Picture: What's Really Driving Markets? Rates & Macro: Bond yields remain the boss. Until yields decisively roll over, high-beta names will stay jumpy. Crypto: BTC weakness is pressuring proxies, but this still looks like distribution → reset, not a structural breakdown. Rotation: Capital is moving within risk assets, not fleeing the market entirely. This is not an all-in or all-out market. It is a range + reaction market. 📌 What I'm Watching (and How) 🟢 Watching / Tactical Exposure NVDA – Still the market's risk barometer. I prefer selling pre

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$   As 2025 winds down, it feels like the right moment to step back and be honest about the trades that defined the year for me, not just the wins, but the ones that tested discipline, patience, and ego. This was a year where markets rewarded timing and punished complacency. AI mania, crypto euphoria, sudden macro shifts, and violent rotations made it impossible to coast. You either managed risk actively, or the market managed you. Here are my two most memorable trades of 2025, for very different reasons: The Best Trade: Selling MSTR Before the Drop My most memorable win this year was not a flashy multi-bagger. It was selling MSTR before it rolled over. MSTR had become one of the most crowded expressions of Bitcoin optimis

Friday's tech sell off looked ugly on the surface, but structurally this feels less like the start of a prolonged downtrend and more like a coordinated reset across both risk tech and crypto. The key detail is this: nothing fundamentally broke. What broke was positioning. What Really Caused the Drop This was not a collapse in earnings or a sudden end to AI demand. It was a classic macro cocktail hitting crowded trades at once: Treasury yields pushed higher, pressuring long-duration assets Heavy profit taking in AI and momentum names Broadcom margins rattled sentiment across semiconductors Positioning was stretched after a strong year-to-date rally Year-end rebalancing amplified downside volatility When yields rise late in the year, tech and crypto tend to get hit first. That is exactly wha

Today isn't just another green or red day on the screen – it"s FOMC rate-cut day, and the market has already been pricing in soft landing perfection for weeks. When expectations are this high, the reaction often matters more than the decision. I'm watching three layers: macro reaction, mega-cap flows, and high-beta trades. 1. Macro: Three Paths After the Cut 🟢 Scenario A – Dovish & Done (Bullish risk assets) Powell signals confidence in disinflation and hints that cuts will be gradual, not panicky. Yield curve stabilises, the dollar softens, and we likely see a classic everything rally into year-end – growth, tech, and even small caps. In this scenario, I expect momentum to resume in AI leaders and quality growth. 🟡 Scenario B – Dovish but Worried (Choppy, rotation) Fed cuts, but tone

Trump's approval for Nvidia to resume H200 sales to China has injected fresh energy into a cooling AI sector. The after hours bounce was small, but the signal was big. This is the first real policy break in months, and traders now have a clear catalyst to anchor short term direction. Below is the clean breakdown of how the market may trade Nvidia in the coming sessions. 1. Why This Catalyst Matters China demand was never the issue. Policy blockage was. H200 carries higher margins and stronger upgrade cycles than the previous A series chips. Data center budgets for 2025 are still expanding, not contracting. The approval lowers headline risk and reduces fear premium in the entire AI basket. T