$S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ now hold a bearish SMT divergence at the Nov 12 high — the same level where $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ peaked. At the same time, both NDX and DJI are rejecting from Daily FVG resistance, adding confluence for a potential reversal.Even with price hovering near new highs, my lean remains that we see a pullback into the Dec 10 FOMC.For confirmation, SPX still needs a daily close below 6812 to validate the bearish divergence, while a close below 6715 triggers the full sell signal. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as we
As anticipated, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just confirmed that the rally off the Nov 21 low was corrective, unfolding as a clear ABC advance.Price now carries a potential 5-down, 3-up bearish structure — implying the top may already be in.But confirmation still matters: a daily close below 6812 is the first bearish shift, while a close below 6715 activates the full sell trigger.Confidence in the bear case holds as long as today’s 6866 high is not exceeded. A move above that level would increase odds that price trades directly into a new high first. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2512(ESmain)$$E
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ at record short interest.Treasuries are setting up for a SHORT SQUEEZE into 2026 — right as as equities line up for a 25% drawdown.Bonds UP. Stocks DOWN. As I said NOV that:5-wave decline 2020 →2023 for Wave A done✅ Wave B rally to 96-108 locked (RSI div + Golden Cross) Wave C Decline to 63 (Aligns with $SPX blow-off phase)Risk-off rotation already live → 2025-26 correction confirmed. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade amount of ≥ SGD1000* to get SGD 688 stock vouchers*! The trade can be executed usi
Major Indices Keep Topping in the Same Nov–Feb Window
For the past 5 years, $S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ have all topped inside the same Nov–Feb window.Here’s how each cycle lined up:- Dec 2019–Feb 2020- Nov 2021–Jan 2022- Dec 2024–Feb 2025- Dec 2025–Feb 2026 (projected repetition)Despite all the talk about the “Santa Rally,” this period has repeatedly marked cycle exhaustion, not acceleration.Whether the final high was Oct 29 or still forms in December, it falls inside this same topping window.We are in that window now. For SG users only, welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stock
AMZN Rejection Signals a Major Top: Bearish FVG Now Targeting 220–215
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ has been playing out exactly as projected.We nailed the downside continuation after the top — and then caught the bullish reversal right at our target support zone, setting up this corrective rally.AMZN closed right at the MomentumThreshold (MT) of the ralky from the Oct. 17low at 235, while also breaking back below theprior all-time high with momentum. That combination strongly favors that AMZN has already topped, completing a bearish diagonal and beginning a higher-degree correction.The newly formed bearish Daily FVG at238,73-243,75 should now act as over headresistance, guiding price lower toward the O/Btrendline and Monthly FvG support at 220-215.The 258,60 peak is expected to stand as the major high for the months ahead wit
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just reached the major resistance cluster at the Daily FVG and 61.8–78.6% retrace zone - this zone is where the Wave 2/B-Wave rally likely completes.Given the shortened holiday week, there is risk the next pullback is only a B/X-Wave to see one more drive into the upper 78.6% retracement -> before the new downtrend resumes. Bottom line: This Daily FVG zone should reject price for the next leg down — whether immediately or after a brief B/X-Wave detour SPX closed just under the bearish Daily FVG — the resistance zone where a reversal should form if another leg down is coming. I'm leaning this is a massive bull trap, but $SPX needs to close below the new bullish FVG at 6715 to send the bearish warning.A Daily close above 6830
From 2015-2025, only 166 companies in the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ grew their share price by more than 13% per year (beating the index). Only 15 companies grew by more than 30% per year.Only 6 companies grew by more than 40% per year.Only $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ grew by more than 70% per year.What's the lesson here? The perfect company exists at the intersection of high growth and predictable growth. Here’s my mental model: For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade amount of ≥ SGD 500