Reynor

Macro & derivatives market observer;member of a macro/derivatives trading research group.Futures education contributor.Weekly: clear, practical insights—follow for more.

    • ReynorReynor
      ·01-28 20:22

      Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

      If there’s one clear focus in the futures market recently, it’s undoubtedly silver.But today, let’s take a step back from silver and zoom out for a broader perspective: Does the recent surge in gold and silver signal the start of a bull market in base metals? There’s a well-known commodity cycle that combines the Merrill Lynch Investment Clock with Jeremy Grantham’s concept of the “commodity supercycle launch sequence.” It goes like this: The early warning sign that an economic downturn is ending is a rise in gold and silver prices. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ Why? Because during late-stage slowdowns, real demand is weak and industrial commodities languish—so capital flows into safe-haven assets like precious metals. At the same time, central banks w
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      Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?
       
       
       
       

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