Attention: Netflix's Earnings Crashed, FB Will be the Next?

After the U.S. stock market closed on April 19, Netflix $Netflix(NFLX)$ fired the first shot of the technology stock Q1 earnings report.

Unexpectedly,Netflix's global net paid subscribers decreased by 200,000 in the Q1, the first time in 11 years to report a decline in the number of users, the company added 3.98 million in the same period last year, after originally expecting to add 2.5 million, the market expected a net increase of 2.73 million. After the bell, NFLX plunged more than 25%, with its share price falling to $258.9.

Why NETFLIX Plunged Again?

In a Monday report, Morgan Stanley strategists argued that,

Rising costs for businesses, the first quarter earnings season may not be as strong as expected, and there are signs that forward expectations and guidance will only be more disappointing than expected.

Netflix is no longer a growth stock? In the case of Netflix's unfavorable debut, who will be the second company to "explode"?

Broken Streaming Media

After the market, the streaming media sector fluctuated violently. Netflix's decline in subscribers has heightened concerns about the same type of company. In the latest earnings report, Netflix expects a net decrease of 2 million global paid users in the second quarter, which also makes the market reconsider its expectations for the entire industry.

The dissipation of the epidemic dividend has intensified competition in the industry. As another giant in the industry, Disney owns three major streaming media businesses, Disney+, Hulu and ESPN+, and is also facing the pressure of stagnant user numbers.

In after-hours trading, $Roku Inc(ROKU)$ fell more than 6%; $Walt Disney(DIS)$ fell 4.21%; $fuboTV Inc.(FUBO)$ fell 4.65%.

Social media troubled by advertising

On April 11, Cathie Wood sold 183,900 shares of Twitter. In addition to not being optimistic about Twitter, Cathie Wood is also not optimistic about other social media stocks, and has now withdrawn from most social media stocks.

Analysts polled by FactSet expect $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ,$Twitter(TWTR)$ , $Snap Inc(SNAP)$ , $Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$ total advertising revenue will grow 19% year-over-year, compared with 28% and 40% in the fourth and first quarters of last year.

Rohit Kulkarni, an analyst at MKM Partners, said:

The U.S. domestic ad market is likely to slow by 1% due to the direct impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, with the European ad market likely to suffer more. Online advertising companies, including well-known internet giants such as Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Twitter, Snap and Pinterest, are facing tough macroeconomic conditions.

Currently, MKM Partners lowered its price target on Meta Platforms to $315 from $365, Pinterest to $38 from $42, and maintained $Snap Inc (SNAP) at $47 and Twitter at $49.

  • Rising inflation, stagnant growth, and interest rate hikes ahead. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$ $Twitter(TWTR)$ $Snap Inc(SNAP)$ , which will report earnings next week, who will repeat the mistakes of Netflix?
  • The earnings season has just started. Who do you think will be the second thunderous earnings report?

# Q4 Earnings Season

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment

  • Top
  • Latest
  • ___ _
    ·2022-04-20
    My guess is $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$ . FB will face continued headwinds from both increased competition for people’s time and a shift of engagement within their own apps towards video surfaces
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • ___ _Replying toYtahxiang
      for those have long Horizon can DCA
      2022-04-24
      Reply
      Report
    • YtahxiangReplying to___ _
      Because of the war, most companies especially the tech companies’ shares are going down. Unsure when it will bounce back since the war is not going to end soon. Not easy for investors. Buy low?
      2022-04-24
      Reply
      Report
    • Et1502Replying to___ _
      I completely agreed & 101% supported this. 200 words do not provide clarity & detailed explanation. Pls increase immediately. TQ
      2022-04-24
      Reply
      Report
    View more 18 comments
  • RDPD富爸穷爸
    ·2022-04-20
    Companies that are not profitable will face headwinds due to rising inflation and stagnant growth. To keep things simple, just buy business that have pricing power that could pass on rising costs to
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • RDPD富爸穷爸
      consumers. Earning miss in one quarter will not deteriorate their business model however year on year performance may give a clearer direction on how the company will fare over the longer period.
      2022-04-20
      Reply
      Report
  • rL
    ·2022-04-20
    Next will be $Twitter(TWTR)$
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Big Cat
      Same , hahaha [Happy]
      2022-04-20
      Reply
      Report
  • Big Cat
    ·2022-04-20
    Erm... [Speechless]
    Maybe $Twitter(TWTR)$ ?
    Because it's still not under Elon control yet [Sly]?
    Don't listen to my nonsense [Sly], DYODD [Grin]
    Reply
    Report
  • Boo2020
    ·2022-04-20
    Maybe $Twitter(TWTR)$ as it will be put under spot light for Elon musk's attack [Sweats] any bad news become bad bad news [Sweats]
    Reply
    Report
  • MSing
    ·2022-04-20
    Maybe will be $Twitter(TWTR)$ as now almoat all know that about Elon Musk[Cool][Cool]
    Reply
    Report
  • GggSlimeR
    ·2022-04-20
    Aunty Cathy is right , Do not like my comment
    Reply
    Report
  • koolgal
    ·2022-04-20

     has been facing strong headwinds lately and its share price has been trending downwards.  It is likely that its Earnings Report will disappoint next week.

    Firstly Tik Tok has overtaken Meta Platforms in popularity with the younger crowd.  Then there is the reduced advertising due to Apple users privacy settings.  

    Meta Platforms is also incurring major expenditure due to its development of Metaverse.  Hopefully this expansion into Metaverse will pay off big time in the future. 

    Nonetheless  is still a formidable giant with a massive number of worldwide users and most importantly it is still profitable.  This will allow  to face its current challenges and continue to grow exponentially long term.  So it is a case of short term pain but long term gain.

     Netflix earnings crashed, who will be next 

    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • pekss
      Side question: how did you manage to overcome the limitation on 200 characters for comments? Thanks! :)
      2022-04-24
      Reply
      Report
    • koolgalReplying topekss
      You need to go to TTM. Financial
      2022-04-24
      Reply
      Report
    • koolgalReplying toJLSW86
      Thanks
      2022-04-21
      Reply
      Report
    View more 28 comments
  • Brocco
    ·2022-04-20
    Hmm. I will think is Meta, since they are highly dependent on user count and the competition are high
    Reply
    Report
  • JZ8
    ·2022-04-20
    $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$ might be having the same fate as Netflix. they are both quite similar. Hopefully tonight Tesla will bring good news and push the overall market up.
    Reply
    Report
  • Cris0
    ·2022-04-20
    Meta and netflix in similar nature which highly depends on user, likely to see a drop just like netflix
    Reply
    Report
  • zzzsianzzz
    ·2022-04-20
    meta might be good with revenues, but low in integrity.. 
    pinterest might be next.. [LOL]
    Reply
    Report
  • MHh
    ·2022-04-20
    Twitter, snap highly likely the next ones to have massive drops! These are comparatively less profitable and less strong moat compared to bigger companies like Meta platforms.
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • DiAngelReplying toMHh
      😴😴
      2022-04-20
      Reply
      Report
    • MHhReplying toDiAngel
      You too…. Good night!
      2022-04-20
      Reply
      Report
    • DiAngelReplying toMHh
      Pls rest well.
      2022-04-20
      Reply
      Report
    View more 3 comments
  • highhand
    ·2022-04-20
    the next stock to implode is *drumroll*.. the bird stock $Twitter(TWTR)$ ! only saving grace is Musk's association with it, might keep it up from total disaster.
    Reply
    Report
  • LWKJKK
    ·2022-04-20
    visa/ma and apple should have good news.. Meta may drop..
    Reply
    Report
  • Kaixiang
    ·2022-04-20
    High chance that Meta will suffer the same fate as Netflix. The rising popularity of Tiktok is a real threat to Meta, and Meta’s response is very reactive. Metaverse will take time to materialise
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    View more 1 comments
  • ckh
    ·2022-04-20
    Reply
    Report
  • Furore
    ·2022-04-20
    Since these are the only choices to choose from, Meta should be the next one
    That being said, the fall shouldn't be that bad as Netflix, because affected ad sales due to Apple was already factored in
    Reply
    Report
  • BCbcbc
    ·2022-04-20
    Well research and analysis!
    Reply
    Report
  • PaperPlay
    ·2022-04-20
    The fall of Netflix price is inevitable. It is just a media company, not a tech company. Youtube pushes free, personalised quick content way better. Even TikTok does it better.
    Reply
    Report