To The Moon

Short answer: reasonable to start scaling in, but not an all-in entry. --- What is supportive now Risk premium reset (ceasefire) → tail risk removed 6,700 holding as support → constructive technical base Earnings catalyst → can justify current valuations if beats hold --- What is risky Rally is headline-driven, not purely fundamentals Two-week window = binary risk (deal vs breakdown) Tech already extended → prone to earnings volatility / IV crush --- How to approach entry (practical) Best approach: staggered entry Add 30–40% now near 6,700–6,780 Add more if: Earnings confirm strength, or Pullback to ~6,600–6,650 --- Key signals to watch Forward guidance (more important than beats) Semis / AI capex commentary Whether dips are bought aggressively (institutional support) --- Simple framework

S&P 500 hits one-month high. Market is still highly volatile and it may be "pushed" to 6800 before pullback again.

Here's a list of US equities sorted by how frequently they have outperformed the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ year-on-year. Amphenol, Arista Networks, Broadcom and Comfort Systems are all in the lead. Which on the list do you own? $Amphenol(APH)$ $Arista Networks(ANET)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Comfort Systems USA(FIX)$ $KKR & Co LP(KKR)$ $Monolithic Power(MPWR)$ $Arthur J. Gallagher(AJG)$ $Dover(DOV)$

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Is the SPX bounce a technical surprise? Not exactly. The price recovered the 20DMA by the close. $6,795 could set resistance, suggesting a potential consolidation at the open, likely toward $6,728.9 and maybe $6,689.3. Given that the price is bouncing from extreme oversold conditions, a complete gap fill soon is not guaranteed, since the 200DMA can flip to support, as on May 12 2025. one year ago today, the VIX closed above 50, a signal with a 100% win rate over the following year and an average S&P 500 return of 35%. The S&P 500 has gained 38% since then, adding to the list of times when it paid to be greedy when others were fearful.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 may have closed above its 200-day MA, but one hurdle remains: The 20-week moving average with the $SPY currently on track for a 6th consecutive close below it 🚨📉 S&P 500 $SPY posts first close above the 200-day moving average in 14 trading days 📈🥳🫂 More than 82% of S&P 500 stocks are now trading above their 5-day moving average, the strongest short-term market breadth since November 📈🥳🫂 Investors have been rotating to cash at one of the fastest paces in history 🚨🚨 Stock Market says goodbye to Extreme Fear for the first time in over a month 🥳📈🫂

🎁🎁🎁What do you think will happen to $S&P 500(.SPX)$ today? Vote on this post to bet on the stock's price and win a share of 300 Tiger Coins! Comments and reposts are welcome to participate! Eyes on the prize—what’s your next move? 🧠📍 Markets giving you signals or noise today? 💥 Let’s compare notes and sharpen our edge. Let’s break it down. These stories drove the markets. More News Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively! ⚙️ Thursday — Futures Market Monitor price fluctuations in energy, precious metals, and agricultural future

The announcement of a two-week ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered one of the most violent "risk-on" shifts in recent market history. After the latest TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out)—a term traders have coined for the President's tendency to pull back from peak escalation when market pain becomes extreme—investors are frantically unwinding hedges and short positions. As we look toward the end of this week, the reaction is expected to transition from "shock and awe" euphoria to a more calculated assessment of the ceasefire's durability. Equities: The "Squeezy" Macro Tape The initial jump was driven by a massive short squeeze, with the S&P 500 erasing a month’s worth of war losses in a single session. For the rest of the week: Momentum vs. Resistance: Analy

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $Dow Jones(.DJI)$  🚀📊⚖️ Post-Correction Playbook: Why $SPX Stabilises, $DJI Grinds, and $IXIC Leads the Rebound 📈🧠🔥 $SPX is settling into a statistical equilibrium zone following a 10% correction. After a reset of this magnitude: → Extremes fade → Return dispersion tightens → Forward expectations normalise There’s no immediate short-term edge, but this is where the market quietly rebuilds its base. Volatility compresses. Positioning rebalances. Probabilities begin to improve. Patience tends to outperform aggression in this phase. 🏛️ $DJI | The Consistency Trade $DJI continues to behave like a slow-burn rec

Global Stocks Jump as Oil Prices Plunge Oil Global markets rallied sharply as investors embraced a powerful relief rally following a cease-fire agreement in the U.S.-Iran conflict. The surge in risk appetite was fueled by a dramatic drop in oil prices, down nearly 15%, marking one of the steepest declines in years. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is poised for strong gains, while traders are once again betting on potential Federal Reserve rate cuts as inflation concerns ease. Relief Rally Driven by Reaction, Not Conviction Despite the bullish momentum, analysts warn that the rally is driven more by short-term relief than long-term confidence. The cease-fire includes major concessions to Iran, particularly effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, a cri

Bridgewater Associates, one of the world’s largest hedge funds (managing close to $100 billion), has historically been accessible only to institutional and ultra-high-net-worth investors. Its founder, Ray Dalio, is widely respected, and his book Principles is often regarded as essential reading among investors. In March 2025, Bridgewater partnered with State Street to launch the $SPDR BRIDGEWATER ALL WEATHER ETF(ALLW)$  — a retail-accessible version of its well-known All Weather strategy. ALLW currently manages approximately $1.2 billion in assets, with an expense ratio of 0.85%. Since its listing on March 6, 2025, the ETF has delivered a total return of 21.86% (including dividends). Strategy and Portfolio ALLW adopts Bridgewater’s

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Huge 2% move up for SPY after hours 🚀 Price is now pushing into the Daily and Weekly fair value bands which are both still red. If we are going to see a rejection this is the level where it happens. As we covered in last week's videos if the short term trend flips bullish again and the monthly BX closes a higher low this would confirm the bottom. For now I am staying cautious. Note: I want this to be the bottom for $SPY and $QQQ just as much as anyone. As you all know I do not short and my fund is fully exposed long right now. The market moving back toward all time highs would only help my positions. But I have to stay objective regardless of what I want to happen. The reason I am out of most big tech is simple. Th

The announcement of a two-week ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered one of the most violent "risk-on" shifts in recent market history. After the latest TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out)—a term traders have coined for the President's tendency to pull back from peak escalation when market pain becomes extreme—investors are frantically unwinding hedges and short positions. As we look toward the end of this week, the reaction is expected to transition from "shock and awe" euphoria to a more calculated assessment of the ceasefire's durability. Equities: The "Squeezy" Macro Tape The initial jump was driven by a massive short squeeze, with the S&P 500 erasing a month’s worth of war losses in a single session. For the rest of the week: Momentum vs. Resistance: Analy

Short answer: reasonable to start scaling in, but not an all-in entry. --- What is supportive now Risk premium reset (ceasefire) → tail risk removed 6,700 holding as support → constructive technical base Earnings catalyst → can justify current valuations if beats hold --- What is risky Rally is headline-driven, not purely fundamentals Two-week window = binary risk (deal vs breakdown) Tech already extended → prone to earnings volatility / IV crush --- How to approach entry (practical) Best approach: staggered entry Add 30–40% now near 6,700–6,780 Add more if: Earnings confirm strength, or Pullback to ~6,600–6,650 --- Key signals to watch Forward guidance (more important than beats) Semis / AI capex commentary Whether dips are bought aggressively (institutional support) --- Simple framework

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $Dow Jones(.DJI)$  🚀📊⚖️ Post-Correction Playbook: Why $SPX Stabilises, $DJI Grinds, and $IXIC Leads the Rebound 📈🧠🔥 $SPX is settling into a statistical equilibrium zone following a 10% correction. After a reset of this magnitude: → Extremes fade → Return dispersion tightens → Forward expectations normalise There’s no immediate short-term edge, but this is where the market quietly rebuilds its base. Volatility compresses. Positioning rebalances. Probabilities begin to improve. Patience tends to outperform aggression in this phase. 🏛️ $DJI | The Consistency Trade $DJI continues to behave like a slow-burn rec

🎁🎁🎁What do you think will happen to $S&P 500(.SPX)$ today? Vote on this post to bet on the stock's price and win a share of 300 Tiger Coins! Comments and reposts are welcome to participate! Eyes on the prize—what’s your next move? 🧠📍 Markets giving you signals or noise today? 💥 Let’s compare notes and sharpen our edge. Let’s break it down. These stories drove the markets. More News Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively! ⚙️ Thursday — Futures Market Monitor price fluctuations in energy, precious metals, and agricultural future

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Is the SPX bounce a technical surprise? Not exactly. The price recovered the 20DMA by the close. $6,795 could set resistance, suggesting a potential consolidation at the open, likely toward $6,728.9 and maybe $6,689.3. Given that the price is bouncing from extreme oversold conditions, a complete gap fill soon is not guaranteed, since the 200DMA can flip to support, as on May 12 2025. one year ago today, the VIX closed above 50, a signal with a 100% win rate over the following year and an average S&P 500 return of 35%. The S&P 500 has gained 38% since then, adding to the list of times when it paid to be greedy when others were fearful.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 may have closed above its 200-day MA, but one hurdle remains: The 20-week moving average with the $SPY currently on track for a 6th consecutive close below it 🚨📉 S&P 500 $SPY posts first close above the 200-day moving average in 14 trading days 📈🥳🫂 More than 82% of S&P 500 stocks are now trading above their 5-day moving average, the strongest short-term market breadth since November 📈🥳🫂 Investors have been rotating to cash at one of the fastest paces in history 🚨🚨 Stock Market says goodbye to Extreme Fear for the first time in over a month 🥳📈🫂

Here's a list of US equities sorted by how frequently they have outperformed the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ year-on-year. Amphenol, Arista Networks, Broadcom and Comfort Systems are all in the lead. Which on the list do you own? $Amphenol(APH)$ $Arista Networks(ANET)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Comfort Systems USA(FIX)$ $KKR & Co LP(KKR)$ $Monolithic Power(MPWR)$ $Arthur J. Gallagher(AJG)$ $Dover(DOV)$

Bridgewater Associates, one of the world’s largest hedge funds (managing close to $100 billion), has historically been accessible only to institutional and ultra-high-net-worth investors. Its founder, Ray Dalio, is widely respected, and his book Principles is often regarded as essential reading among investors. In March 2025, Bridgewater partnered with State Street to launch the $SPDR BRIDGEWATER ALL WEATHER ETF(ALLW)$  — a retail-accessible version of its well-known All Weather strategy. ALLW currently manages approximately $1.2 billion in assets, with an expense ratio of 0.85%. Since its listing on March 6, 2025, the ETF has delivered a total return of 21.86% (including dividends). Strategy and Portfolio ALLW adopts Bridgewater’s

S&P 500 hits one-month high. Market is still highly volatile and it may be "pushed" to 6800 before pullback again.

Global Stocks Jump as Oil Prices Plunge Oil Global markets rallied sharply as investors embraced a powerful relief rally following a cease-fire agreement in the U.S.-Iran conflict. The surge in risk appetite was fueled by a dramatic drop in oil prices, down nearly 15%, marking one of the steepest declines in years. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is poised for strong gains, while traders are once again betting on potential Federal Reserve rate cuts as inflation concerns ease. Relief Rally Driven by Reaction, Not Conviction Despite the bullish momentum, analysts warn that the rally is driven more by short-term relief than long-term confidence. The cease-fire includes major concessions to Iran, particularly effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, a cri

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Huge 2% move up for SPY after hours 🚀 Price is now pushing into the Daily and Weekly fair value bands which are both still red. If we are going to see a rejection this is the level where it happens. As we covered in last week's videos if the short term trend flips bullish again and the monthly BX closes a higher low this would confirm the bottom. For now I am staying cautious. Note: I want this to be the bottom for $SPY and $QQQ just as much as anyone. As you all know I do not short and my fund is fully exposed long right now. The market moving back toward all time highs would only help my positions. But I have to stay objective regardless of what I want to happen. The reason I am out of most big tech is simple. Th