To The Moon

【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.70%* During the week, US Treasury yields moved lower across the curve over the past week as concerns around AI-related equities outweighed the impact of higher oil prices, which led to a rise in safe-haven demand. With the FOMC in its pre-meeting blackout period, markets saw only less than 10% probability of an October rate hike, showcasing broad expectations that Fed remain on hold in October. Looking ahead, attention turns to the 28 October FOMC meeting. * 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ YTD total return: -9.07% As of 23 Oct 2026, SRT gained 1.49% WTD, bringing its YTD total return to-9.07%. WTD gains were led

As $SK hynix(SKHY)$ SK Hynix prepares to report its third-quarter financial results on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ Samsung Electronics steps up immediately afterward to take the baton in the global memory earnings week. In this article, we would like to share an analysis that evaluates memory pure-plays, peripheral chip leaders, ETF strategies, and the $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOX) outlook. 1. The Global Memory Super-Cycle Setting The global semiconductor industry stands at a pivotal juncture in late 2026. The memory landscape has undergone a fundamental structural shift: standard c

Rollercoaster mode: ACTIVATE! If you’ve been looking at your tech portfolio recently, you might be wondering if the AI hype train just derailed. Micron, Nvidia, Broadcom, and friends took a bit of a tumble! Before anyone panics and sells their GPU collection, let’s unpack what’s actually happening: 1. First time? (Spoiler: It’s not!) If you think this is the first time AI and memory stocks have tanked, welcome to tech investing! Even during mega bull runs, these stocks regularly pull back 20% to 30%. It’s not a bug; it’s a standard feature. AI giants like Nvidia have survived dozens of these "shake-outs" on their way up, and memory chipmakers take investors on this exact wild ride all the time. 2. The Memory Market is the ultimate Drama Queen Memory stocks (DRAM, NAND, HBM) are historicall

Memory is waking up again. SK Hynix +4.05% Friday. Micron +2.46%. And Monday pre-market: MU ~$901 SNDK ~$1,267 But this week's earnings are about something much bigger than which memory stock beats estimates. For months, the memory bull case has rested heavily on one product: HBM. AI accelerators need enormous amounts of high-bandwidth memory, supply remains constrained, and SK Hynix and Micron have benefited enormously. But for the next leg of the memory trade to become broader and more durable, I want evidence that strength is spreading. HBM → DRAM → enterprise SSD → NAND → storage This week may finally tell us whether that is happening. 🟢 SK HYNIX: THE HBM BENCHMARK SK Hynix reports first. I care less about whether EPS beats consensus and more about three questions: 1. Is HBM demand sti

$MU$   Key Drivers & Context • Memory Cost Pressures: Apple CEO Tim Cook has highlighted rising component and memory costs tied to intense AI-driven demand, prompting Apple to test alternative suppliers such as China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) for select regional markets. • Micron Performance & Outlook: Micron continues to experience strong enterprise and AI-related memory demand with high gross margins, even as shares see bouts of volatility and profit-taking following a sharp multi-month rally. • Upcoming Catalysts: Apple is preparing for its upcoming product announcements and quarterly earnings report, which investors are watching closely for margin and hardware co

The Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH) edged higher in early trading on Wednesday (14 Oct), rising around 1.6% as of the lunch close. This lifted the HSTECH 7x Long DLC (XQ4W) by more than 11%, while the HSTECH 7x Short DLC(9B2W) declined by a similar magnitude. $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ has declined around 25% year-to-date and recently touched 4,065, returning close to levels last seen before Beijing’s September 2024 stimulus-driven rally. In the past three weeks, HSTECH has fallen 6.8%. Over the same period, the HSTECH 7x Short DLC(9B2W) gained around 48%, while the HSTECH 7x Long DLC (XQ4W) fell around 45%. Among the today's top gainers were $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ , $MEITUAN-W(0

My conviction is lower, but not broken. CXMT changes the long-term risk premium for memory. If it can turn 4F² into competitive, high-yield mass production, Chinese supply could eventually pressure conventional DRAM pricing and challenge the industry's current structure. But announcing an architecture is very different from producing server-grade DRAM economically at scale. Yield, reliability, customer qualification and volume are the real tests. Until CXMT demonstrates those, I see the sell-off as the market pricing in a credible new risk rather than proof that the memory cycle has fundamentally changed. Hock Tan's warning matters too. If capital becomes the constraint on AI build-outs, demand expectations could cool even before new Chinese supply arrives. So I would still hold quality me

The AI hardware trade just got hit with two reality checks simultaneously: a structural supply-side threat out of China and a demand-side paradigm shift from Broadcom. Here is the breakdown of what actually changed, what’s noise, and whether memory conviction should hold. 1. The Supply Shock: CXMT’s 4F2 DRAM Breakthrough The Announcement ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) unveiled progress on a 4F2 DRAM architecture, aimed at server/datacenter memory by end-2026. Standard 6F2 Architecture: [ Cell Area: ~6F² ] --> Scaling limit nearing CXMT 4F2 Target: [ Cell Area: ~4F² ] --> ~30-50% die size reduction Why Wall Street Freaked Out * Density Advantage: A shift from 6F2 to 4F2 design theoretically reduces cell area by roughly 30% to 50%, yielding significantly more dies per wafer withou

Hock Tan said the truth and yet Zuckerberg announced to spent even more money on AI. While Meta and Google are making good money from their AI optimized ads, OpenAI and Anthropic haven’t found a profitable business model. The cheaper open Chinese models are forcing them to lower the prices even further while newer models get better. It’s a race to the bottom, AI is already a commodity!

$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ sell. Bubble popping

Today, South Korean stocks plunged, with the $CSOP KOSPI(03121)$ index at one point falling more than 7%, breaking below the psychologically important 6,000-point level and approaching its July low: On the news front, Broadcom CEO Hock Tan said at an event in Singapore yesterday that most companies see no return on their AI computing investments, questioning the long-term viability of money-losing AI labs. He said: "Many investors don't really know what they're investing in. They set absurdly high expectations, only to realize in the end that they're practically in a casino." $Broadcom (AVGO) Tan also noted that several AI companies, including OpenAI, lose tens of billions of dollars each year. Such services require massive spending on high-end c

The indices: the Dow outran the Nasdaq for the third session in a row All three indices split again on Monday: the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rose 0.38 per cent to 51,850.55; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.06 per cent to 7,807.24, essentially flat; and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 0.44 per cent to 27,245.90. The 10-year Treasury yield stayed at 5.24 per cent, unchanged from Friday. Monday was the third consecutive session in which the Dow outperformed the Nasdaq. Nvidia fell 1.29 per cent to US$226.32 and AMD fell 2.28 per cent to US$594.24, extending the declines that began last Thursday on the OpenAI revenue report. Memory st

One technology announcement. Four stocks under pressure. On Monday, October 12, $SanDisk(SNDK)$ fell 5.97%, $Lumentum(LITE)$ dropped 9.78%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ lost 3.88%, and $SK Hynix(000660)$ declined 4.02%. The catalyst? China’s memory-chip maker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) announced progress on a next-generation DRAM architecture that could intensify competition in the global memory market.  But has the competitive threat changed overnight, or is the market pricing in a risk that still needs to be proven? 🔬 1. What has CXMT actually achieved? CXMT says it has made progress on a 4F² DRAM cell architecture, designed to fit more memory cells into a smaller area. Mainstream DRAM has traditionally used a 6F² cell design. Moving to 4F² could improve memory density and potential

The memory trade just got a new risk to consider. On Monday, $SanDisk(SNDK)$ fell 5.97%, $Lumentum(LITE)$ dropped 9.78%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ lost 3.88%, and $SK Hynix(000660)$ declined 4.02%. The trigger? China’s ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) announced progress on a new DRAM architecture that could increase memory density and improve manufacturing efficiency. The company plans to introduce a server-memory product using its 4F² design by the end of 2026.  But I think there are two separate stories here. 🔍 1. The threat is pricing power, not just market share The 4F² architecture aims to fit more memory cells into a smaller area than the conventional 6F² design. If CXMT can successfully scale this technology, it could eventually become a more serious competitor in server DRAM, put

$07709$ fck This piece of shit 

Market Outlook of S&P500 (05Oct2026) Technicals as of Friday 2 October close, pulled via Yahoo Finance data: · Close: 7,722.72 — 1.2% below the 52-week high of 7,816.70, and +12.6% year to date · Moving averages: price above the MA50 (7,658) and MA200 (7,226); MA50 above MA200 — the trend structure is intact · MACD: 10.98, marginally below signal 11.12 — momentum has stalled at the highs, though the histogram is improving (−0.14 from −3.02) · RSI(14): 54.8 — neutral · Chaikin Money Flow (20): −0.053 — has slipped negative; money trickling out at the highs · Stochastic: %K 78.3 above %D 62.9 — recovering · Overall ten-rule gauge: 7 buy / 3 sell — still constructive, but last week’s clean sweep is gone: MACD cross, money flow and 20-day momentum have all turned. The CNN Fear & Greed

News and my thoughts from the past week (28Sep2026) Benson's selected items (drafted from his inputs, his fact-check notes applied): 1. Weather and natural disasters across Asia. Typhoon Dujuan swept Japan's Kanto region around 21–23 September, bringing record rainfall, landslides and flooding with a rising death toll, and another storm was intensifying near Okinawa by week's end. Vietnam is still recovering from heavy rain and flooding across its northern and north-central provinces from mid-September, with homes inundated and crops damaged. In Thailand, all 50 Bangkok districts were declared disaster areas after severe rainfall, school closures and disruption to government travel — continued rain raises the risk of worse. In the Pacific, Hurricane Polo is real but its near-term threat is

Two-Thirds of Future Capacity Sold — Is Memory Becoming Less Cyclical? Memory stocks surged Tuesday, but the more interesting story may be happening underneath the share prices. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$   SanDisk says roughly two-thirds of its FY2028 bits are already covered by new business-model agreements. That is significant because memory has historically been one of the most cyclical parts of semiconductors. What changed? SanDisk says its new agreements with eight customers cover approximately 50% of FY2027 bits and two-thirds of FY2028 bits. The contracts include committed volumes, minimum financial guarantees and pricing mechanisms.  That gives SanDisk something memory companies traditionally haven’t had: greater visibility into

Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney Economic Calendar (28Sep2026) Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com, via Benson) A genuinely live week: two US prints that can move the rates path, one central-bank decision that is too close to call, and China going quiet for Golden Week from Thursday. 1. The RBA decides — and the market has not made up its mind (Tuesday 29 September, 2:30 pm AEST). The cash rate sits at 4.35%. Pricing is roughly 55/45 between a 25 bp rise to 4.60% and a hold; NAB expects the rise this week, ANZ, CBA and Westpac lean to November. The awkward part: August CPI lands on Wednesday, after the vote, so the board decides with July's 3.5% headline (3.6% trimmed mean) as its freshest read. Whichever way it goes, the st

The global semiconductor memory market in 2026 is experiencing an unprecedented structural squeeze. While Big Tech hyperscalers, GPU titans, and cloud providers aggressively absorb massive volumes of High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and enterprise-grade DDR5, persistent shortages continue to plague the electronics ecosystem. In this article, we would like to offer a comprehensive financial analysis of High-Bandwidth Memory deficits, supply chain bottlenecks, and equity options execution. 1. The Paradox of Abundance: Why Memory Remains Constrained The contemporary artificial intelligence infrastructure boom has fundamentally re-architected the semiconductor demand curve. Hyperscale cloud providers and AI accelerator developers are procuring record volumes of memory silicon. Yet, persistent suppl

【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.70%* During the week, US Treasury yields moved lower across the curve over the past week as concerns around AI-related equities outweighed the impact of higher oil prices, which led to a rise in safe-haven demand. With the FOMC in its pre-meeting blackout period, markets saw only less than 10% probability of an October rate hike, showcasing broad expectations that Fed remain on hold in October. Looking ahead, attention turns to the 28 October FOMC meeting. * 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ YTD total return: -9.07% As of 23 Oct 2026, SRT gained 1.49% WTD, bringing its YTD total return to-9.07%. WTD gains were led

As $SK hynix(SKHY)$ SK Hynix prepares to report its third-quarter financial results on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ Samsung Electronics steps up immediately afterward to take the baton in the global memory earnings week. In this article, we would like to share an analysis that evaluates memory pure-plays, peripheral chip leaders, ETF strategies, and the $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOX) outlook. 1. The Global Memory Super-Cycle Setting The global semiconductor industry stands at a pivotal juncture in late 2026. The memory landscape has undergone a fundamental structural shift: standard c

Rollercoaster mode: ACTIVATE! If you’ve been looking at your tech portfolio recently, you might be wondering if the AI hype train just derailed. Micron, Nvidia, Broadcom, and friends took a bit of a tumble! Before anyone panics and sells their GPU collection, let’s unpack what’s actually happening: 1. First time? (Spoiler: It’s not!) If you think this is the first time AI and memory stocks have tanked, welcome to tech investing! Even during mega bull runs, these stocks regularly pull back 20% to 30%. It’s not a bug; it’s a standard feature. AI giants like Nvidia have survived dozens of these "shake-outs" on their way up, and memory chipmakers take investors on this exact wild ride all the time. 2. The Memory Market is the ultimate Drama Queen Memory stocks (DRAM, NAND, HBM) are historicall

Memory is waking up again. SK Hynix +4.05% Friday. Micron +2.46%. And Monday pre-market: MU ~$901 SNDK ~$1,267 But this week's earnings are about something much bigger than which memory stock beats estimates. For months, the memory bull case has rested heavily on one product: HBM. AI accelerators need enormous amounts of high-bandwidth memory, supply remains constrained, and SK Hynix and Micron have benefited enormously. But for the next leg of the memory trade to become broader and more durable, I want evidence that strength is spreading. HBM → DRAM → enterprise SSD → NAND → storage This week may finally tell us whether that is happening. 🟢 SK HYNIX: THE HBM BENCHMARK SK Hynix reports first. I care less about whether EPS beats consensus and more about three questions: 1. Is HBM demand sti

$MU$   Key Drivers & Context • Memory Cost Pressures: Apple CEO Tim Cook has highlighted rising component and memory costs tied to intense AI-driven demand, prompting Apple to test alternative suppliers such as China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) for select regional markets. • Micron Performance & Outlook: Micron continues to experience strong enterprise and AI-related memory demand with high gross margins, even as shares see bouts of volatility and profit-taking following a sharp multi-month rally. • Upcoming Catalysts: Apple is preparing for its upcoming product announcements and quarterly earnings report, which investors are watching closely for margin and hardware co

Today, South Korean stocks plunged, with the $CSOP KOSPI(03121)$ index at one point falling more than 7%, breaking below the psychologically important 6,000-point level and approaching its July low: On the news front, Broadcom CEO Hock Tan said at an event in Singapore yesterday that most companies see no return on their AI computing investments, questioning the long-term viability of money-losing AI labs. He said: "Many investors don't really know what they're investing in. They set absurdly high expectations, only to realize in the end that they're practically in a casino." $Broadcom (AVGO) Tan also noted that several AI companies, including OpenAI, lose tens of billions of dollars each year. Such services require massive spending on high-end c

The AI hardware trade just got hit with two reality checks simultaneously: a structural supply-side threat out of China and a demand-side paradigm shift from Broadcom. Here is the breakdown of what actually changed, what’s noise, and whether memory conviction should hold. 1. The Supply Shock: CXMT’s 4F2 DRAM Breakthrough The Announcement ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) unveiled progress on a 4F2 DRAM architecture, aimed at server/datacenter memory by end-2026. Standard 6F2 Architecture: [ Cell Area: ~6F² ] --> Scaling limit nearing CXMT 4F2 Target: [ Cell Area: ~4F² ] --> ~30-50% die size reduction Why Wall Street Freaked Out * Density Advantage: A shift from 6F2 to 4F2 design theoretically reduces cell area by roughly 30% to 50%, yielding significantly more dies per wafer withou

The indices: the Dow outran the Nasdaq for the third session in a row All three indices split again on Monday: the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rose 0.38 per cent to 51,850.55; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.06 per cent to 7,807.24, essentially flat; and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 0.44 per cent to 27,245.90. The 10-year Treasury yield stayed at 5.24 per cent, unchanged from Friday. Monday was the third consecutive session in which the Dow outperformed the Nasdaq. Nvidia fell 1.29 per cent to US$226.32 and AMD fell 2.28 per cent to US$594.24, extending the declines that began last Thursday on the OpenAI revenue report. Memory st

One technology announcement. Four stocks under pressure. On Monday, October 12, $SanDisk(SNDK)$ fell 5.97%, $Lumentum(LITE)$ dropped 9.78%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ lost 3.88%, and $SK Hynix(000660)$ declined 4.02%. The catalyst? China’s memory-chip maker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) announced progress on a next-generation DRAM architecture that could intensify competition in the global memory market.  But has the competitive threat changed overnight, or is the market pricing in a risk that still needs to be proven? 🔬 1. What has CXMT actually achieved? CXMT says it has made progress on a 4F² DRAM cell architecture, designed to fit more memory cells into a smaller area. Mainstream DRAM has traditionally used a 6F² cell design. Moving to 4F² could improve memory density and potential

The memory trade just got a new risk to consider. On Monday, $SanDisk(SNDK)$ fell 5.97%, $Lumentum(LITE)$ dropped 9.78%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ lost 3.88%, and $SK Hynix(000660)$ declined 4.02%. The trigger? China’s ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) announced progress on a new DRAM architecture that could increase memory density and improve manufacturing efficiency. The company plans to introduce a server-memory product using its 4F² design by the end of 2026.  But I think there are two separate stories here. 🔍 1. The threat is pricing power, not just market share The 4F² architecture aims to fit more memory cells into a smaller area than the conventional 6F² design. If CXMT can successfully scale this technology, it could eventually become a more serious competitor in server DRAM, put

Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney Economic Calendar (28Sep2026) Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com, via Benson) A genuinely live week: two US prints that can move the rates path, one central-bank decision that is too close to call, and China going quiet for Golden Week from Thursday. 1. The RBA decides — and the market has not made up its mind (Tuesday 29 September, 2:30 pm AEST). The cash rate sits at 4.35%. Pricing is roughly 55/45 between a 25 bp rise to 4.60% and a hold; NAB expects the rise this week, ANZ, CBA and Westpac lean to November. The awkward part: August CPI lands on Wednesday, after the vote, so the board decides with July's 3.5% headline (3.6% trimmed mean) as its freshest read. Whichever way it goes, the st

News and my thoughts from the past week (28Sep2026) Benson's selected items (drafted from his inputs, his fact-check notes applied): 1. Weather and natural disasters across Asia. Typhoon Dujuan swept Japan's Kanto region around 21–23 September, bringing record rainfall, landslides and flooding with a rising death toll, and another storm was intensifying near Okinawa by week's end. Vietnam is still recovering from heavy rain and flooding across its northern and north-central provinces from mid-September, with homes inundated and crops damaged. In Thailand, all 50 Bangkok districts were declared disaster areas after severe rainfall, school closures and disruption to government travel — continued rain raises the risk of worse. In the Pacific, Hurricane Polo is real but its near-term threat is

The Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH) edged higher in early trading on Wednesday (14 Oct), rising around 1.6% as of the lunch close. This lifted the HSTECH 7x Long DLC (XQ4W) by more than 11%, while the HSTECH 7x Short DLC(9B2W) declined by a similar magnitude. $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ has declined around 25% year-to-date and recently touched 4,065, returning close to levels last seen before Beijing’s September 2024 stimulus-driven rally. In the past three weeks, HSTECH has fallen 6.8%. Over the same period, the HSTECH 7x Short DLC(9B2W) gained around 48%, while the HSTECH 7x Long DLC (XQ4W) fell around 45%. Among the today's top gainers were $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ , $MEITUAN-W(0

The global semiconductor memory market in 2026 is experiencing an unprecedented structural squeeze. While Big Tech hyperscalers, GPU titans, and cloud providers aggressively absorb massive volumes of High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and enterprise-grade DDR5, persistent shortages continue to plague the electronics ecosystem. In this article, we would like to offer a comprehensive financial analysis of High-Bandwidth Memory deficits, supply chain bottlenecks, and equity options execution. 1. The Paradox of Abundance: Why Memory Remains Constrained The contemporary artificial intelligence infrastructure boom has fundamentally re-architected the semiconductor demand curve. Hyperscale cloud providers and AI accelerator developers are procuring record volumes of memory silicon. Yet, persistent suppl

This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week

Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be

Monday gave us one of the cleanest tests of the memory rally so far. SanDisk fell roughly 1.4% to around $1,766 after its S&P 100 inclusion became effective. Meanwhile: 🟢 Micron +2.77% 🟢 SK Hynix +0.73% 🔴 SanDisk -1.41% At first glance, that looks strange. If memory is still hot, why did one of 2026's biggest memory winners fall while its peers rose? I think the answer is important: The market may finally be separating the memory-cycle thesis from the SNDK trade. And that changes my Pick Levels. SNDK: The Easy Catalyst Has Expired SanDisk's S&P 100 inclusion created something traders love: a catalyst with a deadline. Index-tracking funds needed exposure. Traders could anticipate those flows. Momentum attracted more momentum. Then came September 21. The inclusion became effective. A

My conviction is lower, but not broken. CXMT changes the long-term risk premium for memory. If it can turn 4F² into competitive, high-yield mass production, Chinese supply could eventually pressure conventional DRAM pricing and challenge the industry's current structure. But announcing an architecture is very different from producing server-grade DRAM economically at scale. Yield, reliability, customer qualification and volume are the real tests. Until CXMT demonstrates those, I see the sell-off as the market pricing in a credible new risk rather than proof that the memory cycle has fundamentally changed. Hock Tan's warning matters too. If capital becomes the constraint on AI build-outs, demand expectations could cool even before new Chinese supply arrives. So I would still hold quality me

Memory stocks have been one of the hottest parts of the AI trade, but Michael Burry is leaning the other way. Burry has continued to add to his bearish exposure on $Micron Technology(MU), even as DRAM pricing remains firm and AI-related demand stays strong. What makes the trade interesting is the timing: he is not shorting memory because the current fundamentals look weak. He appears to be betting that today’s strength eventually creates tomorrow’s oversupply. That is the core debate in memory right now. The bullish case is straightforward. AI servers need more HBM, more server DRAM and more enterprise SSD capacity. Hyperscalers are still expanding infrastructure, memory content per server keeps rising, and supply remains tight in several key categories. In that environment, strong pricing

🔥 Two-Thirds of SNDK’s FY2028 Capacity Is Already Sold — This Memory Cycle Is Starting to Look Different The most important number in the memory market right now may not be NAND pricing. It may be two-thirds. SanDisk has already signed New Business Model agreements covering approximately 50% of its FY2027 bits and ~two-thirds of FY2028 bits. These aren’t simple purchase intentions — the agreements are built around committed volumes, minimum financial guarantees and structured pricing mechanisms. That matters because traditional NAND has always been brutally cyclical: Demand rises → manufacturers add capacity → supply catches up → prices collapse → margins compress. But what happens when a substantial portion of future production is already spoken for? 💡 The cycle becomes much more predicta